Try the model
GAST

Georgia State 30 at Coastal Carolina 17

CCU
2023 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2023 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:49 · Liam Gray 34 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Home team on offense−13.7Pregame prior+5.1Score differential−6.9Garbage-time factor−6.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Liam Rickman 34 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +12.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:09: Grayson McCall pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 27 yds for a TD (Liam Gray KICK) — CCU win probability +11.6 pts (now 52%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:09: Liam Rickman 38 yd FG GOOD — GAST win probability +8.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:13: Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +16.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:01: Abraham Temoney III 2 Yd Fumble Return (Liam Gray Kick) — CCU win probability +9.4 pts (now 15%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 7:54CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:38GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:39CCU 4th & 9 at GAST 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:43CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:28GAST 4th & 11 at CCU 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    47.0%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:05CCU 4th & 9 at GAST 42, down 11
    Close callPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:00GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:57CCU 4th & 6 at GAST 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:09GAST 4th & 11 at CCU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−10.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:49CCU 4th & 5 at GAST 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−10.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:40CCU 4th & 4 at GAST 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−3.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:01GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 17, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.8%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:36GAST 4th & 15 at CCU 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    86.0%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:11GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:25GAST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:09CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:13GAST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:01CCU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:4931% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
69.2%
Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
69.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
69.2%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 4 yards to the GAST 32 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by GAST Darren GraingerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+22
69.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 22 yds to the CCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
69.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
69.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the CCU 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+12
69.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 12 yds to the CCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
69.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 14 yds to the CCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
69.2%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the CCU 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-2
69.2%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+12
69.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the CCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
69.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the CCU 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
69.2%
Georgia State Penalty, Illegal Snap on REECE, Avery enforced (-5 Yards) to the CCU 8Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
65.9%
Darren Grainger run for 8 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:1366% → 66%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
66.4%
MCCALL, Grayson pass up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Jared thrown to the CCU35. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on COOPER, Ronald enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the CCU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
66.5%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
66.2%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+9
65.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
65.9%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1635% → 35%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
65.5%
Darren Grainger run for 13 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
65.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
65.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
64.6%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:38
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
65.0%
Kade Loggins punt for 35 yds, downed at the CCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:5965% → 66%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
65.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
65.4%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+15
65.0%
MCCALL, Grayson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for PINCKNEY, Sam thrown to the GSU50. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on BROWN, Bryquice enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the CCU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
65.8%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 39Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 13
OWN 39
-1
65.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 38Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+33
65.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Chris Rhone for 33 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
66.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 8 yds to the GAST 21Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+7
66.6%
Sam Pinckney run for 7 yds to the GAST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
66.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the GAST 13Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
66.6%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
66.2%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
65.9%
Liam Gray 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1435% → 43%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+21
65.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Peter Kikwata for 21 yds to the GAST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
64.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 16 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
64.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
63.1%
GRAINGER, Darren pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LEWIS, Robert thrown to the CCU0, clock 00:00. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on EUBANKS, Courtney enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the CCU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
63.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the CCU 13Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
57.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 13 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3358% → 56%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
58.2%
QB Keeper MCCALL, Grayson rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the CCU9 (SIMMONS II, PJ). PENALTY GSU Offsides on MCCOLLUM, Shamar enforced 5 yards from the CCU7 to the CCU12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 2
OWN 12
+8
58.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 8 yds to the CCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.4%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
58.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 2 yds to the CCU 22Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
57.8%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
55.8%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1545% → 46%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
55.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
55.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 45Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+10
55.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the CCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
54.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
54.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 4 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-5
55.1%
Georgia State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCU 46Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
55.3%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the CCU 46Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
54.2%
Kade Loggins punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 5:2355% → 50%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
54.7%
Braydon Bennett run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 19Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+9
54.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the CCU 28Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
54.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kendall Karr for 4 yds to the CCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
55.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the CCU 37Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+20
52.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 20 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
53.4%
Jared Brown run for no gain to the GAST 43Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-6
53.2%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 6 yards to the GAST 49Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+7
49.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 7 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
49.8%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0544% → 48%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
56.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 13Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+2
55.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 15Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
56.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 4
OWN 15
0
52.2%
Kade Loggins punt for 35 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:0350% → 46%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
50
-7
50.3%
Grayson McCall sacked by Gavin Pringle and Kevin Swint for a loss of 7 yards to the CCU 43Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+19
48.7%
CJ Beasley run for 19 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
