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HAW

Hawai'i 26 at New Mexico State 45

NMSU
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Aggie Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NMSU
modelNMSU aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playNMSU scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameTD+0.6NMSU 98.6%Brayden Schager pass complete to JalenWalthall for 16 yds for a TD, (MatthewShipley KICK)AWAY 17 - HOME 42 · Q3 1:46
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:46 · Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 16 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense+29.1Pregame prior+4.1Score differential+12.5Blowout margin+11.8Garbage-time factor+8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:58: Gavin Frakes run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brett Money KICK) — NMSU win probability +3.1 pts (now 69%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:57: Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brett Money KICK) — NMSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:34: Matthew Shipley 23 yd FG GOOD — HAW win probability +2.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: HAW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:41: Jamoni Jones 2 Yd Run (Brett Money Kick) — NMSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:16: Gavin Frakes pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 1 yd for a TD, (Brett Money KICK) — NMSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NMSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 9:00NMSU 4th & 1 at HAW 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    59.7%−1.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:00HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:13HAW 4th & 13 at HAW 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:34HAW 4th & 6 at NMSU 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−5.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:01NMSU 4th & 5 at NMSU 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:13HAW 4th & 1 at HAW 25, down 11
    Close callPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:00HAW 4th & 3 at NMSU 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    16.9%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:09NMSU 4th & 10 at NMSU 25, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:43HAW 4th & 6 at HAW 44, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:46HAW 4th & 4 at NMSU 16, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:37HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00HAW 4th & 2 at NMSU 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:55HAW 4th & 11 at NMSU 12, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:53NMSU 4th & 8 at HAW 8, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NMSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HAW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:55HAW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:00NMSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:58NMSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:57NMSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:41NMSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:16NMSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:02NMSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:46HAW Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0535% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
64.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to James Phillips for 24 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
64.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 6 yds to the NEWMEXST 45 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Syrus Dumas) to the NMxSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
64.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+9
64.8%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 9 yds to the NMxSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
64.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+4
64.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
64.8%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 1Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5564% → 65%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
63.6%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 8 yds to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
63.8%
Jamoni Jones run for 18 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
63.8%
Ahmonte Watkins run for 13 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
63.8%
Gavin Frakes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
63.8%
Jonathan Brady run for 7 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
63.8%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+27
64.7%
Star Thomas run for 27 yds for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0036% → 36%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.2%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
64.4%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
64.5%
Ben Falck punt for 37 yds , Lawrence Dixon returns for 1 yd to the NMxSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 4:0265% → 69%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
64.8%
Jamoni Jones run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 41Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
65.1%
Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 44Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+11
65.0%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Bryce Childress for 11 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
65.3%
Jamoni Jones run for no gain to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+17
65.3%
Gavin Frakes run for 17 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
65.5%
Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
65.5%
Star Thomas run for 5 yds to the Hawa 20Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+20
68.6%
Gavin Frakes run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:5833% → 33%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.2%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
66.9%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 4 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
67.0%
Brayden Schager run for 6 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
66.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 6 yds to the Hawa 45Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
66.3%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-4
67.1%
Brayden Schager sacked by Chris Ojoh for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 36Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
68.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Dixon at the NMxSt 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-5
67.2%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:1668% → 75%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+57
67.9%
Star Thomas run for 57 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
69.2%
Gavin Frakes run for 8 yds to the Hawa 5Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+2
69.6%
Jamoni Jones run for 2 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.8%
Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7FG
12 plays · 90 yds · 4:1826% → 29%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
73.6%
Dedrick Parson run for 11 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+16
73.3%
Dedrick Parson run for 16 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
72.9%
Tylan Hines run for 8 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+36
72.1%
Tylan Hines run for 36 yds to the NMxSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
71.1%
SCHAGER, Brayden pass to the left incomplete intended for MURRAY, Jordan thrown to the NMS0. PENALTY NMS Pass Interference on DUMAS, Syrus enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the NMS6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
71.1%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 8Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
73.2%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 10Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+9
73.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to James Phillips for 9 yds to the Hawa 19Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
73.2%
Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 6Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
73.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
71.5%
Matthew Shipley 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3378% → 77%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.6%
Ahmonte Watkins run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
77.4%
Ahmonte Watkins run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
77.1%
Gavin Frakes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
77.2%
punt for 54 yds, downed at the Hawa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4827% → 25%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
73.3%
Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the Hawa 17Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+8
