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GRAM

Grambling 3 at Arkansas State 58

ARST
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Centennial Bank Stadium
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Win probability · ARST
modelARST aheadGRAM aheadconfidence bandkey playARST scoreGRAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:34 · Jimmy Iles punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Pregame prior+40.2Home team on offense+6.5Score differential+3.9Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:52: Champ Flemings 29 Yd pass from James Blackman (Dominic Zvada Kick) — GRAM win probability +0.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  2. SAFETY · Q1 0:51: John Mincey Safety — ARST win probability +0.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:23: Brian Snead run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK) — ARST win probability +0.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:48: James Blackman run for 9 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK) — ARST win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:13: James Blackman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK) — ARST win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6GRAM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:12ARST 4th & 1 at GRAM 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:21GRAM 4th & 27 at GRAM 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:34GRAM 4th & 9 at GRAM 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:54ARST 4th & 1 at GRAM 1, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:37GRAM 4th & 8 at ARST 43, down 23
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:37ARST 4th & 5 at GRAM 38, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:41GRAM 4th & 9 at ARST 47, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:12GRAM 4th & 8 at GRAM 27, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:20GRAM 4th & 13 at ARST 13, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:50GRAM 4th & 16 at GRAM 19, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:15GRAM 4th & 11 at GRAM 20, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:15GRAM 4th & 11 at GRAM 20, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:15ARST 4th & 5 at GRAM 38, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:42ARST 4th & 14 at GRAM 14, up 55
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:42ARST 4th & 14 at GRAM 14, up 55
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:34GRAM 4th & 8 at GRAM 18, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 7:48ARST Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:13ARST Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:45ARST Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:38ARST Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:43ARST Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:2095% → 94%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
94.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Brian Snead for 8 yds to the Gramb 45Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+6
94.6%
Johnnie Lang run for 6 yds to the Gramb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
94.6%
Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 40Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+4
94.6%
Johnnie Lang run for 4 yds to the Gramb 36Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
94.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 6 yds to the Gramb 30Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
94.6%
Brian Snead run for 1 yd to the Gramb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
94.6%
Brian Snead run for no gain to the Gramb 29Similar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
94.6%
Brian Snead run for 17 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
94.4%
Champ Flemings 29 Yd pass from James Blackman (Dominic Zvada Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 2:306% → 6%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.5%
Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Maurice Washington for 3 yds to the Gramb 28Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
94.5%
Maurice Washington run for 9 yds to the Gramb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.5%
Quaterius Hawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
94.5%
(09:35) QB Keeper HAWKINS, Quaterius rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the GSU38 (STRAKER, Melique), out of bounds, clock 09:35. PENALTY GSU Holding on CHERNAK, Chris enforced 10 yards from the GSU37 to the GSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 20
OWN 27
0
94.5%
Quaterius Hawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 20
OWN 27
-7
94.5%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 7 yards to the Gramb 20Similar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 27
OWN 20
+15
94.4%
Jimmy Iles punt for 45 yds , Johnnie Lang returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 3TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:1495% → 95%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
50
+16
94.7%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 16 yds to the Gramb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
94.7%
Brian Snead run for 26 yds to the Gramb 8 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jeff Foreman) to the Gramb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
94.7%
Johnnie Lang run for 11 yds to the Gramb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
94.7%
Johnnie Lang run for no gain to the Gramb 13Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
94.7%
Seydou Traore 13 Yd pass from James Blackman (Dominic Zvada Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:406% → 5%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Quaterius Hawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Quaterius Hawkins run for no gain to the Gramb 25Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.3%
Quaterius Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Gramb 31Similar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
95.5%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Delay Of Game (Floyd Chalk IV) to the Gramb 26Similar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
95.5%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Delay Of Game (Floyd Chalk IV) to the Gramb 26Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Jimmy Iles punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:3296% → 96%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
95.5%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 9 yds to the Gramb 46Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+23
95.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 23 yds to the Gramb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
95.6%
Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 25Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+21
95.5%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 21 yds to the Gramb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
95.6%
Brian Snead run for 1 yd to the Gramb 1Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.6%
Brian Snead run for no gain to the Gramb 1Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.5%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+2
95.6%
Brian Snead run for 2 yds to the Gramb 23Similar
Q1 0:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
95.7%
