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ARST

Arkansas State 52 at Massachusetts 28

MASS
2023 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.1MASS 44.0%Dominic Zvada 44 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 0 · Q1 4:43
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:43 · Dominic Zvada 44 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Home team on offense−6.8Score differential−2.8Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Pregame prior+3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:48: Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +7.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:31: Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 39 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — ARST win probability +10.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:36: Courtney Jackson 4 Yd pass from Jaylen Raynor (Dominic Zvada Kick) — ARST win probability +12.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:55: Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 33 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK) — ARST win probability +12.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:04: Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +13.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ARST made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 0:47ARST 4th & 5 at ARST 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:14MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:43ARST 4th & 3 at MASS 27, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:07MASS 4th & 22 at MASS 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:54MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, down 17
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:45MASS 4th & 4 at ARST 4, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.9%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:36MASS 4th & 7 at ARST 7, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−6.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 1:13ARST 4th & 12 at MASS 36, up 24
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ARST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:56ARST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:04ARST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:48MASS Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:31ARST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:36ARST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:55ARST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:04MASS Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:12ARST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:57ARST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:52MASS Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2046% → 44%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
54.5%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the ARST 21Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+1
54.5%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the ARST 22Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
54.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Adam JonesSimilar
Q1 0:47
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
55.6%
William Przystup punt for 50 yds , Isaac Ross returns for no gain to the MASS 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0446% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
54.0%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 11 yds to the ARST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
54.0%
Corey Rucker run for 6 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
54.0%
Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+8
54.0%
Zak Wallace run for 8 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
54.0%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Courtney JacksonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+21
54.0%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 21 yds to the MASS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
52.8%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 11 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2553% → 53%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
53.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 2 yds to the MASS 22Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+2
53.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 2 yds to the MASS 24Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
52.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 4TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:1848% → 50%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
52.1%
Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the MASS 9Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
52.1%
Jaylen Raynor run for 4 yds to the MASS 5Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
50.0%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 5 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:4550% → 49%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
49.9%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Javante Mackey for a loss of 5 yards to the MASS 22Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+20
48.9%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 43 yds , Courtney Jackson returns for 20 yds to the MASS 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 6FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3152% → 56%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
47.7%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 5 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
47.7%
Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the MASS 39Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
47.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 5 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
47.7%
Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
47.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+5
46.1%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Zak Wallace for 5 yds to the MASS 27Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
44.0%
Dominic Zvada 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7Uncategorized
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:3644% → 42%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+28
44.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 28 yds to the ARST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
44.9%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARST 39Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+1
44.9%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARST 40Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
44.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 22
OWN 48
0
42.4%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:5941% → 47%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
40.8%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 10 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
40.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+60
47.3%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:1053% → 65%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
46.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 22 yds to the ARST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
46.0%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 10 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
45.9%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the MASS 39Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+39
35.3%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 39 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3039% → 38%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
38.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 7 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
39.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 1 yd to the MASS 33Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
39.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
37.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 4:1866% → 79%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
34.1%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 14 yds to the ARST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
34.0%
Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ARST 26Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
34.0%
Jaylen Raynor run for no gain to the ARST 26Similar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
32.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Corey RuckerSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-3
33.0%
Arkansas State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-3 Yards) to the MASS 28Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+8
33.2%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 8 yds to the MASS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
32.8%
Jaylen Raynor sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the MASS 24Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+20
33.0%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 20 yds to the MASS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.8%
Courtney Jackson 4 Yd pass from Jaylen Raynor (Dominic Zvada Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:5127% → 25%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
26.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 10 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
27.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the MASS 43Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+12
27.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 12 yds to the ARST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
28.7%
Anthony Simpson run for 17 yds to the ARST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
29.1%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARST 27Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+6
29.0%
Shawn Harris Jr. run for 6 yds to the ARST 21Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+14
