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FSU

Florida State 24 at Florida 15

FLA
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreFSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGSAFETYTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NH] Kneel down by RODEMAKER, Tate at UFL32 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:26: Trey Benson run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +12.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  2. TD · Q3 12:31: Trey Benson run for 36 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +11.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:58: Trey Smack 37 yd FG GOOD — FLA win probability +10.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:17: Ryan Fitzgerald 19 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +14.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:48: Trey Benson run for 26 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +12.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 9FSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:58FLA 4th & 13 at FSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:35FSU 4th & 17 at FSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:00FSU 4th & 11 at FSU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:21FLA 4th & 1 at FSU 17, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%−1.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−5.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:54FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:29FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 32, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:02FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 47, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:58FLA 4th & 6 at FSU 19, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−13.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:52FSU 4th & 24 at FSU 11, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−7.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:31FLA 4th & 8 at FLA 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−3.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:36FSU 4th & 10 at FSU 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−3.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:15FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 30, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:15FSU 4th & 3 at FLA 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−2.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−5.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:17FSU 4th & 2 at FLA 2, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%−3.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−22.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:37FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 18, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−5.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:33FLA 4th & 20 at FLA 15, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:31FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:26FSU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:31FSU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:48FSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 7:0231% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the FLA 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
30.8%
Max Brown run for no gain to the FLA 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
30.8%
Max Brown pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 16 yds to the FLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
30.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 7 yds to the FSU 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
30.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the FSU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
30.8%
Max Brown run for 4 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
30.8%
Max Brown run for no gain to the FSU 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
30.8%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the FSU 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+15
30.8%
Max Brown pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 15 yds to the FSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
30.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FSU 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+1
30.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FSU 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 21
-9
30.8%
Max Brown pass complete to Trevor Etienne for a loss of 9 yards to the FSU 30Similar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+48
33.7%
Trey Smack 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2366% → 65%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
33.7%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 4 yds to the FSU 34Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-11
33.5%
Trey Benson run for a loss of 11 yards to the FSU 23Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 17
OWN 23
0
34.0%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
34.9%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 7:0435% → 45%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
34.5%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FLA 30Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
34.4%
Max Brown run for 9 yds to the FLA 39Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
34.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
35.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FLA 46Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
35.2%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+10
34.8%
Max Brown pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 10 yds to the FSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
35.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FSU 41Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+24
35.3%
Max Brown pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 24 yds to the FSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
35.5%
Max Brown pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 13 yds to the FSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
35.5%
ETIENNE, Trevor rush up the middle for no gain to the FSU4 (VERSE, Jared). PENALTY FSU Offsides on FARMER, Joshua enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the FSU4 to the FSU2 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
35.5%
Max Brown sacked by Jared Verse and Braden Fiske for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 9Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
39.5%
Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
38.9%
BROWN, Max sacked for a loss of 10 yards at the FSU20 (DENT, Akeem). PENALTY FSU Personal Foul on DENT, Akeem enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the FSU10 to the FSU5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
39.5%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
44.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:3157% → 55%
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
42.8%
Florida State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jared Verse) to the FSU 20Similar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
42.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+1
43.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the FSU 21Similar
Q2 14:31
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+8
43.6%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 8 yds to the FSU 29Similar
Q2 14:31
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
43.8%
Florida State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jared Verse) to the FSU 24Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
45.3%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:3946% → 47%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
46.2%
Trevor Etienne run for 14 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
46.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 7 yds to the FSU 19Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+2
46.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the FSU 17Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
47.9%
Max Brown run for no gain to the FSU 17Similar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+35
47.4%
Trey Smack 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:2052% → 49%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
47.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 12 yds to the FSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
47.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FSU 34Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
47.2%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
48.1%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
50.8%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:2548% → 50%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
48.0%
Max Brown run for 3 yds to the FLA 26 Max Brown fumbled, recovered by FLA [NHSG] QB Keeper BROWN, Max rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards, BROWN, Max fumbled at UFL26 forced by DENT, Akeem out of bounds to the UFL26.Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+1
48.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 27Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+5
50.3%
Max Brown pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 5 yds to the FLA 32Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
50.2%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 62 yds, downed at the FSU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8SF
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:2148% → 41%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
52.4%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 7 yds to the FSU 13Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 3
OWN 13
-4
52.3%
Trey Benson run for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 9Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 7
OWN 9
-9
58.8%
Tate Rodemaker sacked by Princely Umanmielen and Derek Wingo for a loss of 9 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:0060% → 58%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
60.0%
Florida Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the FLA 40Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 24
OWN 40
+7
58.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 7 yds to the FLA 47Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 17
OWN 47
0
