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HAW

Hawai'i 10 at Oregon 55

ORE
2023 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:16 · Matthew Shipley punt for 45 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+45.9Home team on offense+4.8Score differential+1.7Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Garbage-time factor+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 12:24: Camden Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:06: Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:01: Jordan James run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 3:21: Camden Lewis 22 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Matthew Shipley 29 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 5HAW made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 14:35HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:24ORE 4th & 5 at HAW 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:22HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:16HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:16ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:16ORE 4th & 1 at HAW 44, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:33HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:14HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 34, down 31
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:21ORE 4th & 4 at HAW 4, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00HAW 4th & 1 at ORE 12, down 34
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:28HAW 4th & 9 at HAW 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:45HAW 4th & 21 at HAW 30, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00HAW 4th & 1 at ORE 31, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:14HAW 4th & 7 at ORE 13, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:56HAW 4th & 2 at ORE 31, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00ORE 4th & 11 at ORE 20, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:02ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:52ORE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:06ORE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:01ORE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:30ORE Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:27ORE Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:46ORE Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:28HAW Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:251% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:35
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:3399% → 99%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.0%
Bucky Irving run for 10 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 49 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:471% → 1%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 5 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Brayden Schager pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5199% → 99%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.0%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.0%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.9%
Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the HAW 25Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
98.9%
Camden Lewis 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 3:021% → 1%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the HAW 25Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 15 yds to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 4 yds to the HAW 44Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
98.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 2 yds to the HAW 46Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-5
98.9%
Brayden Schager sacked by Jordan Burch for a loss of 5 yards to the HAW 41Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
98.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 3:3099% → 99%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
98.7%
Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 10Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+6
98.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Casey Kelly for 6 yds to the ORE 16Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+4
98.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 4 yds to the ORE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
98.7%
Kenyon Sadiq run for 12 yds to the ORE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
98.7%
Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the ORE 38Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+40
98.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 40 yds to the HAW 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
98.8%
Jordan James run for 22 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.7%
David Cordero run for 7 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
98.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
98.7%
David Cordero run for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 30Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:1099% → 99%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Casey Kelly for no gain to the ORE 33Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
98.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 3 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+6
98.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 6 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+5
98.7%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.7%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
98.7%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 7
50
+6
98.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 6 yds to the HAW 44Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+41
98.7%
Noah Whittington run for 41 yds to the HAW 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.7%
QB Keeper NIX, Bo rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the HAW1 (KEMA, Noah). PENALTY Before the snap, HAW Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the HAW3 to the HAW2. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.7%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the HAW 1Similar
Q1 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:271% → 1%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
98.9%
Jordan Johnson run for 13 yds to the HAW 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-10
98.9%
SCHAGER, Brayden pass to the left complete for 6 yards to PUPUNU, Karsyn caught at the HAW32 and advanced to the HAW32 (JACKSON, Khyree). PENALTY HAW Holding on FELIX-FUALALO, Luke enforced 10 yards from the HAW26 to the HAW16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 16
0
98.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 16
+3
98.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 3 yds to the HAW 19Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 17
OWN 19
0
99.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.0%
Bucky Irving run for 11 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+31
99.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 31 yds to the HAW 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
99.0%
Jordan James run for 9 yds to the HAW 3Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 1
OPP 3
0
99.0%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Jordan James run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 7 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.4%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 2 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q2 10:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.6%
Matthew Shipley punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 6:5399% → 100%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.3%
Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 5 yds to the ORE 39Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 4 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.3%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the ORE 45Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+11
99.3%
Bucky Irving run for 11 yds to the HAW 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 47Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+9
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 9 yds to the HAW 38Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+12
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the HAW 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
99.3%
NIX, Bo pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Tez thrown to the HAW0. PENALTY ORE Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on POWERS-JOHNSON, Jackson enforced 5 yards from the HAW26 to the HAW31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+14
