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ODU

Old Dominion 20 at South Alabama 27

USA
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:11 · Carter Bradley run for 2 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+7.1Home team on offense+2.7Garbage-time factor−1.3Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 12:21: Diego Guajardo 23 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +2.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:33: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 6 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +9.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Ethan Sanchez 18 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +10.3 pts (now 39%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:50: Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 30 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +19.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:40: Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 2 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +21.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:10USA 4th & 2 at ODU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    84.4%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:27ODU 4th & 10 at USA 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:56USA 4th & 6 at USA 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:31ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:21USA 4th & 5 at ODU 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:55ODU 4th & 1 at USA 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%−0.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:52USA 4th & 5 at ODU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00ODU 4th & 2 at USA 2, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.7%−3.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−11.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:32USA 4th & 12 at USA 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−3.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:43ODU 4th & 17 at ODU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−3.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:47ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−2.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:37ODU 4th & 16 at ODU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−6.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:11USA 4th & 2 at ODU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.2%−6.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:11USA 4th & 1 at ODU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%−7.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−9.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:46ODU 4th & 13 at USA 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%−0.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:34ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:09USA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:33ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:50USA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:40USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2616% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.8%
Hayden Wolff run for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+36
83.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 36 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
83.8%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
83.8%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+26
82.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 26 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:2583% → 82%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.6%
Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
82.6%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 11 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
82.6%
Carter Bradley run for 3 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+11
82.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 11 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
82.1%
Braylon McReynolds run for 6 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
82.1%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+16
82.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 16 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+1
82.1%
Omni Wells run for 1 yd to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+3
82.0%
Omni Wells run for 3 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+9
82.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 9 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+5
81.9%
Carter Bradley run for 5 yds to the ODU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
82.2%
Omni Wells run for 3 yds to the ODU 10Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
82.2%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
81.6%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 10 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 2:3619% → 21%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+35
80.9%
Blake Watson run for 35 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
80.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+14
80.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 14 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
79.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
79.5%
Blake Watson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
79.6%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
79.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
79.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Keshawn WicksSimilar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
79.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Marqeese DietzSimilar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
78.9%
Ethan Sanchez 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:3179% → 78%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
78.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 18 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
79.6%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
79.3%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Brandon CrumSimilar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+4
78.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Omni Wells for 4 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
78.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:2522% → 21%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
78.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Marquez BellSimilar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
78.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 47 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for no gain to the SAlab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:1078% → 79%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
78.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 8 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+11
78.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 11 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
77.6%
Braylon McReynolds run for 14 yds to the ODU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
77.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+1
77.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
77.6%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Brandon CrumSimilar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+14
77.5%
Desmond Trotter run for 14 yds to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
77.5%
Omni Wells run for 3 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
77.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
77.0%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Lincoln SefcikSimilar
Q2 12:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
78.9%
Diego Guajardo 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4823% → 34%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
77.0%
Blake Watson run for 18 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
76.0%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+24
75.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 24 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
74.9%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
75.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+10
74.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 10 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+10
74.9%
Blake Watson run for 10 yds to the SAlab 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
65.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 6 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 5:3471% → 71%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
70.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 7 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
71.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
70.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 5 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
71.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for 5 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+7
72.1%
Braylon McReynolds run for 7 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
72.1%
Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+18
72.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 18 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
70.4%
Omni Wells run for no gain to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
70.3%
Omni Wells run for 5 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
69.6%
Omni Wells run for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
71.1%
Diego Guajardo 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9FG
17 plays · 87 yds · 2:4528% → 39%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
72.0%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+1
72.6%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 13Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+42
74.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Levi Wentz for 42 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
70.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 6 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
70.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 5 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
70.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jordan BlySimilar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+7
70.5%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
70.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 7 yds to the SAlab 10Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
70.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Blake WatsonSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+8
71.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 8 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
70.7%
Hayden Wolff run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.2%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 2Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
71.8%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the SAlab 2Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+18
61.5%
Ethan Sanchez 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2860% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.6%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.4%
Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-6
59.0%
Carter Bradley sacked by Marcus Haynes for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
56.2%
Jack Brooks punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:4944% → 45%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
56.1%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the ODU 24Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+28
56.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 28 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
53.2%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 47Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-8
53.3%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Ed Smith IV for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 45 Hayden Wolff fumbled, recovered by ODU Khadere Kounta , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 17
OWN 45
0
56.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Isaiah SpencerSimilar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 17
OWN 45
0
54.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 38 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for no gain to the SAlab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 5:5355% → 73%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
54.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 18Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
54.7%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to DJ Thomas-JonesSimilar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+12
53.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 12 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
55.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+14
55.4%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 14 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+8
55.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for 8 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
58.4%
Braylon McReynolds run for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+2
58.6%
Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
59.0%
Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
58.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+7
52.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 7 yds to the ODU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
72.6%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 30 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:5736% → 37%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
64.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 9 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
61.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+8
62.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 8 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
61.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 3 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+10
64.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 10 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
62.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
63.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:1766% → 66%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
65.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+15
66.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 15 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
67.4%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
66.0%
Carter Bradley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2338% → 36%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 25
OWN 15
+3
61.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Marqeese Dietz for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 18
-8
62.1%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Brock Higdon for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 30
OWN 10
+14
63.4%
Blake Watson run for 14 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
63.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16TD
16 plays · 69 yds · 6:5765% → 91%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
64.9%
Carter Bradley run for 18 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
68.7%
Omni Wells run for 5 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+4
69.4%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+1
68.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+2
64.9%
Carter Bradley run for 2 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
68.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+7
68.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 7 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
67.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+4
65.5%
Marco Lee run for 4 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
69.4%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
69.3%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Brandon CrumSimilar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+20
67.2%
Omni Wells run for 20 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
69.4%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
69.4%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the ODU 2Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 2 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:5414% → 12%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 15 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
83.7%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+7
83.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 7 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
81.8%
Hayden Wolff run for 2 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+9
82.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 9 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
79.4%
Hayden Wolff run for 3 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 22
OPP 40
0
84.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ahmarian GrangerSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 22
OPP 40
+9
86.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 9 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 13
OPP 31
-10
87.6%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jamie Sheriff for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18END OF GAME
9 plays · 6 yds · 1:4695% → 97%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
95.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 8 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
95.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 1
50
+3
95.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
96.6%
C. Bradley takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-2
96.4%
C. Bradley takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-2
96.7%
C. Bradley takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:40
Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 2 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)
+21
TD · Q3 4:50
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 30 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)
+19.7
FG · Q2 0:00
Ethan Sanchez 18 yd FG GOOD
-10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com