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ODU

Old Dominion 21 at East Carolina 39

ECU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:25 · Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 12 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+19.7Home team on offense+6.7Score differential+1.6Garbage-time factor+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:32: Ali Jennings III 16 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Ethan Sanchez Kick) — ODU win probability +4.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:09: Ali Jennings III 18 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Ethan Sanchez Kick) — ODU win probability +12.2 pts (now 31%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:21: Rahjai Harris 3 Yd pass from Holton Ahlers (Owen Daffer PAT failed) — ECU win probability +12.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:49: Keaton Mitchell 81 Yd Run (Owen Daffer Kick) — ECU win probability +9.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:25: Rahjai Harris 15 Yd Run (Owen Daffer Kick) — ECU win probability +5.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 12:39ECU 4th & 5 at ODU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:39ECU 4th & 6 at ODU 29, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:06ECU 4th & 5 at ODU 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:15ODU 4th & 17 at ODU 17, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51ECU 4th & 11 at ECU 24, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:53ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 48, down 8
    Close callPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:19ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 16, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:19ECU 4th & 6 at ECU 16, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:44ODU 4th & 8 at ECU 40, down 8
    Close callPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:25ECU 4th & 8 at ODU 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:35ODU 4th & 13 at ECU 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:35ODU 4th & 13 at ECU 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:46ECU 4th & 1 at ODU 29, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    70.9%−3.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−9.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:51ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 43, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:00ODU 4th & 6 at ECU 48, down 8
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:11ODU 4th & 23 at ODU 9, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:11ODU 4th & 23 at ODU 9, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:16ECU 4th & 5 at ODU 15, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:01ECU 4th & 5 at ODU 39, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:34ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 20, down 18
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ODU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 1:32ODU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:09ODU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:21ECU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:49ECU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:25ECU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:47ODU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1FG
18 plays · 70 yds · 6:5482% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.7%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.5%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 12:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
81.3%
Owen Daffer 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
81.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 11 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
81.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 9 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+7
81.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 7 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
81.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for 5 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+10
81.4%
Holton Ahlers run for 10 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
81.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 36Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+3
81.3%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+4
81.3%
Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q1 12:39
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+11
81.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 11 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
81.4%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
81.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 11 yds to the ODU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
81.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
81.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
81.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
80.4%
Owen Daffer 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 11:0719% → 23%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
81.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete Holton Ahlers pass incomplete Holton Ahlers pass incomplete Holton Ahlers pass incomplete Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 19 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
76.9%
Ali Jennings III 16 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Ethan Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 6:2419% → 20%
Q1 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-18
81.2%
run for a loss of 18 yards to the ODU 10Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 24
OWN 10
+7
81.3%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
80.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 4 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 17
OWN 17
0
80.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 45 yds , Malik Fleming returns for no gain to the ECaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 10:1681% → 79%
Q1 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
81.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 5 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
81.3%
Holton Ahlers run for 5 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
81.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+19
81.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 19 yds to the ODU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
81.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 11 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
81.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
81.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
79.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+12
79.4%
Ryan Jones 12 Yd pass from Holton Ahlers (Owen Daffer PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4178% → 80%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
78.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 24Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-10
81.2%
AHLERS, Holton pass to the left complete for 10 yards to JOHNSON, C.J. caught at the ECU34 and advanced to the ECU34 (HARRIS, Tobias). PENALTY ECU Holding on REDD, Justin enforced 10 yards from the ECU24 to the ECU14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
81.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+9
80.9%
Keaton Mitchell run for 9 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
80.4%
Luke Larsen punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5819% → 19%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
81.2%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-5
80.7%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Immanuel Hickman for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+10
81.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 10 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
81.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 40 yds, downed at the ECaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3481% → 80%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
80.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECaro 15Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+6
80.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Kerry King for 6 yds to the ECaro 21Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 1
OWN 21
-5
80.5%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 16Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
80.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
79.7%
Luke Larsen punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
79.7%
Luke Larsen punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:3520% → 19%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
80.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for no gain to the ODU 47Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
80.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+11
81.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 11 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
80.2%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the ECaro 41Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+1
80.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Keshawn Wicks for 1 yd to the ECaro 40Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
80.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
81.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9TD
21 plays · 90 yds · 5:5981% → 83%
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
80.5%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
80.5%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
80.6%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+18
80.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 18 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
80.8%
AHLERS, Holton pass to the left complete for 30 yards to JOHNSON, Jaylen caught at the ODU42 and advanced to the ODU42, out of bounds. PENALTY ECU Pass Interference on CALHOUN, Shane enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the ECU14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 24
OWN 14
+15
80.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Personal Foul (Tahj Ra-El) to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
80.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 25 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
82.1%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Ryan Henry for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 15
OPP 45
-10
81.5%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Jason Henderson and Deeve Harris for a loss of 10 yards to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 15
OPP 45
-10
81.5%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Jason Henderson and Deeve Harris for a loss of 10 yards to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 25
OWN 45
+17
80.7%
Keaton Mitchell run for 17 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+12
81.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 12 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-7
82.5%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Alonzo Ford Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 17
OPP 33
+27
81.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 27 yds to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
82.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ODU 4Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
82.4%