AJ Mayer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 6SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
96.0%
John Mincey SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 1:3796% → 97%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
96.0%
Brian Snead run for 6 yds to the Gramb 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
96.0%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+7
95.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 7 yds to the Gramb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
96.5%
Johnnie Lang run for 25 yds to the Gramb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
96.5%
SNEAD, Brian rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the GSU8 (MONCRIEF, Chandler). PENALTY GSU Face mask on MONCRIEF, Chandler enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the GSU10 to the GSU5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.9%
Brian Snead run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:374% → 3%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
96.2%
Quaterius Hawkins sacked by Thurman Geathers for a loss of 15 yards to the Gramb 40Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 25
OWN 40
+17
96.4%
Chance Williams run for 17 yds to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
96.3%
Quaterius Hawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
96.5%
Jimmy Iles punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 12Similar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
96.9%
BLACKMAN, James pass to the left incomplete intended for LANG, Johnnie thrown to the ASU30. PENALTY GSU Roughing the Passer on ANDERSON, Sundiata enforced 15 yards from the ASU27 to the ASU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 3:4997% → 99%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
96.9%
BLACKMAN, James pass to the right complete for -4 yards to FLEMINGS, Champ caught at the ASU8 and advanced to the ASU8 (DAIGRE, Chris) (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY GSU Targeting on DAIGRE, Chris enforced 15 yards from the ASU12 to the ASU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
97.0%
Johnnie Lang run for 15 yds to the Gramb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.0%
Johnnie Lang run for no gain to the Gramb 43Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
97.0%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 5 yds to the Gramb 38Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+8
96.8%
James Blackman pass complete to Khyheem Waleed for 8 yds to the Gramb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
97.0%
Johnnie Lang run for 16 yds to the Gramb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.0%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Targeting on LEE, Donald enforced half the distance from the goal ( Yards) to the Gramb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
97.0%
Brian Snead run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 9Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.6%
James Blackman run for 9 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 10PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 6:221% → 1%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
98.8%
Chance Williams run for 8 yds to the Gramb 18Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 2
OWN 18
0
98.7%
Chance Williams run for no gain to the Gramb 18Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+34
98.8%
Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Chance Williams for 34 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
98.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-1
98.5%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 40Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-7
98.5%
Quaterius Hawkins sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 9
OPP 47
+9
98.7%
Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to JR Waters for 9 yds to the ArkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
98.6%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+18
98.7%
Quaterius Hawkins run for 18 yds to the ArkSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-19
98.6%
Quaterius Hawkins run for a loss of 19 yards to the ArkSt 40 Quaterius Hawkins fumbled, recovered by GrambSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 29
OPP 40
-4
98.7%
Chance Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 44Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 33
OPP 44
-8
99.3%
Julian Calvez sacked by Jaden Harris and Taylon Doss for a loss of 8 yards to the Gramb 48Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 41
OWN 48
+4
99.4%
Jimmy Iles punt for 31 yds , Johnnie Lang returns for 4 yds to the ArkSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Khyheem Waleed for 10 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.2%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.2%
Marcel Murray run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+1
99.2%
Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Chance Williams run for 2 yds to the Gramb 27Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Julian Calvez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Julian Calvez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:12
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Jimmy Iles punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:5999% → 100%
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Brian Snead run for no gain to the ArkSt 36Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.4%
Brian Snead run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 43Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+7
99.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Khyheem Waleed for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.4%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Khyheem Waleed) to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+2
99.4%
Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 13
OWN 47
0
99.4%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+14
99.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Adam Jones for 14 yds to the Gramb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.4%
Marcel Murray run for 3 yds to the Gramb 36Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+34
99.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 34 yds to the Gramb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
James Blackman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 14FG
18 plays · 63 yds · 4:490% → 0%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
99.7%
Chance Aime run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 23Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+15
99.7%
CALVEZ, Julian pass to the right incomplete intended for BEAN, Noah thrown to the GSU30. PENALTY ASU Roughing the Passer on BENNETT, Kivon enforced 15 yards from the GSU23 to the GSU38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 15 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
99.7%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on CARMOUCHE, Jordan enforced (Jordan Carmouche) to the ArkSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
99.7%
HANDY, Jaden rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the ASU20 (FLOWERS, Dennard). PENALTY GSU Holding on PRIESTLY, Melvin enforced 10 yards from the ASU26 to the ASU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 20
OPP 36
-15
99.7%
