Try the model
GASO

Georgia Southern 33 at Georgia State 41

GAST
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Center Parc Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:58 · M.Stampley rushed to GSO 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 28.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense+5.2Pregame prior+5.9Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:45: D.Grainger pass complete to GST 47. Catch made by J.Thrash at GST 47. Gain of 53 yards. J.Thrash for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — GAST win probability +12.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:53: K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 1. Catch made by D.Burgess at GST 1. Gain of 1 yards. D.Burgess for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — GASO win probability +10.1 pts (now 31%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:15: T.Gregg rushed to GSO End Zone for 3 yards. T.Gregg for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — GAST win probability +10.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:49: K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 24. Catch made by A.Jones at GST 24. Gain of 24 yards. A.Jones for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — GASO win probability +15.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 13:09: T.Gregg rushed to GSO End Zone for 33 yards. T.Gregg for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — GAST win probability +17.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 4:05GAST 4th & 6 at GASO 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−1.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:56GAST 4th & 6 at GASO 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:48GASO 4th & 6 at GAST 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−4.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:58GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.4%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:51GAST 4th & 4 at GASO 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    74.5%−1.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:32GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:33GAST 4th & 4 at GASO 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%−3.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:28GASO 4th & 3 at GAST 7, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.7%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:03GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 49, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.5%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:06GAST 4th & 8 at GASO 48, up 8
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:23GAST 4th & 1 at GASO 25, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−1.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:48GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:33GAST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:09GAST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:45GAST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:53GASO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:15GAST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:36GASO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:09GAST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1241% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
59.1%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 25. Catch made by J.Singleton at GSO 25. Gain of 65 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 10.Similar
Q1 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
59.1%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for J.Singleton.Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
59.0%
J.White rushed to GST 4 for 6 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 4.Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
58.7%
J.White rushed to GST End Zone for 4 yards. J.White for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0959% → 60%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
58.7%
D.Grainger pass complete to GST 25. Catch made by R.Lewis at GST 25. Gain of 26 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 49.Similar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
58.8%
D.Grainger pass complete to GSO 49. Catch made by R.Lewis at GSO 49. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 44.Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
58.7%
D.Grainger scrambles to GSO 35 for 1 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 35. PENALTY on GST-M.Sumter, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+25
58.4%
D.Grainger rushed to GSO 28 for 25 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 28.Similar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
58.6%
D.Grainger steps back to pass. D.Grainger pass incomplete intended for A.Green.Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+13
58.6%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 15 for 13 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 15.Similar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
58.5%
D.Grainger steps back to pass. D.Grainger pass incomplete intended for R.Lewis.Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
58.5%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 14 for 1 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 14.Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
59.6%
D.Grainger pass complete to GSO 14. Catch made by R.Lewis at GSO 14. Gain of 14 yards. R.Lewis for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:2541% → 41%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.2%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 25. Catch made by J.White at GSO 25. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 28.Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
59.1%
J.White rushed to GSO 40 for 12 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 40.Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
58.8%
J.White rushed to GSO 42 for 2 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 42.Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-7
58.8%
K.Vantrease pass INTERCEPTED at GST 40. Intercepted by Q.White at GST 40. Tackled by GSO at GST 33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:4559% → 61%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
59.2%
M.Carroll rushed to GST 43 for 20 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 43.Similar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
59.7%
D.Grainger steps back to pass. D.Grainger pass incomplete intended for J.Thrash.Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
59.6%
M.Carroll rushed to GSO 49 for 8 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 49. PENALTY on GSO-W.Free, Defensive Chop Block, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
60.2%
D.Grainger pass complete to GSO 34. Catch made by J.Credle at GSO 34. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 18.Similar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
60.3%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 11 for 7 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 11.Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+5
60.3%
D.Grainger rushed to GSO 6 for 5 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 6.Similar
Q1 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
60.4%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 4 for 2 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 4.Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
60.5%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 5 for -1 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 5.Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
60.2%
D.Grainger pass complete to GSO 5. Catch made by J.Credle at GSO 5. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 6.Similar