AHLERS, Holton pass to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Jaylen thrown to the ODU0. PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on HAWKINS, Tre enforced 2 yards to the ODU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
82.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
82.4%
AHLERS, Holton pass to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Jaylen thrown to the ODU0. PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on HAWKINS, Tre enforced 2 yards to the ODU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
82.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ODU 1Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.7%
Keaton Mitchell 1 Yd Run (Owen Daffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:1019% → 18%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
81.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 31 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
79.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 2 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-5
79.6%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Suirad Ware and Elijah Morris for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 47Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 13
OPP 47
0
81.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
82.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 14Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
82.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:3582% → 81%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
81.7%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 16Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+7
81.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 7 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
80.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5118% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
82.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 13 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
81.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+43
81.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 43 yds to the ECaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
69.1%
Ali Jennings III 18 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Ethan Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:1674% → 74%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
74.3%
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the ECaro 30Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
74.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+10
75.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 10 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
76.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
75.7%
Rahjai Harris run for 7 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+7
76.1%
Holton Ahlers run for 7 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
76.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 3 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
77.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+6
76.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 6 yds to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
73.9%
Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ODU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4429% → 29%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
71.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for no gain to the ODU 29Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
71.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 6 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
71.7%
WATSON, Blake rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the ODU29 (POWERS, Jack). PENALTY ODU Holding on BLACK, Xavier ECU Face mask on POWERS, Jack , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+7
70.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 48 yds , Malik Fleming returns for 7 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+7
70.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 48 yds , Malik Fleming returns for 7 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 4:4172% → 88%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
72.0%
Keaton Mitchell run for 10 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
72.3%
Keaton Mitchell run for 13 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
72.3%
Keaton Mitchell run for 13 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-4
74.1%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Devin Brandt-Epps for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 43Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+15
71.4%
AHLERS, Holton pass to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Jaylen thrown to the ODU30. PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on HARRIS, Tobias enforced 15 yards to the ODU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
75.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 4 yds to the ODU 38Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
75.3%
Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ODU 36Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+16
74.8%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Personal Foul (Deeve Harris) to the ODU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
76.0%
Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ODU 9Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
76.0%
AHLERS, Holton pass to the right incomplete intended for JONES, Ryan thrown to the ODU0. PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on ASBURY, Shawn enforced 7 yards to the ODU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
76.1%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 3Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
76.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.1%
Rahjai Harris 3 Yd pass from Holton Ahlers (Owen Daffer PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 16INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3914% → 14%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.6%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
85.7%
Hayden Wolff pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
85.7%
Hayden Wolff pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5189% → 87%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
88.6%
Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the ECaro 42Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
88.3%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 12
OWN 40
+3
87.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 3 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
86.8%
Luke Larsen punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:5114% → 14%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
86.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 25 yds to the ODU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
84.2%
WICKS, Keshawn rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the ECU48 (SMITH, Xavier;STEPHENS, Chad). PENALTY ODU Holding on THOMAS, Leroy enforced 10 yards from the ODU48 to the ODU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 20
OWN 38
0
85.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 16
OWN 42
0
86.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 16
OWN 42
+10
86.6%
Keshawn Wicks run for 10 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
86.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19TD
1 play · 81 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
95.3%
Keaton Mitchell 81 Yd Run (Owen Daffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:156% → 6%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
93.9%
Hayden Wolff sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.8%
Rahjai Harris 15 Yd Run (Owen Daffer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 2:101% → 1%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
98.8%
WOLFF, Hayden pass up the middle incomplete intended for HARVEY, Javon thrown to the ODU35. PENALTY ODU Holding on THOMAS, Leroy enforced 10 yards from the ODU22 to the ODU12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 20
OWN 12
+5
98.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 5 yds to the ODU 17Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+1
98.8%
Hayden Wolff run for 1 yd to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 14
OWN 18
-9
98.8%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Shaundre Mims and Jeremy Lewis for a loss of 9 yards to the ODU 9Similar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 23
OWN 9
0
99.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 45 yds, downed at the ECaro 46Similar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 23
OWN 9
0
99.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 45 yds, downed at the ECaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:5599% → 100%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
98.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the ECaro 41Similar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+1
98.9%
Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the ECaro 42Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+23
98.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 23 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
99.0%
Keaton Mitchell run for 15 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-10
99.0%
MITCHELL, Keaton rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the ODU10 (WILLIAMS JR., Steven). PENALTY ECU Holding on REDD, Justin enforced 10 yards from the ODU20 to the ODU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-10
99.0%
MITCHELL, Keaton rush to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the ODU10 (WILLIAMS JR., Steven). PENALTY ECU Holding on REDD, Justin enforced 10 yards from the ODU20 to the ODU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+10
98.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jaylen Johnson for 10 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+5
98.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 5 yds to the ODU 15Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
99.7%
Owen Daffer 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:290% → 2%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.7%
Blake Watson run for 12 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 6 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+22
99.7%
Blake Watson run for 22 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
97.7%
Ali Jennings III 35 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Ethan Sanchez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25PUNT
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:01
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
98.6%
Luke Larsen punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:272% → 2%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
98.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Ethan Duane punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27Uncategorized
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.7%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
98.7%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for no gain to the ODU 46Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+43
98.7%
Marlon Gunn Jr. run for 43 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:09
Ali Jennings III 18 Yd pass from Hayden Wolff (Ethan Sanchez Kick)
-12.2
TD · Q3 2:21
Rahjai Harris 3 Yd pass from Holton Ahlers (Owen Daffer PAT failed)
+12.1
TD · Q4 12:49
Keaton Mitchell 81 Yd Run (Owen Daffer Kick)
+9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com