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NEV

Nevada 16 at Hawai'i 31

HAW
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · HAW
modelHAW aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playHAW scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:59 · Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Home team on offense+31.5Pregame prior−0.3Garbage-time factor+6.6Score differential+10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+17.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+6.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:21: Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 48 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +5.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:11: Dedrick Parson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +10.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:10: Matthew Killam 48 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +5.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:19: Matthew Killam 20 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +5.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:13: Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK) — HAW win probability +21.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HAW made the numbers' call on 6 of 7NEV made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 4:06NEV 4th & 1 at HAW 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−2.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:00NEV 4th & 3 at HAW 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    53.6%−1.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:39NEV 4th & 4 at HAW 18, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.8%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−4.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:43HAW 4th & 6 at NEV 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:58NEV 4th & 2 at NEV 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.3%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:10NEV 4th & 12 at HAW 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:02HAW 4th & 15 at HAW 23, up 8
    Numbers favored punt by 2.9 ptsWent for it · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.6%−2.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:19HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 47, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:00NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:19NEV 4th & 2 at HAW 2, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.5%−3.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−19.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:19HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 44, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.4%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00HAW 4th & 1 at NEV 45, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−8.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−5.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:33NEV 4th & 13 at NEV 32, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:25HAW 4th & 12 at NEV 40, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:37HAW 4th & 7 at NEV 10, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:59NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HAW made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NEV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:25HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:06NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:21HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:11HAW Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:13HAW Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3534% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Parson,Dedrick rush left for 11 yards gain to the Hawaii36, out of bounds at Hawaii36 PENALTY Hawaii Personal Foul offsetting Nevada Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Koali Nishigaya for 6 yds to the Hawa 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
33.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+26
33.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 26 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
33.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 6 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
33.5%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+25
33.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 25 yds to the Nevad 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
33.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for no gain to the Nevad 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
33.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 8 yds to the Nevad 1Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 2TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:1964% → 63%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.2%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 9 yds to the Nevad 34Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
35.9%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
36.0%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 36Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+13
36.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 13 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
35.9%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
35.9%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+14
36.0%
Nate Cox pass complete to Devonte Lee for 14 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
35.8%
Nate Cox pass complete to Cross Patton for 12 yds to the Hawa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
35.6%
Cross Patton run for 11 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
35.6%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
35.6%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+6
35.8%
Nate Cox run for 6 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
35.6%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Hawa 4Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
35.6%
Nate Cox run for 3 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.8%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Carlton Brown IIISimilar
Q1 4:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.1%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Killam KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:4038% → 44%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
38.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 3 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 13
OWN 27
0
37.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jordan MurraySimilar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+18
37.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nicholas Cenacle for 18 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
39.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+48
44.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Zion Bowens for 48 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:2157% → 57%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.6%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 4 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
42.3%
Nate Cox pass complete to Cooper Shults for 4 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
42.3%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell for a 1ST down HAWAII Penalty, Personal Foul (Ezra Evaimalo) to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
41.4%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 6 yds to the Hawa 46Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
41.1%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+1
41.4%
Nate Cox pass complete to Devonte Lee for 1 yd to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
43.5%
Harry Webster punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the Hawa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:4845% → 45%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
44.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
44.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Caleb PhillipsSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
44.7%
Brayden Schager pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 6FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3358% → 59%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
42.2%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Hawa 26Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+8
42.5%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 8 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
43.6%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
41.2%
Matthew Killam 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 3:2743% → 57%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+30
42.8%
Tylan Hines run for 30 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+28
43.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 28 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
45.2%
Tylan Hines run for 7 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
45.3%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+3
44.6%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+10
44.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 10 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
46.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+9
46.7%
NEVADA Penalty, Personal Foul (9 Yards) to the Nevad 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
56.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 8FG
16 plays · 40 yds · 6:4846% → 40%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
53.7%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 31Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
53.8%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+9
55.0%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 9 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+3
54.1%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
53.0%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Nevad 41Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
56.7%
Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 10 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
55.2%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+8
55.3%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 8 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
55.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 11 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
53.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
54.2%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+1
55.8%
Nate Cox pass complete to Carlton Brown III for 1 yd to the Hawa 30Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+48