Q1 4:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
60.6%
M.Hayes 23 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-GST, Holder-GST.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0940% → 39%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
60.5%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for K.Hood.Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
60.7%
K.Vantrease pass INTERCEPTED at GSO 37. Intercepted by J.Muhammad at GSO 37. Tackled by GSO at GSO 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:4062% → 63%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
61.6%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 31 for 7 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 31.Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+3
61.9%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 28.Similar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
61.7%
D.Grainger scrambles to GSO 25 for 3 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 25.Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-1
61.8%
D.Grainger pass complete to GSO 25. Catch made by J.Credle at GSO 25. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 26.Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+2
61.4%
D.Grainger pass complete to GSO 26. Catch made by J.Williams at GSO 26. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 24.Similar
Q1 0:56
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
63.4%
M.Hayes 41 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-GST, Holder-GST.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:0438% → 40%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.5%
G.Green rushed to GSO 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 27.Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
62.5%
G.Green rushed to GSO 30 for 3 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 30.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
62.8%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 30. Catch made by D.Burgess at GSO 30. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 45. PENALTY on GST-J.Crawford, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
61.1%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 40. Catch made by D.Burgess at GST 40. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 22.Similar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
60.3%
K.Vantrease rushed to GST 24 for -2 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 24.Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 12
OPP 24
0
60.6%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for A.Jones.Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+6
62.1%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 24. Catch made by K.Hood at GST 24. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 18.Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 6
OPP 18
0
60.3%
A.Raynor 35 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-GSO, Holder-GSO.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3561% → 69%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
60.6%
J.Williams rushed to GSO 33 for 42 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 33.Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
62.7%
J.Williams rushed to GSO 28 for 5 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 28.Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+15
62.8%
J.Williams rushed to GSO 13 for 15 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 13.Similar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
62.9%
J.Williams rushed to GSO 9 for 4 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 9.Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
63.0%
J.Williams rushed to GSO 6 for 3 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 6.Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
68.6%
J.Williams rushed to GSO End Zone for 6 yards. J.Williams for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9INT
18 plays · 51 yds · 5:5132% → 32%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
68.1%
G.Green rushed to GSO 16 for 0 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 16.Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
68.7%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for B.Johnson.Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+9
69.5%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 16. Catch made by A.Jones at GSO 16. Gain of yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 26. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was overturned. K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 16. Catch made by A.Jones at GSO 16. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 25.Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+3
69.5%
M.Stampley rushed to GSO 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 28.Similar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
68.4%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 28. Catch made by K.Hood at GSO 28. Gain of -3 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 25.Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+12
69.2%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 25. Catch made by J.Singleton at GSO 25. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 37.Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
68.5%
J.White rushed to GSO 39 for 2 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 39.Similar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
68.5%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 39. Catch made by K.Hood at GSO 39. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 48.Similar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+3
69.5%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 42. Catch made by J.Singleton at GSO 42. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 45.Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 17
OWN 45
+1
69.8%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 45. Catch made by J.Singleton at GSO 45. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 46.Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 16
OWN 46
+16
70.6%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 46. Catch made by D.Burgess at GSO 46. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 38.Similar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
68.5%
A.Jones rushed to GST 40 for -2 yards. Lateral to J.Singleton to GST 48 for yards. Tackled by GST at GST 48.Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 20
OPP 48
0
70.1%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for A.Jones.Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 20
OPP 48
0
70.8%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for D.Burgess. PENALTY on GST-J.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
67.9%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for O.Arnold.Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
68.5%
K.Vantrease pass INTERCEPTED at GST 21. Intercepted by J.Hunter at GST 21. Tackled by GSO at GST 21. The Replay Official reviewed the pass interception and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:1671% → 84%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+26
71.2%
D.Grainger pass complete to GST 21. Catch made by T.Williams at GST 21. Gain of 26 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 47.Similar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
84.0%
D.Grainger pass complete to GST 47. Catch made by J.Thrash at GST 47. Gain of 53 yards. J.Thrash for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4119% → 31%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.1%
J.White rushed to GSO 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 27.Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
81.2%
J.White rushed to GSO 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 31.Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
