Try the model
HAW

Hawai'i 14 at San José State 27

SJSU
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · CEFCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:45 · Brayden Schager pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+14.4Home team on offense+15.0Score differential+5.7Garbage-time factor+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:17: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 5 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:36: Matthew Shipley 46 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +1.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:09: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 7 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:46: Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK) — SJSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:41: Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven Fiso for 22 yds for a TD, (Brayden Schager pass to Zion Bowens for Two-Point Conversion) — HAW win probability +9.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:48HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00SJSU 4th & 2 at HAW 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:34HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:28HAW 4th & 13 at SJSU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:04SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:31HAW 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.3%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:36HAW 4th & 4 at SJSU 29, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.0%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:56HAW 4th & 3 at SJSU 10, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.3%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:16SJSU 4th & 3 at midfield, up 1
    Close callPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:16HAW 4th & 14 at HAW 11, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:11HAW 4th & 10 at SJSU 49, down 8
    Close callPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:57HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 47, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:45HAW 4th & 3 at SJSU 43, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−1.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:51SJSU 4th & 2 at HAW 9, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%−0.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−4.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:24SJSU 4th & 4 at HAW 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−0.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:08SJSU 4th & 4 at HAW 4, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.1%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−4.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:25HAW 4th & 8 at SJSU 8, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3HAW made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 4:17SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:09SJSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:46SJSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:41HAW Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0913% → 13%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
87.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
87.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:27
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+4
87.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 4 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
87.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 4:4287% → 86%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
87.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 11 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
87.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+13
87.0%
Isaac Jernagin run for 13 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+11
87.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 11 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
86.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
86.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+4
86.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
86.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 15
OPP 35
0
86.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the Hawa 35Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+13
86.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 13 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
86.3%
Chevan Cordeiro run for no gain to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+1
85.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the Hawa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1914% → 14%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
85.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
85.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
85.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
85.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:1186% → 87%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
85.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 3 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
85.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 5 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+6
85.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
85.4%
(06:42) CORDEIRO, Chevan pass to the left incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin broken up by NELSON, Hugh at the UHM7. PENALTY UHM Pass Interference on NELSON, Hugh enforced 15 yards to the UHM30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
85.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 11 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
85.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the Hawa 10Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+3
85.2%
Isaac Jernagin run for 3 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
85.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
86.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 5 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5MISSED FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 5:4514% → 14%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
86.2%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+9
86.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 9 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
85.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
85.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 6 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
85.1%
Brayden Schager run for 8 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
84.9%
Tylan Hines run for no gain to the SJSt 45Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+12
85.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 12 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
84.2%
Brayden Schager run for 6 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+4
84.1%
Tylan Hines run for 4 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
84.4%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
84.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-5
84.8%
HAWAII Penalty, Delay Of Game (Malik Hausman) to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
85.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+44
85.8%
Matthew Shipley 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1986% → 85%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
85.9%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
85.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 25Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
84.9%
Alex Weir punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tylan Hines at the Hawa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:2115% → 18%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
84.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
85.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 3 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+6
84.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 1
50
+2
84.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
84.1%
Tylan Hines run for 7 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-5
84.1%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+11
84.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 11 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
83.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 6 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
84.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+46
82.2%
Matthew Shipley 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
82.5%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Illegal Snap on PARDUE, Anthony enforced (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 14Similar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 15
OWN 14
0
82.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2720% → 20%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
80.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+5
80.2%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 10Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
80.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
79.6%
Matthew Shipley 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4082% → 81%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+18
80.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 18 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
82.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-5
82.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
81.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+3
81.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 3
50
0
81.1%
Travis Benham punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:5621% → 19%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
79.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
79.1%
Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-6
79.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Alii Matau for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 11Similar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 14
OWN 11
0
80.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:0182% → 88%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
81.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+44
81.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 44 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
82.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 7Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
88.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 7 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:4914% → 14%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
86.0%
Brayden Schager run for 3 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
85.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+11
85.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 11 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
84.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
85.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
85.5%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
86.4%
Matthew Shipley punt for 32 yds, downed at the SJSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
87.0%
(00:02) [NHSG] Kneel down by SJS at SJS15 (team loss of 2).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1486% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
86.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 17 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
87.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+13
87.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 13 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
87.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
87.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+11
87.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 11 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
87.6%
Isaac Jernagin run for 6 yds to the Hawa 14Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+11
87.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 11 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
87.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:569% → 8%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
90.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 9 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
90.3%
(08:56) SCHAGER, Brayden pass to the right complete for 7 yards to PANOKE, Jonah caught at the UHM45 and advanced to the UHM45, out of bounds. PENALTY UHM Holding on HOPP, Austin enforced 10 yards from the UHM38 to the UHM28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+6
91.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 6 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+6
91.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 6 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+7
91.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 7 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+3
91.4%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
50
+5
90.8%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 5 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
90.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 2 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
91.0%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the SJSt 43Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
91.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:4795% → 97%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
94.8%
Isaac Jernagin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+9
94.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
95.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+7
95.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 7 yds to the Hawa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
95.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 31Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+14
95.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 14 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
95.9%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the Hawa 17Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
96.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 9
0
96.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
97.2%
Taren Schive 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:104% → 13%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
96.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven Fiso for 27 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
95.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 7 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
95.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+4
96.3%
Brayden Schager run for 4 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
96.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 7 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+8
95.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
86.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven Fiso for 22 yds for a TD, (Brayden Schager pass to Zion Bowens for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 5:3390% → 98%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
90.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 35 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
91.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Fernando Carmona Jr.) to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 15
OPP 45
-5
91.0%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by John Tuitupou for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 20
50
+16
90.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 16 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
90.7%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the Hawa 34Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+29
89.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 29 yds to the Hawa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
93.2%
Chevan Cordeiro run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 8Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
93.8%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 4 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
98.3%
Taren Schive 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20DOWNS
16 plays · 53 yds · 4:375% → 3%
Q4 7:02
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+12
95.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 12 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
95.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 8 yds to the SJSt 43Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
94.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+16
94.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 16 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
94.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 5 yds to the SJSt 22Similar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
95.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 7 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
94.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+2
95.5%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Harmon) to the SJSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 17
OPP 19
+17
96.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 17 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
95.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-7
95.4%
Brayden Schager sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
96.3%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 5Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
96.4%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 8Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
-9
97.0%
Brayden Schager sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:5699% → 99%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 6
OWN 21
-2
99.2%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+10
99.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 10 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.3%
(00:20) [NH] Kneel down by SJS at SJS28 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:41
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven Fiso for 22 yds for a TD, (Brayden Schager pass to Zion Bowens for Two-Point Conversion)
-9
TD · Q2 1:09
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 7 yds for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q3 9:46
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taren Schive KICK)
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com