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SCST

South Carolina State 3 at Charlotte 24

CLT
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadSCST aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreSCST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NH] Kneel down by IVEY, Trexler at SCS49 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:56: Jalon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — CLT win probability +2.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:12: Durell Robinson run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK) — CLT win probability +3.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:35: Timeout Charlotte, clock 02:35 — SCST win probability +2.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: SCST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:43: Jalon Jones pass complete to Jairus Mack for 3 yds to the CLT 38 — CLT win probability +3.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:56: Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the SCST 47 — CLT win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7SCST made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:42CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:37SCST 4th & 13 at SCST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:10CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:41SCST 4th & 7 at CLT 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:53SCST 4th & 14 at CLT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:26SCST 4th & 5 at SCST 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:19SCST 4th & 25 at SCST 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:09CLT 4th & 13 at SCST 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:20SCST 4th & 1 at CLT 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:26CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:26SCST 4th & 4 at CLT 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−0.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:41SCST 4th & 1 at CLT 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−6.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:35CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:43SCST 4th & 1 at CLT 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−1.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−2.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 1 at SCST 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−1.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−4.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:46CLT 4th & 6 at SCST 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:56SCST 4th & 11 at SCST 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:54SCST 4th & 4 at SCST 26, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 9:56CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:12CLT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:23CLT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1093% → 93%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
93.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 32Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 12
OWN 32
-3
93.1%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 29Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+11
93.1%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 11 yds to the CLT 40Similar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
92.5%
Grant Gonya punt for 44 yds, downed at the SCST 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 6:057% → 9%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
92.6%
Andre Washington run for 2 yds to the SCST 18Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+6
92.6%
Jawarn Howell run for 6 yds to the SCST 24Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+8
92.6%
Jawarn Howell run for 8 yds to the SCST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.5%
Jawarn Howell run for no gain to the SCST 32Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
92.5%
Andre Washington run for 5 yds to the SCST 37Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+5
92.5%
Jawarn Howell run for 5 yds to the SCST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
92.5%
Jawarn Howell run for 4 yds to the SCST 46Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-2
92.5%
Andre Washington sacked by Eyabi Okie-Anoma for a loss of 2 yards to the SCST 44Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-5
92.5%
South Carolina State Penalty, False Start (Cam Johnson) to the SCST 39Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
92.6%
Andre Washington pass complete to Jawarn Howell for no gain to the SCST 39Similar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
90.9%
Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:2791% → 90%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.8%
Duane Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 23Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
90.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the CLT 27Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
90.6%
Charlotte Penalty, False Start (Jairus Mack) to the CLT 22Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+7
90.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the CLT 29Similar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
90.6%
Charlotte Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the CLT 24Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
89.6%
Grant Gonya punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2911% → 11%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
89.4%
Jawarn Howell run for 1 yd to the CLT 47Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+2
89.4%
Andre Washington pass complete to Nigel Johnson for 2 yds to the CLT 45Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
89.4%
Andre Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
89.2%
Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1990% → 89%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-7
89.6%
BANGDA, Joachim rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the CLT17 (WEBER, Aiden). PENALTY CLT Unnecessary Roughness on GREEN, Ja'Khi enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards CLT Unnecessary Roughness on GREEN, Ja'Khi enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the end of the play at the CLT9 to the CLT5 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+3
89.1%
Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the CLT 12 Joachim Bangda fumbled, recovered by CLT Lucas GramlickSimilar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 8
OWN 12
-15
89.0%
Jalon Jones pass intercepted for a 1ST down South Carolina State Penalty, Personal Foul (TEAM) to the CLT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 6FG
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:2912% → 13%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
87.7%
Jawarn Howell run for 4 yds to the CLT 24Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-3
87.0%
Andre Washington sacked by Mike Kelly and Demon Clowney for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+6
