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WAKE

Wake Forest 27 at Old Dominion 24

ODU
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:18 · Ethan Sanchez 34 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior−33.3Home team on offense+0.6Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:27: Ethan Sanchez 49 Yd Field Goal — ODU win probability +11.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:35: Taylor Morin 27 Yd pass from Mitch Griffis (Matthew Dennis Kick) — WAKE win probability +15.5 pts (now 51%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:00: LaMareon James 66 Yd Interception Return (Ethan Sanchez Kick) — ODU win probability +17.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:45: Taylor Morin 48 Yd pass from Mitch Griffis (Matthew Dennis Kick) — WAKE win probability +31.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:48: Jahmal Banks 4 Yd pass from Mitch Griffis (Matthew Dennis Kick) — WAKE win probability +31.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10WAKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:25ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:59ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:14WAKE 4th & 14 at ODU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:18ODU 4th & 2 at WAKE 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:08WAKE 4th & 22 at WAKE 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:15ODU 4th & 8 at WAKE 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:00WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:23WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:11WAKE 4th & 17 at ODU 36, down 14
    Close callPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    50.4%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:27ODU 4th & 18 at WAKE 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−2.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−2.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:04WAKE 4th & 15 at WAKE 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:45ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−3.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:50WAKE 4th & 15 at ODU 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−3.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−9.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:39ODU 4th & 21 at ODU 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−5.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:27ODU 4th & 16 at WAKE 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    81.1%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:06ODU 4th & 11 at ODU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−2.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:29WAKE 4th & 11 at ODU 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    75.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:47ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.2%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:24ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:38ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:35WAKE Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:00ODU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:45WAKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.0%−1.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:48WAKE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:3013% → 14%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.2%
Keshawn Wicks run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
13.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 7 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
13.5%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
13.6%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-4
13.6%
Grant Wilson sacked by Jasheen Davis and Dylan Hazen for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
13.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4486% → 86%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
14.0%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WAKE 37Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
14.1%
Mitch Griffis run for 2 yds to the WAKE 39Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
14.3%
Mitch Griffis pass intercepted EJ Green return for no gain to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1315% → 15%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
14.6%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-5
14.7%
Grant Wilson sacked by Quincy Bryant and Kevin Pointer for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 14
OWN 37
0
14.9%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
14.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 43 yds, downed at the WAKE 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:3185% → 83%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
15.1%
Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 21Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
15.3%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+10
15.6%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 10 yds to the WAKE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
15.5%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 30Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+2
15.8%
Mitch Griffis run for 2 yds to the WAKE 32Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+31
16.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 31 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-7
15.7%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Kris Trinidad for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 17
OPP 44
+3
16.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 3 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 14
OPP 41
0
16.5%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
17.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:4817% → 19%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
16.9%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the ODU 15Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+3
17.1%
Keshawn Wicks run for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+57
17.2%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Javon Harvey for 57 yds to the WAKE 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
18.4%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
18.6%
Grant Wilson run for 7 yds to the WAKE 18Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+1
18.7%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the WAKE 17Similar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
18.8%
Ethan Sanchez 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:5382% → 80%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
18.5%
Mitch Griffis run for 1 yd to the WAKE 21Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-10
18.7%
Griffis, Mitch pass complete to Grimes, Wesley for 3 yards to the WAKEFOREST24, PENALTY WAKEFOREST illegal block 10 yards to the WAKEFOREST11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 19
OWN 11
-8
19.1%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Jalen Satchell for a loss of 8 yards to the WAKE 3 Mitch Griffis fumbled, recovered by WAKE Mitch Griffis , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 27
OWN 3
+5
19.7%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the WAKE 8Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 22
OWN 8
0
20.1%
Ivan Mora punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3621% → 21%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
20.9%
Grant Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+3
20.8%
Devin Roche run for 3 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+2
20.8%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Jordan Bly for 2 yds to the WAKE 49Similar
Q1 0:15
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
20.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1080% → 78%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
