Try the model
URI

Rhode Island 35 at Georgia State 42

GAST
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2023 · Center Parc Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadURI aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreURI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:58 · Ty Groff 33 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+34.2Home team on offense+0.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:12: Kasim Hill pass complete to Darius Savedge for 63 yds for a TD (Ty Groff KICK) — URI win probability +10.3 pts (now 28%) (top driver: URI has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:02: Marquis Buchanan 28 Yd pass from Kasim Hill (Ty Groff Kick) — URI win probability +19.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: URI has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:21: Marcus Carroll 23 Yd Run (Liam Rickman Kick) — GAST win probability +14.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:30: Gavin Pringle 21 Yd Interception Return (Liam Rickman Kick) — GAST win probability +19.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: URI has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:27: Kasim Hill run for 5 yds for a TD (Ty Groff KICK) — URI win probability +11.7 pts (now 17%) (top driver: URI has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6URI made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 8:58URI 4th & 7 at GAST 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 3:17GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:40GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:29GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  5. Q3 3:36URI 4th & 14 at URI 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−3.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 1:54GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 20, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00URI 4th & 1 at URI 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:47URI 4th & 7 at midfield, down 13
    Close callPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:52GAST 4th & 22 at GAST 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−3.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:31URI 4th & 10 at URI 26, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:41GAST 4th & 1 at URI 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−1.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5URI made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:36GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:15GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:10URI Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:31GAST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:40URI Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:12URI Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:02URI Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:21GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:30GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:27URI Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:2487% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
87.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 19 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
87.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
50
+11
87.1%
Darren Grainger run for 11 yds to the URI 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
87.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 39 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:3813% → 14%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.9%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
86.9%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 8 yds to the URI 33Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
86.9%
Gabe Sloat run for 2 yds to the URI 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.9%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
86.9%
Gabe Sloat run for 6 yds to the URI 41Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+40
86.9%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 40 yds to the GAST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
86.8%
Kasim Hill run for 2 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+6
86.8%
Gabe Sloat run for 6 yds to the GAST 11Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-5
86.8%
Rhode Island Penalty, False Start (Brady Roark) to the GAST 16Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+5
86.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Darius Savedge for 5 yds to the GAST 11Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 2
OPP 11
-5
86.9%
Rhode Island Penalty, False Start (Adam McKanna) to the GAST 16Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
86.2%
Ty Groff 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 4:4386% → 89%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
86.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 5 yds to the GAST 25Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
86.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+10
86.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
86.5%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 36Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+8
86.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 8 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+10
86.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 10 yds to the URI 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
86.7%
GRAINGER, Darren pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CREDLE, Ja'Cyais thrown to the URI13. PENALTY URI Pass Interference on PRICE, Braden enforced 15 yards to the URI31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
86.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the URI 25Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+4
86.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the URI 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
86.7%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the URI 21Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
86.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 7 yds to the URI 14Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+5
86.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the URI 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
86.4%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the URI 9Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
88.6%
Marcus Carroll 9 Yd Run (Liam Rickman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:0512% → 16%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Jaden Griffin run for no gain to the URI 25Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
87.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Gabe Sloat for 19 yds to the URI 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-9
87.4%
Kasim Hill sacked by Henry Bryant III and Kevin Swint for a loss of 9 yards to the URI 35Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 19
OWN 35
+14
87.7%
Devin Farrell run for 14 yds to the URI 49Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+16
87.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 16 yds to the GAST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
86.9%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 6 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
86.8%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+13
87.0%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Darius Savedge for 13 yds to the GAST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
86.4%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Darius Savedge for no gain to the GAST 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-5
86.4%
Rhode Island Penalty, False Start (Brock Bethea) to the GAST 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+1
86.8%
Gabe Sloat run for 1 yd to the GAST 20Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 14
OPP 20
+20
84.3%
Kasim Hill pass complete to John Erby for 20 yds for a TD (Ty Groff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:3985% → 89%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
85.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the GAST 42Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+5
85.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 5 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
85.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the URI 48Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-1
85.7%
KZ Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the URI 49Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+5
85.3%
GRAINGER, Darren pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to WILLIAMS, Tailique caught at the URI45 and advanced to the URI45 (STEWART, Evan). PENALTY URI Offsides on ALVARADO, Johnny enforced 5 yards from the URI49 to the URI44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
85.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the URI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
88.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 42 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 6INT
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:0213% → 13%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.3%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 7 yds to the URI 32Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
86.9%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
87.1%
Kasim Hill run for 9 yds to the URI 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
86.9%
Deon Silas run for 20 yds to the GAST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
87.9%
Deon Silas run for 4 yds to the GAST 35Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+13
88.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to John Erby for 13 yds to the GAST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
87.2%
Gabe Sloat run for 2 yds to the GAST 23Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+7
87.2%
Kasim Hill run for 7 yds to the GAST 16Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-3
87.2%
Kasim Hill sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the GAST 38Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+6
87.7%
Deon Silas run for 6 yds to the GAST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
87.2%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
87.2%
Kasim Hill pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1289% → 89%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
88.8%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the GAST 13Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+4
88.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 4 yds to the GAST 17Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-5
88.4%
Georgia State Penalty, False Start (Montavious Cunningham) to the GAST 12Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+13
88.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 13 yds to the GAST 25Similar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
88.5%
