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STAN

Stanford 37 at Hawai'i 24

HAW
2023 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2023 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:05 · Brayden Schager sacked by Scotty Edwards for a loss of 12 yards to the HAW 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense−31.7Score differential−15.0Pregame prior−1.3Garbage-time factor−13.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:11: Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +7.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:25: Bryce Farrell run for 2 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +10.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:07: Joshua Karty 25 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +7.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:52: Steven McBride 24 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — HAW win probability +10.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:15: Joshua Karty 46 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +9.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 8STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:31HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:09STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:42HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:55HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:59STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:24HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:16HAW 4th & 17 at HAW 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:03STAN 4th & 9 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:07STAN 4th & 7 at HAW 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−6.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:03HAW 4th & 3 at STAN 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    21.2%−0.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−6.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:35STAN 4th & 5 at HAW 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−9.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:15STAN 4th & 2 at HAW 28, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%−1.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−7.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:05HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 43, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:08HAW 4th & 16 at STAN 16, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:25STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:11HAW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:24STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:25STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:52HAW Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    21.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    21.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:30STAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:08HAW Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2939% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
38.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
38.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:31
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
38.6%
Matthew Shipley punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2261% → 61%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
50
+3
38.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 3 yds to the HAW 47Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
38.6%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:31
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+1
38.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the HAW 46Similar
Q1 14:31
4TH & 6
OPP 46
-5
38.6%
Stanford Penalty, Delay Of Game (Gaethan Bernadel) to the STAN 49Similar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
39.2%
Connor Weselman punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2739% → 39%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
39.2%
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 17Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+5
39.1%
Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the HAW 22Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
39.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
39.4%
Matthew Shipley punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:1760% → 63%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
39.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+6
39.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 6 yds to the STAN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
39.4%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
39.5%
Ashton Daniels run for 3 yds to the STAN 43Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+9
39.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 9 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
39.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 7 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-1
39.2%
Ryan Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 42Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+7
39.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to John Humphreys for 7 yds to the HAW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
39.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+25
39.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 25 yds to the HAW 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
39.2%
Ashton Daniels run for 9 yds to the HAW 1Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.2%
E.J. Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3038% → 38%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
38.4%
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 5 yards to the HAW 25Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
37.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
37.6%
Matthew Shipley punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:5662% → 62%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
37.7%
E.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the STAN 37Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
37.4%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-5
37.2%
Stanford Penalty, False Start (Gaethan Bernadel) to the STAN 32Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
37.7%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 8
OWN 32
-5
38.1%
Stanford Penalty, Delay Of Game (Gaethan Bernadel) to the STAN 27Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
38.3%
Connor Weselman punt for 52 yds , returns for no gain to the HAW 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4838% → 46%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
37.6%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the HAW 26Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
37.5%
HINES, Tylan rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the HAW28 (AYBAR, Wilfredo). PENALTY HAW Holding on ATKINS, Joshua enforced 10 yards from the HAW26 to the HAW16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+21
37.4%
Brayden Schager run for 21 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
37.9%
Brayden Schager sacked by David Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the HAW 32Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+5
37.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Greyson Morgan for 5 yds to the HAW 37Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+12
37.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 12 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
38.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 14 yds to the STAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
38.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Landon Sims for 17 yds to the STAN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
39.3%
Brayden Schager run for 4 yds to the STAN 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
39.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+9
38.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Devon Tauaefa for 9 yds to the STAN 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
46.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4757% → 65%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
42.8%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 22 yds to the STAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
41.2%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+20
41.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 20 yds to the HAW 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
40.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 1 yd to the HAW 32Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+32
35.2%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 32 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5237% → 36%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
37.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-10
36.8%
QB Keeper SCHAGER, Brayden rush up the middle for no gain to the HAW29 (BERNADEL, Gaethan). PENALTY HAW Holding on MUASAU, Sergio enforced 10 yards from the HAW29 to the HAW19 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 20
OWN 19
+12
36.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 12 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+4
36.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Greyson Morgan for 4 yds to the HAW 35Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
36.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:5964% → 76%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
36.1%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 9 yds to the STAN 43Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
35.3%
E.J. Smith run for no gain to the STAN 43Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+2
35.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
35.3%
DANIELS, Ashton sacked for a loss of 0 yards at the STA45 (CHOI, Andrew). PENALTY HAW Personal Foul on CHOI, Andrew enforced 14 yards from the STA45 to the HAW41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
34.9%
Casey Filkins run for 8 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+1
34.6%
Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the HAW 32Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
34.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the HAW 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
34.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Jayson Raines for 11 yds to the HAW 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
34.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the HAW 3Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
34.6%
Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the HAW 2Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.3%
Bryce Farrell run for 2 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:0925% → 24%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
25.2%
