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GAST

Georgia State 14 at LSU 56

LSU
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:03 · Kade Loggins punt for 41 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+15.8Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+29.6Blowout margin+15.8Garbage-time factor+10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:45: Marcus Carroll run for 44 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK) — GAST win probability +1.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:00: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 27 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:26: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 70 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:23: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 13 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:00: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mac Markway for 3 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 4:04GAST 4th & 9 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 2:36GAST 4th & 7 at LSU 30, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:03GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  4. Q3 11:00GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 41, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 4:20GAST 4th & 6 at LSU 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q4 15:00LSU 4th & 1 at GAST 1, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:03GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 3:54GAST 4th & 5 at LSU 13, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8GAST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:53GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:20LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:07LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:45GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:00LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:26LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:23LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:00LSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:44LSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:59LSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:072% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
98.2%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+31
98.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 31 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
98.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 5 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+7
98.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 7 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
98.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 4 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+15
98.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Grainger,Darren pass incomplete deep right to Credle,Ja'Cyais PENALTY LSU Pass Interference (Stamps,Ashton) 15 yards from LSU21 to LSU06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.2%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
Q1 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 6 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3398% → 98%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.7%
Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
97.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
97.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 29 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
97.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 5 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+10
97.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 10 yds to the GAST 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
97.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 18 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 5:113% → 4%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GAST 25Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Marcus CarrollSimilar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
97.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 38Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+11
97.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 11 yds to the GAST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
97.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 2 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
97.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-10
97.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Grainger,Darren rush left for 6 yards gain to the LSU41 (Sam,Andre) PENALTY GSU Holding (Glover,Travis) 10 yards from LSU47 to GSU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+7
97.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 9
50
+27
96.5%
Kade Loggins punt for 30 yds , Javen Nicholas returns for 27 yds to the LSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:5797% → 97%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
96.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,Jayden rush right for 11 yards gain to the GSU42 (Veneziale,Jordan), out of bounds PENALTY LSU Holding (Frazier,Miles) 10 yards from LSU47 to LSU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+8
96.5%
Josh Williams run for 8 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+5
96.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Trey Holly for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 7
50
+18
96.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 18 yds to the GAST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Mason TaylorSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
96.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+11
96.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 11 yds Mason Taylor fumbled, recovered by LSU Mason Taylor for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
96.7%
J.Daniels pass complete short right to #8 M.Nabers for 13 yards to the GSU08 (#48 J.Abraham) PENALTY LSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#86 M.Taylor) 5 yards from GSU21 to GSU26. NO PLAY).Similar
Q1 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
96.7%
Brian Thomas Jr. run for 6 yds to the GAST 14 Brian Thomas Jr. fumbled, recovered by LSU Brian Thomas Jr.Similar
Q1 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
96.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 14 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:154% → 5%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GAST 29Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
(00:00) PENALTY GSU Personal Foul offsetting LSU Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 11 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
96.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 21 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
96.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 1 yd to the LSU 44Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+44
94.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 44 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:4595% → 96%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+33
95.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 33 yds to the GAST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
95.5%
LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GAST 46Similar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 9
OPP 46
+7
95.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 7 yds to the GAST 39Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+3
95.5%
Kaleb Jackson run for 3 yds to the GAST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
95.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 9 yds to the GAST 27Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+27
96.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 27 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7DOWNS
13 plays · 45 yds · 7:244% → 6%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 1 yd to the GAST 26Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
95.8%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the GAST 30Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
95.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 15 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
95.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GAST 46Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+11
95.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 11 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
95.5%
Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+2
95.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
95.3%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
95.3%
PENALTY GSU Delay Of Game (Grainger,Darren) 5 yards from LSU33 to LSU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+3
95.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+5
95.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 7
OPP 30
0
94.2%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
96.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 70 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 1:233% → 3%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
96.6%
Georgia State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GAST 17Similar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+6
96.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the GAST 23Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
96.6%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the GAST 22Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+12
96.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 12 yds to the GAST 34Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
96.6%
PENALTY GSU Delay Of Game (Grainger,Darren) 5 yards from GSU34 to GSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.6%
Kade Loggins punt for 31 yds , Javen Nicholas returns for no gain to the LSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 0:4097% → 99%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
97.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+15
97.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete deep left to Anderson,Aaron PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Brown,Bryquice) 15 yards from LSU45 to GSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+32
97.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 32 yds to the GAST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
97.3%
(00:25) PENALTY LSU False Start 5 yards from GSU08 to GSU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
98.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 13 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:231% → 1%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Tailique WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GAST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:5299% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
98.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+9
98.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 9 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
98.6%
Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the GAST 49Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
98.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 7 yds to the GAST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
98.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 14 yds to the GAST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
98.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 5 yds to the GAST 23Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+20
98.6%
Noah Cain run for 20 yds to the GAST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mac Markway for 3 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 38 yds · 6:400% → 0%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 7 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GAST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
99.7%
Darren Grainger sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the GAST 31Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 16
OWN 31
-5
99.7%
PENALTY GSU Delay Of Game (Grainger,Darren) 5 yards from GSU31 to GSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 21
OWN 26
+6
99.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 6 yds to the GAST 32Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+9
99.7%
Darren Grainger run for 9 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+10
99.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 11 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+1
99.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
99.7%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 6
OPP 34
-3
99.7%
Darren Grainger sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:36100% → 100%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 9 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+10
99.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 10 yds to the GAST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
99.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 19 yds to the GAST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
99.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 15 yds to the GAST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.8%
Kaleb Jackson run for 2 yds to the GAST 8Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the GAST 7Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the GAST 1Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the GAST 1Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
No Huddle Daniels,Jayden rush right for 0 yards to the GSU01 (Davis Jr.,Chris) PENALTY GSU Horse Collar Tackle (Davis Jr.,Chris), 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:410% → 0%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
KZ Adams run for 3 yds to the GAST 28Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 1 yd to the GAST 27Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
99.9%
Darren Grainger run for 13 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Peter KikwataSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
KZ Adams run for 3 yds to the GAST 43Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jacari Carter for 2 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Kade Loggins punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Chris Hilton Jr.Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 6 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+18
99.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 18 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
99.9%
Kaleb Jackson run for 18 yds to the GAST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 40 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:590% → 0%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 6 yds to the GAST 20Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 16
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Georgia State Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+17
100.0%
Mikele Colasurdo run for 17 yds to the GAST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to KZ Adams for 3 yds to the GAST 41Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+41
100.0%
Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 41 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
100.0%
KZ Adams run for 2 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+4
100.0%
KZ Adams run for 4 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+1
100.0%
Terry Berdin Jr. run for 1 yd to the LSU 13Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 5
OPP 13
0
100.0%
Mikele Colasurdo pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18END OF GAME
5 plays · 19 yds · 3:54100% → 100%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
100.0%
Trey Holly run for 1 yd to the LSU 14Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+6
100.0%
Trey Holly run for 6 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Trey Holly run for 3 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
100.0%
Trey Holly run for 9 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Kaleb Jackson run for no gain to the LSU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:26
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 70 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q2 12:45
Marcus Carroll run for 44 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)
-1.7
TD · Q2 0:23
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 13 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com