20.5%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 15Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 12
OWN 15
0
20.7%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+10
21.2%
Mitch Griffis run for 10 yds to the WAKE 25Similar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
21.9%
Ivan Mora punt for 36 yds, downed at the ODU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:2123% → 27%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
22.6%
Keshawn Wicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 12
OWN 37
-5
22.1%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 13:24
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+68
26.7%
Javon Harvey 68 Yd pass from Grant Wilson (Ethan Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:3873% → 72%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
26.7%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
26.7%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
27.0%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
27.7%
Ivan Mora punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:1329% → 30%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
29.1%
Devin Roche run for 13 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
29.5%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
29.5%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 11 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
30.2%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 12 yds to the WAKE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
30.6%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 6 yds to the WAKE 18Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
30.7%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Kelby WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 4
OPP 18
-56
30.4%
Grant Wilson pass intercepted Evan Slocum return for 56 yds to the ODU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0674% → 65%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
26.5%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 10 yds to the ODU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
26.7%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+16
27.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 16 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+80
35.2%
LaMareon James 80 Yd Fumble Return (Ethan Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:0862% → 57%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
37.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 6 yds to the WAKE 41Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
37.7%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 10 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
37.8%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+20
38.8%
Mitch Griffis run for 10 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST down Old Dominion Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
37.5%
Griffis, Mitch pass complete to Banks, Jahmal for 12 yards to the ODU17, PENALTY WAKEFOREST illegal helmet contact 15 yards to the ODU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 25
OPP 44
0
40.0%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 25
OPP 44
+8
40.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 8 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 17
OPP 36
0
41.6%
Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Wesley GrimesSimilar
Q2 7:11
4TH & 17
OPP 36
0
42.6%
Ivan Mora punt for 26 yds, downed at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:2844% → 63%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
43.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+41
44.0%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Javon Harvey for 41 yds to the WAKE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
46.9%
Grant Wilson run for 12 yds to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
48.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Jordan Bly for 2 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+9
49.1%
Keshawn Wicks run for 9 yds to the WAKE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
50.7%
Grant Wilson sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the WAKE 26Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 12
OPP 26
0
51.9%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 12
OPP 26
-6
49.1%
Grant Wilson sacked by Kendron Wayman for a loss of 6 yards to the WAKE 32Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 18
OPP 32
+49
62.8%
Ethan Sanchez 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:1343% → 41%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
56.6%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 8 yds to the WAKE 33Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
54.5%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 8 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
55.5%
Mitch Griffis run for 11 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
53.5%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 47Similar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
56.6%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
58.0%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 15
OWN 47
0
58.6%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
59.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 18 yds, downed at the ODU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:4866% → 65%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
66.4%
Devin Roche run for 3 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-8
67.1%
Grant Wilson sacked by Jasheen Davis and Dylan Hazen for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+17
66.4%
Devin Roche run for 17 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
63.7%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
63.7%
Devin Roche run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 7
50
+22
63.1%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 22 yds to the WAKE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+46
65.0%
Ethan Sanchez 45 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2038% → 51%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
62.2%
Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the WAKE 34Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
61.6%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
63.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Justice Ellison for 5 yds to the WAKE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
63.5%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+10
64.1%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 10 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
65.1%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+4
64.8%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
49.2%
Taylor Morin 27 Yd pass from Mitch Griffis (Matthew Dennis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2657% → 55%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
57.1%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
57.9%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-7
57.4%
Grant Wilson sacked by Jacob Roberts for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 14
OWN 35
+1
55.4%
Ethan Duane punt for 45 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 1 yd to the WAKE 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19INT TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:2842% → 22%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
57.7%
Mitch Griffis run for 6 yds to the WAKE 27Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+9
57.4%
Demond Claiborne run for 9 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
57.6%
Mitch Griffis pass incomplete to Wesley GrimesSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
58.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 12 yds to the WAKE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-11
