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ODU

Old Dominion 14 at Virginia 16

UVA
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadODU aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreODU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:31 · Ethan Duane punt for 46 yds , Ethan Davies returns for no gain to the Virg 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+16.1Home team on offense+6.9Score differential+2.9Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Time remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 8:37: Brendan Farrell 30 Yd Field Goal — ODU win probability +8.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 1:01: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 18 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +60.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:01: Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson — UVA win probability +19.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:02: Timeout VIRGINIA, clock 00:02 — ODU win probability +19.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Brendan Farrell 26 Yd Field Goal — UVA win probability +60.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10ODU made the numbers' call on 13 of 17
  1. Q1 10:23UVA 4th & 10 at ODU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:05ODU 4th & 2 at UVA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:42ODU 4th & 2 at UVA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.6%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ODU 4th & 6 at UVA 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48ODU 4th & 6 at UVA 47, down 13
    Close callPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:48UVA 4th & 5 at UVA 9, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:42UVA 4th & 5 at UVA 9, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:23UVA 4th & 8 at ODU 8, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:31ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 37, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:01ODU 4th & 9 at ODU 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00ODU 4th & 11 at UVA 47, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:19ODU 4th & 11 at UVA 47, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:09ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 49, down 13
    Close callPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:33ODU 4th & 2 at ODU 49, down 13
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:33UVA 4th & 7 at UVA 20, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:42UVA 4th & 7 at UVA 20, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:42ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  18. Q3 5:37ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:51UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 49, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−2.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00ODU 4th & 18 at ODU 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 13:46ODU 4th & 18 at ODU 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  22. Q4 13:46UVA 4th & 1 at ODU 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−2.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−3.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 8:37UVA 4th & 10 at ODU 12, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−4.9
    average punt
  24. Q4 8:37ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  25. Q4 7:25ODU 4th & 10 at ODU 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  26. Q4 3:07UVA 4th & 5 at ODU 18, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−6.2
    average punt
  27. Q4 3:07ODU 4th & 8 at ODU 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.2%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ODU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:13UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 1:01ODU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−4.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1PUNT
15 plays · 35 yds · 4:3775% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
74.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
74.6%
Mike Hollins run for 10 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
74.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
74.6%
Mike Hollins run for no gain to the Virg 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
74.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
74.6%
Perris Jones run for 8 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
74.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+6
74.6%
Mike Hollins run for 6 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
74.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 5 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-5
74.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Armstrong,Brennan pass incomplete short right to Thompson,Keytaon PENALTY UVA Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Wood Jr.,Sackett) 5 yards from ODU35 to ODU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
74.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
74.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
73.6%
Daniel Sparks punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ODU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:4126% → 28%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
73.6%
PENALTY UVA Offside (Faumui,Aaron) 5 yards from ODU10 to ODU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 5
OWN 15
+3
73.6%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+6
73.6%
Isaiah Spencer run for 6 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
73.6%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+4
73.6%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+11
73.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 11 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
73.3%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the ODU 48Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+20
73.2%
Blake Watson run for 20 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
73.1%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
71.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jordan BlySimilar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+4
71.8%
Tariq Sims run for 4 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+1
72.1%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the Virg 23Similar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+1
72.0%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the Virg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:2973% → 76%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+38
72.5%
Xavier Brown run for 38 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
73.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 19 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
73.5%
Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+15
73.5%
Perris Jones run for 15 yds to the ODU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
73.5%
Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
73.5%
Perris Jones run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.2%
M. Hollins run for 1 yd for a TD, (B. Farrell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:2525% → 21%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
75.4%
Isiah Paige run for 11 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
75.1%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 35Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+14
75.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 14 yds to the ODU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
74.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 4 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
74.5%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the Virg 47Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+5
74.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 5 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+5
74.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 5 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-5
74.7%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Adams,Chris) 5 yards from UVA42 to UVA47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
79.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
79.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0681% → 81%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
80.9%
Cody Brown run for 2 yds to the Virg 6Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+2
80.9%
Cody Brown run for 2 yds to the Virg 8Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+1
80.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Virg 9Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
80.2%
Daniel Sparks punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
81.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:1983% → 83%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
82.6%
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the ODU 44Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