60.5%
Matthew Killam 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 1:4363% → 62%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
63.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass incomplete short right to Walthall,Jalen PENALTY Hawaii Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Tanuvasa,Eliki) 5 yards from Hawaii28 to Hawaii23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
63.1%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
62.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Dior ScottSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
62.0%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Koali NishigayaSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 15
OWN 23
+18
61.2%
Matthew Shipley run for 18 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
65.0%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 47Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
64.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
63.8%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Nicholas CenacleSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+28
61.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 32 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for 28 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:1941% → 42%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
59.1%
Nate Cox pass complete to Devonte Lee for 8 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+16
58.9%
Nate Cox run for 16 yds to the Hawa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
57.2%
Nate Cox pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+45
57.9%
Matthew Killam 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5639% → 36%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
61.2%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
61.4%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
62.5%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
64.3%
Harry Webster punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the Hawa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 4:0666% → 65%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
66.0%
Dedrick Parson run for 8 yds to the Hawa 49Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
66.2%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
66.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 14 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
66.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nevad 34Similar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 11
OPP 34
+4
66.6%
Tylan Hines run for 4 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-10
66.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nevad 37Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 14
OPP 37
-10
65.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schager,Brayden pass complete deep left to Nishigaya,Koali for 17 yards to the Nevada20, End Of Play PENALTY Hawaii Holding (Manning,Ilm) 10 yards from Nevada37 to Nevada47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 24
OPP 47
+3
65.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 27
50
+4
63.6%
Brayden Schager run for 4 yds to the Hawa 46 Brayden Schager fumbled, recovered by Nevad Dedrick ParsonSimilar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 31
OWN 46
0
65.2%
Matthew Shipley punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13FG
15 plays · 86 yds · 6:3534% → 44%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
65.8%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Nevad 13Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
66.1%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+20
67.2%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 20 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
64.7%
Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 11 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
63.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Patton,Cross rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Nevada45 (Taylor,Logan) PENALTY Nevada Holding (Petersen,Bryce) 10 yards from Nevada44 to Nevada34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+11
65.5%
Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 11 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+12
63.7%
Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 12 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
62.1%
Nate Cox run for 19 yds to the Hawa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
59.9%
Wesley Kommer run for 1 yd to the Hawa 23Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+9
59.9%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 9 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
59.9%
Toa Taua run for 12 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
59.9%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Hawa 2Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
59.9%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon CampbellSimilar
Q3 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
61.8%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Hawa 2Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
56.3%
Matthew Killam 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 14TD
17 plays · 65 yds · 8:0663% → 92%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
63.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 5 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
65.3%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
64.2%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
62.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
65.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
66.4%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the Nevad 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
67.7%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+4
65.9%
Brayden Schager run for 4 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
68.8%
Brayden Schager run for 3 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
68.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 2 yds to the Nevad 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+10
68.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 10 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
69.8%
Tylan Hines run for 4 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+4
69.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Tylan Hines for 4 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+14
68.1%
Dedrick Parson run for 14 yds to the Nevad 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
69.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 2Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.6%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 2:4010% → 8%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for no gain to the Nevad 25Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cox,Nate pass incomplete short right to Curtis,Spencer PENALTY Hawaii Holding (Hausman,Malik) 10 yards from Nevada25 to Nevada35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.9%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
89.2%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-15
88.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cox,Nate pass complete deep right to Campbell,Dalevon for 12 yards to the Nevada50 (Nelson,Hugh) PENALTY Nevada Personal Foul (World,Isaiah) 15 yards from Nevada38 to Nevada23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 22
OWN 23
+9
90.2%
Nate Cox pass complete to Wesley Kommer for 9 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
91.9%
Harry Webster punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:0893% → 95%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
92.8%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start (Walthall,Jalen) 5 yards from Hawaii40 to Hawaii35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+3
92.2%
Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
92.5%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Zion BowensSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+24
92.4%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Nicholas Cenacle for 24 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
93.0%
Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the Nevad 35 Tylan Hines fumbled, recovered by Nevad Tylan HinesSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-5
93.0%
Brayden Schager sacked by Dion Washington for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 40Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
92.6%
Brayden Schager pass incomplete to Nicholas CenacleSimilar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
94.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
93.8%
Nate Cox sacked by John Tuitupou for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 24 Nate Cox fumbled, recovered by Nevad Kolby Wyatt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 18FG
10 plays · 14 yds · 2:4096% → 99%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
95.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Nevad 18Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+3
95.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
95.5%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
95.7%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 5 yds to the Nevad 8Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+1
97.8%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 1 yd to the Nevad 9Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+1
97.8%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 1 yd to the Nevad 10Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
98.5%
Matthew Shipley 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:381% → 1%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
Nate Cox run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29 Nate Cox fumbled, recovered by Nevad Nate CoxSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Tyrese MackSimilar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal BellSimilar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ CasteelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:5999% → 99%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
98.8%
PENALTY Hawaii False Start 5 yards from Nevada29 to Nevada34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 15
OPP 34
-1
98.8%
B. Schager takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 35
-1
98.8%
B. Schager takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:13
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)
+21.8
TD · Q2 9:11
Dedrick Parson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)
+10
FG · Q3 3:19
Matthew Killam 20 yd FG GOOD
-5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com