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2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:34 · Ethan Duane punt for 59 yds, downed at the JMads 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Home team on offense−33.2Score differential−20.2Pregame prior−5.1Garbage-time factor−11.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:49: Todd Centeio run for 6 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +5.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:13: Camden Wise 33 yd FG GOOD — JMU win probability +3.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:05: Ethan Sanchez 29 yd FG GOOD — ODU win probability +1.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 8:20: Camden Wise 21 yd FG GOOD — JMU win probability +4.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:47: Jailin Walker 29 Yd Interception Return (Camden Wise Kick) — JMU win probability +9.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:51ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:12ODU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:03JMU 4th & 19 at JMU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:48ODU 4th & 16 at ODU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:44ODU 4th & 3 at JMU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    27.7%−1.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:42ODU 4th & 20 at JMU 34, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:13JMU 4th & 16 at ODU 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−5.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:59ODU 4th & 1 at ODU 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:05ODU 4th & 3 at JMU 12, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.1%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:20JMU 4th & 3 at ODU 4, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−7.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:34ODU 4th & 16 at ODU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:34JMU 4th & 1 at ODU 30, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:26JMU 4th & 8 at ODU 27, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:45ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 27, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:23JMU 4th & 8 at JMU 23, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:11JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:49JMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:47JMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:47JMU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0935% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
34.7%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
34.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
34.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 3 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 13:51
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
35.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 50 yds, downed at the JMads 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 5:4065% → 66%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
35.2%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 14 yds to the JMads 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+25
35.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 25 yds to the ODU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
35.0%
Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the ODU 41Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+3
35.0%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+11
35.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 11 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
35.0%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 7 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+6
35.0%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 6 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
35.0%
Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+4
35.0%
Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+3
35.0%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the ODU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
35.0%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.1%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:5935% → 35%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
34.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 16 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
35.4%
Tariq Sims run for 8 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
35.6%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 1
50
0
35.6%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 1
50
0
35.4%
Ethan Duane punt for 45 yds, downed at the JMads 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 5:0965% → 65%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
34.9%
Kaelon Black run for no gain to the JMads 5Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+27
34.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 27 yds to the JMads 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
34.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 5 yds to the JMads 37Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
34.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 3 yds to the JMads 40Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
34.2%
Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
34.1%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 46Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
34.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 5 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-10
34.1%
BLACK, Kaelon rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the ODU47 (HAWKINS, Tre). PENALTY JMU Holding on PAINTER, Drew enforced 10 yards from the ODU49 to the JMU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-7
34.7%
Todd Centeio sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the JMads 34Similar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 19
OWN 34
0
35.1%
Sam Clark punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1535% → 34%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
34.7%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-8
34.8%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jamare Edwards and James Carpenter for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 18
0
34.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
33.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:5967% → 73%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+46
33.2%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 46 yds to the ODU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
32.8%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
27.5%
Todd Centeio run for 6 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7DOWNS
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:0229% → 26%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
29.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
29.2%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+23
28.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 23 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
30.5%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+5
30.5%
Hayden Wolff run for 5 yds to the JMads 46Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
30.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+6
30.2%
Hayden Wolff run for 6 yds to the JMads 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
30.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 5 yds to the JMads 35Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
30.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+11
30.4%
Blake Watson run for 11 yds to the JMads 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
30.9%
Javon Harvey run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMads 28Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 14
OPP 28
-4
30.7%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMads 32Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 18
OPP 32
-2
29.9%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jamree Kromah for a loss of 2 yards to the JMads 34Similar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 20
OPP 34
+19
25.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 19 yds to the JMads 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8FG
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:2974% → 80%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
25.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 6 yds to the JMads 21Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+48
25.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 48 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+23
24.4%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Zach Horton for 23 yds to the ODU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
23.4%
Todd Centeio run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
23.4%
Todd Centeio run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 12 Todd Centeio fumbled, recovered by JMads Todd CenteioSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-4
23.7%
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 4:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
19.9%
Camden Wise 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1422% → 22%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
22.3%
Hayden Wolff sacked by James Carpenter for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
22.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