82.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+15
82.3%
Shotgun Armstrong,Brennan pass incomplete short left to Thompson,Keytaon broken up by Kennedy,Robert PENALTY ODU Personal Foul (Haynes,Marcus) 15 yards from ODU44 to ODU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+25
82.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 25 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
82.6%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Denzel Lowry for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 14Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+6
82.5%
Mike Hollins run for 6 yds to the ODU 8Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
82.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Mike HollinsSimilar
Q2 10:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
82.6%
Brendan Farrell 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:5219% → 18%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.6%
Blake Watson run for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
79.9%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Donta Anthony Jr.Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
80.4%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 37Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
80.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
81.7%
Ethan Duane punt for 46 yds , Ethan Davies returns for no gain to the Virg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8FUMBLE
12 plays · 79 yds · 4:1783% → 85%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
83.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 8 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+10
83.4%
Perris Jones run for 10 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
83.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 28 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
84.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 11 yds to the ODU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
84.1%
Mike Hollins run for 4 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-15
84.1%
Jones,Perris rush right for 4 yards gain to the ODU18 (Ford Jr.,Alonzo) PENALTY UVA Personal Foul (Flores,John Paul) 15 yards from ODU22 to ODU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 21
OPP 37
+5
83.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 5 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 16
OPP 32
+17
83.4%
Brennan Armstrong run for 17 yds to the ODU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
84.1%
Mike Hollins run for 1 yd to the ODU 16Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+9
84.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 9 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
83.7%
Mike Hollins run for 3 yds to the ODU 4 Mike Hollins fumbled, recovered by ODU Denzel LowrySimilar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
84.5%
Mike Hollins run for 3 yds to the ODU 4 Mike Hollins fumbled, recovered by ODU Denzel LowrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 2:1317% → 17%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
82.9%
Keshawn Wicks run for 1 yd to the ODU 5Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+6
83.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 6 yds to the ODU 11Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+7
83.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 7 yds to the ODU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
82.6%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-5
82.7%
PENALTY ODU Offside (Adams,Chris) 5 yards from ODU20 to ODU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 13
OWN 15
0
82.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 13
OWN 15
+4
83.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 4 yds to the ODU 19Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
83.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the Virg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:1083% → 85%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
82.4%
Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+10
82.8%
Shotgun Armstrong,Brennan pass complete short middle to Wicks,Dontayvion for 9 yards to the UVA49 (Harris,Tobias) PENALTY ODU Holding (Harris,Tobias) 10 yards from UVA40 to UVA50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
50
+8
83.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 8 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+6
84.5%
Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the ODU 36 Brennan Armstrong fumbled, recovered by ODU Tre Hawkins IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 0:3218% → 16%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
82.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 20 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
80.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 5 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+15
81.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 15 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-15
80.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyran Hunt) to the Virg 39Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 25
OPP 39
+10
82.9%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 10 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 15
OPP 29
+29
83.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 29 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.3%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4116% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
83.6%
Blake Watson run for 10 yds to the ODU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
83.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 16 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
82.7%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the Virg 44 Blake Watson fumbled, recovered by ODUSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+1
82.7%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the Virg 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+4
82.8%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
84.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
85.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14FUMBLE
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:1087% → 88%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
86.7%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 11Similar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 19
OWN 11
0
86.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Grant MischSimilar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 19
OWN 11
0
86.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+45
86.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 45 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+24
87.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 24 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
87.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 16 yds to the ODU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
87.4%
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the ODU 6Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
87.4%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Ryan Henry for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 26 Brennan Armstrong fumbled, recovered by ODU Shawn Asbury II , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
88.2%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Ryan Henry for a loss of 10 yards to the ODU 26 Brennan Armstrong fumbled, recovered by ODU Shawn Asbury II , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:3613% → 14%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
86.6%
Tariq Sims run for 9 yds to the ODU 35Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
85.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Tariq Sims for 6 yds to the ODU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
85.6%
Tariq Sims run for 2 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
85.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Tariq Sims for 6 yds to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
85.1%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the ODU 49Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
85.7%
Ethan Duane punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Baker at the Virg 17Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
86.3%
Ethan Duane punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Baker at the Virg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5188% → 87%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
88.1%
Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the Virg 20Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
88.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
87.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+10
86.8%
Daniel Sparks punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Isiah Paige returns for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+10
87.4%
