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CHSO

Charleston Southern 3 at NC State 55

NCSU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadCHSO aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreCHSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.1NCSU 99.1%Christopher Dunn 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 12:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:41 · Christopher Dunn 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Pregame prior+48.6Home team on offense+0.2Score differential+0.0Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 12:41: Christopher Dunn 46 yd FG GOOD — CHSO win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:28: Devin Leary run for 12 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — CHSO win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:17: Devin Leary run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:16: Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 24 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:31: Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Smith for 40 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CHSO made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:41NCSU 4th & 9 at CHSO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25CHSO 4th & 5 at CHSO 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:39NCSU 4th & 9 at NCSU 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:50CHSO 4th & 6 at CHSO 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:36CHSO 4th & 12 at CHSO 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:09CHSO 4th & 15 at CHSO 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:34CHSO 4th & 10 at NCSU 35, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:03CHSO 4th & 9 at CHSO 45, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:07NCSU 4th & 10 at CHSO 28, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:43CHSO 4th & 3 at CHSO 32, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:35CHSO 4th & 5 at NCSU 31, down 48
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:13NCSU 4th & 9 at NCSU 37, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:38CHSO 4th & 1 at CHSO 22, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:40CHSO 4th & 8 at CHSO 27, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:43NCSU 4th & 4 at CHSO 37, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:31NCSU 4th & 6 at CHSO 31, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:46CHSO 4th & 7 at CHSO 29, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:03NCSU 4th & 1 at NCSU 28, up 52
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 3:28NCSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:17NCSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:16NCSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:31NCSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:58NCSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:48NCSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:36NCSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1499% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Christopher ToudleSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+18
99.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 18 yds to the ChaSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 8 yds to the ChaSo 22Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 22
-10
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Houston,Jordan rush right for 14 yards gain to the CSU08 (Silvera,Boogsie) PENALTY NCS Holding 10 yards from CSU22 to CSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+3
99.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 3 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
99.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+46
99.1%
Christopher Dunn 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:161% → 1%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Vinson Davis for 4 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.1%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Till Garvin for 6 yds to the ChaSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.1%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Vinson Davis for 7 yds to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
99.1%
Ross Malmgren pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
99.1%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Vinson Davis for 2 yds to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
98.9%
David Gelb punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4699% → 99%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
98.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the NCSt 12Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
98.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 9
OWN 12
0
98.9%
Shane McDonough punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Vinson Davis at the ChaSo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:491% → 1%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.9%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Vinson Davis for 4 yds to the ChaSo 48Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Cayden JordanSimilar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Vinson DavisSimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
98.8%
David Gelb punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 95 yds · 5:2299% → 99%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
98.8%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the NCSt 11Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+10
98.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Julian Gray for 10 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
98.8%
Jordan Houston run for 9 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+6
98.8%
Devin Leary run for 6 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.8%
Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+4
98.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 4 yds to the NCSt 37Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+14
98.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 14 yds to the ChaSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Leary,Devin pass incomplete short left to Smith,Anthony QB hurried by Sayegh,Garrett PENALTY CSU Holding (Smith,Kamron) 10 yards from CSU49 to CSU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
98.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 15 yds to the ChaSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
98.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 12 yds to the ChaSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Julian GraySimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-5
98.9%
PENALTY NCS False Start (Toudle,Christopher) 5 yards from CSU12 to CSU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+5
98.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 12Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.6%
Devin Leary run for 12 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:521% → 2%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.6%
TJ Ruff run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 23Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Ross Malmgren pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to TJ RuffSimilar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
98.5%
David Gelb punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:1999% → 99%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.5%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Demie Sumo-KarngbayeSimilar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+11
98.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 11 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
98.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 14 yds to the ChaSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.5%
Demarcus Jones II run for no gain to the ChaSo 42Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+12
98.5%
Demarcus Jones II run for 12 yds to the ChaSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
98.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 4 yds to the ChaSo 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+15
98.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Leary,Devin pass incomplete short right to Toudle,Christopher PENALTY CSU Pass Interference (Kennedy,Hombre) 15 yards from CSU26 to CSU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
98.4%
Jordan Houston run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 3
-5
98.4%
PENALTY NCS False Start (McKay,Timothy) 5 yards from CSU03 to CSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+6
98.4%
Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 2Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
98.9%
Devin Leary run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:081% → 1%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Seth AndersonSimilar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
TJ Ruff run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 20Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
98.7%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Seth AndersonSimilar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+21
98.7%
David Gelb punt for 48 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 21 yds to the ChaSo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:5399% → 99%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+23
98.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 23 yds to the ChaSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 24 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:421% → 1%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Kale Anderson for no gain to the ChaSo 25Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.1%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 10 yds to the ChaSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
99.1%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 16 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Malmgren,Ross pass incomplete short right to Anderson,Kale, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCS Pass Interference (White,Aydan) 14 yards from NCS49 to NCS35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.0%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Kale AndersonSimilar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.0%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Vinson DavisSimilar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
99.1%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Seth AndersonSimilar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
99.1%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Vinson DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:0399% → 100%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
50
-10
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sumo-Karngbaye,Demie rush right for 11 yards gain to the CSU39 (Walters,Kaylon) PENALTY NCS Holding (Gibson,Grant) 10 yards from NCS50 to NCS40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+9
