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ODU

Old Dominion 35 at Marshall 41

MRSH
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:37 · Ethan Duane punt for 50 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior+26.3Home team on offense−1.9Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:17: K. Calloway run for 70 yds for a TD (E. Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +7.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:13: Elijah Alston 85 Yd Interception Return (Rece Verhoff Kick) — MRSH win probability +14.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:50: Kadarius Calloway run for 69 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +12.0 pts (now 27%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 2:59: Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +9.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:09: Kadarius Calloway run for 75 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +17.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7ODU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 7:06ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:26MRSH 4th & 5 at ODU 25, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.9%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:41ODU 4th & 15 at ODU 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55MRSH 4th & 9 at ODU 32, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:37ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:28MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:34ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:14ODU 4th & 10 at MRSH 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:26ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:52MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 17, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:20ODU 4th & 1 at MRSH 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−2.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−6.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:21MRSH 4th & 8 at ODU 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−4.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:05MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−2.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:01MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 33, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:14ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:03ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:23ODU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:17ODU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:11MRSH Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:31MRSH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:10MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:13MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:50ODU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:59MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:09ODU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:4916% → 16%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
84.4%
Jack Shields pass complete to Jalen Butler for 3 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+1
84.4%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+66
84.0%
Jack Shields run for 66 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2INT
14 plays · 50 yds · 6:1984% → 81%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 6 yds to the MRSH 31Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
84.0%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
84.0%
Cam Fancher run for 22 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
84.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+1
84.1%
Cam Fancher run for 1 yd to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+8
84.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 8 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
84.1%
ALI, Rasheen rush up the middle for no gain to the ODU31 (HENDERSON, Jason). PENALTY Before the snap, MAR Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ODU31 to the ODU36. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+11
84.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 11 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+5
84.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
84.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-10
84.1%
FANCHER, Cam pass to the right complete for 10 yards to COOMBS, Caleb caught at the ODU17 and advanced to the ODU5 (JONES, Terry). PENALTY MAR Holding on CONLEY, Cade enforced 10 yards from the ODU15 to the ODU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
80.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for no gain to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 15
OPP 25
0
80.6%
Cam Fancher pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3820% → 20%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
80.4%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the ODU 8Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
80.4%
Jack Shields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 9
OWN 8
0
80.5%
Jack Shields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:06
4TH & 9
OWN 8
0
80.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:4081% → 81%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
80.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+16
80.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 16 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
80.8%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
80.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
80.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
80.6%
Rece Verhoff 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:3920% → 20%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
80.1%
Jack Shields run for 4 yds to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
79.9%
Jack Shields run for 4 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
79.9%
Kadarius Calloway run for 6 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
79.8%
Jack Shields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-10
79.8%
Old Dominion Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+3
80.2%
Jack Shields pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
80.4%
Jack Shields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 15
OWN 44
0
79.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:4679% → 77%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
79.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 9 yds to the MRSH 29Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-10
79.9%
Marshall Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cade Conley) to the MRSH 23Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+14
79.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 14 yds to the MRSH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
79.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 10 yds to the MRSH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
80.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for 20 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
80.7%
PIERCE, Mason rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the ODU29 (HENDERSON, Jason). PENALTY Before the snap, MAR Illegal Formation on WILLIS, Lloyd enforced 5 yards from the ODU33 to the ODU38. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+5
80.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
79.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+6
78.1%
Cam Fancher run for 6 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 27
-5
77.7%
Marshall Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 9
OPP 32
0
77.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:1823% → 23%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
76.9%
Devin Roche run for 2 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
77.0%
Jack Shields pass complete to Jordan Bly for 6 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 40
-10
76.6%
ROCHE, Devin rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the ODU49 (ROBERTS, J.J.). PENALTY ODU Holding on THOMAS, Leroy enforced 10 yards from the ODU40 to the ODU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
77.7%
Jack Shields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
77.5%
Ethan Duane punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
75.1%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRSH 19 Cam Fancher fumbled, recovered by ODU Terry JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
69.2%
Jordan Bly 19 Yd pass from Jack Shields (Ethan Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5570% → 68%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the MRSH 30Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
70.6%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 25Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.0%
Cam Fancher run for 7 yds to the MRSH 32Similar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
67.8%
John McConnell punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
60.2%
K. Calloway run for 70 yds for a TD (E. Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:0072% → 68%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
71.9%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the MRSH 46Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+23
71.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for 23 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
73.6%
FANCHER, Cam pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CONLEY, Cade thrown to the ODU2. PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on JONES, Terry enforced 15 yards to the ODU16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
74.3%
Cam Fancher run for 15 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.8%
C. Fancher pass to C. Conley for 1 yd for a TD (R. Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:3234% → 37%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
66.2%
Jack Shields pass complete to Jordan Bly for no gain to the ODU 15Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-5
66.3%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+19
66.3%
Keshawn Wicks run for 19 yds to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
65.8%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
65.7%
Jack Shields pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 6 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-5
65.6%
Jack Shields run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
63.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 35 yds , returns for no gain to the MRSH 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:0362% → 70%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
62.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 13 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
63.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 4 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+7