57.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the WAKE 37 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WAKE Mitch GriffisSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 21
OWN 37
+11
61.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Taylor Morin for 11 yds to the WAKE 48Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-66
78.5%
LaMareon James 66 Yd Interception Return (Ethan Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:5020% → 23%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
79.8%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WAKE 21Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+40
80.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Wesley Grimes for 40 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
79.6%
Justice Ellison run for 16 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
78.2%
Justice Ellison run for 9 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+1
80.1%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
80.9%
Mitch Griffis run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 15
OPP 18
0
82.3%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 15
OPP 18
0
83.8%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+36
77.4%
Matthew Dennis 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 0:5881% → 83%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
80.6%
Old Dominion Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ODU 16Similar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 20
OWN 16
0
80.5%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 20
OWN 16
-5
80.4%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 11Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 25
OWN 11
0
80.6%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 25
OWN 11
+4
80.0%
Devin Roche run for 4 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 21
OWN 15
+34
82.5%
Ethan Duane punt for 46 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 34 yds to the ODU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22FG
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:2426% → 26%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
74.0%
Demond Claiborne run for 20 yds to the ODU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
74.9%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 8Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
76.3%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-12
78.8%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Denzel Lowry and Wayne Matthews III for a loss of 12 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q3 0:09
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+36
74.0%
Matthew Dennis 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:3879% → 80%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+52
78.8%
Devin Roche run for 37 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Wake Forest Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
81.0%
Grant Wilson pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
80.7%
Grant Wilson run for 1 yd to the WAKE 34Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-7
80.1%
Grant Wilson sacked by Bryce Ganious for a loss of 7 yards to the WAKE 41Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 16
OPP 41
0
79.5%
Ethan Duane punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:2821% → 50%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
78.7%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the WAKE 19Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
79.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Justice Ellison for no gain to the WAKE 19Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 5
OWN 19
-5
81.2%
Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 14Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+14
82.0%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 14 yds to the WAKE 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
81.3%
Justice Ellison run for 11 yds to the WAKE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
79.8%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
80.9%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 38Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+14
85.8%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 14 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
54.0%
Taylor Morin 48 Yd pass from Mitch Griffis (Matthew Dennis Kick)Similar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-15
49.7%
Wake Forest Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the ODU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:0764% → 70%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.2%
Keshawn Wicks run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
64.7%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Kelby Williams for 7 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
67.3%
Grant Wilson pass complete to Isiah Paige for 5 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-6
72.4%
Grant Wilson sacked by Jacob Roberts for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+14
69.9%
Grant Wilson sacked by Jacob Roberts for a loss of 15 yards to the ODU 6 Grant Wilson fumbled, recovered by WAKE Jasheen Davis , return for 0 yards , return for 14 yds to the ODU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:2446% → 78%
Q4 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
54.2%
Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
22.4%
Jahmal Banks 4 Yd pass from Mitch Griffis (Matthew Dennis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:2334% → 29%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
34.1%
Devin Roche run for 4 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
34.8%
Devin Roche run for no gain to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-5
32.5%
Old Dominion Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 21Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
30.8%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
29.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WAKE 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:1578% → 81%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
22.1%
Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 43Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
22.8%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 5 yds to the WAKE 48Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+13
21.5%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 13 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
18.5%
Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-1
14.3%
Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 35Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-5
15.9%
Justice Ellison run for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
19.4%
Ivan Mora punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 29DOWNS
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:3530% → 25%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
30.1%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
29.0%
Devin Roche run for 1 yd to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
26.4%
Grant Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 7
OWN 11
-8
25.0%
Grant Wilson sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:0892% → 95%
Q4 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
8.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 5Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
7.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
5.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:48
Jahmal Banks 4 Yd pass from Mitch Griffis (Matthew Dennis Kick)
-31.8
TD · Q4 9:45
Taylor Morin 48 Yd pass from Mitch Griffis (Matthew Dennis Kick)
-31.7
TD · Q3 7:00
LaMareon James 66 Yd Interception Return (Ethan Sanchez Kick)
+17.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com