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UNLV

UNLV 25 at Hawai'i 31

HAW
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:37 · Matthew Shipley punt for 41 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior−23.4Home team on offense+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:40: Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 11 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +16.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:01: Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 55 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +23.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:13: Elijah Shelton 3 Yd Fumble Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — UNLV win probability +24.2 pts (now 41%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:51: Dedrick Parson 34 Yd Run (Matthew Shipley Kick) — HAW win probability +19.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:08: Daniel Gutierrez 40 Yd Field Goal — UNLV win probability +14.3 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 10:43UNLV 4th & 9 at HAW 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:14UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:29HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:59UNLV 4th & 6 at HAW 30, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:37HAW 4th & 20 at HAW 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:49UNLV 4th & 7 at HAW 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:59HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 21, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:08HAW 4th & 5 at HAW 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 49, up 6
    Close callPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:23UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−2.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:23UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−2.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:08HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 23, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−2.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:35UNLV 4th & 14 at HAW 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−4.2
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−13.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:17HAW 4th & 4 at UNLV 13, up 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%−0.8
    85% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−16.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:12UNLV 4th & 6 at HAW 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−1.7
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−12.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:20UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 45, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.1%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:42HAW Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:17UNLV Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:40HAW Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:01HAW Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:13UNLV Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.4%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    42.0%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:51HAW Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:1780% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.5%
Aidan Robbins run for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
20.5%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 11 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
20.5%
HAWAII Penalty, Personal Foul (Logan Taylor) to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
20.5%
Aidan Robbins run for 5 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+25
20.5%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kyle Williams for 25 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
20.5%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
20.5%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
20.5%
Doug Brumfield sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 9Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
22.3%
Daniel Gutierrez 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 2TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:5422% → 26%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
22.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 3 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
22.4%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Tamatoa Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
22.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass incomplete short left to Mokiao-Atimalala,Tamatoa PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference (Baldwin,Johnathan) 15 yards from Hawaii23 to Hawaii38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
22.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 5 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+19
22.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 19 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
22.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+13
22.9%
Tylan Hines run for 13 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
22.9%
Tylan Hines run for 4 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
22.9%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the UNLV 15Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+15
25.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
Q1 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
25.7%
Shipley,Matthew kick attempt good (H: Falck,Ben, LS: Landrum,Solomon) PENALTY Hawaii Illegal Formation 5 yards from UNLV03 to UNLV03. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2875% → 74%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
25.1%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
25.0%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
25.2%
Doug Brumfield run for no gain to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
26.5%
Marshall Nichols punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4526% → 27%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
26.2%
Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
26.4%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
26.2%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
26.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 46 yds , Nohl Williams returns for no gain to the UNLV 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:3073% → 72%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
27.3%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+15
27.4%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 15 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
27.1%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Nick WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
27.3%
Doug Brumfield run for 10 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
26.7%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kyle Williams for 2 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+28
27.1%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kyle Williams for 28 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
26.1%
Doug Brumfield run for 4 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
26.0%
Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the Hawa 30Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
26.4%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q1 0:59
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
28.4%
Daniel Gutierrez 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:2229% → 30%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
28.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 9 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
30.2%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
30.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 15 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
30.9%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
30.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
30.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Koali NishigayaSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 40
-15
29.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass complete short right to Phillips,Caleb for 5 yards to the UNLV35 (Mendiola-Jensen,Kilinahe) PENALTY Hawaii Pass Interference (Phillips,Caleb) 15 yards from UNLV40 to Hawaii45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 20
OWN 45
0
29.5%
Matthew Shipley punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:4870% → 67%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
30.4%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+15
30.5%
Doug Brumfield run for 15 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
30.1%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 9 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+11
29.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
50
-5
28.8%
Doug Brumfield sacked by Penei Pavihi for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 15
OWN 45
0
30.0%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+8
30.3%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 8 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+3
32.6%
Marshall Nichols punt for 37 yds , Tylan Hines returns for 3 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5033% → 34%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
33.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+7
33.0%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+1
32.6%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 1 yd to the Hawa 21Similar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
33.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:4267% → 77%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
32.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+10
32.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brumfield,Doug pass incomplete short left to Robbins,Aidan PENALTY Hawaii Holding (Hausman,Malik) 10 yards from UNLV43 to Hawaii47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
32.3%
Kyle Williams run for 12 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
31.6%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+5
31.6%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Senika McKie for 5 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+17
32.2%
Doug Brumfield run for 17 yds to the Hawa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
31.4%
Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+5
31.4%
Doug Brumfield run for 5 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