81.8%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for D.Burgess. PENALTY on GST-J.Denis, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
80.9%
J.White rushed to GSO 46 for 0 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 46.Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+23
81.5%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 46. Catch made by K.Hood at GSO 46. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 31.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
79.4%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 31. Catch made by K.Hood at GST 31. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 16. The Replay Official reviewed the targeting and the play was overturned. K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 31. Catch made by K.Hood at GST 31. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 16. PENALTY on GST-J.Clark, Defensive Targeting, 8 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
79.0%
J.White rushed to GST 1 for 7 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 1.Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.9%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 1. Catch made by D.Burgess at GST 1. Gain of 1 yards. D.Burgess for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:3874% → 75%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.2%
T.Gregg rushed to GST 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 32.Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+21
74.9%
D.Grainger rushed to GSO 47 for 21 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 47. PENALTY on GST-A.Green, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
75.4%
T.Gregg rushed to GST 46 for 3 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 46.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:4575% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.5%
J.Williams rushed to GST 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 25.Similar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.5%
D.Grainger rushed to GST 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 30.Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
74.2%
D.Grainger pass complete to GST 30. Catch made by A.Green at GST 30. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 38.Similar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
76.1%
J.Williams rushed to GST 45 for 7 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 45.Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+10
76.7%
J.Williams rushed to GSO 45 for 10 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 45.Similar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
77.0%
J.Williams rushed to GSO 43 for 2 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 43.Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
77.8%
D.Grainger steps back to pass. D.Grainger pass incomplete intended for J.Thrash.Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+4
77.0%
D.Grainger scrambles to GSO 39 for 4 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 39.Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+10
76.2%
D.Grainger pass complete to GSO 39. Catch made by J.Credle at GSO 39. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 29.Similar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
78.8%
J.Williams rushed to GSO 20 for 9 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 20.Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+6
79.0%
D.Grainger rushed to GSO 14 for 6 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 14.Similar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
79.2%
PENALTY on GSO-M.Stampley, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 5
OPP 9
+6
79.2%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 3 for 6 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 3.Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.9%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO End Zone for 3 yards. T.Gregg for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:2613% → 24%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
86.6%
G.Green rushed to GSO 35 for 4 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 35.Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+16
86.7%
G.Green rushed to GST 49 for 16 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 49.Similar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
86.1%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 49. Catch made by A.Jones at GST 49. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 35.Similar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
85.5%
G.Green rushed to GST 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 31.Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+17
85.2%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 31. Catch made by J.Singleton at GST 31. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by B.Brown at GST 14.Similar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
85.5%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for J.Singleton.Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-1
85.7%
J.White rushed to GST 15 for -1 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 15.Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+15
76.2%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 15. Catch made by K.Hood at GST 15. Gain of 15 yards. K.Hood for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5779% → 78%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.7%
J.Williams rushed to GST 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 30.Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
80.0%
J.Williams rushed to GST 30 for 0 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 30.Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
79.2%
D.Grainger steps back to pass. D.Grainger pass incomplete intended for T.Williams.Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+30
78.3%
M.Hayes punts 30 yards to GSO 40, Center-GST. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:2780% → 81%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
80.3%
D.Grainger pass complete to GST 21. Catch made by J.Thrash at GST 21. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 29.Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+6
81.2%
T.Gregg rushed to GST 35 for 6 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 35.Similar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
81.3%
T.Gregg rushed to GST 32 for -3 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 32.Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
81.1%
D.Grainger pass INTERCEPTED at GST 42. Intercepted by M.Stampley at GST 42. Tackled by GST at GST 42. PENALTY on GST-L.Cristobal, Illegal Use of Hands / Offense, 5 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:0722% → 39%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
77.7%
J.White rushed to GST 37 for 5 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 37.Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+11
77.4%
J.White rushed to GST 26 for 11 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 26.Similar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
76.3%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for J.Singleton. PENALTY on GST-GST, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 5
OPP 21
-3
76.3%
G.Green rushed to GST 24 for -3 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 24.Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+24
60.7%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 24. Catch made by A.Jones at GST 24. Gain of 24 yards. A.Jones for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1370% → 89%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.0%
J.Williams rushed to GST 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 26.Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
