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NCSU

NC State 26 at Wake Forest 6

WAKE
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD+1.1WAKE 2.9%M.Kern pass complete to NCST 19. Catchmade by D.Alexander at NCST 19. Gainof 19 yards. D.Alexander for 19 yards,TOUCHDOWN.AWAY 26 - HOME 6 · Q4 7:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:21 · M.Kern pass complete to NCST 19. Catch made by D.Alexander at NCST 19. Gain of 19 yards. D.Alexander for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Home team on offense−40.9Score differential−24.1Garbage-time factor−14.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.4Pregame prior−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:13: B.Armstrong rushed to WF End Zone for 1 yards. B.Armstrong for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — NCSU win probability +6.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:14: D.Mimms rushed to WF End Zone for 1 yards. D.Mimms for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld. — NCSU win probability +11.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:17: D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 29 for 7 yards. Tackled by S.Brown at NCST 29. — WAKE win probability +5.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:52: D.Mimms rushed to NCST 35 for 14 yards. Tackled by M.Mustapha at NCST 35. — NCSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:15: K.Raphael rushed to WF 50 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Roberts; B.Ganious at WF 50. — NCSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 8 of 9NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:43WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:13NCSU 4th & 16 at NCSU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:29WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:13NCSU 4th & 1 at WAKE 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    55.2%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−5.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:17WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:47NCSU 4th & 2 at NCSU 48, up 21
    Close callPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:57WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:44WAKE 4th & 1 at NCSU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:56WAKE 4th & 5 at NCSU 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−3.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:04NCSU 4th & 1 at WAKE 39, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    87.2%−2.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:21NCSU 4th & 10 at WAKE 36, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    42% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:17NCSU 4th & 16 at WAKE 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:48WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 27, down 21
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00NCSU 4th & 5 at NCSU 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:34NCSU 4th & 3 at WAKE 27, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:03WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:21WAKE 4th & 1 at NCSU 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:44NCSU 4th & 1 at WAKE 15, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.4
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:40NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:13NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:14NCSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1247% → 47%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
47.2%
M.Griffis scrambles to WF 36 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Scott at WF 36.Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
47.3%
M.Griffis steps back to pass. M.Griffis pass incomplete intended for J.Banks.Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-5
47.3%
M.Griffis steps back to pass. M.Griffis sacked at WF 31 for -5 yards (S.Jackson)Similar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+53
47.4%
I.Mora punts 53 yards to NCST 16, Center-WF. Downed by N.Andersen.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 84 yds · 1:5153% → 54%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+65
47.5%
K.Concepcion rushed to WF 19 for 65 yards. Tackled by C.Garnes at WF 19.Similar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
47.3%
B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 19. Catch made by J.Coit at WF 19. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at WF 20.Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+20
46.3%
B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 20. Catch made by J.Gray at WF 20. Gain of 20 yards. J.Gray for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:1354% → 55%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
45.8%
K.Raphael rushed to NCST 46 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Davis; N.Andersen at NCST 46.Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+9
45.3%
B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 46. Catch made by K.Lesane at NCST 46. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by N.Andersen at WF 45.Similar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
45.0%
B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 45. Catch made by K.Concepcion at WF 45. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by Q.Bryant at WF 43.Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-3
44.8%
B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong sacked at WF 46 for -3 yards (J.Davis)Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+5
44.9%
PENALTY on NCST-A.Belton, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 16
OWN 49
0
45.2%
B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong pass incomplete intended for P.Rooks.Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 16
OWN 49
+51
45.5%
C.Noonkester punts 51 yards to WF End Zone, Center-NCST. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3745% → 45%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-8
45.4%
M.Griffis steps back to pass. M.Griffis sacked at WF 7 for -8 yards (S.Jackson)Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 23
OWN 7
+5
45.3%
