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GAST

Georgia State 23 at Marshall 28

MRSH
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:52 · John McConnell punt for 45 yds , Tailique Williams returns for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+10.6Home team on offense−7.4Garbage-time factor−1.9Score differential−3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:25: Khalan Laborn run for 83 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +10.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:52: Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +15.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:09: Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 32 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +32.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:31: Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +10.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:45: Marcus Carroll 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — GAST win probability +22.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8GAST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:01MRSH 4th & 6 at GAST 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:30GAST 4th & 11 at MRSH 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:29MRSH 4th & 14 at GAST 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:40MRSH 4th & 21 at GAST 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:40GAST 4th & 4 at MRSH 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:47GAST 4th & 4 at MRSH 21, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:52MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:38GAST 4th & 6 at GAST 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:40MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:30MRSH 4th & 5 at GAST 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    54.4%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−8.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:41GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−3.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:19MRSH 4th & 6 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:11GAST 4th & 24 at GAST 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−8.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:13GAST 4th & 27 at GAST 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−3.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:31MRSH 4th & 1 at GAST 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    72.0%−6.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−22.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:57GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:25MRSH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:25MRSH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:52GAST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:09MRSH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:31MRSH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:45GAST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    14.8%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0333% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
67.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Kris Byrd for 55 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
67.2%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 25
-1
67.2%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 26
+1
67.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+20
67.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 20 yds to the Marsh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
67.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2MISSED FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 3:5666% → 65%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.9%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
65.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 15 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
66.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 9 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
66.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-5
66.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+22
66.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 22 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
66.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for no gain to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
66.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to EJ Horton for 4 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+5
64.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 5 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 1
OPP 23
-5
64.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
64.5%
Rece Verhoff 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:3136% → 37%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
63.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 6 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+9
63.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
63.4%
Darren Grainger run for 18 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
63.3%
Darren Grainger sacked by Koby Cumberlander for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+2
63.4%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
63.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
62.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:0163% → 60%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
62.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+1
62.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the Marsh 12Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+5
62.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
62.9%
Cam Fancher run for 14 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
63.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 15 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+38
63.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 38 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
64.4%
Khalan Laborn run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 11
OPP 17
-2
64.4%
Khalan Laborn run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 13
OPP 19
-1
63.6%
Charles Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+38
60.0%
Rece Verhoff 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1440% → 41%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
59.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-3
59.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+9
59.8%
Darren Grainger run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
59.2%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:3561% → 57%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
61.1%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
61.1%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-15
60.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on DRISKELL, Ethan enforced (-15 Yards) to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 21
OPP 39
0
57.1%
John McConnell punt for 33 yds, downed at the GeoSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:5342% → 51%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
58.1%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GeoSt 6Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+4
58.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 10Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+40
58.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 40 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
50
+2
56.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+9
56.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 9 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
56.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
56.1%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
56.1%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+6
57.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 6 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
55.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
55.7%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
56.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
49.3%
Michael Hayes 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5550% → 48%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
50.1%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
50.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
49.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+3
48.2%
John McConnell punt for 45 yds , Tailique Williams returns for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1453% → 52%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
47.5%
KZ Adams run for no gain to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
47.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 4 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
47.8%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
47.8%
Michael Hayes punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
1 play · 83 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
58.3%
Khalan Laborn run for 83 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11Uncategorized
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5543% → 40%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
57.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
58.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
59.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 11
OWN 34
-15
59.6%
HAYES, Michael punt 41 yards to the MAR25, GILMORE, Steven return 19 yards to the MAR44 (SINGLETON, Chance;REECE, Avery), clock 04:25. PENALTY GSU Unnecessary Roughness on GORDON, Terrell enforced 15 yards after the change of possession from the MAR33 to the MAR48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:0061% → 71%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
60.7%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+13
60.4%
Cam Fancher run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
