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ARST

Arkansas State 18 at Louisiana 38

UL
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Zylan Perry run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:28: AJ Mayer pass complete to Seydou Traore for 27 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada PAT BLOCKED) — ARST win probability +9.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:36: Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 45 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +7.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:14: Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 55 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +11.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:34: Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 36 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +10.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:57: Neal Johnson 13 Yd pass from Ben Wooldridge (Kenneth Almendares Kick) — UL win probability +4.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ARST made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 13:32ARST 4th & 9 at ARST 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:18UL 4th & 10 at ARST 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:15ARST 4th & 9 at ARST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:55ARST 4th & 12 at ARST 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:50UL 4th & 11 at ARST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:02ARST 4th & 19 at ARST 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:06ARST 4th & 4 at ARST 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:23UL 4th & 8 at UL 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:58ARST 4th & 13 at UL 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:39UL 4th & 5 at UL 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:36UL 4th & 6 at ARST 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%−1.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:40ARST 4th & 14 at ARST 43, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:36ARST 4th & 8 at ARST 12, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:59ARST 4th & 14 at UL 16, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:11UL 4th & 19 at ARST 34, up 26
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:53ARST 4th & 2 at ARST 32, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:14UL 4th & 16 at UL 12, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:33ARST 4th & 12 at ARST 28, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ARST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 0:13UL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:28ARST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    33.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:36UL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:14UL Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:34UL Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:57UL Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:02ARST Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2434% → 34%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
65.6%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 6Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 6
-3
65.6%
AJ Mayer sacked by Sonny Hazard for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 3Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 3
0
65.6%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 9
OWN 3
0
65.6%
Ryan Hanson punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1466% → 65%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
65.7%
Terrence Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+2
65.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Kibodi for 2 yds to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
65.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
65.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0335% → 35%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.4%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
65.4%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 21Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
65.5%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+22
65.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 49 yds , Eric Garror returns for 22 yds to the ArkSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:1566% → 66%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
65.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+22
65.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 22 yds fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Joe BrittonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:0535% → 35%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
65.2%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 13 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
65.0%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
65.1%
Mike Sharpe II run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-15
64.9%
MAYER, AJ pass to the left complete for 5 yards to CROSS, Ja'Quez caught at the ASU48 and advanced to the ASU50, out of bounds. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on HUNT, Te'Vailance enforced 15 yards to the ASU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 19
OWN 30
+7
65.4%
AJ Mayer run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 37Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
65.3%
William Przystup punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:0565% → 65%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.1%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
65.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
65.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 6 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
65.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
65.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
65.5%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+6
65.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Kibodi for 6 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+13
65.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 13 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
65.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 14 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
65.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
65.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
65.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
65.4%
Kenneth Almendares 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:4834% → 33%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
65.9%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 21Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
66.1%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
66.4%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 14
OWN 21
-5
66.7%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 16Similar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
66.8%
Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds, downed at the LaLaf 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:4967% → 71%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
66.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 15 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
66.7%
run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 36Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
66.6%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+5
66.5%
Terrence Williams run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
66.9%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
66.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+17
66.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 17 yds to the ArkSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
66.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 7Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
71.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 7 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5430% → 29%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
69.9%
AJ Mayer run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
70.0%
AJ Mayer run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
70.3%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
71.0%
Ryan Hanson punt for 63 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:4370% → 70%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
70.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 1 yd to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+10
70.1%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
70.4%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-5
70.3%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 14
OWN 20
-4
70.1%
Ben Wooldridge sacked by Ethan Hassler and Kivon Bennett for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 18
OWN 16
+10
69.6%
Terrence Williams run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
70.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11FG
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:5628% → 28%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+38
72.2%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 38 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
70.7%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
70.8%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-3
71.6%
AJ Mayer sacked by Jourdan Quibodeaux and Sonny Hazard for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+43
71.6%
Dominic Zvada 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:1972% → 72%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
71.5%
Jacob Kibodi run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
72.3%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
72.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
72.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
72.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, downed at the ArkSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 1:1128% → 38%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
72.0%
Mike Sharpe II run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+53
71.8%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Daverrick Jenkins for 53 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
62.0%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Seydou Traore for 27 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5267% → 74%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
