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HAW

Hawai'i 28 at Vanderbilt 35

VAN
2023 · Week 1 · Aug 26, 2023 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:38 · Matthew Shipley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the VAN 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior+21.9Home team on offense+13.4Score differential+3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5Garbage-time factor+2.0Time remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:50: Patrick Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the HAW 36 — VAN win probability +4.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:48: Matthew Hayball punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cam Stone at the HAW 33 — VAN win probability +5.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:33: Matthew Shipley punt for 48 yds — HAW win probability +5.4 pts (now 15%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:44: Brayden Schager pass incomplete — HAW win probability +17.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:49: Dalen Morris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +5.1 pts (now 54%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:48HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:37HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 29, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:03HAW 4th & 4 at VAN 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−0.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:50VAN 4th & 1 at HAW 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−1.0
    51% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:48VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:38HAW 4th & 22 at HAW 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:21VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:33HAW 4th & 13 at HAW 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:25HAW 4th & 9 at midfield, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:44HAW 4th & 5 at VAN 13, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−8.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:48VAN 4th & 7 at HAW 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:07VAN 4th & 4 at HAW 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    61.3%−3.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−6.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:58HAW 4th & 2 at VAN 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.9%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−5.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−31.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:14VAN 4th & 13 at HAW 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−1.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:26VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:13HAW Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:03HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0412% → 13%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
88.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Greyson Morgan for 4 yds to the HAW 31Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-4
88.0%
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 4 yards to the HAW 27Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+5
88.0%
Brayden Schager run for 5 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
87.4%
Matthew Shipley punt for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2288% → 88%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
87.5%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
87.5%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the HAW 31Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+10
87.5%
AJ Swann pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 10 yds to the HAW 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
87.7%
Patrick Smith 21 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 5 yds · 4:1313% → 15%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
87.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Chuuky Hines for 10 yds to the HAW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
87.3%
Tylan Hines run for 6 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+20
87.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Greyson Morgan for 20 yds to the VAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
87.0%
Tylan Hines run for 4 yds to the VAN 35Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+22
86.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 22 yds to the VAN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
86.9%
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 14Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+1
86.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 1 yd to the VAN 13Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+9
87.0%
SCHAGER, Brayden pass up the middle incomplete intended for HINES, Chuuky thrown to the VAN0. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on RUSSELL, Tyson enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the VAN4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
86.9%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VAN 9Similar
Q1 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
85.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4TD
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:1613% → 13%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
87.0%
Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
86.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 3 yds to the HAW 36Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-2
86.7%
Brayden Schager sacked by Linus Zunk and Aeneas DiCosmo for a loss of 2 yards to the HAW 34Similar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 6
OWN 34
-5
87.0%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the HAW 29Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
87.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 55 yds, downed at the VAN 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5TD
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:4187% → 90%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
86.8%
AJ Swann pass complete to Chase Gillespie for 13 yds to the VAN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
86.9%
AJ Swann pass complete to Chase Gillespie for 4 yds to the VAN 33Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+10
86.9%
SWANN, AJ pass short to the right incomplete intended for KYLE, Logan thrown to the VAN34; QB hurried by PEI, Meki. PENALTY HAW Holding on KEMA, Noah enforced 10 yards from the VAN33 to the VAN43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
87.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 16 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
87.3%
SWANN, AJ pass deep to the right incomplete intended for KYLE, Logan thrown to the HAW15. PENALTY HAW Pass Interference on PEI, Meki enforced 15 yards to the HAW26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
87.3%
Chase Gillespie run for 2 yds to the HAW 24Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+5
87.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Justin Ball for 5 yds to the HAW 19Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+6
87.1%
Chase Gillespie run for 6 yds to the HAW 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
86.6%
Chase Gillespie run for 6 yds to the HAW 7Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
89.7%
A. Swann pass to W. Sheppard for 7 yds for a TD, (J. Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:4512% → 14%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
88.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 17 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
88.3%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the VAN 49Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
88.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+4
88.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Greyson Morgan for 4 yds to the VAN 45Similar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+45
85.9%
B. Schager pass to S. McBride for 45 yds for a TD, (M. Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1386% → 90%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
86.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for a loss of 4 yards to the VAN 21Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
86.2%
Patrick Smith run for 6 yds to the VAN 27Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+32
86.1%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 32 yds to the HAW 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
86.5%
Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the HAW 46Similar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+9
86.1%
Jayden McGowan run for 9 yds to the HAW 37Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-8
86.5%
AJ Swann sacked by Isaiah Tufaga for a loss of 8 yards to the HAW 45Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+13
85.7%
AJ Swann pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 13 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 1
OPP 32
-4
90.3%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the HAW 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:3811% → 17%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
89.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 15 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
88.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 9 yds to the VAN 40Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+15
88.3%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the VAN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
88.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Solo Vaipulu for 23 yds Solo Vaipulu fumbled, recovered by HAW Pofele Ashlock for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
87.8%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (Greyson Morgan) to the VAN 9Similar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.4%
Brayden Schager pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2485% → 90%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
85.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 19Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-8
85.0%
AJ Swann sacked by Isaiah Tufaga for a loss of 8 yards to the VAN 11Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 19
OWN 11
-5