M.Griffis rushed to WF 12 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Scott; D.Vann at WF 12.Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+8
44.8%
M.Griffis pass complete to WF 12. Catch made by K.Williams at WF 12. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson at WF 20.Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+45
44.5%
I.Mora punts 45 yards to NCST 35, Center-WF. Fair catch by J.Coit.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 7:0856% → 65%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
44.5%
M.Allen rushed to NCST 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Roberts at NCST 36.Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
44.2%
B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 36. Catch made by A.Smith at NCST 36. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by C.Garnes at NCST 44.Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+15
43.8%
B.Armstrong rushed to WF 41 for 15 yards. Tackled by E.Slocum at WF 41.Similar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
43.1%
K.Raphael rushed to WF 40 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Roberts; K.Pointer at WF 40.Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-1
42.7%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 41 for -1 yards. Tackled by K.Pointer; J.Williams at WF 41.Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+20
42.7%
B.Armstrong scrambles to WF 21 for 20 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at WF 21.Similar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
41.9%
K.Raphael rushed to WF 19 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; C.Garnes at WF 19.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+9
41.9%
B.Armstrong rushed to WF 10 for 9 yards. Tackled by C.Carson at WF 10.Similar
Q2 14:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
41.7%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 6 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; B.Ganious at WF 6.Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
41.4%
K.Concepcion rushed to WF 2 for 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Jones; C.Garnes at WF 2.Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
41.5%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 1 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Pointer at WF 1.Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.4%
B.Armstrong rushed to WF End Zone for 1 yards. B.Armstrong for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:3467% → 80%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
33.3%
K.Raphael rushed to WF 47 for 11 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at WF 47.Similar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
32.9%
K.Raphael rushed to WF 46 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Hall at WF 46.Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+7
32.0%
K.Raphael rushed to WF 39 for 7 yards. Tackled by N.Andersen at WF 39.Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+38
31.7%
B.Armstrong scrambles to WF 1 for 38 yards. Tackled by C.Garnes at WF 1.Similar
Q2 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.3%
D.Mimms rushed to WF End Zone for 1 yards. D.Mimms for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5025% → 24%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.6%
M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for J.Banks.Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
24.4%
M.Kern pass complete to WF 25. Catch made by C.Hite at WF 25. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by J.Scott; B.Cisse at WF 30.Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
23.8%
M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for T.Morin.Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+30
23.5%
I.Mora punts 30 yards to NCST 40, Center-WF. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2480% → 80%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
19.7%
K.Raphael rushed to NCST 43 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; N.Andersen at NCST 43.Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
19.3%
K.Raphael rushed to NCST 48 for 5 yards. Tackled by N.Andersen; K.Wayman at NCST 48.Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
19.1%
B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong pass incomplete intended for T.Pennix.Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+52
19.7%
C.Noonkester punts 52 yards to WF End Zone, Center-NCST. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:4222% → 22%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
22.2%
M.Kern pass complete to WF 20. Catch made by T.Morin at WF 20. Gain of 16 yards. T.Morin ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
22.6%
M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for T.Morin.Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
22.0%
M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for T.Morin.Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
21.8%
M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for J.Banks.Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+41
21.6%
I.Mora punts 41 yards to NCST 23, Center-WF. Fair catch by J.Coit. PENALTY on NCST-NCST, Running Into the Kicker, 5 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:2382% → 82%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
18.0%
B.Armstrong rushed to NCST 30 for 7 yards. Tackled by A.Hall at NCST 30.Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+6
17.7%
K.Raphael rushed to NCST 36 for 6 yards. K.Raphael FUMBLES, forced by A.Hall. Fumble RECOVERED by WF-C.Garnes at NCST 36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 15 yds · 3:2123% → 20%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
23.1%
D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 29 for 7 yards. Tackled by S.Brown at NCST 29.Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
23.3%
D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Fordham; D.Boykin at NCST 27.Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
22.6%
D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 27 for 0 yards. Tackled by C.Clark; S.Jackson at NCST 27.Similar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+1
21.9%
