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ODU

Old Dominion 49 at Coastal Carolina 21

CCU
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:17 · Grayson McCall sacked by Marcus Haynes for a loss of 10 yards to the CCaro 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense−16.0Pregame prior+10.5Score differential−9.1Garbage-time factor−6.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:44: D.J. Mack Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +18.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:23: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 22 yds for a TD — ODU win probability +15.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:13: Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 75 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +19.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:23: D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 21 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +18.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:01: Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyler Roberts for 9 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +16.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:49CCU 4th & 6 at ODU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:49CCU 4th & 6 at ODU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:43CCU 4th & 7 at ODU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    71.7%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:38ODU 4th & 14 at CCU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    29.4%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:14CCU 4th & 1 at ODU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%−1.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−5.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:34ODU 4th & 8 at CCU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−0.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00CCU 4th & 17 at ODU 43, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 2.5 ptsWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%−2.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    52.3%−1.7
    28% to make
    Punt
    54.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:17CCU 4th & 3 at ODU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.6%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:07CCU 4th & 16 at ODU 19, down 21
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:51CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:33ODU 4th & 2 at CCU 2, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:26CCU 4th & 4 at ODU 22, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:49ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:52CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:19ODU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:44ODU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:23ODU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:13CCU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:23ODU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:01CCU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:16ODU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:33ODU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:0622% → 24%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
78.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 15 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
78.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 2
50
+6
78.2%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
78.2%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
78.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
78.2%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
78.2%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+25
76.3%
Blake Watson run for 25 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2MISSED FG
18 plays · 46 yds · 7:0677% → 73%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
76.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
76.8%
CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
76.7%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCaro 40Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+12
76.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 12 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
76.9%
Elijah Hopkins run for 5 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-8
76.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Beasley,CJ rush right for 2 yards gain to the ODU41 (Lowry,Denzel; Henderson,Jason) PENALTY CCU Holding (Jenkins,Jacob) 8 yards from ODU43 to CCU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+4
76.7%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+3
76.8%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 6
OPP 44
+12
76.7%
Grayson McCall run for 12 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
77.0%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
77.0%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+1
76.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 1 yd to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 6
OPP 44
+12
76.7%
Grayson McCall run for 12 yds to the ODU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
77.0%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
77.0%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+1
76.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 1 yd to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
72.8%
Kade Hensley 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:0528% → 30%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
72.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 7 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+22
71.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 22 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
71.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 7 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 3
OPP 35
-10
71.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Paige,Isiah rush left for 4 yards gain to the CCU31 (Jackson,Tavyn; Pinkney,Tre') PENALTY ODU Holding (Wicks,Keshawn) 10 yards from CCU35 to CCU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 13
OPP 45
-3
71.5%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Adrian Hope for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 48Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+2
72.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 2 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+2
72.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 2 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
70.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:2470% → 68%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
70.1%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCaro 21Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
70.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 4 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+29
69.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 14 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ryan Henry) to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+29
69.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 14 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ryan Henry) to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
70.5%
Grayson McCall sacked by Denzel Lowry for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+5
69.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 5 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+15
69.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCall,Grayson pass incomplete short left to Pinckney,Sam PENALTY ODU Roughing The Passer (Ford Jr.,Alonzo) 15 yards from ODU47 to ODU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
71.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 7 yds to the ODU 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+2
71.1%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
70.5%
Reese White run for no gain to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
68.2%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the ODU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:4034% → 40%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.5%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+21
66.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 21 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
65.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Blake WatsonSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
65.6%
Blake Watson run for 9 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+7
65.3%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
65.2%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
65.2%
Obie Sanni run for 5 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
65.3%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the CCaro 33Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 3
OPP 33
-5
66.2%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Thomas,Leroy) 5 yards from CCU33 to CCU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
59.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:4261% → 72%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
61.4%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
61.8%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
61.9%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
61.9%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+28
61.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 28 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
64.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 4 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+27
65.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 27 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
65.1%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
65.1%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
72.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 8 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3333% → 48%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
67.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 17 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
52.1%
Blake Watson run for 58 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8DOWNS
16 plays · 32 yds · 2:1957% → 52%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
56.6%
