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ETAM

East Texas A&M 9 at Old Dominion 10

ODU
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadETAM aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreETAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:10 · Mitchell McGarry punt for 58 yds , Reymello Murphy returns for no gain to the ODU 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+7.4Home team on offense−1.0Score differential−2.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:12: Jack Shields pass complete to Dominic Dutton for 40 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +18.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 6:17: Ethan Sanchez 22 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +10.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:28: Josh Magana pass complete to Keith Miller III for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ETAM win probability +23.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:27: kickoff for 7 yds — ODU win probability +12.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ETAM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:27: J. Shields takes a knee — ODU win probability +18.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ETAM made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:51ETAM 4th & 9 at ETAM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:21ODU 4th & 23 at ODU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:30ETAM 4th & 5 at ETAM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:59ETAM 4th & 6 at ODU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:46ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:26ETAM 4th & 4 at ETAM 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:02ETAM 4th & 5 at ODU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:51ETAM 4th & 11 at ETAM 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:41ETAM 4th & 1 at ODU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    47.0%−1.9
    27% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:06ETAM 4th & 2 at ODU 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−2.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:09ODU 4th & 3 at ETAM 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:03ODU 4th & 7 at ETAM 27, tied
    Close callWent for it · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.2%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−7.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:10ETAM 4th & 11 at ETAM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−3.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:25ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−2.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:48ETAM 4th & 8 at ODU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−10.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:06ETAM 4th & 22 at ETAM 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−4.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:17ODU 4th & 5 at ETAM 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    59.7%−17.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ETAM made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q3 2:12ODU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 0:28ETAM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.1 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.0%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ETAMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0532% → 32%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
68.3%
Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Ra'veion HargroveSimilar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
68.3%
Peter Parrish run for 1 yd to the TAMC 36Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
68.3%
Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Jabari KheperaSimilar
Q1 13:51
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
68.3%
Mitchell McGarry punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:3068% → 68%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-8
68.2%
Grant Wilson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 18
OWN 19
0
68.2%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 18
OWN 19
-5
68.1%
Grant Wilson sacked by Clifford Funderburk for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 23
OWN 14
0
67.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 56 yds , Sean-Krystoff King returns for no gain to the TAMC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:5132% → 32%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
68.0%
Peter Parrish pass complete to Shamenski Rucker for 10 yds to the TAMC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
67.9%
Shamenski Rucker run for 5 yds to the TAMC 44Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
67.8%
Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Micaleous ElderSimilar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
67.8%
Peter Parrish run for no gain to the TAMC 44Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+25
67.8%
Mitchell McGarry punt for 31 yds , Reymello Murphy returns for 25 yds to the 50 yard line Reymello Murphy fumbled, recovered by TAMC Cameron Nellor , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3133% → 33%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
50
+2
67.3%
Peter Parrish pass complete to Ra'veion Hargrove for 2 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
67.3%
Peter Parrish run for 2 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
67.2%
Peter Parrish pass incomplete to Keith Miller IIISimilar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+8
67.4%
Mitchell McGarry punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 24 , Reymello Murphy returns for 8 yds to the ODU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1368% → 67%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
67.8%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the ODU 25Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+5
67.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
67.7%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+1
67.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 38 yds , Sean-Krystoff King returns for 1 yd to the TAMC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 3:2033% → 33%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
67.2%
Peter Parrish run for 4 yds to the TAMC 37Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+6
67.0%
Reggie Branch run for 6 yds to the TAMC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
66.8%
Reggie Branch run for 3 yds to the TAMC 46Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
66.7%
Reggie Branch run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 3
50
+1
66.7%
Reggie Branch run for 1 yd to the TAMC 49Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
66.6%
Mitchell McGarry punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
67.3%
Grant Wilson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1534% → 34%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.8%
Josh Magana pass incomplete to Jerome BucknerSimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+24
65.8%
Josh Magana pass complete to for 24 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+5
66.1%
Josh Magana pass complete to Jabari Khepera for 5 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
66.2%
Josh Magana pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:1867% → 69%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
67.4%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 2 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
67.5%
Grant Wilson run for 1 yd to the ODU 39Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+41
67.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 41 yds to the TAMC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