Kade Loggins punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the GAST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 8TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:3713% → 19%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
87.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Darius Savedge for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 31Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+11
87.6%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 11 yds to the GAST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
87.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to John Erby for 5 yds to the GAST 15Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
87.2%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+15
81.5%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Gabe Sloat for 15 yds for a TD (Ty Groff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:2984% → 84%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
84.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
85.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 3 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
83.4%
Kade Loggins punt for 47 yds, downed at the URI 7Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
84.3%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GAST 46Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
83.6%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
83.9%
[NHSG] Kneel down by HILL, Kasim at URI6 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 11
OWN 6
0
84.1%
[NHSG] Kneel down by HILL, Kasim at URI5 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 12
OWN 5
0
84.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by HILL, Kasim at URI4 (team loss of 1).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 11TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4817% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
83.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Darius Savedge for 8 yds to the URI 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
82.0%
Deon Silas run for 4 yds to the URI 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
71.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Darius Savedge for 63 yds for a TD (Ty Groff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4376% → 73%
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
75.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+1
76.0%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the GAST 33Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
75.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:29
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
73.1%
Kade Loggins punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 13TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:2729% → 52%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
71.2%
Deon Silas run for 4 yds to the URI 34Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
70.4%
Kasim Hill run for 1 yd to the URI 35Similar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
71.5%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:29
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+15
72.8%
WALTER, Devin punt -3 yards to the URI32 downed by SLOAT, Gabe. PENALTY GSU Unnecessary Roughness on SINGLETON, Chance enforced 15 yards from the URI35 to the URI50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
50
+4
68.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Gabe Sloat for 4 yds to the GAST 46Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
68.7%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+11
69.2%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 11 yds fumbled, forced by Jontrey Hunter, recovered by URI Kahtero Summers for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
67.9%
Deon Silas run for 2 yds to the GAST 33Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+5
67.9%
Deon Silas run for 5 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+28
48.5%
Marquis Buchanan 28 Yd pass from Kasim Hill (Ty Groff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4155% → 76%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
55.2%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GAST 38Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+16
57.0%
Darren Grainger run for 16 yds to the URI 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
59.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 19 yds to the URI 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
60.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the URI 23Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+23
75.5%
Marcus Carroll 23 Yd Run (Liam Rickman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:4532% → 32%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
68.2%
Gabe Sloat run for 9 yds to the URI 25Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+25
66.8%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Kevin Schaeffer for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
50
-10
64.5%
MCKENZIE, Ja'Den rush to the left for a gain of 9 yards to the GSU41 (TATE, Jalen). PENALTY URI Holding on ROARK, Brady enforced 10 yards from the GSU50 to the URI40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
67.5%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 20
OWN 40
0
66.3%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+6
67.2%
Deon Silas run for 6 yds to the URI 46Similar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
68.1%
Devin Walter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4270% → 67%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
70.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 16Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+4
70.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 20Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
68.8%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GAST 20Similar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
66.9%
Kade Loggins punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 17INT TD
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:2435% → 16%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
65.0%
HILL, Kasim pass up the middle complete for 12 yards to SLOAT, Gabe caught at the URI40 and advanced to the URI40 (JOHNSON, Jeremiah). PENALTY URI Holding on THOMPSON, Lorenzo enforced 10 yards from the URI28 to the URI18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 20
OWN 18
-21
84.3%
Gavin Pringle 21 Yd Interception Return (Liam Rickman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 25 yds · 6:437% → 5%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.7%
Deon Silas run for no gain to the URI 25Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Kasim Hill run for no gain to the URI 25Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.7%
Gabe Sloat run for 9 yds to the URI 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
93.2%
Kasim Hill run for 3 yds to the URI 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.8%
Gabe Sloat run for no gain to the URI 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
93.0%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Gabe Sloat for 9 yds to the URI 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
92.9%
Kasim Hill run for 1 yd to the URI 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
92.7%
Ja'Den McKenzie run for a loss of 1 yard to the URI 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+10
93.0%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Jamall Mensah for 10 yds to the GAST 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-1
92.4%
Deon Silas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GAST 45Similar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-5
95.1%
Rhode Island Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 7
50
0
94.9%
Devin Walter punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:3196% → 97%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
96.2%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GAST 22Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+3
96.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GAST 25Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+63
96.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 63 yds to the URI 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
97.1%
Marcus Carroll 12 Yd Run (Liam Rickman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 20TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 1:494% → 17%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+73
95.7%
Kasim Hill pass complete to Marquis Buchanan for 73 yds to the GAST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
94.5%
Kasim Hill run for 1 yd to the GAST 5Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
82.7%
Kasim Hill run for 5 yds for a TD (Ty Groff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3590% → 90%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
90.4%
Darren Grainger run for 13 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-15
91.0%
Georgia State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Montavious Cunningham) to the GAST 25Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 22
OWN 25
0
89.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
89.8%
Kade Loggins punt for 49 yds, downed at the URI 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2111% → 9%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
88.6%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
89.1%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
89.8%
Kasim Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
90.7%
Devin Walter punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jacari Carter at the GAST 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
11 plays · 19 yds · 4:3192% → 97%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
92.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the GAST 49Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
92.6%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 1
50
+3
92.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the URI 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
92.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the URI 45Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
96.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the URI 43Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+5
96.0%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the URI 38Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
95.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the URI 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.1%
[NH] Kneel down by GRAINGER, Darren at URI39 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 39
0
96.9%
[NH] Kneel down by GRAINGER, Darren at URI40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:02
Marquis Buchanan 28 Yd pass from Kasim Hill (Ty Groff Kick)
-19.4
TD · Q3 1:30
Gavin Pringle 21 Yd Interception Return (Liam Rickman Kick)
+19.3
TD · Q3 6:21
Marcus Carroll 23 Yd Run (Liam Rickman Kick)
+14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com