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2022 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2022 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFUMBLEFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:57 · Peter Moore punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Tobias Harris at the ODU 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Pregame prior−1.9Home team on offense−10.4Garbage-time factor−4.9Score differential−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 1:26: TEAM run for a loss of 54 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by ODU Robert Kennedy III , return for 25 yds, (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +13.8 pts (now 51%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:03: William Ross 44 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +7.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:11: Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 6 yds for a TD, (William Ross KICK) — VT win probability +15.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:41: Timeout VIRGINIA TECH, clock 00:41 — ODU win probability +24.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Blake Watson 1 Yd Run (Ethan Sanchez Kick) — ODU win probability +51.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:10VT 4th & 10 at VT 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:26ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:09VT 4th & 4 at VT 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:17ODU 4th & 10 at VT 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    35.3%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:02ODU 4th & 9 at VT 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−5.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:06ODU 4th & 4 at ODU 40, down 4
    Close callPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:49VT 4th & 4 at ODU 46, up 4
    Close callPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    60.5%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:47ODU 4th & 7 at ODU 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:26VT 4th & 14 at ODU 21, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.7%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−5.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:35VT 4th & 15 at VT 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−3.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:31ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 26, up 3
    Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:03VT 4th & 6 at ODU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−7.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:00ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−4.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:04VT 4th & 12 at VT 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−3.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:50ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−2.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:27VT 4th & 7 at VT 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−1.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:30ODU 4th & 3 at VT 3, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.7%−2.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−15.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:57VT 4th & 9 at VT 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−3.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:57ODU 4th & 11 at VT 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−1.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:40ODU 4th & 1 at VT 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%−10.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−15.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:12VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:11VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:00ODU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 2:4563% → 62%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
37.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 4 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-5
37.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Johnny Jordan) to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+5
37.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 5 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+9
37.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 9 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
37.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 1 yd to the VTech 38Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+4
38.0%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
38.1%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Da'Wain LoftonSimilar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 5
OWN 42
-5
38.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
38.5%
Peter Moore punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1738% → 39%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
38.4%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 14Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+4
38.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 4 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 3
OWN 18
0
38.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jordan BlySimilar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
38.5%
Ethan Duane punt for 48 yds, downed at the VTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:2261% → 63%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
38.7%
Keshawn King run for 6 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+39
38.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 39 yds to the ODU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
38.5%
Keshawn King run for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
36.7%
Grant Wells run for 18 yds for a TD, (William Ross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3537% → 37%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
37.3%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+2
37.5%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-2
37.3%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
36.9%
Ethan Duane punt for 49 yds , DJ Harvey returns for no gain to the VTech 28 OLDDOMINION Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (LaMareon James) to the VTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5164% → 63%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
36.4%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
36.3%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick GalloSimilar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+4
36.6%
Grant Wells run for 4 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
36.7%
Peter Moore punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:2537% → 37%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
37.1%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the ODU 21Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
37.1%
Hayden Wolff run for 8 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+7
37.0%
Keshawn Wicks run for 7 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
37.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 14 yds to the 50 yard line OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javon Harvey) to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 6
OWN 40
+2
38.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 2 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
38.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+15
37.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Chamarri Conner) to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
38.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for no gain to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
38.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
37.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jordan BlySimilar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 10
OPP 43
+2
36.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 36 yds , William Kakavitsas returns for 2 yds to the VTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:2763% → 63%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
36.8%
Keshawn King run for 5 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+1
36.4%
Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the VTech 15Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
36.8%
Grant Wells pass intercepted Terry Jones return for no gain to the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:3538% → 41%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
38.3%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+5
38.9%
Blake Watson run for 5 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
38.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+13
38.9%
Blake Watson run for 13 yds to the VTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
39.0%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the VTech 12Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+7
39.1%
Obie Sanni run for 7 yds to the VTech 5Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 3
OPP 5
-1
38.3%
Obie Sanni run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 6Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 4
OPP 6
-5
37.3%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the VTech 11Similar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+29
41.1%
Ethan Sanchez 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9INT
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:0860% → 62%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
40.1%
Chance Black run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 13Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+30
40.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 15 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST down OLDDOMINION Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Marcus Haynes) to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
38.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 24 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
38.1%
Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
37.9%
Grant Wells pass intercepted Tobias Harris return for no gain to the ODU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:5741% → 40%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
40.7%
Wolff, Hayden pass incomplete to Kuntz, Zack, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Hawkins, Ny'Quee) 11 yards to the ODU34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ODU.Similar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
40.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
40.5%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
41.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
40.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 42 yds, downed at the VTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:0960% → 61%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
40.2%
Chance Black run for no gain to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
40.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 8 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+3
39.4%
Chance Black run for 3 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
39.1%
Chance Black run for 19 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
37.8%
Chance Black run for no gain to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
37.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 7 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-1
37.9%
Keshawn King run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
39.1%
Peter Moore punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tobias Harris at the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5740% → 38%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
39.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
39.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
38.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+1
38.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 51 yds , DJ Harvey returns for 1 yd to the VTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13FUMBLE TD
8 plays · -7 yds · 3:1261% → 49%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
39.0%
Keshawn King run for 14 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
37.9%
Keshawn King run for 5 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+32
37.6%