87.4%
WASHINGTON, Andre pass to the right incomplete intended for LINDER, Jaylin broken up by FAGAN, Dontez at the CLT18. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on FAGAN, Dontez enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the CLT21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
87.0%
Jawarn Howell run for a loss of 4 yards to the CLT 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 25
0
87.4%
Andre Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 25
0
87.7%
Andre Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
4TH & 14
OPP 25
+42
86.9%
Gavyn Zimmerman 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:4986% → 89%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
86.0%
Durell Robinson run for 4 yds to the CLT 35Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+14
86.3%
Durell Robinson run for 14 yds to the CLT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
86.8%
Durell Robinson run for 12 yds to the SCST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
87.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the SCST 32Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+22
87.2%
Jalon Jones run for 22 yds to the SCST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
87.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the SCST 3Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
87.2%
Durell Robinson run for 1 yd to the SCST 2Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
86.8%
JONES, Jalon pass short to the left incomplete intended for HESTERA, Jack thrown to the SCS0. PENALTY SCS Offsides on BETHA, DJ enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the SCS2 to the SCS1 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.9%
Jalon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3011% → 11%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.6%
Jawarn Howell run for 2 yds to the SCST 27Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
88.6%
Jawarn Howell run for 3 yds to the SCST 30Similar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
88.7%
Andre Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
88.6%
Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jairus Mack at the CLT 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1488% → 92%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.1%
Durell Robinson run for 8 yds to the CLT 33Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
88.4%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jake Clemons for 1 yd to the CLT 34Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
88.1%
Durell Robinson run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
50
0
89.0%
QB Keeper JONES, Jalon rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the CLT50 (EVANS, Jaylen), out of bounds. PENALTY CLT Holding on GREEN, Ja'Khi SCS Holding on JONES, Jadin , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
50
-2
89.0%
Joachim Bangda run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 48Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-10
88.5%
Charlotte Penalty, Offensive Holding (Duane Thomas Jr.) to the CLT 40Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+15
88.3%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jack Hestera for 15 yds to the SCST 45Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
88.7%
JONES, Jalon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FIELDS, Randy thrown to the SCS20. PENALTY SCS Offsides on GREEN, JR., Jeblonski declined SCS Personal Foul on ALLEN, Jaeon enforced 15 yards from the SCS45 to the SCS30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
89.0%
Durell Robinson run for 10 yds to the SCST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
89.0%
Jalon Jones run for 14 yds to the SCST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.0%
Durell Robinson run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:538% → 7%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
91.8%
Andre Washington pass complete to Jordan Smith for 39 yds to the CLT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
91.1%
HOWELL, Jawarn rush to the right for a loss of 5 yards to the CLT41 (HAZEL, Isaiah). PENALTY SCS Holding on UMOREN, Moses enforced 10 yards from the CLT36 to the CLT46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+3
91.3%
Jawarn Howell run for 3 yds to the CLT 43Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 17
OPP 43
-6
91.9%
Andre Washington sacked by Prince Bemah for a loss of 6 yards to the CLT 49Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 23
OPP 49
-2
92.3%
Andre Washington pass complete to Jordan Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the SCST 49Similar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 25
OWN 49
0
92.6%
Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 2:1094% → 94%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
93.6%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 10 yds to the CLT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
93.6%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jake Clemons for 5 yds to the CLT 33Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+16
93.6%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jack Hestera for 16 yds to the CLT 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
93.9%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
93.8%
Jalon Jones run for 8 yds to the SCST 43Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+4
93.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the SCST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
94.0%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jack Hestera for 15 yds to the SCST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
93.8%
Jalon Jones sacked by Aaron Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the SCST 30Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 16
OPP 30
+3
93.8%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jack Hestera for 3 yds to the SCST 27Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
93.6%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+45
93.8%
Kyle Cunanan 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
[NH] Kneel down by WASHINGTON, Andre at SCS23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:407% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.6%
Jawarn Howell run for 2 yds to the SCST 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
92.5%
Kacy Fields run for 15 yds to the SCST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
92.2%
Andre Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
92.3%
Kacy Fields run for 4 yds to the SCST 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
92.2%
Andre Washington run for 5 yds to the CLT 49Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
92.0%
Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jairus Mack at the CLT 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5493% → 93%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
93.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the CLT 17Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-6
