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CCU

Coastal Carolina 41 at Georgia State 24

GAST
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2022 · Center Parc Stadium
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Win probability · GAST
modelGAST aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playGAST scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 1:52: Kade Hensley 44 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +5.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:44: Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 29 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +8.3 pts (now 34%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:15: Nate Hope II run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +10.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:28: Jarrett Guest pass intercepted for a TD Jontrey Hunter return for 77 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +7.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:25: Jarrett Guest run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GAST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:46GAST 4th & 5 at GAST 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:44GAST 4th & 13 at GAST 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:51CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00GAST 4th & 15 at GAST 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:17CCU 4th & 4 at GAST 7, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−8.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:12GAST 4th & 4 at GAST 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:45CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 7, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:00GAST 4th & 3 at CCU 18, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%−0.5
    79% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−4.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:52CCU 4th & 8 at GAST 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−5.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:15GAST 4th & 10 at GAST 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:03CCU 4th & 3 at GAST 21, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.2%−0.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−5.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:45GAST 4th & 1 at CCU 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−3.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:02CCU 4th & 2 at GAST 41, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−1.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:43CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:07CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:45GAST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:45CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:44GAST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:15CCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:28GAST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:25CCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
50
+50
43.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 50 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4443% → 43%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
43.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
43.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+2
43.3%
Michael Hayes punt for 36 yds , Tyson Mobley returns for 2 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:1357% → 58%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
43.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 6 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
43.0%
Nate Hope II run for 3 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
43.0%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
42.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 53 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2042% → 41%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.1%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.0%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-7
41.9%
Darren Grainger sacked by Jerrod Clark and Ja'Quon Griffin for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
41.2%
Michael Hayes punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyson Mobley at the CCaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3959% → 59%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
41.1%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
40.9%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
40.9%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
41.1%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jamyest Williams at the GeoSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 2:5541% → 43%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
41.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+53
41.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 53 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
41.3%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the CCaro 22Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
40.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+3
40.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the CCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
40.6%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the CCaro 11Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+7
40.4%
Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
43.0%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3558% → 65%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.8%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+18
41.3%
CJ Beasley run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
41.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 7 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
40.6%
Jared Brown run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
40.5%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+12
40.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 12 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
39.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 12 yds to the GeoSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
39.8%
CJ Beasley run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+1
39.4%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
35.1%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3036% → 35%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
35.9%
Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
36.0%
Jamyest Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 28Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-8
35.2%
Darren Grainger sacked by Amadou Fofana for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
34.8%
Michael Hayes punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyson Mobley at the CCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 5:3366% → 74%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
34.2%
CJ Beasley run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
34.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+14
34.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 14 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
32.7%
Jared Brown run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
32.1%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
31.9%
Nate Hope II run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+21
30.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 21 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
30.4%
CJ Beasley run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 16Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+8
30.4%
Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+1
29.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 1 yd to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
26.1%
Kade Hensley 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5829% → 29%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
28.8%
Jamyest Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
28.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 10 yds to the GeoSt 31Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
28.4%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-14
28.9%
Michael Hayes punt for 53 yds , Tyson Mobley returns for a loss of 14 yards to the CCaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0074% → 74%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
26.1%
CJ Beasley run for 7 yds to the CCaro 9Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 3
OWN 9
-2
25.9%
CJ Beasley run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 7Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
25.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 5
OWN 7
+15
25.8%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 33 yds , Jamyest Williams returns for 15 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 12FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3030% → 30%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
30.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the CCaro 24Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-2
30.0%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+8
28.6%
Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
29.7%
Michael Hayes 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:5873% → 81%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
27.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 10 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
26.8%
CJ Beasley run for 20 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
25.3%
Jared Brown run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+10
24.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 10 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
24.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Tyson MobleySimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
24.5%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-1
23.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 27Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
18.6%
Kade Hensley 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:5630% → 34%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
30.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 20 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
32.1%
Darren Grainger run for 10 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
32.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+8
25.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
33.6%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 29 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:1569% → 69%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
31.2%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the CCaro 13Similar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+11
31.2%
Grayson McCall run for 11 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
31.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 10 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 16INT
11 plays · 39 yds · 2:3232% → 34%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.6%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
31.4%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
30.2%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
32.7%
Jamyest Williams run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
33.3%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+6
32.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
33.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-2
33.1%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 47Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+11
31.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 11 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
33.9%
Darren Grainger pass intercepted Charles Arnold Jr. return for no gain to the CCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17TD
17 plays · 84 yds · 8:4570% → 89%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
30.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+8
29.8%
CJ Beasley run for 8 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
29.4%
Nate Hope II run for no gain to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
29.7%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
28.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 8 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+1
27.8%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCaro 49Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
28.2%
Nate Hope II run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
27.4%
Jared Brown run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
27.2%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Xavier GravetteSimilar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+16
27.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 16 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
25.7%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
24.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 17 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
23.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 5 yds to the GeoSt 7Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
22.0%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 4Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+2
22.6%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
21.2%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the GeoSt 2Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.8%
Nate Hope II run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5214% → 14%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.4%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
14.2%
Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the GeoSt 25Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
13.8%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyson Mobley at the CCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:5790% → 94%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
9.9%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+13
9.8%
Grayson McCall run for 13 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
8.8%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+16
8.8%
CJ Beasley run for 16 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
6.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 11 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
6.2%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
6.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 21Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
5.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
6.5%
Kade Hensley 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:199% → 8%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
9.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 24Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+26
9.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
50
0
9.6%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
50
+9
9.2%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Kris Byrd for 9 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
9.4%
Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+4
8.5%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
8.3%
Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 38 Tucker Gregg fumbled, recovered by CCaro JT KillenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1895% → 96%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
4.7%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+10
4.6%
CJ Beasley run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
4.2%
Max Balthazar run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
4.1%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for no gain to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
4.0%
Bryce Carpenter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+4
4.1%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 33 yds , Jamyest Williams returns for 4 yds to the GeoSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 22INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:166% → 5%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
5.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 2 yds to the GeoSt 14Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-8
5.3%
Darren Grainger pass intercepted Charles Arnold Jr. return for 8 yds to the GeoSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:1796% → 89%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
3.6%
Nate Hope II run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 17Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-77
11.5%
Jarrett Guest pass intercepted for a TD Jontrey Hunter return for 77 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:3588% → 98%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
12.0%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
11.9%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+26
11.1%
Jarrett Guest run for 26 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
9.1%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
8.3%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 37Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
8.5%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+27
7.0%
CJ Beasley run for 27 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.9%
Jarrett Guest run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 25FUMBLE
11 plays · 55 yds · 1:382% → 3%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
2.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 19 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
2.5%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
2.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 9 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+4
2.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 4 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
2.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 14 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
2.9%
Darren Grainger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+20
2.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 20 yds to the CCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
2.9%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 10Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 0
OPP 10
-15
3.2%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the CCaro 25Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 0
OPP 25
+5
2.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ahmon Green for 5 yds Ahmon Green fumbled, recovered by CCaro Tobias Fletcher , return for 12 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1598% → 99%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
1.7%
Max Balthazar run for 4 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
1.3%
Jarrett Guest run for 2 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+4
1.2%
Max Balthazar run for 4 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 39
-3
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:15
Nate Hope II run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)
-10.4
TD · Q2 0:44
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 29 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)
+8.3
TD · Q4 7:28
Jarrett Guest pass intercepted for a TD Jontrey Hunter return for 77 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)
+7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com