66.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 15 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
68.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 6 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
68.6%
Terrence Williams run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
68.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
68.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
67.3%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (David Hudson) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+45
74.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 45 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5626% → 24%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
73.6%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 12 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
72.3%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-10
72.9%
QB Keeper MAYER, AJ rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the LA40 (ANDERSON, Caleb). PENALTY ASU Holding on THOMAS, Makilan enforced 10 yards from the ASU47 to the ASU37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+6
74.1%
AJ Mayer run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
74.3%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
75.6%
Ryan Hanson punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaLaf 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 1:2675% → 86%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
74.5%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+4
75.0%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
74.9%
Ben Wooldridge run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+15
74.8%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben sacked for a loss of 9 yards at the LA21 (BENNETT, Kivon). PENALTY ASU Face mask on BENNETT, Kivon enforced 15 yards from the LA30 to the LA45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
86.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 55 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 17INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:1217% → 16%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
83.1%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 24Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+9
83.1%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
82.7%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Seydou Traore for 13 yds to the ArkSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
82.1%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 3 yds to the ArkSt 49Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-10
81.3%
MAYER, AJ pass to the left complete for 6 yards to SHARPE II, Mike caught at the ASU49 and advanced to the LA45, out of bounds. PENALTY ASU Holding on THOMAS, Makilan enforced 10 yards from the ASU49 to the ASU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 39
0
83.6%
AJ Mayer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2684% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.3%
Terrence Williams run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
84.6%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
85.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrence Williams for 3 yds Terrence Williams fumbled, recovered by LaLafSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
84.4%
Terrence Williams run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
85.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
85.0%
Terrence Williams run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+5
84.5%
Terrence Williams run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
94.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 36 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:456% → 6%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
93.9%
Mike Sharpe II run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 12Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
93.9%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
94.0%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
94.5%
Ryan Hanson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the ArkSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:3995% → 99%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
94.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+5
94.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
94.9%
Ben Wooldridge run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-1
94.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 33Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+14
94.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 14 yds to the ArkSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
94.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+13
99.4%
Neal Johnson 13 Yd pass from Ben Wooldridge (Kenneth Almendares Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:521% → 1%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.3%
Mike Sharpe II run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 29Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+9
99.2%
AJ Mayer run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.2%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.2%
AJ Mayer run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+4
99.2%
Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
99.2%
DAILEY, Jaxon sacked for a loss of 8 yards at the LA48 (JONES, Andre). PENALTY LA Holding on MARTIN, Keyon enforced 10 yards from the LA40 to the LA30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
99.1%
Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Seydou Traore for 18 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
99.1%
Jaxon Dailey sacked by Zi'Yon Hill-Green for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 14
OPP 16
0
99.1%
Mike Sharpe II run for no gain to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 14
OPP 16
0
99.2%
Jaxon Dailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+33
99.4%
Dominic Zvada 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
18 plays · 49 yds · 7:4199% → 100%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.1%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+8
99.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dre'lyn Washington for 8 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+12
99.1%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.4%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+11
99.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.4%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
99.4%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 44Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
99.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.6%
Zylan Perry run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-5
99.6%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Zylan Perry) to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
99.6%
Zylan Perry run for 14 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Zeon Chriss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
99.6%
Zylan Perry run for no gain to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 10
OPP 25
-1
99.6%
Zylan Perry run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 16 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 19
OPP 34
0
99.6%
Zeon Chriss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 19
OPP 34
0
99.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 31 yds, downed at the ArkSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.8%
Jaxon Dailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+6
99.7%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 9Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+15
99.8%
DAILEY, Jaxon sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the ASU2 (EDWARDS, Kailep). PENALTY LA Face mask on EDWARDS, Kailep enforced 15 yards from the ASU9 to the ASU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
99.7%
Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Daverrick Jenkins for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Jaxon Dailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+12
99.7%
Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Daverrick Jenkins for 12 yds to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
99.8%
William Przystup punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.8%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-1
99.8%
Dre'lyn Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Zeon Chriss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 6
OWN 22
-5
99.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Ty'Darien Quinney) to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 11
OWN 17
-5
99.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Kam Pedescleaux) to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 16
OWN 12
-6
99.8%
Rhys Byrns punt for 52 yds , Champ Flemings returns for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Mike Sharpe II run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
99.8%
Jaxon Dailey pass complete to Khyheem Waleed for 4 yds to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 2
OWN 38
-10
99.8%
SHARPE II, Mike rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the ASU39 (GANT, Kendre'). PENALTY ASU Holding enforced 10 yards from the ASU38 to the ASU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Jaxon Dailey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
99.9%
William Przystup punt for 52 yds, downed at the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -8 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.8%
Zylan Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+2
99.8%
Zylan Perry run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+12
99.7%
Dane Motley 12 Yd Fumble Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Zylan Perry run for no gain to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.8%
Zylan Perry run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+11
99.8%
Zylan Perry run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.8%
Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+8
99.8%
Zylan Perry run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:14
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 55 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q3 11:34
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 36 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+10.1
TD · Q2 6:28
AJ Mayer pass complete to Seydou Traore for 27 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada PAT BLOCKED)
-9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com