63.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 7 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
63.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 6
OPP 32
-1
64.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+11
63.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 11 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
70.4%
C. Fancher pass to C. Coombs for 22 yds for a TD (R. Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:1732% → 36%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.4%
Devin Roche run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
67.7%
Devin Roche run for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
68.5%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+42
69.5%
Jack Shields pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 42 yds to the MRSH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-6
65.3%
Jack Shields sacked by Mike Green and Owen Porter for a loss of 6 yards to the MRSH 39Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+4
66.8%
Devin Roche run for 4 yds to the MRSH 35Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+2
62.1%
Jack Shields pass complete to Devin Roche for 2 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+50
63.8%
Ozlo Rigby 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
64.0%
[NH] Kneel down by MAR at MAR32 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 4:4266% → 79%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
66.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the MRSH 7Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+8
66.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 8 yds to the MRSH 15Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+1
65.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the MRSH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
66.9%
FANCHER, Cam pass to the right incomplete intended for COOMBS, Caleb thrown to the MAR31. PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on RA-EL, Tahj enforced 15 yards to the MAR31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
67.3%
Cam Fancher run for 10 yds to the MRSH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+40
69.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 40 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
71.4%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+8
71.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for 8 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
71.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:2725% → 25%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
74.9%
Devin Roche run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 11
OWN 15
0
75.2%
Jack Shields pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:4679% → 78%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
79.2%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
79.1%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 10
OPP 24
-7
77.8%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 7 yards to the MRSH 14 Cam Fancher fumbled, recovered by ODU Wayne Matthews IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20INT TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3730% → 16%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
69.9%
Kadarius Calloway run for 1 yd to the MRSH 13Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
69.9%
Jack Shields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 9
OPP 13
-85
84.0%
Elijah Alston 85 Yd Interception Return (Rece Verhoff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:2315% → 27%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
85.3%
Devin Roche run for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+69
73.3%
Kadarius Calloway run for 69 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:4476% → 88%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
75.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the MRSH 38Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+5
77.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 5 yds to the MRSH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
77.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 14 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
78.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 5 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
78.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 6 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
78.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Darryle Simmons for 10 yds to the ODU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
78.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for 15 yds to the ODU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
78.8%
Old Dominion Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Shawn Asbury II) to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:3314% → 12%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.3%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
85.8%
SHIELDS, Jack pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BLY, Jordan thrown to the MAR35. PENALTY MAR Unnecessary Roughness on LEGGS, TyQaze enforced 15 yards from the ODU29 to the ODU44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
85.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
85.3%
Keshawn Wicks run for no gain to the ODU 44Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
85.9%
Jack Shields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:26
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
87.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3487% → 86%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
87.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the MRSH 11Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
87.2%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the MRSH 11Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+6
87.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the MRSH 17Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 17
0
86.8%
John McConnell punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
86.1%
SHIELDS, Jack pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BLY, Jordan thrown to the MAR10. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on MARTIN, Kerion enforced 15 yards to the MAR38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:3215% → 14%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
85.5%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the MRSH 34Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
84.2%
Kadarius Calloway run for no gain to the MRSH 34Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
85.9%
Jack Shields pass complete to Kadarius Calloway for 5 yds to the MRSH 29Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-4
86.3%
Keshawn Wicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the MRSH 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:5988% → 96%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
88.4%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 31Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+11
88.0%
Cam Fancher run for 11 yds to the MRSH 42Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+15
88.6%
QB Keeper FANCHER, Cam rush to the right for a gain of 16 yards to the ODU42 (RA-EL, Tahj). PENALTY ODU Unnecessary Roughness on RA-EL, Tahj enforced 15 yards from the ODU42 to the ODU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
89.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+8
89.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Mason Pierce for 8 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
89.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the ODU 14Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+1
89.5%
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
92.2%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the ODU 13Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
96.1%
Rece Verhoff 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
78.5%
Kadarius Calloway run for 75 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5689% → 88%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
88.5%
Cam Fancher run for 1 yd to the MRSH 42Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+2
88.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Cade Conley for 2 yds to the MRSH 44Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-2
87.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 42Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
87.6%
John McConnell punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 29INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:1221% → 21%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
78.9%
Devin Roche run for 8 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+4
75.7%
Jack Shields pass complete to Jordan Bly for 4 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
77.3%
Devin Roche run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+5
79.0%
Jack Shields pass complete to Jordan Bly for 5 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
78.8%
Jack Shields pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:4691% → 94%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
90.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the MRSH 18Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+11
90.5%
Cam Fancher run for 11 yds to the MRSH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
90.7%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the MRSH 29Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
92.5%
Ethan Payne run for 4 yds to the MRSH 33Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
93.8%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the MRSH 33Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
93.6%
John McConnell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Reymello Murphy at the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 31DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4713% → 11%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
87.2%
Kadarius Calloway run for 1 yd to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
87.6%
Jack Shields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+4
88.5%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
89.1%
Jack Shields pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 32END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 1:1496% → 97%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.3%
[NH] Kneel down by MAR at ODU33 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
96.8%
[NH] Kneel down by MAR at ODU34 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:09
Kadarius Calloway run for 75 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
-17.6
TD · Q3 8:13
Elijah Alston 85 Yd Interception Return (Rece Verhoff Kick)
+14.1
TD · Q3 7:50
Kadarius Calloway run for 69 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com