CALVEZ, Julian pass to the left incomplete intended for WATERS, JR broken up by DOSS, Taylon at the ASU3. PENALTY GSU Pass Interference on WATERS, JR enforced 15 yards to the GSU49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 35
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Julian Calvez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 35
OWN 49
+29
99.7%
Julian Calvez run for 14 yds to the ARST 37 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Kenneth Harris) to the ArkSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.7%
Julian Calvez run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 18Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+4
99.6%
Chance Williams run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 14Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+5
99.6%
Chance Williams run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the ArkSt 9Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.7%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 3Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.5%
Julian Calvez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.3%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Delay Of Game (Floyd Chalk IV) to the ArkSt 8Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
99.6%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Delay Of Game (Floyd Chalk IV) to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Julian Calvez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
99.8%
Garrett Urban 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15TD
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:29100% → 100%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+49
99.8%
Johnnie Lang run for 49 yds to the Gramb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Johnnie Lang run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 16INT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
99.9%
Chance Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 10Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 12
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Julian Calvez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 12
OWN 10
-5
99.9%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Delay Of Game (Floyd Chalk IV) to the Gramb 5Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 17
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Julian Calvez pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 17TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
99.8%
AJ Mayer run for 14 yds to the Gramb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.8%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 6 yds to the Gramb 33Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+14
99.8%
AJ Mayer run for 14 yds to the Gramb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
99.8%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Reed Tyler for 6 yds to the Gramb 13Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+8
99.8%
Marcel Murray run for 8 yds to the Gramb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.8%
MURRAY, Marcel rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the GSU1 (BURRLE, Kelin). PENALTY Before the snap, GSU Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the GSU5 to the GSU2. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
AJ Mayer run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Julian Calvez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Julian Calvez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.9%
Julian Calvez sacked by Keyron Crawford for a loss of 6 yards to the Gramb 19Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Jimmy Iles punt for 30 yds, downed at the Gramb 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the Gramb 45Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
99.9%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for no gain to the Gramb 45Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
AJ Mayer run for 10 yds to the Gramb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Daverrick Jenkins for 3 yds to the Gramb 32Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
99.9%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jaden Milliner for 8 yds to the Gramb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
99.9%
Mike Sharpe II run for 9 yds to the Gramb 15Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+12
99.9%
Mike Sharpe II run for 12 yds to the Gramb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Mike Sharpe II run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aidan Ellison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for 5 yds to the Gramb 26Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-1
100.0%
Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 25Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chance Aime pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 6
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Delay Of Game (Floyd Chalk IV) to the Gramb 20Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Jimmy Iles punt for 52 yds, downed at the ArkSt 28Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Jimmy Iles punt for 52 yds, downed at the ArkSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 56 yds · 6:33100% → 100%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
99.9%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 12 yds to the Gramb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
99.9%
Ja'Quez Cross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 44Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-5
99.9%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 49Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 16
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Mike Sharpe II run for 4 yds to the Gramb 45Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
AJ Mayer run for 7 yds to the Gramb 38Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+28
99.9%
AJ Mayer run for 28 yds to the Gramb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
99.9%
Ja'Quez Cross run for a loss of 4 yards to the Gramb 14Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-1
99.9%
Ja'Quez Cross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 15Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+1
100.0%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the Gramb 14Similar
Q4 3:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
-2
100.0%
Mike Sharpe II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 16Similar
Q4 3:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
-2
100.0%
Mike Sharpe II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
100.0%
Chance Aime run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 14Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
100.0%
Jaden Handy run for no gain to the Gramb 14Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+4
100.0%
Jaden Handy run for 4 yds to the Gramb 18Similar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Jimmy Iles punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Reagan Ealy at the ArkSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Mike Sharpe II run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Mike Sharpe II run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:48
James Blackman run for 9 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q2 13:23
Brian Snead run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q3 10:13
James Blackman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com