93.1%
Jalon Jones sacked by Jeblonski Green Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the CLT 11Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 14
OWN 11
+8
92.7%
Terron Kellman run for 8 yds to the CLT 19Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
92.5%
Grant Gonya punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Richard Bailey at the SCST 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 15DOWNS
14 plays · 57 yds · 5:459% → 8%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
91.4%
Josh Shaw run for 5 yds to the SCST 45Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
91.1%
Andre Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
91.3%
Andre Washington pass complete to KeShawn Toney for 10 yds to the CLT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
90.7%
Tyler J. Smith run for 6 yds to the CLT 39Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
90.5%
Andre Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
90.8%
Andre Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+10
91.1%
Andre Washington pass complete to Jaylin Linder for 10 yds to the CLT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
90.1%
Andre Washington run for 4 yds to the CLT 25Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+14
90.1%
Kacy Fields run for 14 yds to the CLT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
90.1%
Andre Washington run for 8 yds to the CLT 3Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 2
OPP 3
0
90.9%
Josh Shaw run for no gain to the CLT 3Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
91.6%
Kacy Fields run for 1 yd to the CLT 2Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-1
92.1%
Jawarn Howell run for a loss of 1 yard to the CLT 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0694% → 95%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
94.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the CLT 3Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+1
94.0%
Durell Robinson run for 1 yd to the CLT 4Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 9
OWN 4
-3
93.7%
Durell Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the CLT 1Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 12
OWN 1
0
95.0%
Grant Gonya punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:528% → 7%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
92.5%
Kacy Fields run for 4 yds to the CLT 38Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
92.2%
Kacy Fields run for 4 yds to the CLT 34Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
92.3%
Kacy Fields run for 1 yd to the CLT 33Similar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-2
93.0%
Kacy Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLT 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18MISSED FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 5:5797% → 98%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
96.8%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jairus Mack for 3 yds to the CLT 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
97.0%
Terron Kellman run for 7 yds to the CLT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
97.1%
Terron Kellman run for 7 yds to the SCST 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+17
97.1%
Terron Kellman run for 17 yds to the SCST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
97.1%
Durell Robinson run for 2 yds to the SCST 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
97.1%
Duane Thomas Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCST 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+2
97.0%
Terron Kellman run for 2 yds to the SCST 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+3
96.7%
Jalon Jones run for 3 yds to the SCST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
97.1%
Terron Kellman run for 5 yds to the SCST 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
97.1%
Terron Kellman run for 1 yd to the SCST 13Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-2
98.4%
Jalon Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCST 15Similar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
98.3%
Kyle Cunanan 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:504% → 4%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.9%
Andre Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.9%
Andre Washington run for 4 yds to the SCST 24Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
96.0%
Andre Washington pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-5
96.0%
South Carolina State Penalty, False Start (Karrlen Waymyers) to the SCST 19Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
96.2%
Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:3399% → 100%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.0%
Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the SCST 47Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+11
99.0%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Randy Fields Jr. for 11 yds to the SCST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.1%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.8%
Jalon Jones pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 36 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 21INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:461% → 1%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Josh Shaw run for 3 yds to the SCST 28Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Andre Washington pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.8%
Terron Kellman run for 1 yd to the SCST 21Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Jalon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+12
99.8%
Jalon Jones run for 12 yds to the SCST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.8%
Jalon Jones run for 3 yds to the SCST 6Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.8%
Joachim Bangda run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCST 7Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Jalon Jones pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCSTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.6%
Kacy Fields run for 2 yds to the SCST 22Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
99.6%
Tyler J. Smith run for no gain to the SCST 22Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+4
99.6%
Marcus Freeman run for 4 yds to the SCST 26Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Max'Ceon Cobb punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 8 yds to the CLT 49Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the SCST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
[NH] Kneel down by IVEY, Trexler at SCS49 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:43
Jalon Jones pass complete to Jairus Mack for 3 yds to the CLT 38
+3.8
TD · Q2 4:12
Durell Robinson run for 6 yds for a TD (Kyle Cunanan KICK)
+3
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:56
Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the SCST 47
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com