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NCSU

NC State 9 at Syracuse 24

SYR
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:18 · Shane McDonough punt for 56 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Home team on offense+4.2Pregame prior+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 14:12: Andre Szmyt 22 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +2.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:09: NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 29 — SYR win probability +4.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:07: Christopher Dunn 42 yd FG GOOD — NCSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:28: Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 17 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +15.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 6:58: Christopher Dunn 36 yd FG GOOD — NCSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 4NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:13NCSU 4th & 8 at NCSU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:15NCSU 4th & 1 at SYR 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    37.8%−0.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:11NCSU 4th & 3 at SYR 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.7%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:12SYR 4th & 3 at NCSU 4, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.3%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:38NCSU 4th & 7 at NCSU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:06SYR 4th & 6 at NCSU 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−0.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:02NCSU 4th & 19 at NCSU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−2.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:18NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 29, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:07NCSU 4th & 15 at SYR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−7.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:55SYR 4th & 1 at NCSU 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−3.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−13.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:30NCSU 4th & 2 at SYR 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−1.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−5.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:11NCSU 4th & 2 at NCSU 33, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:56SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:28SYR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:20SYR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:3960% → 61%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
59.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+10
59.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
50
+38
59.9%
Sean Tucker run for 38 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
60.1%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the NCSt 12Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
60.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 12 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0839% → 39%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.7%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
60.8%
Demarcus Jones II run for 4 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
60.9%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Timothy McKay) to the NCSt 27Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
61.2%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Jordan HoustonSimilar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
61.4%
Shane McDonough punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:3061% → 61%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-6
61.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 16
OWN 15
0
61.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Trebor PenaSimilar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 16
OWN 15
0
61.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 16
OWN 15
0
61.2%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 6:5439% → 39%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
61.1%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
61.3%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 2 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+4
61.4%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Ced Seabrough for 4 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+6
61.9%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
61.7%
Jack Chambers run for 8 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+3
61.4%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
61.5%
Jack Chambers run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+18
61.8%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Jordan Houston for 18 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
61.8%
Demarcus Jones II run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 10Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
61.9%
Demarcus Jones II run for 2 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
62.6%
Jack Chambers run for 5 yds to the Syrac 3Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
60.9%
Christopher Dunn 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:5361% → 65%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
61.4%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Payton Wilson) to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
62.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+24
61.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 24 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
62.8%
Sean Tucker run for 11 yds to the NCSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
62.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 12 yds to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
63.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the NCSt 6Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
63.2%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the NCSt 6Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+2
62.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 2 yds to the NCSt 4Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
65.4%
Andre Szmyt 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2235% → 34%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
64.9%
Jack Chambers run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 20Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
65.4%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Ced Seabrough for 8 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
65.8%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
66.3%
Shane McDonough punt for 42 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 10 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1967% → 67%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
67.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+8
67.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Maximilian Mang for 8 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
67.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
68.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the NCSt 34Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
67.8%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the NCSt 34Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-5
67.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 39Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
67.3%
Maximilian Von Marburg punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 2:0433% → 31%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
66.6%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Dylan McMahon) to the NCSt 15Similar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+8
66.8%
MJ Morris run for 8 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-5
67.4%
Morris, MJ pass complete to Jones, Darryl for 6 yards to the NCSTATE29, PENALTY NCSTATE illegal motion 5 yards to the NCSTATE18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-7
67.9%
MJ Morris sacked by Leon Lowery for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 11Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 19
OWN 11
0
68.8%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 19
OWN 11
+9
69.3%
Shane McDonough punt for 41 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 9 yds to the Syrac 20 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Syrac 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9INT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:1970% → 72%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
70.3%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
70.2%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
70.8%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the NCSt 43Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
70.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 8 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+8
70.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
71.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+13
71.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 13 yds to the NCSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
71.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Oronde Gadsden IISimilar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