57.9%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 17
OWN 47
0
57.9%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Keon Coleman at the FSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 3:3641% → 57%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
59.1%
Trey Benson run for 16 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
58.7%
Florida Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the FSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
57.8%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the FSU 39Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+29
58.0%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 29 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
55.3%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+16
55.5%
Lawrance Toafili run for 16 yds to the FLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
55.0%
Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the FLA 15Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
55.0%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+14
56.3%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 14 yds to the FLA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.5%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:2354% → 58%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
54.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 24Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+52
53.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 52 yds to the FSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
58.5%
JOHNSON JR., Montrell rush up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the FSU10 (DELOACH, Kalen;CYPRESS II, Fentrell). PENALTY UFL Holding on GEORGE JR., Damieon enforced 10 yards from the FSU24 to the FSU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+52
58.2%
Trey Smack 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2949% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.7%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the FSU 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
50.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
52.1%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 12 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
49.7%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Keon Coleman for 24 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
47.1%
Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the FLA 36Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+36
35.5%
Trey Benson run for 36 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 6:3340% → 54%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
40.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 23Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
40.2%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+17
38.7%
Max Brown pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 17 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
43.2%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 21 yds to the FSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
44.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FSU 35Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
45.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FSU 33Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+10
44.0%
Max Brown run for 10 yds to the FSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
45.6%
Eugene Wilson III run for 1 yd to the FSU 22Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+2
45.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FSU 20Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+1
44.0%
Max Brown run for 1 yd to the FSU 19Similar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
54.4%
Trey Smack 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 2:0648% → 44%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
52.2%
Trey Benson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 24Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-8
52.5%
Tate Rodemaker sacked by Desmond Watson for a loss of 8 yards to the FSU 16Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 19
OWN 16
-5
54.3%
Florida State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Fabien Lovett) to the FSU 11Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 24
OWN 11
0
54.3%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
56.5%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ricky Pearsall at the FLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:2154% → 53%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
54.2%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the FLA 31Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-5
54.0%
Max Brown pass complete to Trevor Etienne for a loss of 5 yards to the FLA 26Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+6
51.7%
Max Brown run for 6 yds to the FLA 32Similar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
52.5%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:5546% → 42%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
54.4%
Trey Benson run for 14 yds to the FSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
54.0%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
54.7%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
56.4%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
57.8%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ricky Pearsall at the FLA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4558% → 57%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
57.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FLA 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+1
58.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+1
56.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 30Similar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
56.9%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:5848% → 63%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
52.2%
Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the FSU 44Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+15
52.5%
RODEMAKER, Tate pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WILSON, Johnny broken up by MOORE, Devin at the UFL29. PENALTY UFL Pass Interference on MOORE, Devin enforced 15 yards to the UFL41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
50.9%
Trey Benson run for 7 yds to the FLA 34Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
49.1%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
51.1%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the FLA 34Similar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+10
54.2%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 10 yds to the FLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
49.1%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the FLA 22Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+5
49.1%
Trey Benson run for 5 yds to the FLA 17Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+11
51.1%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 11 yds to the FLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
49.1%
Tate Rodemaker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
49.1%
Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the FLA 2Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
51.1%
Trey Benson run for no gain to the FLA 2Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
36.9%
Ryan Fitzgerald 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:4047% → 41%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
47.3%
Max Brown sacked by Patrick Payton for a loss of 6 yards to the FLA 19Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
46.2%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-1
44.4%
Max Brown sacked by Patrick Payton for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 18Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
41.2%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 48 yds, downed at the FSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 2:4964% → 94%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
36.4%
Trey Benson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 31Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+15
38.0%
RODEMAKER, Tate pass deep to the left incomplete intended for COLEMAN, Keon thrown to the UFL45. PENALTY UFL Pass Interference on HILL, Jaydon enforced 15 yards to the FSU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
33.9%
Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 5 yds to the FLA 49Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-9
24.6%
Tate Rodemaker sacked by Jason Marshall Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the FSU 42Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 14
OWN 42
0
29.5%
Florida Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaydon Hill) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
22.8%
Brock Glenn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
23.0%
QB Keeper GLENN, Brock rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the UFL26 (UMANMIELEN, Princely). PENALTY UFL Offsides on UMANMIELEN, Princely enforced 5 yards from the UFL33 to the UFL28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
18.9%
Trey Benson run for 2 yds to the FLA 26Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+26
6.5%
Trey Benson run for 26 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:156% → 4%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
5.5%
Max Brown sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 8 yards to the FLA 17Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
5.4%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-2
5.2%
Max Brown sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 15Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 20
OWN 15
-6
4.4%
Max Brown pass intercepted Kalen DeLoach return for 6 yds to the FLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -12 yds · 1:3396% → 96%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
4.1%
Tate Rodemaker run for a loss of 10 yards to the FLA 30Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 20
OPP 30
0
4.4%
[NH] Kneel down by RODEMAKER, Tate at UFL31 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 21
OPP 31
0
3.9%
[NH] Kneel down by RODEMAKER, Tate at UFL32 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 7:17
Ryan Fitzgerald 19 yd FG GOOD
-14.2
TD · Q2 0:26
Trey Benson run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q4 2:48
Trey Benson run for 26 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
-12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com