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USU

Utah State 41 at Hawai'i 34

HAW
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameTD-1.2HAW 2.7%Caleb Phillips 31 Yd pass from BraydenSchager (Matthew Shipley Kick)AWAY 38 - HOME 17 · Q4 12:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:26 · Caleb Phillips 31 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Matthew Shipley Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Pregame prior−7.3Home team on offense−37.9Score differential−23.0Garbage-time factor−13.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:26: Cooper Legas pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 35 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +6.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:01: Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +12.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:01: Cooper Legas pass complete to Robert Briggs for 2 yds to the Hawa 4 — USU win probability +9.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:33: Tylan Hines 69 Yd Run (Matthew Shipley Kick) — HAW win probability +6.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:18: Matthew Shipley 19 Yd Field Goal — HAW win probability +9.4 pts (now 14%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 10USU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:10HAW 4th & 25 at USU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:42HAW 4th & 4 at USU 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:32USU 4th & 12 at HAW 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    72.2%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:43USU 4th & 4 at HAW 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00HAW 4th & 2 at HAW 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.8%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:08HAW 4th & 10 at USU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:58USU 4th & 8 at USU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:29USU 4th & 5 at HAW 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−4.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:29USU 4th & 5 at HAW 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:56HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:26USU 4th & 2 at HAW 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:57HAW 4th & 16 at HAW 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:17USU 4th & 7 at USU 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:42USU 4th & 15 at HAW 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:26HAW 4th & 6 at USU 31, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:01USU 4th & 14 at USU 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:25HAW 4th & 18 at USU 41, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:28USU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:05USU 4th & 18 at USU 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:05HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 35, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:18HAW 4th & 3 at USU 3, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.5
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−4.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:44USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:39HAW Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:35USU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:26USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:01HAW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:33HAW Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:5019% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
19.4%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
19.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 12 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+31
19.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 31 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
19.4%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-15
20.5%
Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass complete deep left to Phillips,Caleb for 24 yards to the USU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:05 PENALTY Hawaii Pass Interference (Mokiao-Atimalala,Tamatoa) 15 yards from USU24 to USU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 23
OPP 39
0
20.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for no gain to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 23
OPP 39
+2
20.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 2 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 23
OPP 39
+2
20.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 2 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 25
OPP 41
0
21.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the UthSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:2679% → 80%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
21.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 17 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
20.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 68 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:0221% → 21%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
20.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 28 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
20.8%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+8
20.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 8 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
20.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
21.1%
Matthew Shipley punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
18 plays · 37 yds · 6:1079% → 78%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
20.7%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+9
20.8%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-13
20.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Legas,Cooper pass complete deep left to Vaughn,Terrell for 15 yards to the USU41 (Hausman,Malik) PENALTY USU Pass Interference (McGriff,Justin) 13 yards from USU26 to USU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+16
20.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 16 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
20.6%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
20.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+15
20.8%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Brian Cobbs for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Hugh Nelson II) to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
20.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 4
50
+6
20.3%
Cooper Legas run for 6 yds to the Hawa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
20.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-15
20.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 20
OWN 46
+3
20.6%
Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 17
OWN 49
+10
20.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 10 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 7
OPP 41
-5
20.6%
PENALTY USU Delay Of Game 5 yards from Hawaii41 to Hawaii46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 20
OWN 46
+3
20.6%
Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 17
OWN 49
+10
20.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 10 yds to the Hawa 41Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 7
OPP 41
-5
20.6%
PENALTY USU Delay Of Game 5 yards from Hawaii41 to Hawaii46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
22.1%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 36 yds , Dedrick Parson returns for no gain to the Hawa 7 Dedrick Parson fumbled, recovered by UthSt Jamie NanceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4979% → 79%
Q1 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
21.0%
Brian Cobbs run for 3 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
21.0%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Broc LaneSimilar
Q1 2:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
21.2%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q1 1:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
21.3%
Connor Coles 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 2:0421% → 29%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 11 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
21.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
21.5%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
21.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jordan Murray for 1 yd to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
21.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
21.5%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the Hawa 43Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
21.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jordan Murray for 1 yd to the Hawa 44Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+43
21.7%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 43 yds to the UthSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
23.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass incomplete short right to Murray,Jordan PENALTY USU Roughing The Passer (Vaughns,Byron) 7 yards from USU13 to USU06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
23.2%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start (Manning,Ilm) 5 yards from USU06 to USU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
0
23.2%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
0
23.2%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q2 14:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
28.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 11 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0474% → 79%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 7 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
25.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
25.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
25.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 3 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
26.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 6 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
25.8%
Robert Briggs run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 7
50
+34
25.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 34 yds to the Hawa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
20.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Broc Lane for 16 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8FG
13 plays · 33 yds · 3:2722% → 24%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
21.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 8 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
22.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 3 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
22.1%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
21.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 8 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+14
22.4%
Dedrick Parson run for 14 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
23.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-10
23.0%
Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass incomplete short right to Panoke,Jonah QB hurried by Vaughns,Byron PENALTY Hawaii Holding (Hopp,Austin) 10 yards from USU34 to USU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 22
OPP 44
+12
22.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 12 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
22.3%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
22.3%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
23.9%
Matthew Shipley 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1078% → 76%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
22.5%
Cooper Legas sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
23.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
23.0%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Calvin Tyler Jr.Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
23.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 46 yds , Nicholas Cenacle returns for no gain to the Hawa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2824% → 24%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
24.2%
Tylan Hines run for 6 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-1
24.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Tavian Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-1
24.8%
Brayden Schager sacked by Tavian Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-15
24.1%
HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala) to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-15
24.1%
HAWAII Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala) to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:0180% → 78%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