35.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.2%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:0928% → 27%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.6%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
27.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 3 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
27.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 10 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
29.2%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
26.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+4
26.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 4 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+14
26.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 38 yds , Nohl Williams returns for 14 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:0875% → 75%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
25.4%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 12 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
24.0%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 4 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-5
23.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brumfield,Doug pass complete short right to Zeon III,Shelton for 2 yards to the UNLV49, out of bounds at UNLV49 PENALTY UNLV Illegal Formation 5 yards from UNLV47 to UNLV42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+5
24.4%
Aidan Robbins run for 5 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+2
24.3%
Doug Brumfield run for 2 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
24.8%
Marshall Nichols punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 4:1428% → 48%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
27.6%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
27.5%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+11
26.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 11 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
27.9%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
27.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+28
26.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 28 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
30.5%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 2 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
30.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+22
30.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 22 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
31.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 1 yd to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+6
31.7%
Brayden Schager run for 6 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
47.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 11 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1056% → 52%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
43.6%
Doug Brumfield run for 5 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+2
44.4%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 2 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+3
45.6%
Doug Brumfield run for 3 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+3
48.5%
Marshall Nichols punt for 54 yds , Tylan Hines returns for 3 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+3
48.5%
Marshall Nichols punt for 54 yds , Tylan Hines returns for 3 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1546% → 45%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
45.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 12Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
45.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+9
44.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 9 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
46.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
46.1%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
44.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
45.4%
Matthew Shipley punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:3353% → 63%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
47.3%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+14
47.5%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kyle Williams for 14 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
46.0%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 8 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+24
43.7%
Aidan Robbins run for 24 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
41.8%
Doug Brumfield run for 11 yds to the Hawa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
42.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brumfield,Doug pass complete deep right to Ballungay,Kaleo for 20 yards to the Hawaii00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:46 PENALTY UNLV Holding (McDaniel,Daviyon) 10 yards from Hawaii20 to Hawaii30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+11
43.9%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Senika McKie for 11 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
42.5%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 9
OPP 19
-10
44.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brumfield,Doug rush left for 9 yards gain to the Hawaii10 (Manuma,Peter) PENALTY UNLV Holding (Fautanu,Leif) 10 yards from Hawaii19 to Hawaii29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 19
OPP 29
+5
47.4%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Senika McKie for 5 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+42
36.8%
Daniel Gutierrez 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3439% → 63%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
39.3%
UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (Adam Plant Jr.) to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
62.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 55 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5344% → 41%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
56.3%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
56.4%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
59.3%
Doug Brumfield pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:4366% → 81%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
66.2%
Brayden Schager run for 12 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
66.2%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+5
66.0%
PENALTY UNLV Offside (Ehimare,Eliel) 5 yards from UNLV20 to UNLV15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
66.2%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+1
64.4%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 1 yd to the UNLV 13Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
80.7%
Matthew Shipley 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:0523% → 20%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.5%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Aidan RobbinsSimilar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the UNLV 24Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+46
79.2%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kyle Williams for 46 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
71.0%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Nick WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
71.2%
Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the Hawa 29Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+3
73.5%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 3 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
80.2%
Daniel Gutierrez 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -24 yds · 0:5984% → 59%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
83.9%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Tamatoa Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
83.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+3
59.1%
Elijah Shelton 3 Yd Fumble Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:4766% → 68%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
50
+39
65.9%
Tylan Hines run for 39 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
68.2%
Tylan Hines run for 4 yds to the UNLV 20 Tylan Hines fumbled, recovered by UNLV Austin AjiakeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:0541% → 37%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
59.2%
Aidan Robbins run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+18
59.7%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Courtney Reese for 18 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
55.6%
Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
56.2%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 6 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
53.6%
Doug Brumfield run for 2 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
62.6%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 1:2976% → 95%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
75.6%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+4
75.4%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
94.6%
Dedrick Parson 34 Yd Run (Matthew Shipley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 1:438% → 23%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.5%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Courtney Reese for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+34
91.4%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 34 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
90.0%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (Logan,Brandon) 5 yards from Hawaii37 to Hawaii42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 15
OPP 42
-6
90.5%
Doug Brumfield sacked by Jonah Kahahawai-Welch for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 21
OPP 48
0
93.8%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 21
OPP 48
+21
94.3%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 21 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
91.6%
Doug Brumfield run for 5 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
91.6%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+40
77.3%
Daniel Gutierrez 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:0895% → 97%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
95.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
95.6%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
96.7%
B. Schager takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-1
96.6%
B. Schager takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:13
Elijah Shelton 3 Yd Fumble Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-24.2
TD · Q3 1:01
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 55 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)
+23.5
TD · Q4 2:51
Dedrick Parson 34 Yd Run (Matthew Shipley Kick)
+19.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com