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MCN

McNeese 7 at Florida 49

FLA
2023 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadMCN aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreMCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:42 · Callum Eddings punt for 47 yds, downed at the FLA 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+20.9Home team on offense+36.2Score differential+30.8Blowout margin+18.5Garbage-time factor+9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:28: Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:04: Treyaun Webb 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — FLA win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:34: Trevor Etienne run for 8 yds for a TD (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:27: M. Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (A. Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MCN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:08MCN 4th & 4 at FLA 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:06MCN 4th & 20 at FLA 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:23MCN 4th & 18 at MCN 37, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:33MCN 4th & 5 at MCN 30, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:24MCN 4th & 11 at MCN 24, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:35MCN 4th & 6 at MCN 44, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:42MCN 4th & 10 at MCN 36, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:13FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 21, up 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:52MCN 4th & 2 at midfield, down 50
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:59FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:28FLA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:04FLA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:34FLA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:27FLA Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:45FLA Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:00FLA Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:54100% → 100%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 39Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+19
99.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 19 yds to the MCN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jonathan Odom for 4 yds to the MCN 38Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+13
99.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 13 yds to the MCN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the MCN 16Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
99.6%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Jonathan Odom for 4 yds to the MCN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
99.6%
Trevor Etienne run for 11 yds to the MCN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.6%
Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the MCN 2Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 2PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 4:520% → 1%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
D'angelo Durham run for 3 yds to the MCN 28Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+28
99.6%
D'angelo Durham run for 28 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.5%
D'angelo Durham run for 3 yds to the FLA 41Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
99.5%
Nate Glantz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+5
99.5%
(08:39) GLANTZ, Nate pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MCCALL, Jon broken up by KIMBER, Jalen at the UFL5, clock 08:33. PENALTY UFL Offsides on UMANMIELEN, Princely enforced 5 yards from the UFL41 to the UFL36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 2
OPP 36
-2
99.5%
Nate Glantz run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 38Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+6
99.5%
D'angelo Durham run for 6 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.4%
Cam Thomas run for 2 yds to the FLA 30Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
99.4%
Nate Glantz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-12
99.4%
Nate Glantz sacked by Scooby Williams for a loss of 12 yards to the FLA 42Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 20
OPP 42
0
99.4%
Callum Eddings punt for 41 yds, downed at the FLA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
11 plays · 99 yds · 5:2899% → 99%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
99.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 7 yds to the FLA 8Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+6
99.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 6 yds to the FLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
99.4%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 12 yds to the FLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the FLA 31Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
99.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 4 yds to the FLA 35Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
99.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the FLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.2%
McNeese Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jadden Matthews) to the MCN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 5 yds to the MCN 41Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+22
99.2%
Trevor Etienne run for 22 yds to the MCN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
99.2%
run for 18 yds to the MCN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 3:051% → 1%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
D'angelo Durham run for 2 yds to the MCN 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
99.3%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jon McCall for 18 yds to the MCN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Nate Glantz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.2%
D'angelo Durham run for 2 yds to the MCN 47Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-10
99.2%
Nate Glantz sacked by Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 10 yards to the MCN 37Similar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 18
OWN 37
0
99.2%
Callum Eddings punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ricky Pearsall at the FLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4799% → 99%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.3%
Treyaun Webb run for 7 yds to the FLA 32Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.2%
Treyaun Webb run for 5 yds to the FLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
99.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 19 yds to the MCN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.2%
Treyaun Webb run for 3 yds to the MCN 41Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+11
99.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 11 yds to the MCN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.2%
Treyaun Webb run for 5 yds to the MCN 25Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+12
99.2%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Treyaun Webb for 12 yds to the MCN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
99.2%
Treyaun Webb run for 7 yds to the MCN 6Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+4
99.1%
Treyaun Webb run for 4 yds to the MCN 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.1%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Treyaun Webb 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:301% → 1%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.1%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jihad Marks for 9 yds to the MCN 34Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Nate Glantz run for no gain to the MCN 34Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.0%
McNeese Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MCN 29Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.1%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Makhi Paris for 1 yd to the MCN 30Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Callum Eddings punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:5299% → 100%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.2%