Daniel Sparks punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Isiah Paige returns for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0514% → 12%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
50
0
85.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 10
50
+4
86.1%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 14
OWN 46
0
87.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jordan BlySimilar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
88.1%
Ethan Duane punt for 28 ydsSimilar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
88.4%
Ethan Duane punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:4689% → 90%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
89.3%
Perris Jones run for 8 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
89.5%
Perris Jones run for 6 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
89.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the Virg 47Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
90.0%
Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
90.2%
Perris Jones run for no gain to the Virg 49Similar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
90.3%
Daniel Sparks punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tobias Harris at the ODU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 14 yds · 4:0512% → 9%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
88.0%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Tariq Sims for no gain to the ODU 12Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+1
88.2%
Tariq Sims run for 1 yd to the ODU 13Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+10
88.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 10 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
87.9%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 26Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-7
87.3%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Kam Butler for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-7
89.0%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Kam Butler for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+15
90.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wolff,Hayden pass incomplete short middle to Dutton,Dominic PENALTY UVA Personal Foul (Smiley III,Ben) 15 yards from ODU19 to ODU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
88.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Isaiah SpencerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
89.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-5
90.0%
PENALTY ODU False Start (Kounta,Khadere) 5 yards from ODU34 to ODU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 29
-3
90.1%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Aaron Faumui for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 26
+10
90.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 42 yds , Ethan Davies returns for 10 yds to the Virg 42Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 18
OWN 26
+10
90.6%
Ethan Duane punt for 42 yds , Ethan Davies returns for 10 yds to the Virg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:0994% → 86%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
94.4%
Xavier Brown run for 7 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+12
94.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 12 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
94.5%
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
94.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+4
94.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 4 yds to the ODU 30Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+6
93.7%
Brennan Armstrong run for 6 yds to the ODU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
94.5%
Xavier Brown run for 12 yds to the ODU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
94.5%
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the ODU 9Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-10
94.5%
No Huddle Brown,Xavier rush right for 3 yards gain to the ODU06 (Johnson,R'Tarriun) PENALTY UVA Holding (Devine,Derek) 10 yards from ODU09 to ODU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 17
OPP 19
+7
94.4%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
94.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+30
85.6%
Brendan Farrell 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:1223% → 20%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.4%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
76.8%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 25Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
79.7%
Ethan Duane punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the Virg 31Similar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
80.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the Virg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:1886% → 92%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
86.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 1 yd to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+7
85.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 7 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-5
86.9%
PENALTY UVA False Start (Jones,Perris) 5 yards from UVA39 to UVA34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+9
85.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 9 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
87.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 17 yds to the ODU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
88.5%
Xavier Brown run for 17 yds to the ODU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
88.6%
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds to the ODU 20Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
88.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the ODU 18Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
91.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q4 3:07
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
91.8%
Brendan Farrell 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 23TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 2:0615% → 82%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.2%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Zack KuntzSimilar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
85.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ahmarian Granger for 2 yds to the ODU 22Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
86.5%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Ali Jennings IIISimilar
Q4 3:07
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+22
87.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 22 yds to the ODU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
81.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 18 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
79.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 10 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
76.3%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
76.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-5
79.6%
PENALTY ODU Delay Of Game 5 yards from UVA25 to UVA30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+3
81.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 3 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 15
OPP 33
+15
88.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wolff,Hayden pass incomplete short left to Jennings,Ali PENALTY UVA Pass Interference (Johnson,Anthony) 15 yards from UVA33 to UVA18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
78.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Isiah PaigeSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
17.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 18 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 24FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:0144% → 96%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
43.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon ThompsonSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+30
43.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 30 yds to the ODU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
54.7%
Brennan Armstrong run for 13 yds to the ODU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
54.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Armstrong,Brennan pass incomplete short left to Wicks,Dontayvion PENALTY ODU Pass Interference (Harris,Tobias) 15 yards from ODU20 to ODU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
54.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion WicksSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
54.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the ODU 7Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
95.6%
Brendan Farrell 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Brendan Farrell 26 Yd Field Goal
+60.9
TD · Q4 1:01
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 18 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
-60.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:01
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson
+19.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com