68.6%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 1 yd to the TAMC 19Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
68.8%
Grant Wilson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5334% → 33%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
66.5%
Shamenski Rucker run for 2 yds to the TAMC 8Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+1
66.6%
Shamenski Rucker run for 1 yd to the TAMC 9Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 9
-4
66.7%
Josh Magana sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the TAMC 5Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 11
OWN 5
0
67.1%
Mitchell McGarry punt for 46 yds , Reymello Murphy returns for no gain to the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:3268% → 69%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
68.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 21 yds to the TAMC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
68.9%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Reymello MurphySimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
68.8%
Grant Wilson run for 15 yds to the TAMC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
68.9%
Grant Wilson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3836% → 35%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
64.0%
Reggie Branch run for 2 yds to the TAMC 49Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
64.0%
Reggie Branch run for 3 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+4
64.0%
Peter Parrish run for 4 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+1
64.6%
Reggie Branch run for 1 yd to the ODU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · -1 yds · 4:0568% → 65%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
68.3%
Devin Roche run for 2 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+6
68.4%
Jack Shields run for 6 yds to the TAMC 47Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+2
68.5%
Jack Shields pass complete to Devin Roche for 2 yds to the TAMC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
68.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Roche,Devin rush right for 2 yards gain to the TXCC43 (Hurd,Kion) PENALTY ODU Holding (Dubose-Bourne,Stephon) 10 yards from TXCC45 to ODU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+11
67.7%
Devin Roche run for 11 yds to the TAMC 44Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 24
OWN 41
+3
67.2%
Jack Shields run for 3 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-15
68.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Granger,Ahmarian pass complete short right to Granger,Ahmarian for 16 yards to the TXCC28 (Ambers,King) PENALTY ODU Block Below Waist (Roche,Devin) 15 yards from TXCC44 to ODU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 27
OWN 38
-4
66.7%
Jack Shields sacked by Levi Drake Rodriguez for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 31
OWN 34
0
65.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 21 ydsSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 31
OWN 34
0
65.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3037% → 38%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
63.2%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 2 yds to the TAMC 37Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
63.0%
Josh Magana pass incomplete to Micaleous ElderSimilar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
63.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Magana,Josh pass incomplete short left to Buckner,Jerome QB hurried by Stevens,Sayyid PENALTY ODU Holding (James,LaMareon) 10 yards from TXCC37 to TXCC47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
61.7%
Josh Magana pass incomplete to Jerome BucknerSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
62.1%
Josh Magana pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 4 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+4
61.5%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 4 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
61.8%
Mitchell McGarry punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Reymello Murphy at the ODU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:5766% → 67%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+49
66.2%
Jack Shields pass complete to Kelby Williams for 49 yds to the TAMC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
69.5%
Jack Shields run for 2 yds to the TAMC 30Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+20
69.5%
Jack Shields pass complete to Kelby Williams for 20 yds to the TAMC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.5%
Jack Shields pass incomplete to Devin RocheSimilar
Q2 5:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
69.5%
Tariq Sims run for 2 yds to the TAMC 8Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
68.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Shields,Jack pass incomplete short middle to Shields,Jack PENALTY ODU Personal Foul offsetting TXCC Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
68.4%
Jack Shields run for 5 yds to the TAMC 3Similar
Q2 2:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-8
66.9%
Jack Shields sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the TAMC 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 16MISSED FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 2:0936% → 45%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
64.2%
Peter Parrish run for 9 yds to the TAMC 20Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+1
63.2%
Shamenski Rucker run for 1 yd to the TAMC 19Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 11
OWN 10
+13
63.5%
Peter Parrish pass complete to Jabari Khepera for 13 yds to the TAMC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
62.0%
Peter Parrish run for no gain to the TAMC 23Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+14
62.2%
Reggie Branch run for 14 yds to the TAMC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
60.9%
Peter Parrish pass complete to Keith Miller III for 20 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
57.0%
Adagbon,Emmanuel field goal attempt from 60 yards NO GOOD (H: Nellor,Cameron, LS: Kennard,Josiah), clock 00:00 PENALTY ODU Roughing The Kicker (Johnson,Nolan) 15 yards from ODU43 to ODU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+45
55.1%
Emmanuel Adagbon 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:5764% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.0%
Jack Shields pass incomplete to Kelby WilliamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.8%
Jack Shields pass complete to Kelby Williams for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
63.1%
Jack Shields pass complete to Kelby Williams for 17 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
66.5%
Jack Shields pass complete to Kelby Williams for 10 yds to the TAMC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
67.0%
Old Dominion Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 16
50
0
65.3%
Jack Shields pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
50
+5
65.0%
Kadarius Calloway run for 5 yds to the TAMC 45Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
67.7%
Jack Shields sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the TAMC 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 35
-6
66.1%
Jack Shields sacked by Jordan Polk for a loss of 6 yards to the TAMC 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 41
+14
64.3%
Jack Shields pass complete to Dominic Dutton for 14 yds to the TAMC 27Similar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 7
OPP 27
0
64.0%
Jack Shields pass incomplete to Marquez BellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:5340% → 38%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
59.7%