Graham Mertz run for 4 yds to the FLA 30Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+9
99.2%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the FLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.2%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 15 yds to the MCN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.3%
Graham Mertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the MCN 46Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+12
99.3%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 12 yds to the MCN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the MCN 28Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+15
99.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 15 yds to the MCN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MCN 8Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 8 yds for a TD (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
D'angelo Durham run for 1 yd to the MCN 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
D'angelo Durham run for no gain to the MCN 25Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
D'angelo Durham run for 4 yds to the MCN 29Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Nate Glantz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.7%
McNeese Penalty, Delay Of Game (Nate Glantz) to the MCN 24Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Callum Eddings punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:57100% → 100%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the FLA 36Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+14
99.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 9 yds to the MCN 41Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+23
99.7%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 23 yds to the MCN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the MCN 12Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+4
99.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MCN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
M. Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (A. Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Cam Thomas for 15 yds to the MCN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Makhi Paris for 9 yds to the MCN 49Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-1
99.9%
Cam Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MCN 48Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-5
99.9%
McNeese Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MCN 43Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Nate Glantz run for 1 yd to the MCN 44Similar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Callum Eddings punt for 40 yds, downed at the FLA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 9 yds to the FLA 25Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 12 yds to the FLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
99.9%
Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 32Similar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the FLA 36Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+14
99.9%
Graham Mertz pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
50
+50
99.9%
G. Mertz pass to R. Pearsall for 50 yds for a TD (A. Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 13SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:170% → 0%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
99.9%
D'angelo Durham run for a loss of 1 yard to the MCN 3Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 11
OWN 3
-3
99.9%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:53100% → 100%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
Treyaun Webb run for 7 yds to the FLA 45Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Treyaun Webb run for 2 yds to the FLA 47Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Treyaun Webb run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Treyaun Webb run for 3 yds to the MCN 47Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+16
99.9%
Max Brown pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 16 yds to the MCN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.9%
Treyaun Webb run for 2 yds to the MCN 29Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+8
99.9%
Max Brown pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 8 yds to the MCN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
99.9%
Treyaun Webb run for 16 yds to the MCN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
T. Webb run for 5 yds for a TD (T. Smack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Nate Glantz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Coleby Hamm run for 1 yd to the MCN 26Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
100.0%
Nate Glantz pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 10 yds to the MCN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Coleby Hamm run for no gain to the MCN 36Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Nate Glantz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Nate Glantz pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Callum Eddings punt for 47 yds, downed at the FLA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Eddie Battle run for no gain to the FLA 17Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Micah Leon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-5
99.9%
Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 12Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+9
100.0%
Micah Leon pass complete to Aidan Mizell for 9 yds to the FLA 21Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 4:140% → 0%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Cam Thomas run for 3 yds to the MCN 35Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Tre Simmons run for 3 yds to the MCN 38Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Tre Simmons pass complete to Kyle Klink for 4 yds to the MCN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
100.0%
Cam Thomas run for 2 yds to the MCN 44Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
Tre Simmons run for 2 yds to the MCN 46Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Tre Simmons run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 2
50
0
100.0%
Callum Eddings punt for 49 yds, downed at the FLA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:11100% → 100%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
100.0%
Max Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+7
100.0%
Eddie Battle run for 7 yds to the FLA 8Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+7
100.0%
Eddie Battle run for 7 yds to the FLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
100.0%
(03:24) BROWN, Max pass short to the right incomplete intended for ISACKS III, Scott broken up by BENNETT, Crajaun at the UFL20, clock 03:15. PENALTY UFL Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HANSEN, Hayden enforced 5 yards from the UFL15 to the UFL10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 15
OWN 10
-2
100.0%
Eddie Battle run for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 8 Eddie Battle fumbled, recovered by MCN John Brown Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 19TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Coleby Hamm run for 8 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Carlson Joseph run for 4 yds to the FLA 39Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
Carlson Joseph run for 7 yds to the FLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Carlson Joseph run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 6
50
+7
100.0%
Micah Leon pass complete to Taylor Spierto for 7 yds to the MCN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:04
Treyaun Webb 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+0.3
TD · Q2 0:34
Trevor Etienne run for 8 yds for a TD (Adam Mihalek KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 0:28
Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Mihalek KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com