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HAW

Hawai'i 13 at Fresno State 55

FRES
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:08 · Matthew Shipley punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+35.2Home team on offense+16.7Score differential+10.5Blowout margin+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Garbage-time factor+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:54: Abraham Montano 31 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +0.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:55: Cam Lockridge 31 Yd Interception Return (Abraham Montano Kick) — FRES win probability +0.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:59: Jordan Mims run for 22 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK) — FRES win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:16: Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 7 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK) — FRES win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:41: Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 16 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK) — FRES win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:46HAW 4th & 9 at FRES 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:54FRES 4th & 8 at HAW 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:13HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:58HAW 4th & 5 at FRES 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:10FRES 4th & 5 at HAW 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:08HAW 4th & 11 at HAW 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:12FRES 4th & 2 at HAW 7, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:49HAW 4th & 1 at FRES 29, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:09HAW 4th & 8 at FRES 28, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:12HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 40, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:33HAW 4th & 7 at FRES 43, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:05FRES 4th & 2 at FRES 33, up 48
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 7 of 7HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:55FRES Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:59FRES Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:16FRES Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:41FRES Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:22FRES Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:18FRES Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:33FRES Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:46HAW Touchdown, down 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:35HAW Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:143% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.9%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
96.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 11 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
96.9%
Brayden Schager run for 12 yds to the Hawa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
96.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 2 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
96.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+6
96.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 6 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
96.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 2 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+8
96.9%
Tylan Hines run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
96.9%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
96.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
96.2%
Matthew Shipley 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:5296% → 96%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
96.2%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+14
96.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 14 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
96.3%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+5
96.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 5 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
96.3%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+21
96.3%
Jordan Mims run for 21 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
96.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 2 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
96.3%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
96.3%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
95.7%
Abraham Montano 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3INT TD
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:504% → 4%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
95.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 8 yds to the Hawa 17Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+1
95.6%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 18Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+8
95.7%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 8 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
95.6%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 21Similar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 15
OWN 21
0
95.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 15
OWN 21
-31
95.9%
Cam Lockridge 31 Yd Interception Return (Abraham Montano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:424% → 4%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.9%
Tylan Hines run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
95.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Matthew Shipley punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Zane Pope at the FrsSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:1496% → 97%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
95.8%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+13
95.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 13 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
95.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 36 yds to the Hawa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
96.0%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
95.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Mac Dalena for 7 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+22
96.8%
Jordan Mims run for 22 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:014% → 4%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.4%
Brayden Schager run for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-7
96.4%
Brayden Schager sacked by Carlton Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 15 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.5%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 5 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
96.4%
Tylan Hines run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
96.4%
Tylan Hines run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
96.3%
Brayden Schager run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
96.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+4
96.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 5
OPP 29
0
96.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7TD
16 plays · 71 yds · 5:4297% → 98%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 6 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for no gain to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+14
96.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 14 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
97.1%
Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+7
97.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 7 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
97.1%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
97.1%
Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+3
97.1%
Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
97.1%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+7
97.0%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 7 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
97.2%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
97.2%
Jake Haener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+16
97.2%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 16 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.3%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 7 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:022% → 2%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+13
97.8%
Tylan Hines run for 13 yds to the Hawa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
97.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 20Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 9
OWN 20
-2
97.7%
Brayden Schager sacked by David Perales for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 18Similar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 11
OWN 18
0
97.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:2798% → 100%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
98.4%
Jake Haener run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+10
98.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 10 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
98.3%
Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
50
+7
98.4%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+9
98.3%
Jordan Mims run for 9 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
98.4%
Jake Haener sacked by Ezra Evaimalo for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+7
98.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Raymond Pauwels for 7 yds to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+8
98.4%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 8 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
98.7%
Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the Hawa 16Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
99.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 16 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
[NH] Kneel down by SCHAGER, Brayden at HAW19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:48100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
99.4%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.5%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+24
99.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Josh Kelly for 24 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.5%
Jake Haener run for 6 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
99.5%
Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+14
99.4%
Jordan Mims run for 14 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.5%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the Hawa 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
99.5%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 5 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+1
99.4%
Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the Hawa 7Similar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
99.7%
Dylan Lynch 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+33
99.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nicholas Cenacle for 33 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 37Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+7
99.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 7 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
99.6%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the FrsSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 13TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:27100% → 100%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
99.8%
Nikko Remigio run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 59 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:130% → 0%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.8%
Brayden Schager run for 12 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 15 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+13
99.8%
Tylan Hines run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.8%
Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+6
99.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 6 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 15TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:51100% → 100%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+7
99.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 7 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+4
99.8%
Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+43
99.8%
Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 43 yds to the Hawa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
99.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 12 yds to the Hawa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.9%
Jake Haener run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 11Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 11 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Steven Fiso for 17 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+4
100.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 40 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 4 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
99.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 22 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the Hawa 48Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
99.9%
Malik Sherrod run for 14 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
99.9%
Elijah Gilliam run for 21 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Elijah Gilliam run for 7 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:470% → 0%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Tylan Hines run for 8 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Alex Perry for 4 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+12
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 12 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nicholas Cenacle for 2 yds to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+1
100.0%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 43Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 7
OPP 43
+24
100.0%
Brayden Schager run for 24 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
100.0%
Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 14Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+11
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 11 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 1Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
100.0%
Elijah Gilliam run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Carson King punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 15 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-5
100.0%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 15
OPP 49
+8
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei for 8 yds to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+15
100.0%
SCHAGER, Brayden pass to the right incomplete intended for PERRY, Alex thrown to the FST15, clock 00:57. PENALTY FST Personal Foul on FOX, Andres enforced 15 yards from the FST41 to the FST26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 22 yds to the FrsSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tamatoa Mokiao-Atimalala for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
[NHSG] Kneel down by FIFE, Logan at FST24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:16
Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 7 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q1 1:59
Jordan Mims run for 22 yds for a TD, (Abraham Montano KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 0:41
Jake Haener pass complete to Erik Brooks for 16 yds for a TD, (Dylan Lynch KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com