99.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 14 yds to the HAW 17Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+7
99.3%
Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the HAW 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
99.3%
Bucky Irving run for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 12Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
99.3%
Bo Nix run for 8 yds to the HAW 4Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.3%
NIX, Bo pass short to the right incomplete intended for FERGUSON, Terrance thrown to the HAW0. PENALTY ORE Illegal Touch-Pass on FERGUSON, Terrance enforced 0 yards from the HAW4 to the HAW4, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
99.6%
Camden Lewis 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13FG
18 plays · 63 yds · 3:210% → 1%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
Oregon Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the HAW 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 5 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
99.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 9 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.7%
Solo Vaipulu run for 5 yds to the ORE 41Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
99.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 4 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+6
99.7%
Solo Vaipulu run for 6 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.7%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Koali Nishigaya) to the ORE 36Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 15
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+15
99.8%
SCHAGER, Brayden pass short up the middle incomplete intended for MCBRIDE, Steven thrown to the ORE33. PENALTY ORE Roughing the Passer on DORLUS, Brandon enforced 15 yards from the ORE36 to the ORE21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.7%
Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the ORE 19Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+2
99.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the ORE 17Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+5
99.7%
SHIPLEY, Matthew field goal attempt from 34 yards NO GOOD (wide left) [kick was spotted at ORE24]. PENALTY ORE Offsides on MANNING, Dontae enforced 5 yards from the ORE17 to the ORE12. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+29
99.5%
Matthew Shipley 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:30100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
99.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 13 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.7%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+16
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 16 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 8 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+7
99.7%
Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the HAW 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 11 yds to the HAW 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Bucky Irving run for no gain to the HAW 12Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 7 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
99.8%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 31Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
99.9%
Hawai'i Penalty, Delay Of Game (Solo Vaipulu) to the HAW 26Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Matthew Shipley punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 5 yds to the ORE 35Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
Oregon Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on POWERS-JOHNSON, Jackson enforced (-5 Yards) to the ORE 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-14
99.9%
Ty Thompson run for a loss of 14 yards to the ORE 33Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 24
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Noah Whittington for 4 yds to the ORE 37Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 20
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Ross James punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 4:190% → 0%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 4 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 3 yds to the HAW 37Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 4 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 1 yd to the HAW 42Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 6 yds to the HAW 48Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-5
99.9%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Sergio Muasau) to the HAW 43Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-13
99.9%
Brayden Schager sacked by Popo Aumavae for a loss of 13 yards to the HAW 30Similar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 21
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Matthew Shipley punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
50
+16
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Noah Whittington for 16 yds to the HAW 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.9%
Noah Whittington run for 34 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19DOWNS
14 plays · 62 yds · 6:130% → 0%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
David Cordero run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 24Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 14 yds to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+15
100.0%
SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for PERRY, Alex thrown to the ORE49. PENALTY ORE Pass Interference on MANNING, Dontae enforced 15 yards to the HAW50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+10
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 10 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 4 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 3 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 2 yds to the ORE 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+15
99.9%
Dalen Morris run for 15 yds to the ORE 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 6 yds to the ORE 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-3
99.9%
David Cordero run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 7
OPP 13
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.9%
Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 18Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+8
99.9%
Jordan James run for 8 yds to the ORE 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
99.9%
Jordan James run for 11 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 40Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Ty Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+60
100.0%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 60 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:180% → 0%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
100.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 14 yds to the HAW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 15 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to David Cordero for 3 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+3
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 3 yds to the ORE 33Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Solo Vaipulu for 2 yds to the ORE 31Similar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+11
100.0%
Dalen Morris pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 11 yds to the ORE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 3 yds to the ORE 17Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+15
100.0%
SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep to the right incomplete intended for PUPUNU, Karsyn thrown to the ORE0. PENALTY ORE Pass Interference on DAVIS, Solomon enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the ORE2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Oregon Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) to the ORE 1Similar
Q4 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
100.0%
Jayden Limar run for 1 yd to the ORE 22Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-3
100.0%
Dante Dowdell run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 19Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+1
100.0%
Austin Novosad pass complete to Jayden Limar for 1 yd to the ORE 20Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Ross James punt for 57 yds, downed at the HAW 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:06
Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 12:01
Jordan James run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)
+0.3
FG · Q2 3:21
Camden Lewis 22 yd FG GOOD
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com