69.8%
D.Grainger rushed to GST 32 for 6 yards. Tackled by GSO at GST 32.Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
69.7%
D.Grainger pass complete to GST 32. Catch made by J.Thrash at GST 32. Gain of 4 yards. J.Thrash FUMBLES, forced by A.Wilson. Out of bounds.Similar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
71.4%
J.Williams rushed to GSO 45 for 19 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 45.Similar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
73.8%
D.Grainger scrambles to GSO 44 for 1 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 44.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-1
73.8%
D.Grainger steps back to pass. D.Grainger sacked at GSO 45 for -1 yards (J.Ellis) Tackled by GSO at GSO 45.Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+6
72.0%
D.Grainger pass complete to GSO 45. Catch made by T.Williams at GSO 45. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 39.Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+6
71.5%
D.Grainger pass complete to GSO 39. Catch made by J.Thrash at GSO 39. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 33.Similar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
88.6%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO End Zone for 33 yards. T.Gregg for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 4:3614% → 16%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.7%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 25. Catch made by K.Hood at GSO 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 31.Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
84.4%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 31. Catch made by A.Jones at GSO 31. Gain of yards. A.Jones FUMBLES, forced by Q.White. Fumble RECOVERED by GST-J.Hunter at GSO 36. J.Hunter for yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was overturned. K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for A.Jones.Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
85.6%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 31. Catch made by A.Jones at GSO 31. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 39.Similar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
84.4%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 39. Catch made by A.Jones at GSO 39. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 48.Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 1
OWN 48
0
83.4%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for J.Singleton.Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+5
84.4%
J.White rushed to GST 47 for 5 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 47.Similar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
84.4%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 47. Catch made by K.Hood at GST 47. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 45. PENALTY on GSO-A.Jones, Offensive Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 18
OWN 45
+4
86.8%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 45. Catch made by J.Singleton at GSO 45. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 49.Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 14
OWN 49
0
88.7%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for D.Burgess.Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+15
89.2%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 49. Catch made by J.White at GSO 49. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 36.Similar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+21
86.7%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 36. Catch made by K.Hood at GST 36. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 15.Similar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
85.4%
J.White rushed to GST 11 for 4 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 11.Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+5
85.3%
J.White rushed to GST 6 for 5 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 6.Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-1
87.6%
J.White rushed to GST 7 for -1 yards. Tackled by GST at GST 7.Similar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
84.2%
A.Raynor 25 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-GSO, Holder-GSO.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0515% → 12%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
84.8%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 44. Catch made by A.Jones at GSO 44. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 46.Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
86.0%
J.White rushed to GSO 49 for 3 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 49.Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
86.1%
K.Vantrease steps back to pass. K.Vantrease pass incomplete intended for K.Hood.Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
87.8%
K.Vantrease pass INTERCEPTED at GST 39. Intercepted by J.Jones at GST 39. Tackled by GSO at GSO 50.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5494% → 94%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
93.8%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 45 for 5 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 45.Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
94.1%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 43 for 2 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 43.Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
94.7%
D.Grainger pass complete to GSO 43. Catch made by J.Thrash at GSO 43. Gain of yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 41. PENALTY on GST-GST, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
94.8%
D.Grainger steps back to pass. D.Grainger pass incomplete intended for J.Thrash.Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 8
OPP 48
+38
94.1%
M.Hayes punts 38 yards to GSO 10, Center-GST. Downed by GST.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:2010% → 10%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
90.3%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 10. Catch made by K.Hood at GSO 10. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by GST at GSO 25.Similar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.1%
K.Vantrease pass complete to GSO 25. Catch made by K.Hood at GSO 25. Gain of 9 yards. K.Hood FUMBLES, forced by J.Hunter. Fumble RECOVERED by GST-J.Veneziale at GSO 34. Tackled by GSO at GSO 34.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 23END OF GAME
10 plays · 11 yds · 0:5296% → 96%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
95.7%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 31 for 3 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 31.Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
95.7%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 30 for 1 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 30.Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
95.5%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 25 for 5 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 25.Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+3
94.8%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 22 for 3 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 22.Similar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
96.4%
T.Gregg rushed to GSO 20 for 2 yards. Tackled by GSO at GSO 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:09
T.Gregg rushed to GSO End Zone for 33 yards. T.Gregg for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+17.1
TD · Q3 2:49
K.Vantrease pass complete to GST 24. Catch made by A.Jones at GST 24. Gain of 24 yards. A.Jones for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-15.6
TD · Q2 3:45
D.Grainger pass complete to GST 47. Catch made by J.Thrash at GST 47. Gain of 53 yards. J.Thrash for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com