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CLEM

Clemson 17 at NC State 24

NCSU
2023 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:23 · Caden Noonkester punt for 52 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior−2.3Home team on offense+19.3Garbage-time factor+14.4Score differential+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:24: Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +4.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:01: Payton Wilson 15 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Narveson Kick) — NCSU win probability +16.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q3 6:15: Aidan Swanson punt for 46 yds for a touchback — NCSU win probability +6.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:35: MJ Morris pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 72 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — NCSU win probability +18.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:57: Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +17.0 pts (now 28%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10CLEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:07CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:36NCSU 4th & 3 at CLEM 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:37NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:03CLEM 4th & 12 at CLEM 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:11NCSU 4th & 2 at CLEM 23, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.8%−0.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:17NCSU 4th & 13 at NCSU 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:59CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:40NCSU 4th & 16 at NCSU 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−3.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00CLEM 4th & 8 at NCSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−7.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:55NCSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:53CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:09NCSU 4th & 11 at CLEM 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:15CLEM 4th & 6 at NCSU 46, down 10
    Close callPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%−2.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:39NCSU 4th & 3 at NCSU 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:42CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:44NCSU 4th & 17 at NCSU 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−2.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:57CLEM 4th & 1 at NCSU 1, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.5%−6.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−12.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:23NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:23CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.6%−4.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:14CLEM 4th & 19 at CLEM 43, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:18NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:24CLEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:01NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:35NCSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:57CLEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:5379% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.3%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the CLEM 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
21.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 3 yds to the CLEM 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-10
21.3%
Clemson Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CLEM 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
21.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
22.3%
Aidan Swanson punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3122% → 23%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
22.3%
Michael Allen run for 3 yds to the NCSU 48Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+4
22.4%
Michael Allen run for 4 yds to the CLEM 48Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
22.4%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
23.1%
Caden Noonkester punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:5577% → 76%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
23.0%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the CLEM 13Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
23.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Will ShipleySimilar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+14
23.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 14 yds to the CLEM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
22.9%
Will Shipley run for 10 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
23.8%
Cade Klubnik pass intercepted by Devan Boykin at the NCSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 2:2324% → 28%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+50
24.2%
Kevin Concepcion run for 50 yds to the CLEM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
24.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the CLEM 8Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
24.6%
Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd to the CLEM 9Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
28.0%
MJ Morris pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 9 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0773% → 71%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
27.5%
Phil Mafah run for 12 yds to the CLEM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
27.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for no gain to the CLEM 37Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
27.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Brannon Spector for 5 yds to the CLEM 42Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
27.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
29.4%
Aidan Swanson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3429% → 30%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
29.4%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Kevin ConcepcionSimilar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
29.4%
MJ Morris pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for no gain to the NCSU 11Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+2
29.1%
MJ Morris run for 2 yds to the NCSU 13Similar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
30.1%
Caden Noonkester punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Will Shipley at the CLEM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3470% → 67%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
30.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Brannon SpectorSimilar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
30.2%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the CLEM 44Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+1
31.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 1 yd to the CLEM 43Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
32.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:5233% → 38%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
32.7%
Michael Allen run for 12 yds to the NCSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-9
32.8%
MJ Morris sacked by Ruke Orhorhoro for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSU 25Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 19
OWN 25
+15
32.5%
Shotgun Morris,MJ pass complete short right to Raphael,Kendrick for 6 yards loss to the NCSU19 (Carter,Barrett) PENALTY CLEM Personal Foul (Thomas,Xavier) 15 yards from NCSU25 to NCSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
35.7%
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the NCSU 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+15
35.7%
Shotgun Morris,MJ pass incomplete deep left to Smith,Anthony PENALTY CLEM Pass Interference (Jones,Sheridan) 15 yards from NCSU42 to CLEM43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
36.0%
MJ Morris pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 12 yds to the CLEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
36.2%
MJ Morris pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 1 yd to the CLEM 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+2
36.1%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+7
35.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the CLEM 23Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+41
37.5%
Brayden Narveson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4761% → 68%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
39.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 17 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
38.0%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the CLEM 41Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+9
38.4%
Will Shipley run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 2
50
+28
37.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 28 yds to the NCSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
36.2%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the NCSU 21Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+9
36.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 9 yds to the NCSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
36.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+11
36.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 11 yds to the NCSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.0%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:0735% → 35%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.8%
MJ Morris run for 3 yds to the NCSU 22Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
34.5%
Michael Allen run for no gain to the NCSU 22Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
33.7%
Michael Allen run for no gain to the NCSU 22Similar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+1
35.4%
Caden Noonkester punt for 40 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 1 yd to the CLEM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1864% → 62%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
35.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 2 yds to the CLEM 41Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
35.6%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the CLEM 44Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
35.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
38.3%
Aidan Swanson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 2:1938% → 37%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
