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ULM

UL Monroe 31 at Georgia State 28

GAST
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:34 · Devyn McCormick punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 170Pregame prior+2.3Home team on offense−15.5Garbage-time factor−6.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6Score differential−4.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:20: Tucker Gregg run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +4.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:27: Andrew Henry run for 4 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +8.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:11: Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 21 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +10.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:13: Calum Sutherland 54 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +7.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:23: Quae Drake 34 Yd Interception Return (Chandler Rogers Pass to Jevin Frett for Two-Point Conversion) — ULM win probability +40.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:41ULM 4th & 19 at ULM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:35ULM 4th & 18 at GAST 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:25ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:16GAST 4th & 9 at GAST 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:58ULM 4th & 9 at GAST 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:18GAST 4th & 7 at GAST 28, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:52ULM 4th & 10 at GAST 44, down 1
    Close callPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.7%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:43GAST 4th & 5 at ULM 43, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%−1.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:19ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 49, down 1
    Close callPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:19GAST 4th & 2 at ULM 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.1%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:13ULM 4th & 8 at GAST 36, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.8%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:51GAST 4th & 8 at GAST 49, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:53GAST 4th & 2 at GAST 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.8%−6.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:34ULM 4th & 12 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−3.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:34GAST 4th & 1 at GAST 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.7%−7.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:34GAST 4th & 16 at GAST 24, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 3.2 ptsWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%−3.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:05GAST 4th & 14 at ULM 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.4%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:46GAST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:38GAST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:16ULM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:20GAST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:27ULM Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:11GAST Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:23ULM Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    50.7%−2.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    52.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:1916% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
83.6%
Chandler Rogers run for 11 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
83.6%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-8
83.6%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Shamar McCollum for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 19
OWN 27
0
83.1%
Devyn McCormick punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:5583% → 84%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
83.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
83.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 4 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+4
83.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 48 Marcus Carroll fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Marcus Carroll for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
83.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 21 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
83.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+5
83.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+6
83.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
83.2%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the right incomplete intended for CREDLE, Ja'Cyais broken up by MAYBERRY, Duece at the ULM0. PENALTY ULM Pass Interference on MAYBERRY, Duece enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the ULM4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
83.7%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:1117% → 18%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
83.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 29 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
82.9%
Malik Jackson run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+3
82.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Nolan Quinlan for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
82.8%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Quavian White) to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
82.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
82.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-15
83.0%
ROGERS, Chandler pass up the middle complete for 11 yards to JACKSON, Malik caught at the GSU9 and advanced to the GSU8 (CRAWFORD, Jacorey). PENALTY ULM Pass Interference on QUINLAN, Nolan enforced 15 yards to the GSU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 25
OPP 34
+7
83.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 7 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 18
OPP 27
+44
82.1%
Calum Sutherland 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5782% → 84%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+49
81.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 49 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
82.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
82.5%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+14
82.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 14 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
82.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 8 yds Tailique Williams fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Tailique WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
82.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the LaMon 3Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
84.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1317% → 17%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
83.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 14 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
82.7%
Andrew Henry run for 8 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
82.4%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-5
82.6%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 43Similar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
83.2%
Devyn McCormick punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6PUNT TD
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:0983% → 79%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
83.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 2 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
83.1%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the right incomplete intended for THRASH, Jamari thrown to the GSU23. PENALTY GSU Illegal Touch-Pass on THRASH, Jamari enforced 0 yards from the GSU17 to the GSU17, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+12
82.8%
Darren Grainger run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
83.2%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-2
83.2%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+3
82.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+23
79.1%
Quae Drake 23 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Calum Sutherland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5680% → 85%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Lu Tillery) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
81.0%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
81.1%
Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
80.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
81.1%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
81.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+9
80.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 9 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
84.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:2217% → 18%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.1%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
83.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 18 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
82.2%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
82.1%
Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 7
50
+15
82.4%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left incomplete intended for HOWELL, Tyrone broken up by WHITE, Quavian at the GSU27. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on WHITE, Quavian enforced 15 yards to the GSU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
81.5%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+17
82.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 17 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
81.3%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
81.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for no gain to the GeoSt 19Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
82.1%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
82.5%
Calum Sutherland 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4082% → 81%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
82.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 3 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
81.7%
HAYES, Michael punt 37 yards to the ULM30, fair catch by HOWELL, Tyrone. PENALTY Before the snap, GSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the GSU33 to the GSU28. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
81.4%
Michael Hayes punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tyrone Howell at the LaMon 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:5118% → 28%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