Keshawn King run for 32 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
35.3%
Jalen Holston run for 5 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
35.2%
Jalen Holston run for no gain to the ODU 12Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 5
OPP 12
-15
35.5%
Wells, Grant pass complete to Lofton, Da'Wain for 9 yards to the ODU3, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Kakavitsas, William) 15 yards to the ODU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 20
OPP 27
+6
37.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 6 yds to the ODU 21Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+25
51.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 54 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by ODU Robert Kennedy III , return for 25 yds, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:3249% → 47%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.0%
Grant Wells run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
50.9%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick GalloSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
52.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Parker Clements) to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-3
52.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jadan Blue for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 20Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
53.2%
Peter Moore punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
51.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 16 yds Ali Jennings III fumbled, forced by Dax Hollifield, recovered by VTech Dax HollifieldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16END OF HALF
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:2054% → 55%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
46.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
47.3%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+13
48.5%
Grant Wells run for 13 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
45.3%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1852% → 52%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
51.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Blake WatsonSimilar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
53.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 5 yds to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+3
52.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 3 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
51.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:1948% → 54%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
52.1%
Keshawn King run for 15 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
50.4%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
50.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Drake De Iuliis for 7 yds to the ODU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
49.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 16 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
48.5%
Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 6
OPP 27
-5
48.4%
Wells, Grant pass incomplete to Gallo, Nick, PENALTY VATECH illegal motion (Wright, Dae'Quan) 5 yards to the ODU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
48.9%
Jalen Holston run for no gain to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 11
OPP 32
-5
51.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ODU 37Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 16
OPP 37
+10
53.5%
Grant Wells run for 10 yds to the ODU 27Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
45.6%
William Ross 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5550% → 48%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
49.9%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ODU 23Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
49.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
48.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
47.5%
Ethan Duane punt for 57 yds, downed at the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:5053% → 50%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
47.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 17 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
45.8%
Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-3
45.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 35Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
48.8%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
49.9%
Peter Moore punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · -9 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
51.0%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Jaden Keller for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 10 Hayden Wolff fumbled, forced by Jaden Keller, recovered by VTech Dax Hollifield , return for 0 yards , return for 6 yds to the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:4459% → 74%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 0
OPP 10
-5
41.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 15Similar
Q3 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+9
42.2%
Keshawn King run for 9 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
41.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick GalloSimilar
Q3 5:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
26.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 6 yds for a TD, (William Ross KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:0131% → 29%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
31.4%
Blake Watson run for 8 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+2
33.3%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
32.0%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
31.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
30.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+1
29.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 44 yds , DJ Harvey returns for 1 yd to the VTech 33 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the VTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1372% → 70%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
27.7%
Chance Black run for 1 yd to the VTech 16Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+2
28.0%
Chance Black run for 2 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
28.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Da'Wain LoftonSimilar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
29.7%
Peter Moore punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 25FG
15 plays · 49 yds · 3:4735% → 41%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
34.7%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
32.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+9
30.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 9 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+15
32.7%
Wolff, Hayden pass incomplete to Jennings III, Ali, PENALTY VATECH pass interference 15 yards to the VATECH29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ODU.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
37.1%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
37.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+9
34.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 9 yds to the VTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
36.5%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
36.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (Dax Hollifield) to the VTech 9Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+2
36.5%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the VTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
36.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q4 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
36.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for 4 yds to the VTech 3Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
34.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
41.4%
Ethan Sanchez 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:1568% → 68%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
32.5%
Keshawn King run for 3 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+11
31.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 11 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
29.6%
Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
28.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 4 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-5
28.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Johnny Jordan) to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
29.1%
Grant Wells run for no gain to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 8:57
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
32.1%
Peter Moore punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Tobias Harris at the ODU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:2139% → 37%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
39.0%
Tariq Sims run for no gain to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+35
38.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 35 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
44.2%
Tariq Sims run for no gain to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
44.0%
Obie Sanni run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
39.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
37.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 28INT
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:4976% → 85%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
24.2%
Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+9
24.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
50
+1
22.0%
Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the ODU 49Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
21.9%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the ODU 48Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+10
22.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 10 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
19.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Drake De Iuliis for 5 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-5
17.2%
Holston, Jalen rush for 3 yards to the ODU30, PENALTY VATECH illegal formation 5 yards to the ODU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-3
15.1%
Grant Wells run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 13
OPP 41
-1
15.3%
Grant Wells pass intercepted Ryan Henry return for 1 yd to the ODU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 29TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 2:5834% → 96%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
34.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
29.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
50
-5
36.0%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (Khadere Kounta) to the ODU 45Similar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 15
OWN 45
0
31.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+5
29.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 10
50
+9
28.0%
Hayden Wolff run for 9 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
30.3%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
30.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+38
29.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 38 yds to the VTech 1 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dorian Strong) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.9%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the VTech 1Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.2%
Blake Watson 1 Yd Run (Ethan Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 30INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1617% → 15%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
83.2%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Connor BlumrickSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
83.0%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Connor BlumrickSimilar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
84.8%
Grant Wells pass intercepted LaMareon James return for no gain to the ODU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
95.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Blake Watson 1 Yd Run (Ethan Sanchez Kick)
+51.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:41
Timeout VIRGINIA TECH, clock 00:41
+24.3
TD · Q3 5:11
Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 6 yds for a TD, (William Ross KICK)
-15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com