20.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
20.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-10
20.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Legas,Cooper sacked for loss of 2 yards to the Hawaii25 (Kahahawai-Welch,Jonah, Choi,Andrew) PENALTY USU Holding (Motes,Cole) 10 yards from Hawaii23 to Hawaii33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 16
OPP 33
+14
20.8%
Cooper Legas run for 14 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
20.5%
Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+14
22.0%
Connor Coles 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by John Tuitupou , Malik Hausman return for 14 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+14
22.0%
Connor Coles 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by John Tuitupou , Malik Hausman return for 14 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:3325% → 24%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
24.5%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
24.3%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
23.7%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
24.3%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
23.7%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
23.5%
Matthew Shipley punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:3079% → 87%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
21.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 20 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
20.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
19.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
19.9%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
19.9%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+35
13.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 35 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:2917% → 16%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
16.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass incomplete short right to Panoke,Jonah PENALTY Hawaii Holding (Manning,Ilm) 10 yards from Hawaii25 to Hawaii15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
16.3%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
16.3%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Tylan HinesSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+4
16.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 19 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+4
16.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 19 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
16.1%
Matthew Shipley punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:5787% → 88%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
13.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Robert Briggs for 2 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
13.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Robert Briggs for 2 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+4
12.3%
Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4385% → 84%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
15.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
15.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 1 yd to the UthSt 28Similar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
15.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:1617% → 30%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
17.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
50
+10
17.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 10 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
17.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+17
17.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 17 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
18.2%
Tylan Hines run for 12 yds to the UthSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
18.2%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the UthSt 9Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
18.2%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the UthSt 9Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
17.6%
Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass incomplete short middle to Walthall,Jalen broken up by Anyanwu,Michael PENALTY USU Face Mask (Vakauta,Poukesi) 5 yards from USU09 to USU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
29.7%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 0:0077% → 88%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
23.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+19
22.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 19 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
21.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+10
21.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 10 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
21.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
20.8%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Brian CobbsSimilar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+12
21.6%
Cooper Legas run for 12 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
20.8%
Robert Briggs run for 3 yds to the Hawa 24Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+15
21.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 15 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
20.8%
Robert Briggs run for 3 yds to the Hawa 6Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
11.6%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Robert Briggs for 2 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:064% → 4%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
4.3%
PENALTY USU Offside (Coleman,Tavian) 5 yards from Hawaii25 to Hawaii30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
4.4%
Brayden Schager pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:3097% → 98%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
2.8%
Robert Briggs run for 2 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+3
2.8%
Robert Briggs run for 3 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+15
2.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Legas,Cooper pass incomplete short left to Royals,Jalen PENALTY Hawaii Pass Interference (Edwards,Virdel) 15 yards from Hawaii35 to Hawaii20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
2.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
2.7%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Terrell VaughnSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-8
1.8%
Cooper Legas sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+42
2.0%
Connor Coles 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:343% → 3%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.4%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
3.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Ike Larsen) to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
3.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 12 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
3.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
3.6%
Dedrick Parson run for 8 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+4
3.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
3.9%
Tylan Hines run for 4 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
4.1%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Tamatoa Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
3.9%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+31
2.7%
Caleb Phillips 31 Yd pass from Brayden Schager (Matthew Shipley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2598% → 99%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.6%
Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Justin McGriffSimilar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
1.6%
Cooper Legas sacked by Meki Pei for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
1.4%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:362% → 2%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+28
2.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 28 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
2.6%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start (Muasau,Sergio) 5 yards from USU44 to USU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+3
2.5%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 3 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+13
2.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 13 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
2.9%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Tylan HinesSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-10
2.8%
Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass complete deep left to Walthall,Jalen for 24 yards to the USU09, out of bounds at USU09 PENALTY Hawaii Holding (Manning,Ilm) 10 yards from USU33 to USU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 20
OPP 43
0
2.5%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Tylan HinesSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 20
OPP 43
+2
2.4%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
1.9%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5799% → 99%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
0.9%
Terrell Vaughn run for 7 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+1
0.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 49Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
1.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 1
50
0
0.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25INT TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:551% → 3%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
1.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 7 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+3
1.2%
Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
1.2%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-36
2.7%
Ike Larsen 36 Yd Interception Return (Connor Coles Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 26TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 0:543% → 9%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
2.7%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
2.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass incomplete short left to Phillips,Caleb PENALTY USU Offside (Tatum,Dominic) 5 yards from Hawaii26 to Hawaii31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
2.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+69
8.9%
Tylan Hines 69 Yd Run (Matthew Shipley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · -8 yds · 0:2793% → 93%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
6.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the Hawa 45Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-11
6.4%
Cooper Legas sacked by Andrew Choi for a loss of 11 yards to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 20
OWN 44
+2
6.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 18
OWN 46
0
6.6%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nicholas Cenacle at the Hawa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 28FG
15 plays · 87 yds · 2:474% → 14%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
3.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 16 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-11
3.9%
Brayden Schager sacked by Ike Larsen for a loss of 11 yards to the Hawa 15Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 21
OWN 15
0
3.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 21
OWN 15
+20
3.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 20 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+5
3.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
4.3%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jordan MurraySimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
4.3%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+13
4.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 13 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
4.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 17 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+29
4.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 29 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.7%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the UthSt 1Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+2
5.9%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 2 yds to the UthSt 3Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
4.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+19
14.0%
Matthew Shipley 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
3.9%
C. Legas takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:01
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)
+12
FG · Q4 0:18
Matthew Shipley 19 Yd Field Goal
+9.4
TD · Q3 9:01
Cooper Legas pass complete to Robert Briggs for 2 yds to the Hawa 4
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com