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NCSU

NC State 20 at Clemson 30

CLEM
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadNCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreNCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.5CLEM 66.7%Christopher Dunn 20 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q1 0:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:19 · Christopher Dunn 20 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+15.7Home team on offense−1.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score differential−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:51: Devin Leary pass complete to Ced Seabrough for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 47%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:31: DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +7.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:36: DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 7 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +9.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:06: Christopher Dunn 49 yd FG GOOD — NCSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:53: Devin Leary run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +3.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7NCSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:22CLEM 4th & 3 at NCSU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:25NCSU 4th & 1 at CLEM 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:19NCSU 4th & 3 at CLEM 3, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:08CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:14NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:47CLEM 4th & 11 at NCSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:28NCSU 4th & 21 at NCSU 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−4.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:06NCSU 4th & 10 at CLEM 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:06CLEM 4th & 6 at NCSU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:12NCSU 4th & 10 at NCSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:47CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:16CLEM 4th & 10 at NCSU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−7.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:49NCSU 4th & 18 at NCSU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−1.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:08CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:39NCSU 4th & 13 at CLEM 39, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%
    36% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NCSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 1:51NCSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:31CLEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:36CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:04CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:53NCSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 6:3371% → 71%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.7%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
70.7%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Cory Durden) to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
70.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 21 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
70.7%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
70.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+9
70.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 9 yds to the NCSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
70.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 9 yds to the NCSt 7Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 1
OPP 7
0
70.7%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the NCSt 7Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+4
70.5%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the NCSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
70.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 4Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
70.6%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the NCSt 4Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
70.1%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the NCSt 3Similar
Q1 8:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
70.5%
B.T. Potter 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 2FG
17 plays · 78 yds · 7:5330% → 33%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
70.4%
Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the NCSt 23Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-5
70.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 18Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 11
OWN 18
-5
70.7%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Anthony Belton) to the NCSt 13Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 16
OWN 13
+20
70.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 20 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
70.1%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
69.6%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+12
69.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
50
+1
69.3%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
69.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 1 yd to the Clem 48Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+7
69.4%
Devin Leary run for 7 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
69.6%
Devin Leary run for 2 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+32
68.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 32 yds to the Clem 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
68.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 11Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
67.9%
Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
68.3%
Devin Leary run for 6 yds to the Clem 3Similar
Q1 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
66.7%
Christopher Dunn 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:5268% → 67%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
68.1%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the Clem 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-5
68.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Jake Briningstool) to the Clem 8Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 14
OWN 8
+4
67.9%
Will Shipley run for 4 yds to the Clem 12Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
67.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Will ShipleySimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
66.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4034% → 33%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
65.7%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the NCSt 48Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
65.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Porter RooksSimilar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
66.4%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
67.5%
Shane McDonough punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Will Taylor at the Clem 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 7:0868% → 68%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
67.7%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+11
67.7%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 11 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
67.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 17 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Clem DJ UiagaleleiSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 20
OWN 17
0
67.4%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the Clem 17Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 20
OWN 17
+16
66.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Adam Randall for 16 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+5
66.6%
NC STATE Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Colby Johnson) to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
68.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 1 yd to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
68.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 7 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+15
68.4%
Uiagalelei, DJ pass incomplete to Ngata, Joseph, PENALTY NCSTATE pass interference (Pitts Jr., Derrek) 15 yards to the NCSTATE39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
69.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
69.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+7
68.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 7 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
69.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Blake Miller) to the NCSt 33Similar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+3
68.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to E.J. Williams for 3 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+1
69.2%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the NCSt 29Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
68.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Antonio WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+46
68.3%
B.T. Potter 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4831% → 47%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for no gain to the NCSt 25Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
68.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 6 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Andrew Mukuba) to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST down. Mukuba ejected for TargetingSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
66.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 10 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
66.2%
Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+15
65.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 15 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.9%
Demarcus Jones II pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
65.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 2 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+15
66.0%
Leary, Devin pass incomplete to Rooks, Porter, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Mickens, R.J.) 15 yards to the CLEMSON8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.Similar
Q2 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
64.5%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the Clem 2Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
52.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ced Seabrough for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:1358% → 73%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
58.2%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 8 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
60.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Beaux Collins for 14 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
61.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 7
50
+12
62.0%
Will Shipley run for 12 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
62.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
62.0%
Will Shipley run for 11 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