M.Kern rushed to NCST 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Scott; C.Clark at NCST 26.Similar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
21.8%
D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 28 for -2 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson at NCST 28.Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+7
21.0%
M.Kern pass complete to NCST 28. Catch made by T.Morin at NCST 28. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by S.Battle at NCST 21.Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
20.7%
M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for J.Banks.Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 5
OPP 21
0
20.0%
M.Dennis 39 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-WF, Holder-WF.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:2786% → 87%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
13.7%
D.Mimms rushed to NCST 35 for 14 yards. Tackled by M.Mustapha at NCST 35.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
13.5%
B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 35. Catch made by D.Collins at NCST 35. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at NCST 45.Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
13.2%
B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong sacked at NCST 44 for -1 yards (J.Roberts)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 39 yds · 6:3986% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
13.7%
K.Raphael rushed to NCST 24 for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at NCST 24.Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
13.2%
B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 24. Catch made by K.Lesane at NCST 24. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by WF at NCST 27.Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
13.6%
B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 27. Catch made by K.Lesane at NCST 27. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by D.Jones at NCST 35.Similar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
12.4%
B.Armstrong scrambles to NCST 37 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Wayman at NCST 37. PENALTY on WF-K.Wayman, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
10.9%
B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong pass incomplete intended for K.Lesane.Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
10.9%
B.Armstrong rushed to WF 40 for 8 yards. Tackled by B.Ganious at WF 40.Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+1
9.7%
B.Armstrong rushed to WF 39 for 1 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 39.Similar
Q3 11:04
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
10.1%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 36 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; J.Roberts at WF 36.Similar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
8.9%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 38 for -2 yards. Tackled by K.Pointer at WF 38.Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+4
8.2%
B.Armstrong scrambles to WF 34 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at WF 34.Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-2
7.9%
K.Concepcion rushed to WF 36 for -2 yards. Tackled by J.Davis at WF 36.Similar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
8.3%
B.Narveson 54 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-NCST, Holder-NCST.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:4912% → 12%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
11.6%
M.Kern pass complete to WF 36. Catch made by C.Hite at WF 36. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by S.Battle at WF 49.Similar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
11.9%
D.Claiborne rushed to NCST 49 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.White at NCST 49.Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+1
11.8%
M.Kern pass complete to NCST 49. Catch made by K.Williams at NCST 49. Gain of 1 yards. K.Williams FUMBLES, forced by R.Kennedy. Fumble RECOVERED by NCST-S.Battle at NCST 48.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:5893% → 95%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
6.7%
K.Raphael rushed to WF 50 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Roberts; B.Ganious at WF 50.Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 8
OPP 0
+12
5.5%
B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 50. Catch made by K.Concepcion at WF 50. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by M.Mustapha at WF 38.Similar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
5.1%
K.Raphael rushed to WF 37 for 1 yards. Tackled by B.Ganious; J.Davis at WF 37.Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
4.9%
PENALTY on NCST-K.Concepcion, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+28
4.9%
B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 42. Catch made by D.Collins at WF 42. Gain of 28 yards. Tackled by C.Garnes at WF 14.Similar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
4.3%
B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong pass incomplete intended for D.Collins.Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-6
4.3%
B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong sacked at WF 20 for -6 yards (C.Garnes)Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 16
OPP 20
0
4.2%
B.Armstrong steps back to pass. B.Armstrong pass incomplete intended for D.Collins.Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 16
OPP 20
0
4.8%
B.Narveson 38 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-NCST, Holder-NCST.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:246% → 6%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
6.2%
D.Claiborne rushed to WF 23 for 3 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson; D.Boykin at WF 23.Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
5.9%
M.Kern pass complete to WF 23. Catch made by K.Williams at WF 23. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by S.Brown at WF 27.Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
5.7%
M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for J.Banks.Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+44
5.6%