50.6%
QB Keeper MCCALL, Grayson rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the GSU30, End of Play. PENALTY CCU Holding on JOHNSON, Thomas enforced 10 yards from the GSU38 to the GSU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 20
OPP 48
0
49.9%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+5
49.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the GAST 43Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+9
45.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 9 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+51
45.8%
Liam Gray 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 0:5757% → 73%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
43.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 6 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
41.8%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+30
42.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 30 yds to the CCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
40.6%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+8
40.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 8 yds to the CCU 22Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+6
40.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 6 yds to the CCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
39.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+34
27.3%
Liam Rickman 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5137% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
37.0%
Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the CCU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
36.9%
Grayson McCall run for 12 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
38.6%
CJ Beasley run for 13 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
39.7%
Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+13
39.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 13 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
40.4%
Max Balthazar run for 7 yds to the GAST 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-5
40.3%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GAST 27Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+27
51.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 27 yds for a TD (Liam Gray KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 6:0056% → 67%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
44.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 14 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
42.3%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the GAST 43Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+9
42.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 9 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
41.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
41.5%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the CCU 47Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+11
42.0%
Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the CCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
41.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the CCU 33Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+14
40.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 14 yds to the CCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-7
40.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 3 yds to the CCU 16 Georgia State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cadarrius Thompson) to the CCU 26Similar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 17
OPP 26
+3
41.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the CCU 23Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+5
41.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the CCU 18Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 9
OPP 18
-2
41.9%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 20 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by GASTSimilar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+38
33.2%
Liam Rickman 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:2034% → 30%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
33.8%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
33.3%
Max Balthazar run for 1 yd to the CCU 31Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+26
32.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 26 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
36.8%
Max Balthazar run for 6 yds to the GAST 37Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+15
36.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 15 yds to the GAST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
38.4%
MCCALL, Grayson pass to the right complete for 14 yards to MOBLEY, Tyson caught at the GSU9 and advanced to the GSU8 (PRINGLE, Gavin;JOHNSON, Jeremiah), out of bounds. PENALTY CCU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MCDONALD, Will enforced 5 yards from the GSU22 to the GSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+5
37.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 5 yds to the GAST 22Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
38.3%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
36.4%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:49
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
29.5%
Liam Gray 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:4772% → 92%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
28.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 27 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
25.8%
GRAINGER, Darren pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for LEWIS, Robert thrown to the CCU15. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on JENKINS, Keontae enforced 15 yards to the CCU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
25.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+18
24.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 18 yds to the CCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
24.5%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the CCU 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+5
24.5%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the right incomplete intended for THOMPSON, Cadarrius broken up by JENKINS, Keontae at the CCU0. PENALTY CCU Offsides on KILLEN, JT enforced 5 yards from the CCU12 to the CCU7 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
8.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 58 yds · 4:3311% → 8%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
11.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kendall Karr for 12 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
11.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 14 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
12.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 9 yds to the GAST 40Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+7
10.3%
Max Balthazar run for 7 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
10.8%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
10.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the GAST 24Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+1
10.7%
Max Balthazar run for 1 yd to the GAST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
11.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-8
10.5%
Grayson McCall sacked by Anthony Blume for a loss of 8 yards to the GAST 31Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 18
OPP 31
+14
7.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 14 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 4
OPP 17
0
7.8%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:3995% → 86%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
4.7%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GAST 17Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
4.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-5
5.0%
Georgia State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the GAST 12Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+5
5.0%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+2
14.5%
Abraham Temoney III 2 Yd Fumble Return (Liam Gray Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18FG
12 plays · 30 yds · 4:2488% → 97%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
11.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the CCU 40Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
11.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the CCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
11.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 16 yds to the CCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
11.2%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the CCU 18Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
11.3%
Georgia State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CCU 23Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+11
11.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 11 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST down Coastal Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) to the CCU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
6.3%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 9Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
6.3%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 6 yards to the CCU 15Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
6.9%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the CCU 15Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
3.4%
Liam Rickman 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19END OF 4TH QUARTER
11 plays · 52 yds · 2:292% → 2%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
2.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 8 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
2.6%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+14
2.4%
CJ Beasley run for 14 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
2.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 5 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
2.9%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+15
2.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 15 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
3.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Max Balthazar for 12 yds to the GAST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
3.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for a loss of 2 yards to the GAST 21Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 12
OPP 21
-5
3.7%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, False Start (Zovon Lindsay) to the GAST 26Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 17
OPP 26
0
3.5%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 17
OPP 26
+5
2.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 5 yds to the GAST 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:13
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
-16
FG · Q2 0:00
Liam Rickman 34 yd FG GOOD
-12.2
TD · Q3 11:09
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 27 yds for a TD (Liam Gray KICK)
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com