Grayson McCall sacked by Deeve Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 22Similar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
56.6%
Grayson McCall sacked by Deeve Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 22Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
56.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 5 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+27
55.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 27 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
60.2%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
59.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCall,Grayson rush right for 0 yards to the ODU46 (Lowry,Denzel; Ford Jr.,Alonzo) PENALTY ODU Holding (Harris,Tobias) 10 yards from ODU46 to ODU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
60.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 6 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-15
60.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCall,Grayson pass complete deep right to Brown,Jared for 30 yards to the ODU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:30 PENALTY CCU Personal Foul (Loper,Antwine) 15 yards from ODU30 to ODU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 19
OPP 45
-3
56.9%
Grayson McCall sacked by Ryan Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 19
OPP 45
-3
56.9%
Grayson McCall sacked by Ryan Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 22
OPP 48
+5
55.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 5 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 17
OPP 43
0
52.4%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:3055% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.1%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
55.7%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
54.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 6 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
56.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 5 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+17
57.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 17 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
58.7%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the ODU 40Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+9
55.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds Sam Pinckney fumbled, recovered by ODU Tre Hawkins IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:4651% → 71%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
49.2%
PENALTY CCU Offside (Clark,Jerrod) 5 yards from ODU31 to ODU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 5
OWN 36
+18
48.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Watson,Blake rush right for 4 yards loss to the ODU32 (Brown,Jahmar) PENALTY CCU Personal Foul (Ryan,Braylon) 18 yards from ODU36 to CCU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
46.9%
Keshawn Wicks run for 8 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+2
46.7%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
46.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 16 yds to the CCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
28.7%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:1934% → 31%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
34.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 4 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+12
34.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 12 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
36.4%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+6
36.2%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
37.0%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 3
OPP 49
-10
31.4%
Grayson McCall sacked by Marcus Haynes for a loss of 10 yards to the CCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:5476% → 93%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
23.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 16 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
23.0%
Tariq Sims run for 3 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
7.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 22 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
27.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 75 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:4476% → 95%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
24.0%
Obie Sanni run for 11 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
22.8%
Obie Sanni run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 1
50
+2
21.9%
Obie Sanni run for 2 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
22.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 12 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
22.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Mack Jr.,D.J. rush middle for 0 yards to the CCU36 (Fofana,Amadou) PENALTY ODU Holding (Hunt,Tyran) 10 yards from CCU36 to CCU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 20
OPP 46
0
22.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Javon HarveySimilar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+2
22.7%
Tariq Sims run for 2 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 22
OPP 48
+27
23.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 27 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
4.9%
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 21 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
16 plays · 77 yds · 5:177% → 20%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
7.4%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
7.4%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the CCaro 21Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+20
6.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 20 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
6.7%
Grayson McCall sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 37
-5
6.4%
PENALTY CCU False Start (Pinckney,Sam) 5 yards from CCU37 to CCU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 32
+10
6.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 10 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+32
6.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 32 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
7.7%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Tyson MobleySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+13
7.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCall,Grayson pass incomplete short middle to Pinckney,Sam PENALTY ODU Personal Foul (Lowry,Denzel) 13 yards from ODU26 to ODU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
7.8%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Tyson MobleySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-10
7.8%
Grayson McCall sacked by Deeve Harris for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 23
+4
7.1%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 16
OPP 19
0
4.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 16
OPP 19
+10
4.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCall,Grayson pass incomplete short left to Pinckney,Sam PENALTY ODU Personal Foul (Harris,Deeve) 10 yards from ODU19 to ODU09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
20.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyler Roberts for 9 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4589% → 97%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
10.8%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+67
2.7%
Blake Watson run for 67 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:254% → 3%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.5%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
3.4%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Tyson MobleySimilar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
3.4%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
3.3%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 4:1898% → 100%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
2.4%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+33
2.4%
Blake Watson run for 33 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+19
2.3%
Blake Watson run for 19 yds to the CCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
2.3%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
2.3%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.4%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 1 yd to the CCaro 2Similar
Q4 5:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 2 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19END OF GAME
16 plays · 62 yds · 5:260% → 0%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
0.2%
Max Balthazar run for 3 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
0.2%
Max Balthazar run for 5 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+6
0.2%
Max Balthazar run for 6 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
0.2%
Max Balthazar run for 4 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+6
0.2%
Max Balthazar run for 6 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
0.2%
Max Balthazar run for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+15
0.2%
Reese White run for 15 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
0.2%
Elijah Hopkins run for 9 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 1
OPP 19
-3
0.2%
Jarrett Guest sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
0.2%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Max BalthazarSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+8
0.2%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 8 yds to the ODU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.2%
Jarrett Guest pass incomplete to Kyre DuplessisSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
0.2%
Jarrett Guest run for 6 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+2
0.2%
Max Balthazar run for 2 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 6
-5
0.1%
PENALTY CCU False Start 5 yards from ODU06 to ODU11. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:13
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 75 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)
+19.4
TD · Q3 1:23
D.J. Mack Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 21 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
-18.2
TD · Q3 9:44
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
-18.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com