64.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 26 yds to the NCSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.1%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
72.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
68.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:2432% → 29%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
68.3%
Devin Leary sacked by Barrett Carter for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 17Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
68.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-3
69.8%
Devin Leary sacked by Myles Murphy for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 14Similar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+15
70.6%
Shane McDonough punt for 44 yds , Will Taylor returns for 15 yds to the Clem 29 CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:4471% → 82%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
71.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 5 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+6
71.7%
Uiagalelei, DJ pass incomplete to Allen, Davis, PENALTY NCSTATE pass interference (Pitts Jr., Derrek) 6 yards to the NCSTATE47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+38
71.9%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 38 yds to the NCSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
72.5%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the NCSt 7Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
82.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 7 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:2420% → 24%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.0%
Jordan Houston run for 5 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
79.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 11 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
79.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 10 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
78.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 7 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
78.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+10
79.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 10 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
77.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
78.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jordan HoustonSimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
79.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jordan HoustonSimilar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
76.0%
Christopher Dunn 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:5478% → 80%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
78.2%
Will Shipley run for 11 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+31
79.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 31 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
81.9%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 35Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+8
81.7%
Will Shipley run for 8 yds to the NCSt 27Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-2
81.2%
DJ Uiagalelei run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 29Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+46
80.0%
B.T. Potter 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4624% → 22%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
75.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the NCSt 29Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
76.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Ced SeabroughSimilar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
77.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Demie Sumo-KarngbayeSimilar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
78.1%
Shane McDonough punt for 45 yds , Will Taylor returns for no gain to the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1980% → 78%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
80.1%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 5 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 5
OWN 31
-2
80.3%
DJ Uiagalelei run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
79.2%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+3
77.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 36 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 3 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1325% → 25%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
75.5%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Grant Gibson) to the NCSt 33Similar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+6
76.8%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the NCSt 39Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+6
75.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Darryl Jones for 6 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-4
74.6%
Devin Leary pass intercepted Toriano Pride return for 4 yds to the Clem 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:1383% → 85%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
83.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Davis AllenSimilar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
83.1%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+22
82.6%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Antonio Williams for 22 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
85.8%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the NCSt 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-3
86.9%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 28Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+1
85.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 1 yd to the NCSt 27Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
85.1%
B.T. Potter 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 2:2112% → 11%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.7%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 8 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
86.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the NCSt 34Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
86.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 4 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
86.5%
Devin Leary sacked by Myles Murphy and Tyler Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 30Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 18
OWN 30
0
88.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jordan HoustonSimilar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 18
OWN 30
0
88.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 18
OWN 30
0
89.3%
Shane McDonough punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Will Taylor at the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3589% → 89%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
88.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-2
88.4%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+10
87.7%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Shipley for 10 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
88.7%
Aidan Swanson punt for 44 yds, downed at the NCSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 19FUMBLE
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:2510% → 8%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
90.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 10 yds to the NCSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
89.9%
Devin Leary pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+24
90.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
50
+3
88.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 3 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
88.5%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+11
88.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 11 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
88.5%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
88.6%
Leary, Devin pass incomplete to Thomas, Thayer, PENALTY NCSTATE holding (McKay, Timothy) 10 yards to the CLEMSON46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+7
89.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 7 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
90.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 13
OPP 39
-3
91.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 42 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Clem K.J. HenrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:2892% → 99%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
92.3%
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 10 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
93.0%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+19
93.6%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 4 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, Personal Foul (Derrek Pitts Jr.) to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST down. Pitts ejected for Targeting. Similar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
94.2%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the NCSt 24Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
94.4%
DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Will ShipleySimilar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+15
94.0%
Phil Mafah run for 15 yds to the NCSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
95.3%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the NCSt 8Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
95.6%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 9Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.8%
DJ Uiagalelei run for 9 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:591% → 5%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 4 yds to the NCSt 29Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.3%
NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Anthony Belton) to the NCSt 24Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
99.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 12 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jordan HoustonSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, Roughing Passer (Etinosa Reuben) to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Darryl Jones for 7 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+10
99.2%
Leary, Devin pass incomplete, PENALTY CLEMSON holding 10 yards to the CLEMSON32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.Similar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
99.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 10 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
99.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Darryl Jones for 18 yds to the Clem 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.3%
Devin Leary run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4497% → 97%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 45
-1
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:51
Devin Leary pass complete to Ced Seabrough for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-11.9
TD · Q3 11:36
DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 7 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
+9.8
TD · Q2 0:31
DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)
+7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com