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VMI

VMI 7 at NC State 45

NCSU
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadVMI aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreVMI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.1NCSU 98.9%Brayden Narveson 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 24 · Q2 7:37
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:37 · Brayden Narveson 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Pregame prior+41.1Home team on offense+15.9Score differential+11.2Garbage-time factor+5.5Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:27: Delbert Mimms III 1 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick) — VMI win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:51: Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 16 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:25: Delbert Mimms III 1 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick) — NCSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:36: Collin Shannon pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 22 yds for a TD (Caden Beck KICK) — VMI win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: VMI has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:25: Julian Gray 82 Yd Kickoff Return (Brayden Narveson Kick) — NCSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: VMI has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4VMI made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 14:02VMI 4th & 2 at VMI 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:26VMI 4th & 6 at VMI 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:23VMI 4th & 5 at VMI 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00NCSU 4th & 4 at VMI 37, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:37NCSU 4th & 8 at VMI 13, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:19VMI 4th & 10 at NCSU 41, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:22NCSU 4th & 6 at VMI 44, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:51VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 39, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:57NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 33, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:42VMI 4th & 12 at NCSU 44, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:33VMI 4th & 6 at VMI 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6VMI made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:27NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:07NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:51NCSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:25NCSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:36VMI Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:25NCSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:45NCSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VMIDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:581% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the VMI 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.0%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 6 yds to the VMI 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.0%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Aidan TwomblySimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+26
98.9%
Jack Culbreath punt for 51 yds , Jalen Coit returns for 26 yds to the NCSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:3599% → 99%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.9%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSU 41Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+8
98.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds to the NCSU 49Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+7
98.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 7 yds to the VMI 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
98.9%
Michael Allen run for 3 yds to the VMI 41Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+7
98.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Trent Pennix for 7 yds to the VMI 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
98.9%
Michael Allen run for 6 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+5
98.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Michael Allen for 5 yds to the VMI 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
98.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Michael Allen for 4 yds to the VMI 19Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+5
98.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 5 yds to the VMI 14Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+6
98.9%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 6 yds to the VMI 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
98.9%
Julian Gray run for 7 yds to the VMI 1Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Delbert Mimms III 1 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 3INT TD
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.6%
PENALTY VMI False Start (Poindexter,Tyriq) 5 yards from VMI25 to VMI20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
98.6%
Hunter Rice run for no gain to the VMI 20Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
98.6%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 4 yds to the VMI 24Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-30
98.7%
Robert Kennedy 30 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:411% → 2%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Chance Knox for 5 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the VMI 30Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
98.6%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 9 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.6%
Grant Swinehart run for 4 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Aidan TwomblySimilar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Isaiah LemmondSimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
98.5%
Jack Culbreath punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:3599% → 99%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ii Demarcus JonesSimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.6%
Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the NCSU 20Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+64
98.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Julian Gray for 64 yds to the VMI 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 16 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:221% → 1%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
98.9%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 8 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+2
98.8%
Rashad Raymond run for 2 yds to the VMI 24Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
98.9%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Isaiah LemmondSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Ivan Thorpe run for no gain to the VMI 39Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Ivan ThorpeSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
98.8%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Aidan TwomblySimilar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
98.8%
Jack Culbreath punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7FG
17 plays · 83 yds · 7:2399% → 99%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
98.7%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 9 yds to the NCSU 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+14
98.7%
Brennan Armstrong run for 14 yds to the NCSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
98.8%
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the NCSU 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+10
98.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dacari Collins for 10 yds to the NCSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
98.8%
Trent Pennix run for 7 yds to the NCSU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
98.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Trent Pennix for 2 yds to the NCSU 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+8
98.8%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 8 yds to the VMI 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
98.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Michael Allen for 5 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
98.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 4 yds to the VMI 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+5
98.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the VMI 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+12
98.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dacari Collins for 12 yds to the VMI 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
98.8%
Michael Allen run for 7 yds to the VMI 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+13
98.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 13 yds to the VMI 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
98.8%
Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the VMI 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
98.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Juice VereenSimilar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
98.9%