38.0%
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the NCSU 15Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-9
38.0%
MJ Morris sacked by Wade Woodaz for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSU 6Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 17
OWN 6
+1
36.7%
MJ Morris run for 1 yd to the NCSU 7Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 16
OWN 7
0
37.4%
Caden Noonkester punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 26 yds · 2:4063% → 57%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
37.1%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 47Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+11
38.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Brannon Spector for 11 yds to the NCSU 42Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
36.8%
Cade Klubnik run for 2 yds to the NCSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
36.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 6 yds to the NCSU 34Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+7
37.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 7 yds to the NCSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
37.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
38.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Brannon SpectorSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+2
40.2%
Cade Klubnik run for 2 yds to the NCSU 25Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
42.8%
Jonathan Weitz 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0542% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
42.1%
MJ Morris pass complete to Michael Allen for 12 yds to the NCSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.9%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
42.5%
Michael Allen run for 2 yds to the NCSU 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+5
41.8%
MJ Morris pass complete to Julian Gray for 5 yds to the NCSU 44Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
44.7%
Caden Noonkester punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0256% → 53%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
43.9%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the CLEM 7Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+3
44.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 3 yds to the CLEM 10Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
45.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
47.3%
Aidan Swanson punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4449% → 46%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
48.9%
MJ Morris pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 3 yds to the CLEM 38Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-4
48.8%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Barrett Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the CLEM 42Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
46.8%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
46.1%
Caden Noonkester punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-15
62.9%
Payton Wilson 15 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:4637% → 33%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 4 yds to the CLEM 21Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+19
63.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 19 yds to the CLEM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
61.1%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
60.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 3 yds to the CLEM 46Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+4
60.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
50
0
59.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Phil MafahSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
50
+4
60.5%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the NCSU 46Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
60.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
66.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:4069% → 87%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
68.8%
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the NCSU 22Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
68.6%
MJ Morris pass complete to Dacari Collins for 6 yds to the NCSU 28Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+72
87.3%
MJ Morris pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 72 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3814% → 28%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.2%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the CLEM 29Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
85.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 5 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
85.6%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
85.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 7 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+10
85.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 10 yds to the NCSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
85.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 11 yds to the NCSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
85.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Beaux Collins for 6 yds to the NCSU 30Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.6%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the NCSU 1Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.7%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:1878% → 78%
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.0%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the NCSU 26Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
77.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the NCSU 24Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+8
76.4%
MJ Morris pass complete to Terrell Timmons Jr. for 8 yds to the NCSU 32Similar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
78.1%
Caden Noonkester punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:5721% → 14%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
78.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 10 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
76.7%
PENALTY CLEM False Start (Stellato,Troy) 5 yards from CLEM36 to CLEM31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+9
79.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 9 yds to the CLEM 40Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-17
75.6%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Jaylon Scott for a loss of 17 yards to the CLEM 23 Cade Klubnik fumbled, recovered by CLEM Phil Mafah , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 23
OWN 23
+13
80.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 13 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q4 9:42
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+3
86.2%
Aidan Swanson punt for 50 yds , Jalen Coit returns for 3 yds to the NCSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5882% → 84%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
82.4%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Kevin ConcepcionSimilar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
81.9%
Michael Allen run for 2 yds to the NCSU 15Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 12
OWN 15
0
81.0%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 17
OWN 10
0
84.1%
Caden Noonkester punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24FG
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:4718% → 23%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
50
+41
81.8%
Phil Mafah run for 41 yds to the NCSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
79.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 5 yds to the NCSU 4Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
79.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the NCSU 1Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q4 6:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
77.3%
Jonathan Weitz 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:3485% → 90%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Julian GraySimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.1%
Kevin Concepcion run for 1 yd to the NCSU 26Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
84.2%
MJ Morris pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 12 yds to the NCSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
86.9%
MJ Morris run for 2 yds to the NCSU 40Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
87.0%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
86.0%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Juice VereenSimilar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
89.8%
Caden Noonkester punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26DOWNS
17 plays · 35 yds · 4:0915% → 7%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
85.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 7 yds to the CLEM 15Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+2
84.9%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the CLEM 17Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+5
85.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 5 yds to the CLEM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
84.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
84.9%
Phil Mafah run for 6 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+3
83.5%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+10
83.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 10 yds to the CLEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
81.3%
Phil Mafah run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 1
50
0
85.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 1
50
+2
86.2%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the NCSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
86.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 12
50
0
87.5%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete, broken up by Davin VannSimilar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 19
OWN 43
0
92.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 19
OWN 43
0
93.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
96.7%
M. Morris takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:35
MJ Morris pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 72 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)
+18.8
TD · Q4 14:57
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)
-17
TD · Q3 10:01
Payton Wilson 15 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)
+16.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com