84.6%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the VAN 6Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 24
OWN 6
0
84.6%
Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the VAN 3Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 27
OWN 3
+16
84.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 16 yds to the VAN 19Similar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
89.9%
Matthew Hayball punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cam Stone at the HAW 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10Uncategorized
9 plays · -1 yds · 3:1010% → 8%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
89.6%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the HAW 34Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+12
89.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 12 yds to the HAW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
89.4%
Brayden Schager run for a loss of 3 yards to the HAW 43Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+2
89.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Greyson Morgan for 2 yds to the HAW 45Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 11
OWN 45
-6
89.5%
Brayden Schager sacked by Nate Clifton for a loss of 6 yards to the HAW 39Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 17
OWN 39
-5
90.2%
Hawai'i Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the HAW 34Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 22
OWN 34
0
91.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the VAN 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11Uncategorized
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:3893% → 92%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
92.5%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-10
92.4%
AJ Swann sacked by Andrew Choi for a loss of 10 yards to the VAN 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3991% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.8%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds to the VAN 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
90.9%
Patrick Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAN 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
90.4%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
90.1%
Matthew Hayball punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:4810% → 15%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 3 yds to the HAW 23Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
90.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 4 yds to the HAW 27Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-10
90.1%
Brayden Schager sacked by CJ Taylor for a loss of 10 yards to the HAW 17Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
84.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 2:0186% → 87%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
85.7%
Patrick Smith run for 8 yds to the HAW 30Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+16
85.9%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 16 yds to the HAW 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
85.9%
Logan Kyle run for 13 yds to the HAW 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.7%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:4117% → 35%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+22
82.8%
Landon Sims run for 22 yds to the HAW 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
81.0%
Landon Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the HAW 48Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+2
81.9%
Landon Sims run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 9
50
0
82.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 9
50
+17
83.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 17 yds to the VAN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
79.6%
Landon Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 34Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+10
79.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 10 yds to the VAN 24Similar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+6
80.9%
Landon Sims run for 6 yds to the VAN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
81.8%
Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the VAN 16Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+3
81.8%
Landon Sims run for 3 yds to the VAN 13Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
83.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 5
OPP 13
0
65.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:5671% → 71%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
71.0%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
70.8%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+41
69.7%
AJ Swann pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 41 yds to the HAW 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
75.0%
London Humphreys run for 5 yds to the HAW 41Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
75.1%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+6
74.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 6 yds to the HAW 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
76.4%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
75.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the HAW 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
73.8%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+32
71.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to London Humphreys for 32 yds for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17DOWNS TD
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:2834% → 47%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.6%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the HAW 26Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
65.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 8 yds to the HAW 34Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+35
64.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 35 yds to the VAN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
59.0%
SCHAGER, Brayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MCBRIDE, Steven broken up by RUSSELL, Tyson at the VAN0. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on RUSSELL, Tyson enforced 15 yards to the VAN16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
58.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nick Cenacle for 6 yds to the VAN 10Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 4
OPP 10
0
58.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+4
60.6%
Landon Sims run for 4 yds to the VAN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
52.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Greyson Morgan for 3 yds to the VAN 3Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
52.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 4:1368% → 68%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
67.9%
Junior Sherrill run for a loss of 4 yards to the VAN 21Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+16
67.3%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 16 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
69.3%
Jayden McGowan run for 2 yds to the VAN 39Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+22
70.4%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 22 yds to the HAW 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
72.4%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the HAW 39Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
72.2%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+6
71.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 6 yds to the HAW 33Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
67.6%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19DOWNS TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:1845% → 54%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+50
55.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 50 yds to the VAN 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
47.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven McBride for 8 yds to the VAN 9Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 2
OPP 9
0
47.7%
Tylan Hines run for no gain to the VAN 9Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 2
OPP 9
0
50.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+8
50.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Pofele Ashlock for 8 yds to the VAN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.6%
Dalen Morris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20INT
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:3169% → 60%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
68.6%
Chase Gillespie run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 46Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+15
65.9%
SWANN, AJ pass to the right incomplete intended for CARTER, Gamarion thrown to the HAW47. PENALTY HAW Roughing the Passer on MANUMA, Peter enforced 15 yards from the VAN46 to the HAW39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
69.5%
Chase Gillespie run for 1 yd to the HAW 38Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+1
69.4%
Chase Gillespie run for 1 yd to the HAW 37Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
68.5%
AJ Swann pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 8
OPP 37
-5
65.4%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the HAW 42Similar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
60.2%
Matthew Hayball punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21INT
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:3147% → 49%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
52.9%
Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the HAW 25Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
50.7%
Dalen Morris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22INT
3 plays · 59 yds · 1:4369% → 62%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
69.4%
[NHSG] Kneel down by SWANN, AJ at HAW29 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
68.6%
[NH] Kneel down by SWANN, AJ at HAW30 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 30
0
62.1%
[NH] Kneel down by SWANN, AJ at HAW32 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+37.9
TD · Q3 2:44
Brayden Schager pass incomplete
-17.8
TD · Q2 3:48
Matthew Hayball punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cam Stone at the HAW 33
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com