82.2%
Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+37
81.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 37 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
80.2%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the right incomplete intended for HOWELL, Tyrone thrown to the GSU0. PENALTY GSU Offsides on MOORE, Tre enforced 5 yards from the GSU18 to the GSU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+9
80.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
71.6%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:1076% → 76%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.2%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
76.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
75.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tucker Gregg for 14 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
77.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
50
-10
78.3%
GRAINGER, Darren pass to the left complete for 7 yards to GREGG, Tucker caught at the ULM50 and advanced to the ULM43 (CALLIGAN, Keydrain;GODSEY JR, David). PENALTY GSU Holding on BYRD, Kris enforced 10 yards from the ULM50 to the GSU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+4
76.3%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Tailique Williams for 4 yds fumbled, forced by Michael Batton, recovered by LaMon Fitzroy GardnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2528% → 26%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
71.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
72.1%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
73.0%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 10
OPP 44
+11
74.5%
Devyn McCormick punt for 35 yds , Tailique Williams returns for 11 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 63 yds · 0:4776% → 78%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
75.9%
Darren Grainger sacked by Caleb Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSt 12Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+17
75.1%
Darren Grainger run for 17 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+13
74.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
76.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 12 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
77.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 29 yds to the LaMon 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 32 yds · 4:1776% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
75.8%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
74.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 6 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
74.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
77.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
76.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-5
75.8%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (Mason Cook) to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+15
75.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 15 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
78.1%
Darren Grainger sacked by James Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
76.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+10
75.4%
Darren Grainger run for 10 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
74.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2429% → 28%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
71.4%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
71.2%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
71.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
72.3%
Devyn McCormick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 5:0874% → 88%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
73.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+4
74.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
73.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 15 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
75.8%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
75.0%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+2
75.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+13
74.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 13 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
76.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 6 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+2
77.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+8
76.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
77.4%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 21Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
77.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+21
87.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 21 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 4:5816% → 21%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+22
84.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
50
+3
82.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-2
82.1%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+11
83.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
82.0%
Chandler Rogers sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 17
OPP 45
-10
83.4%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the right complete for 9 yards to HENRY, Andrew caught at the GSU50 and advanced to the GSU36 (GORDON, Terrell). PENALTY ULM Illegal Block in the Back on CUTLER, Victor enforced 10 yards from the GSU45 to the ULM45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 27
OWN 45
+24
86.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 24 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-10
83.8%
ROGERS, Chandler pass up the middle incomplete intended for KNIGHT, Boogie broken up by CRAWFORD, Jacorey at the GSU15. PENALTY ULM Holding on FISHER, Elijah enforced 10 yards from the GSU31 to the GSU41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+5
86.1%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+54
78.7%
Calum Sutherland 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:2278% → 82%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
79.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
78.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
82.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
83.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-2
83.4%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
81.7%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
81.8%
Michael Hayes punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyrone Howell at the LaMon 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19INT
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:1219% → 22%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
81.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 16 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
80.3%
UL MONROE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Alred Luke) to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
80.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 18 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
78.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 13 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
76.6%
Malik Jackson run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
74.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
75.0%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
77.9%
Chandler Rogers pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20INT TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:1687% → 46%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
86.1%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 32Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-34
45.5%
Quae Drake 34 Yd Interception Return (Chandler Rogers Pass to Jevin Frett for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:3046% → 45%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
46.1%
Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
48.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
47.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
49.7%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
46.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+10
44.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
45.1%
Darren Grainger run for no gain to the GeoSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:1575% → 70%
Q4 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
24.6%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 46Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+1
23.1%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
24.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 7
OPP 45
-5
27.3%
MCCORMICK, Devyn punt 33 yards to the GSU12 downed by BATTON, Michael. PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Delay Of Game enforced 5 yards from the GSU45 to the ULM50. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 12
50
0
30.0%
Devyn McCormick punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tailique Williams at the GeoSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 47 yds · 3:2939% → 15%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
38.9%
Marcus Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 13Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+10
38.0%
Darren Grainger run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 23Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+2
37.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+5
36.5%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
39.5%
Darren Grainger sacked by Lu Tillery for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 16
OWN 24
0
38.0%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 16
OWN 24
0
36.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:34
4TH & 16
OWN 24
+17
34.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 17 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
43.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 14 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
45.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 8 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 2
OPP 37
-12
45.9%
Darren Grainger sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 14
OPP 49
0
39.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 14
OPP 49
+12
14.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 12 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
6.0%
[NH] Kneel down by ULM at ULM35 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:23
Quae Drake 34 Yd Interception Return (Chandler Rogers Pass to Jevin Frett for Two-Point Conversion)
-40.6
TD · Q3 4:11
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 21 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)
+10.6
TD · Q2 2:27
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)
-8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com