21.8%
Hayden Wolff run for 11 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
22.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:3781% → 77%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
18.7%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 6 yds to the JMads 25Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+10
18.6%
Billy Atkins run for 10 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
18.6%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the JMads 37Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
15.9%
Billy Atkins pass intercepted fumbled, recovered by ODU Jason HendersonSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
23.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JMads 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:1723% → 23%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+6
22.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 6 yds to the JMads 30Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
23.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+11
21.6%
Hayden Wolff run for 11 yds to the JMads 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
21.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 4 yds to the JMads 15Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
21.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 3 yds to the JMads 12Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
21.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
23.0%
Ethan Sanchez 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by JMU at JMU23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 1:0179% → 79%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
21.3%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 34Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
20.6%
Todd Centeio pass intercepted R'Tarriun Johnson fumbled, recovered by JMads Percy Agyei-ObeseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:3280% → 86%
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
19.7%
Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the JMads 45Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
18.2%
Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the JMads 49Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-10
18.5%
JMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kris Thornton) to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
17.9%
Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the ODU 39Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+3
18.0%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+9
18.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 9 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
17.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 16 yds to the ODU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-8
17.7%
Todd Centeio sacked by Marcus Haynes for a loss of 8 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 18
OPP 19
+5
17.8%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 5 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 13
OPP 14
+10
18.0%
Latrele Palmer run for 10 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
13.6%
Camden Wise 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15INT TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:3316% → 6%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.8%
Tariq Sims run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-29
6.2%
Jailin Walker 29 Yd Interception Return (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 3:066% → 5%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
6.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
6.2%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
6.2%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 34Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-9
6.1%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jamare Edwards for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+4
6.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
4.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 59 yds, downed at the JMads 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 17FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:0897% → 99%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+32
3.2%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Wayne Knight for 32 yds to the JMads 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
2.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 9 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+8
2.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 8 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
2.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
2.8%
Todd Centeio run for 6 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
2.7%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the ODU 30Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
3.2%
Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the ODU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
2.8%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
2.8%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
2.8%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:26
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
1.4%
Camden Wise 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:572% → 2%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
2.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 2 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
2.2%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+15
2.2%
Hayden Wolff run for 15 yds to the JMads 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
2.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Marqeese Dietz for 12 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
2.8%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the JMads 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+12
2.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 12 yds to the JMads 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
2.4%
Hayden Wolff pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 7:4299% → 100%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-3
0.6%
JMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyshawn Wyatt) to the JMads 5Similar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+10
0.7%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 10 yds to the JMads 16 Percy Agyei-Obese fumbled, recovered by JMads Drew PainterSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+27
0.6%
Kaelon Black run for 27 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
0.5%
Kaelon Black run for 16 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
0.5%
Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+6
0.5%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 6 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+6
0.5%
Todd Centeio run for 6 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
0.5%
Latrele Palmer run for 8 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+3
0.5%
Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
0.5%
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 13
OPP 18
-1
0.2%
Todd Centeio run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+18
0.2%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 18 yds to the ODU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Kaelon Black run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
Brendon Clark run for 5 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
0.1%
CLARK, Brendon scrambles up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the ODU36 (REIMONENQ, Jarius). PENALTY ODU Holding on BLACK, Xavier enforced 10 yards from the ODU30 to the ODU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
0.1%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
0.1%
Brendon Clark run for 5 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
0.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
0.2%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 2 yds to the JMads 23Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+5
0.2%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 5 yds to the JMads 28Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Peyton Rutherford run for no gain to the JMads 28Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 3
OWN 28
-5
0.2%
JMU Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the JMads 23Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
0.2%
Sam Clark punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
0.1%
Brendon Clark pass complete to Isiah Paige for 21 yds to the JMads 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
0.1%
Brendon Clark run for 2 yds to the JMads 37Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+16
0.1%
Brendon Clark pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 16 yds to the JMads 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
0.1%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the JMads 26Similar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 15
OPP 26
0
0.1%
Brendon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 15
OPP 26
0
0.1%
Brendon Clark pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
[NHSG] Kneel down by JMU at JMU23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:47
Jailin Walker 29 Yd Interception Return (Camden Wise Kick)
-9.5
TD · Q2 13:49
Todd Centeio run for 6 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)
-5.3
FG · Q3 8:20
Camden Wise 21 yd FG GOOD
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com