Reggie Branch sacked by Jason Henderson for a loss of 5 yards to the TAMC 22Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 20
OWN 17
+9
60.5%
Peter Parrish pass complete to Zadock Dinkelmann for 9 yds to the TAMC 26Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
61.0%
Peter Parrish pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
62.3%
Mitchell McGarry punt for 58 yds , Reymello Murphy returns for no gain to the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4562% → 60%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
62.3%
Tariq Sims run for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-5
62.3%
Jack Shields sacked by Anthony Gray for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 12
OWN 13
+4
60.7%
Jack Shields run for 4 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
59.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Sean-Krystoff King at the TAMC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 20FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:3744% → 51%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
56.5%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 9 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
54.8%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 3 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
55.2%
Peter Parrish run for 3 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+15
55.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Parrish,Peter pass incomplete deep middle to Khepera,Jabari PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Johnson,Nolan) 15 yards from ODU43 to ODU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
53.6%
Peter Parrish run for 1 yd to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+2
54.1%
Peter Parrish pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+5
57.4%
Peter Parrish run for 5 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
48.7%
Emmanuel Adagbon 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 1:3252% → 76%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
52.3%
Kadarius Calloway run for 5 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
52.6%
Jack Shields pass incomplete to Kelby WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+37
50.3%
Jack Shields pass complete to Kelby Williams for 37 yds to the TAMC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
57.5%
Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the TAMC 40Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+40
75.5%
Jack Shields pass complete to Dominic Dutton for 40 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:0730% → 33%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+39
69.6%
Peter Parrish pass complete to Jabari Khepera for 39 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
63.9%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 4 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
63.4%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 4 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-9
66.6%
Peter Parrish sacked by Wayne Matthews III for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 44 Peter Parrish fumbled, recovered by ODU Denzel Lowry , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:3375% → 77%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
74.9%
Devin Roche run for 3 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
75.2%
Devin Roche run for 2 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+9
74.2%
Jack Shields pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 9 yds to the TAMC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
75.9%
Devin Roche run for 6 yds to the TAMC 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+11
75.9%
Jack Shields pass complete to Devin Roche for 11 yds to the TAMC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
76.8%
Jack Shields pass complete to Jalen Butler for 2 yds to the TAMC 8Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
77.2%
Jack Shields sacked by Jordan Polk for a loss of 10 yards to the TAMC 18 Jack Shields fumbled, recovered by TAMC Darryle Ware , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 4:2130% → 27%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
70.1%
Reggie Branch run for no gain to the TAMC 18Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
70.5%
Peter Parrish pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 1 yd to the TAMC 17Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+12
72.2%
Reggie Branch run for 12 yds to the TAMC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
69.6%
Reggie Branch run for no gain to the TAMC 29Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 24
OWN 15
0
70.7%
Peter Parrish run for no gain to the TAMC 15Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 29
OWN 10
+7
72.2%
Peter Parrish run for 7 yds to the TAMC 17Similar
Q4 8:06
4TH & 22
OWN 17
0
73.5%
Mitchell McGarry punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25FG
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:4980% → 90%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+39
79.7%
Jack Shields pass complete to Kelby Williams for 39 yds to the TAMC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
80.6%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the TAMC 8Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
80.6%
Jack Shields pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q4 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+9
79.1%
run for 9 yds to the TAMC 5 fumbled, recovered by ODU Devin RocheSimilar
Q4 6:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
89.6%
Ethan Sanchez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 26TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:4914% → 43%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.9%
Josh Magana pass incomplete to Micaleous ElderSimilar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.0%
Josh Magana pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 7 yds to the TAMC 32Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
85.0%
Josh Magana pass complete to Keith Miller III for 6 yds to the TAMC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
83.7%
Josh Magana pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 4 yds to the TAMC 42Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
82.6%
Ra'veion Hargrove run for 2 yds to the TAMC 44Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+7
83.2%
Reggie Branch run for 7 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
81.6%
Reggie Branch run for 19 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
80.0%
Josh Magana pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 6 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+16
79.5%
Reggie Branch run for 16 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
80.0%
Reggie Branch run for 2 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+13
81.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Magana,Josh pass incomplete short right to Elder,Micaelous PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Jones,Terry) 13 yards from ODU15 to ODU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
57.2%
Josh Magana pass complete to Keith Miller III for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:2788% → 96%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
87.8%
J. Shields takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 47
-5
95.6%
J. Shields takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:28
Josh Magana pass complete to Keith Miller III for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-23.9
TD · Q3 2:12
Jack Shields pass complete to Dominic Dutton for 40 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
+18
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:27
J. Shields takes a knee
+18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com