I.Mora punts 44 yards to NCST 29, Center-W.Cobb. J.Coit returned punt from the NCST 29. Tackled by T.Carney at NCST 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3896% → 96%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
3.8%
K.Raphael rushed to NCST 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Hudson at NCST 36.Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-1
3.5%
B.Armstrong scrambles to NCST 35 for -1 yards. Tackled by WF at NCST 35.Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
3.6%
B.Armstrong pass complete to NCST 35. Catch made by K.Concepcion at NCST 35. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by M.Mustapha at NCST 40.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+47
3.6%
C.Noonkester punts 47 yards to WF 13, Center-NCST. T.Morin returned punt from the WF 13. Tackled by K.Lesane at WF 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:595% → 4%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
4.6%
M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for T.Morin.Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
4.6%
D.Claiborne rushed to WF 22 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Cleveland at WF 22.Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+18
4.4%
M.Kern pass complete to WF 22. Catch made by J.Ellison at WF 22. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson at WF 40.Similar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
4.1%
M.Kern pass INTERCEPTED at NCST 33. Intercepted by S.Brown at NCST 33. Tackled by L.Petitbon at WF 34.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0897% → 98%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
2.8%
K.Concepcion rushed to WF 37 for -3 yards. K.Concepcion FUMBLES, forced by M.Mustapha. Fumble RECOVERED by NCST-K.Concepcion at WF 37.Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+3
2.7%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; E.Slocum at WF 34.Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+7
2.6%
B.Armstrong pass complete to WF 34. Catch made by K.Lesane at WF 34. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by A.Hall at WF 27.Similar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
2.4%
B.Narveson 45 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NCST, Holder-C.Noonkester.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:043% → 3%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.6%
T.Carney rushed to WF 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Vann at WF 28.Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
2.5%
M.Kern pass complete to WF 28. Catch made by H.Fields at WF 28. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by B.Fitzgerald; J.Scott at WF 40.Similar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
2.6%
T.Carney rushed to WF 40 for 0 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson at WF 40.Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
2.4%
M.Kern pass complete to WF 40. Catch made by W.Grimes at WF 40. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by B.Fitzgerald at WF 49.Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
2.5%
T.Carney rushed to WF 49 for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Fitzgerald at WF 49.Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+13
2.3%
M.Kern pass complete to WF 49. Catch made by T.Carney at WF 49. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by C.Fordham at NCST 38.Similar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
2.4%
M.Kern pass complete to NCST 38. Catch made by H.Fields at NCST 38. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by C.Fordham; A.White at NCST 28.Similar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
2.3%
M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for H.Fields.Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
2.2%
M.Kern pass complete to NCST 28. Catch made by H.Fields at NCST 28. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by P.Wilson; A.White at NCST 19.Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
1.8%
M.Kern steps back to pass. M.Kern pass incomplete intended for H.Fields.Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+19
2.9%
M.Kern pass complete to NCST 19. Catch made by D.Alexander at NCST 19. Gain of 19 yards. D.Alexander for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21END OF GAME
11 plays · 41 yds · 6:0498% → 99%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
1.9%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 46 for 2 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 46.Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
1.7%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 46 for 0 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 46.Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+22
1.6%
K.Concepcion rushed to WF 24 for 22 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 24.Similar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
1.3%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 21 for 3 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 21.Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+4
1.2%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 17 for 4 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 17.Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+2
1.2%
K.Raphael rushed to WF 15 for 2 yards. Tackled by WF at WF 15.Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
1.0%
B.Armstrong rushed to WF 13 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen; K.Pointer at WF 13.Similar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
0.9%
D.Mimms rushed to WF 10 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hazen at WF 10.Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+7
0.7%
K.Raphael rushed to WF 3 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Carson; J.Roberts at WF 3.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:14
D.Mimms rushed to WF End Zone for 1 yards. D.Mimms for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld.
-11.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:52
D.Mimms rushed to NCST 35 for 14 yards. Tackled by M.Mustapha at NCST 35.
-6.3
TD · Q2 12:13
B.Armstrong rushed to WF End Zone for 1 yards. B.Armstrong for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com