61.2%
Cam Fancher sacked by Thomas Gore and Jordan Veneziale for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+1
61.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 1 yd to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+23
60.2%
Cam Fancher run for 23 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
62.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Devin Miller for 11 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
71.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 5 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:2231% → 33%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
69.4%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the GeoSt 4Similar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+3
69.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+20
69.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 20 yds to the GeoSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
68.8%
Darren Grainger run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
67.2%
Darren Grainger sacked by Koby Cumberlander for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2068% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
68.2%
Cam Fancher sacked by Jeffery Clark for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+6
67.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 6 yds to the Marsh 23 Khalan Laborn fumbled, recovered by MarshSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
66.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+43
66.0%
John McConnell punt for 43 yds , Tailique Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15TD
15 plays · 67 yds · 4:4833% → 53%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
67.0%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
66.3%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+9
67.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 9 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
65.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
66.2%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+11
66.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 11 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
64.3%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the left incomplete intended for CREDLE, Ja'Cyais thrown to the MAR43. PENALTY Before the snap, MAR Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the MAR43 to the MAR38. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 5
OPP 38
+9
63.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 9 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
63.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-4
63.1%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+16
65.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 16 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
63.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the Marsh 10Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-2
63.0%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 12Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
47.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:2252% → 54%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
52.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 7 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
54.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
53.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 5 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+9
56.2%
Cam Fancher run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
56.9%
FANCHER, Cam pass up the middle incomplete intended for HORTON, EJ thrown to the GSU10. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on JONES, Jaylon MAR Holding on SARTOR, Kendrick , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
56.9%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Antoine Lane) to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
58.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
58.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+2
56.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+2
53.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4952% → 49%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
48.5%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
49.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-3
49.7%
Darren Grainger sacked by Sam Burton for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+16
50.7%
Michael Hayes punt for 39 yds , Steven Gilmore returns for 16 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:2250% → 48%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
50.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 4 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+3
50.5%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
49.6%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
50.7%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
53.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 8 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
54.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
52.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 6
50
0
53.8%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:19
4TH & 6
50
0
47.9%
John McConnell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:4954% → 56%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
45.9%
Jamari Thrash run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
45.2%
Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
44.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to LaMarcus Brand for 3 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+5
45.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to LaMarcus Brand for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
43.5%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the left incomplete intended for THRASH, Jamari broken up by SAM, Andre at the MAR35. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on GILMORE, Steven enforced 15 yards to the MAR48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
41.1%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 49 Darren Grainger fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Darren GraingerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 49
-10
43.1%
Darren Grainger sacked by Charlie Gray for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 39
-5
46.0%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 28
OWN 34
+4
47.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 24
OWN 38
0
44.0%
Michael Hayes punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Steven Gilmore at the Marsh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:0244% → 77%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
43.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
43.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+11
41.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Devin Miller for 11 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+33
44.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to EJ Horton for 33 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
77.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 32 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -17 yds · 1:5631% → 27%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.3%
Darren Grainger sacked by Owen Porter for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
70.1%
Darren Grainger sacked by Eli Neal for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-7
71.6%
Darren Grainger sacked by Koby Cumberlander for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q4 8:13
4TH & 27
OWN 8
0
73.4%
Michael Hayes punt for 31 yds , Steven Gilmore returns for no gain to the GeoSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:4278% → 95%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+33
78.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 33 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
78.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
78.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.1%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q4 5:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.7%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:468% → 34%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
92.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 54 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
87.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the Marsh 20Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+16
87.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 16 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
87.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the Marsh 2Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.7%
Marcus Carroll 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24END OF GAME
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:2488% → 97%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
88.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 14 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
90.5%
Cam Fancher run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
50
+5
91.3%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+8
92.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
92.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+8
92.2%
Ethan Payne run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
92.1%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness ( Yards) to the GeoSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
96.8%
[NHSG] Kneel down by MAR at GSU14 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:09
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 32 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)
+32.6
TD · Q4 3:45
Marcus Carroll 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-22.2
TD · Q3 8:52
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)
-15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com