28.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 6 yds to the ARST 15 for a 1ST down Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Nate Martey) to the ARST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
29.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the ARST 3Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
29.0%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARST 4Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
28.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
24.7%
Cameron Carson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 2:3582% → 88%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
18.5%
Jaylen Raynor run for 14 yds to the ARST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
17.5%
Jaylen Raynor run for 9 yds to the ARST 37Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
17.4%
Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete to Reagan EalySimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
18.0%
Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ARST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
17.0%
Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ARST 41Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+29
13.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 29 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
12.9%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 11 yds to the MASS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
12.7%
Jaylen Raynor run for 4 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+8
12.7%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 8 yds to the MASS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
12.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raynor,Jaylen rush right for 4 yards gain to the UMass03 (Powell,Te'Rai) PENALTY ASU Holding (Thomas,Makilan) 10 yards from UMass07 to UMass17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
12.2%
Dominic Zvada 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:1520% → 22%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
20.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 6 yds to the MASS 38Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+7
20.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 7 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
21.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 3 yds to the MASS 48Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+21
21.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 21 yds to the ARST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
22.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 12 yds to the ARST 19 for a 1ST down Arkansas State Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Trevian Thomas) to the ARST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
22.7%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the ARST 7Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
22.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Kay'Ron Lynch-AdamsSimilar
Q3 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
22.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
21.6%
Cameron Carson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:3183% → 96%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
17.5%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the ARST 36Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+17
17.2%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 17 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
16.5%
Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the MASS 33Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+33
3.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 33 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:514% → 16%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony SimpsonSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
3.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Christian Wells for 6 yds to the MASS 31Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
3.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
50
+8
3.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 8 yds to the ARST 42Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+2
4.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the ARST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
4.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 5 yds to the ARST 35Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
4.3%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for no gain to the ARST 35Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+12
4.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 12 yds to the ARST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 12
OPP 25
+16
4.2%
Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 16 yds to the ARST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
2.4%
Arkansas State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Thurman Geathers) to the ARST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
2.5%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARST 8Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
2.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the ARST 5Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
16.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:4692% → 99%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
8.4%
Zak Wallace run for 10 yds to the ARST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
8.0%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 22 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
7.8%
Zak Wallace run for 9 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+2
7.5%
Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the MASS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
1.4%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 26 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 22
OWN 12
+3
1.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 19
OWN 15
+6
0.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 6 yds to the MASS 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+9
0.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 9 yds to the MASS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 19TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
0.8%
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 55 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:541% → 3%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
0.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 23 yds to the ARST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 15
OPP 47
-7
0.6%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Blayne Toll for a loss of 7 yards to the MASS 46Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 22
OWN 46
+13
0.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 13 yds to the ARST 41Similar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
0.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Kay'Ron Lynch-AdamsSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+14
0.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 14 yds to the ARST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.2%
Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams 2 Yd Run (Taisun Phommachanh Pass to Anthony Simpson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21DOWNS
15 plays · 44 yds · 9:3998% → 100%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.2%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the ARST 28Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-14
2.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Raynor,Jaylen pass complete short right to McCrumby,Miller for 6 yards to the ASU34 (Lua,Juan) PENALTY ASU Personal Foul (Thompson,Khmari) 14 yards from ASU28 to ASU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
2.3%
Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the ARST 33Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+7
2.3%
Zak Wallace run for 7 yds to the ARST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
2.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wallace,Zak rush left for 5 yards gain to the ASU45 (Harrell,Jalen; Ferrell,Jalon) PENALTY ASU Chop Block (Butler,Mekhi) 15 yards from ASU40 to ASU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 25
OWN 25
+6
2.3%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 6 yds to the ARST 31Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 19
OWN 31
+6
2.3%
Brian Snead run for 6 yds to the ARST 37Similar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
2.1%
Brian Snead run for 3 yds to the MASS 42Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+8
2.1%
Brian Snead run for 8 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
2.0%
Brian Snead run for 4 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-10
2.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Snead,Brian rush left for 0 yards to the UMass30 (Brown,JB) PENALTY ASU Holding (McCrumby,Miller) 10 yards from UMass30 to UMass40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+6
2.1%
Brian Snead run for 6 yds to the MASS 34Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+2
2.1%
Brian Snead run for 2 yds to the MASS 36Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+5
0.5%
Brian Snead run for 5 yds to the MASS 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
0.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 20 yds to the ARST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+8
0.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 8 yds to the ARST 46Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
0.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Gino CampiottiSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-11
0.7%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Javante Mackey for a loss of 11 yards to the MASS 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:04
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)
+13.6
TD · Q3 9:55
Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 33 yds for a TD (Dominic Zvada KICK)
-12.7
TD · Q2 7:36
Courtney Jackson 4 Yd pass from Jaylen Raynor (Dominic Zvada Kick)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com