Brayden Narveson 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:181% → 1%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Hunter Rice run for no gain to the VMI 25Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
98.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Shannon,Collin pass incomplete short right to Johnson,VJ broken up by Wilson,Payton PENALTY VMI Holding (Inge,Tommy) 10 yards from VMI25 to VMI15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+44
98.8%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 44 yds to the NCSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.7%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Aidan TwomblySimilar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
98.8%
Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the NCSU 41Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
98.8%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Ivan ThorpeSimilar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
98.7%
Jack Culbreath punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:5499% → 100%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.0%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSU 25Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
99.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 8 yds to the NCSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 7 yds to the NCSU 40Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+3
99.1%
Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the NCSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+14
99.1%
Brennan Armstrong run for 14 yds to the VMI 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.1%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+19
99.1%
Michael Allen run for 19 yds to the VMI 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jordan Houston for 2 yds to the VMI 21Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+4
99.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Trent Pennix for 4 yds to the VMI 17Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+16
99.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Julian Gray for 16 yds to the VMI 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Delbert Mimms III 1 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Grant Swinehart run for 1 yd to the VMI 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 49 yds · 5:25100% → 100%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
99.7%
Kendrick Raphael run for 7 yds to the NCSU 14Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+2
99.7%
Kendrick Raphael run for 2 yds to the NCSU 12Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+14
99.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Porter Rooks for 14 yds to the NCSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Kendrick Raphael run for no gain to the NCSU 26Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 2 yds to the NCSU 28Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+24
99.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Porter Rooks for 24 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Trent Pennix for 4 yds to the VMI 44Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-5
99.7%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Dorien Starnes for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 49Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+5
99.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the VMI 44Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Caden Noonkester punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+24
99.8%
Rashad Raymond run for 24 yds to the VMI 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Chance Knox for 6 yds to the VMI 36Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
99.8%
Collin Shannon pass complete to VJ Johnson for 3 yds to the VMI 39Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Collin Shannon pass incomplete to Aidan TwomblySimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+9
99.8%
Jack Culbreath punt for 46 yds , Jalen Coit returns for 9 yds to the NCSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 4 yds to the NCSU 28Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 1 yd to the NCSU 29Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 4 yds to the NCSU 33Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
Caden Noonkester punt for 44 yds , Chance Knox returns for 9 yds to the VMI 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 14TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:210% → 1%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+12
99.9%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 12 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for no gain to the VMI 42Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+41
99.8%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 41 yds to the NCSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
99.8%
Collin Shannon sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSU 27Similar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
99.8%
Collin Shannon sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSU 22Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+22
99.1%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 22 yds for a TD (Caden Beck KICK)Similar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.2%
PENALTY VMI UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nelson,Egypt) 15 yards from VMI35 to VMI20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:430% → 0%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Hunter Rice run for no gain to the VMI 25Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 16 yds to the VMI 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Collin Shannon pass complete to Hunter Rice for no gain to the VMI 41Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.9%
Collin Shannon run for 8 yds to the VMI 49Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Rashad Raymond run for 5 yds to the NCSU 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Grant Swinehart run for 1 yd to the NCSU 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-8
99.9%
Chandler Wilson sacked by Robert Kennedy for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSU 44Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Jack Culbreath punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 96 yds · 5:57100% → 100%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
99.9%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 5 yds to the NCSU 9Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+5
99.9%
Iii Delbert Mimms run for 5 yds to the NCSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Jr. Terrell TimmonsSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+11
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 11 yds to the NCSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Jalen Coit for 3 yds to the NCSU 22Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+31
99.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Kevin Concepcion for 31 yds to the VMI 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 9 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+11
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 11 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 21 yds to the VMI 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 3 yds to the VMI 9Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
99.9%
Kendrick Raphael run for 7 yds to the VMI 2Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Demarcus Jones II 2 Yd Run (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Grant Swinehart run for 2 yds to the VMI 27Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the VMI 26Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Grant Swinehart run for 3 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+33
100.0%
Jack Culbreath punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Jalen Coit returns for 33 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18END OF GAME
9 plays · 31 yds · 5:33100% → 100%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
50
+4
100.0%
Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the VMI 46Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
100.0%
Kendrick Raphael run for 5 yds to the VMI 41Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
100.0%
Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the VMI 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
100.0%
Kendrick Raphael run for 1 yd to the VMI 36Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+5
100.0%
Kendrick Raphael run for 5 yds to the VMI 31Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+4
100.0%
Kendrick Raphael run for 4 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
100.0%
Ethan Rhodes run for 3 yds to the VMI 24Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+9
100.0%
Kendrick Raphael run for 9 yds to the VMI 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
100.0%
Ii Demarcus Jones run for 4 yds to the VMI 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:36
Collin Shannon pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 22 yds for a TD (Caden Beck KICK)
-0.8
TD · Q3 2:25
Julian Gray 82 Yd Kickoff Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)
+0.7
TD · Q2 0:25
Delbert Mimms III 1 Yd Run (Brayden Narveson Kick)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com