72.0%
Garrett Shrader pass intercepted, touchback. Tanner Ingle return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:5731% → 31%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
69.0%
Delbert Mimms III run for 1 yd to the NCSt 21Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
69.2%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 20Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
69.9%
Jack Chambers run for 9 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+8
69.0%
Shane McDonough punt for 56 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11INT
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:3068% → 71%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
68.1%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+36
67.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 36 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
71.4%
Garrett Shrader pass intercepted Aydan White return for no gain to the NCSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:1031% → 29%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
69.2%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the NCSt 21Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
68.7%
Jordan Houston run for no gain to the NCSt 21Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+13
71.3%
Jack Chambers run for 13 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
71.5%
Jack Chambers run for no gain to the NCSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13FG
16 plays · 50 yds · 7:3830% → 32%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.1%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
70.0%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 3 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
70.6%
Jack Chambers run for 4 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.0%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
70.4%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+21
71.6%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 21 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
68.0%
Jack Chambers run for 7 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+7
67.6%
Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
66.8%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+5
66.5%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
66.6%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 2
OPP 12
-12
66.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the Syrac 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NCSt Jordan HoustonSimilar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 14
OPP 24
-5
70.9%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 19
OPP 29
+4
71.5%
Jack Chambers run for 4 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+42
68.2%
Christopher Dunn 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 5:2269% → 87%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
68.5%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-1
68.7%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+9
67.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 9 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
69.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+19
68.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 19 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
72.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 9 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+11
72.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
74.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Trebor PenaSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
74.0%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+5
72.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 15 yds to the NCSt 9 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Oronde Gadsden II) to the NCSt 19Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
73.0%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the NCSt 19Similar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+2
71.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
86.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 17 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15FG
22 plays · 56 yds · 9:1716% → 11%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.5%
Jack Chambers run for 7 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
82.9%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 8 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
83.0%
Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the NCSt 41Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
83.5%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Jordan Houston for 6 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
83.2%
Jack Chambers run for 5 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
82.5%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Darryl Jones for 12 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
82.6%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Terrell Timmons Jr.Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
83.4%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-1
83.2%
Jack Chambers run for 9 yds to the Syrac 19 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keyon Lesane) to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+1
87.0%
Jack Chambers run for 1 yd to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 10:30
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+7
88.9%
Jack Chambers run for 7 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
89.8%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 4 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+5
90.9%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Jordan Houston for 5 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
92.0%
Jack Chambers run for 2 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
91.2%
Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
90.4%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 0
OPP 8
-5
90.1%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Thayer Thomas) to the Syrac 13Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-6
93.1%
Jack Chambers sacked by Jatius Geer and Caleb Okechukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 19Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 0
OPP 19
+36
89.1%
Christopher Dunn 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:2092% → 99%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
92.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
93.1%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
94.0%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
94.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Wes Hoeh) to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 15
OWN 41
-7
94.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44 SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Courtney Jackson) to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 22
OWN 34
+2
94.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+11
95.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 11 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-5
95.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (Carlos Vettorello) to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+34
95.9%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 34 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
96.8%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 25Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+25
98.5%
Sean Tucker run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17DOWNS
15 plays · 57 yds · 2:001% → 1%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.1%
Jack Chambers sacked by Jatius Geer for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 22Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.1%
Jack Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+11
99.2%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 11 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+16
99.2%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 16 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+18
99.2%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Porter Rooks for 18 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
98.9%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Porter Rooks for 9 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
98.8%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+15
98.9%
Chambers, Jack pass incomplete to Timmons Jr., Terrell, PENALTY SYRACUSE pass interference (Johnson, Isaiah) 15 yards to the SYRACUSE9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.Similar
Q4 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-9
98.7%
Jack Chambers sacked by Mikel Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 18Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 0
OPP 18
0
98.4%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 0
OPP 18
0
98.6%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 0
OPP 18
0
98.7%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:28
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Oronde Gadsden II for 17 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
+15.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 8:09
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 29
+4.1
FG · Q4 6:58
Christopher Dunn 36 yd FG GOOD
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com