HINES, Tylan rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the HAW27 (KENELEY, Lance). PENALTY HAW Holding on ATKINS, Joshua enforced 10 yards from the HAW25 to the HAW15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+10
25.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 10 yds to the HAW 25Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
25.1%
Brayden Schager sacked by David Bailey for a loss of 7 yards to the HAW 18Similar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
23.6%
Matthew Shipley punt for 48 yds, downed at the STAN 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:1376% → 78%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 11
OWN 34
+10
23.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to John Humphreys for 10 yds to the STAN 44Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
22.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Casey Filkins for 5 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
23.0%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 4 yds to the HAW 47Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
23.1%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+2
23.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 2 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 4
OPP 45
-5
22.2%
Stanford Penalty, Delay Of Game (Gaethan Bernadel) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 9
50
0
22.1%
Connor Weselman punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 1:0324% → 30%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
23.7%
Stanford Penalty, Roughing the Passer on BUCKEY, Zach enforced (Zach Buckey) to the HAW 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
24.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
24.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+13
23.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 13 yds to the STAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
25.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
23.0%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the STAN 48Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+33
22.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Karsyn Pupunu for 33 yds to the STAN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
23.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+32
30.3%
Matthew Shipley 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14FG
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:5371% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
28.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 9 yds to the STAN 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
28.0%
Casey Filkins run for 10 yds to the STAN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+47
27.3%
Casey Filkins run for 47 yds to the HAW 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
27.0%
Casey Filkins run for no gain to the HAW 9Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
27.0%
Ryan Butler run for 4 yds to the HAW 5Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
27.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 7Similar
Q3 11:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
20.2%
Joshua Karty 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:0422% → 20%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
21.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 38 yds to the STAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
23.5%
Stanford Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (David Bailey) to the STAN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
24.3%
Solo Vaipulu run for 4 yds to the STAN 13Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+3
24.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 3 yds to the STAN 10Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
20.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 3
OPP 10
-7
20.2%
Brayden Schager sacked by Anthony Franklin for a loss of 7 yards to the STAN 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2883% → 91%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
16.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 2 yds to the STAN 19Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+23
16.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 23 yds to the STAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
15.6%
Ryan Butler run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 2
50
+5
15.2%
BUTLER, Ryan rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the HAW47 (SINCLAIR, Justin;WILLIAMS, Daniel). PENALTY HAW Offsides enforced 5 yards from the STA50 to the HAW45 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
15.3%
Ryan Butler run for 4 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
15.3%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the HAW 39Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+6
15.4%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 6 yds to the HAW 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
15.1%
E.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
15.0%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
15.0%
Bryce Farrell run for 8 yds to the HAW 5Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 2
OPP 5
0
15.0%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 2
OPP 5
-3
15.3%
Ryan Butler run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 8Similar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
8.6%
Joshua Karty 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4313% → 24%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 7 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
13.7%
Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the HAW 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+28
13.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 28 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
13.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 11 yds to the STAN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
24.0%
Steven McBride 24 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:3782% → 94%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ryan Butler for 4 yds to the STAN 29Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
18.0%
DANIELS, Ashton pass up the middle complete for 7 yards to AYOMANOR, Elic caught at the STA36 and advanced to the STA36 (BROWN, Caleb). PENALTY STA Personal Foul on MAYBERRY, Trevor enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards from the STA29 to the STA15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
18.8%
Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the STAN 20Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+15
19.2%
Hawai'i Penalty, Roughing the Passer on TUITUPOU, John enforced (John Tuitupou) to the STAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
16.5%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the STAN 49Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
16.7%
Ashton Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+15
16.8%
DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for REUBEN, Mudia thrown to the HAW10. PENALTY HAW Pass Interference on BROWN, Caleb enforced 15 yards to the HAW36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
16.4%
Ryan Butler run for no gain to the HAW 36Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+9
16.5%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 9 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-1
16.3%
Sedrick Irvin run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 28Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+46
6.4%
Joshua Karty 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:048% → 6%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
7.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 4 yds to the HAW 23Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
7.7%
Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the HAW 26Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+5
7.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 5 yds to the HAW 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
8.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
7.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 12 yds to the HAW 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
8.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
8.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
8.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 10
OWN 43
-12
5.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Scotty Edwards for a loss of 12 yards to the HAW 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:3595% → 99%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
4.8%
Ryan Butler run for 1 yd to the HAW 30Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+17
3.6%
Ryan Butler run for 17 yds to the HAW 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
0.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to John Humphreys for 13 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
16 plays · 64 yds · 4:141% → 4%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
1.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 9 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-2
1.3%
Brayden Schager sacked by Aaron Armitage for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 43Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+5
1.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 5 yds to the HAW 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
1.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
1.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+11
1.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 11 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
1.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
1.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 10 yds to the STAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
1.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Chuuky Hines for 5 yds to the STAN 26Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
1.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+18
1.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 18 yds to the STAN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-8
0.7%
Brayden Schager sacked by David Bailey for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 16Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
3.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 16 yds for a TD (Brayden Schager pass to Devon Tauaefa for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 1:0898% → 98%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
2.0%
[NH] Kneel down by LAMSON, Justin at HAW46 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
2.0%
[NH] Kneel down by LAMSON, Justin at HAW48 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:25
Bryce Farrell run for 2 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q4 14:52
Steven McBride 24 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+10
FG · Q4 9:15
Joshua Karty 46 yd FG GOOD
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com