99.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 9 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Christopher ToudleSimilar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+11
99.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Julian Gray for 11 yds to the ChaSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.2%
Demarcus Jones II run for no gain to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Smith for 40 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 3:280% → 0%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.6%
PENALTY CSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from CSU25 to CSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
99.6%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Vinson Davis for 4 yds to the ChaSo 24Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
99.6%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Seth Anderson for 4 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
99.6%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Seth Anderson for 16 yds to the ChaSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
JD Moore run for no gain to the ChaSo 44Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.5%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Seth Anderson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 4
50
-5
99.5%
PENALTY CSU False Start (Strand,Shane) 5 yards from NCS50 to CSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Vinson DavisSimilar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+38
99.8%
David Gelb punt for 43 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 38 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
50
-10
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Leary,Devin pass complete deep left to Smith,Anthony for 20 yards to the CSU30, End Of Play PENALTY NCS Holding (McMahon,Dylan) 10 yards from NCS50 to NCS40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for 5 yds to the NCSt 45Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+10
99.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 10 yds to the ChaSo 45Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+10
99.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 10 yds to the ChaSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
99.7%
Delbert Mimms III run for no gain to the ChaSo 35 for a 1ST down CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Personal Foul (Lawson Cook) to the ChaSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 20 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Vinson Davis for 2 yds to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.8%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Seth Anderson for 9 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Kale AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.8%
TJ Ruff run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Vinson Davis for 6 yds to the ChaSo 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.8%
Roderick Hawkins run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.8%
PENALTY CSU False Start 5 yards from CSU36 to CSU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+5
99.8%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Vinson Davis for 5 yds to the ChaSo 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 4 yds to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-13
99.8%
Ross Malmgren sacked by Tyler Baker-Williams for a loss of 13 yards to the ChaSo 27 Ross Malmgren fumbled, recovered by NCSt Travali Price , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16TD
1 play · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 27 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 17INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Roderick Hawkins run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 28Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Vinson DavisSimilar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Ross Malmgren pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18FG
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
99.8%
Jack Chambers run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Jalen CoitSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Demarcus Jones IISimilar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Julian GraySimilar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
99.9%
Christopher Dunn 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
TJ Ruff run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Vinson Davis for 5 yds to the ChaSo 32Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Kale AndersonSimilar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
David Gelb punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for 8 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for 5 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the NCSt 36 Delbert Mimms III fumbled, recovered by ChaSo Chavon FieldsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 21FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Vinson DavisSimilar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
Ross Malmgren pass complete to Seth Anderson for 5 yds to the NCSt 31Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Ross Malmgren pass incomplete to Vinson DavisSimilar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+48
99.9%
Sam Babbush 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:22100% → 100%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Demarcus Jones II run for 8 yds to the NCSt 33Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Fred Seabrough Jr. for 3 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Demarcus Jones II run for 7 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Jack Chambers run for 1 yd to the NCSt 42Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Jack Chambers run for no gain to the NCSt 42Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 4
OWN 42
-5
99.9%
PENALTY NCS False Start (Jones,Darryl) 5 yards from NCS42 to NCS37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Shane McDonough punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Vinson Davis at the ChaSo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Isaiah Bess pass incomplete to Seth AndersonSimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+1
99.9%
Isaiah Bess pass complete to Cayden Jordan for 1 yd to the ChaSo 14Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+8
99.9%
Isaiah Bess run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 22Similar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
99.9%
David Gelb punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen Coit at the NCSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:02100% → 100%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for 8 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Jalen CoitSimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+18
99.9%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Anthony Smith for 18 yds to the ChaSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Delbert Mimms III run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
99.9%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Julian Gray for 13 yds to the ChaSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Jalen Coit for 10 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Danuel Oscar run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 27Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Isaiah Bess pass incomplete to Danuel OscarSimilar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Isaiah Bess pass incomplete to Kale AndersonSimilar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+12
100.0%
David Gelb punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 47 , Jalen Coit returns for 12 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
MJ Morris pass complete to Jakolbe Baldwin for 8 yds to the ChaSo 45Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Devin Gardner run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.9%
MJ Morris run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 35Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Jack Chambers run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 38Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+1
99.9%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Demarcus Jones II for 1 yd to the ChaSo 37Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Jack Chambers pass incomplete to Jakolbe BaldwinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 27INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Isaiah Bess run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 40Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+7
100.0%
Isaiah Bess run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Isaiah Bess pass complete to Danuel Oscar for 4 yds to the NCSt 49Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Isaiah Bess run for 9 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Isaiah Bess pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Isaiah Bess pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Devin Gardner run for no gain to the NCSt 35Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Ashton LocklearSimilar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+30
99.9%
MJ Morris pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 30 yds to the ChaSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Jakolbe BaldwinSimilar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Devin Gardner run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 33Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+2
100.0%
MJ Morris run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 31Similar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+5
100.0%
Demarcus Jones II run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Isaiah Bess pass incomplete to Buchi NwaubiSimilar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Isaiah Bess pass complete to Chylon Thomas for 2 yds to the ChaSo 24Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+5
100.0%
Isaiah Bess run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 29Similar
Q4 2:46
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
100.0%
David Gelb punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
100.0%
Devin Gardner run for 1 yd to the NCSt 20Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Devin Gardner run for 1 yd to the NCSt 21Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+7
100.0%
Demarcus Jones II run for 7 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Shane McDonough punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CHSODrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Isaiah Bess pass incomplete to Ja'Won GreySimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Isaiah Bess pass incomplete to Ja'Won GreySimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+5
100.0%
Isaiah Bess run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:17
Devin Leary run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 6:31
Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Smith for 40 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 11:16
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Houston for 24 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com