73.5%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 8 yds to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 1
OWN 25
0
73.1%
Tylan Hines run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
74.9%
Matthew Shipley punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Dixon at the NMxSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:3281% → 90%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
80.6%
Jonathan Brady run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-4
80.6%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Jamoni Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+28
79.9%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Justice Powers for 28 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
81.6%
Star Thomas run for 7 yds to the Hawa 34Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+13
81.4%
Star Thomas run for 13 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
81.2%
Gavin Frakes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+19
81.5%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Justice Powers for 19 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.8%
Jamoni Jones 2 Yd Run (Brett Money Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 1:4117% → 17%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
82.9%
Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
83.1%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+28
83.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 28 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
80.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
80.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+7
82.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 7 yds to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
82.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 1:4488% → 94%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
88.4%
run for 18 yds to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.7%
Gavin Frakes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
88.6%
HAWAII Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
86.9%
run for 3 yds to the Hawa 11Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
86.6%
run for 2 yds to the Hawa 9Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+8
86.9%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Star Thomas for 8 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.2%
Jamoni Jones run for no gain to the Hawa 1Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.8%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 1 yd for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:5195% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.0%
Star Thomas run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
95.1%
JONES, Jamoni rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the NMS36, out of bounds. PENALTY NMS Holding on VAIPULU, AJ enforced 10 yards from the NMS30 to the NMS20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
95.0%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the NMxSt 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
95.0%
Gavin Frakes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+10
94.9%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Chris Bellamy for 10 yds to the NMxSt 25Similar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.3%
Josh Carlson punt for 50 yds , Dior Scott returns for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:264% → 4%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
95.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 11 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
95.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 4 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
95.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
95.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+37
96.4%
Matthew Shipley punt for 33 yds , Lawrence Dixon returns for 37 yds to the Hawa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:4197% → 99%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.3%
Ahmonte Watkins run for 5 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+3
97.3%
Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+6
97.1%
Star Thomas run for 6 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
97.3%
Star Thomas run for 8 yds to the Hawa 18Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+11
97.3%
Star Thomas run for 11 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
97.3%
Ahmonte Watkins run for 4 yds to the Hawa 3Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.3%
Gavin Frakes run for 2 yds to the Hawa 1Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Ahmonte Watkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:162% → 1%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.3%
Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
98.1%
Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.2%
Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 42Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
97.9%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-5
97.9%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Jalen Walthall) to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+16
98.3%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 16 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
97.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 46Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+10
98.0%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jordan Murray for 10 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
97.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 14 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
97.6%
HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Jalen Walthall) to the NMxSt 27Similar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
97.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+4
98.1%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 4 yds to the NMxSt 23Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+7
97.9%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 7 yds to the NMxSt 16Similar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+16
98.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 16 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Gavin Frakes pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 5:421% → 1%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 6 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
98.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+7
98.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to James Phillips for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
98.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
98.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+12
98.8%
Jordan Johnson run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.7%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
98.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 7 yds to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+1
98.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+16
98.7%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 16 yds to the NMxSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
98.6%
Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-5
98.6%
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
98.8%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
98.7%
Matthew Shipley 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:5199% → 100%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
98.7%
Tim Gans run for 1 yd to the Hawa 42Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+9
98.7%
Tim Gans run for 9 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.7%
Tim Gans run for no gain to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+24
98.7%
Tim Gans run for 24 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
98.8%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 14Similar
Q4 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
98.8%
Tim Gans run for no gain to the Hawa 14Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+6
98.7%
Gavin Frakes run for 6 yds to the Hawa 8Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.7%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
99.6%
Brett Money 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21Uncategorized
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:170% → 1%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.6%
Tylan Hines run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+40
99.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 40 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
99.6%
Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 14 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.5%
Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the NMxSt 22Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.6%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the NMxSt 17Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-5
99.5%
Brayden Schager run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 22Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.3%
Brayden Schager run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 15Similar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+13
99.2%
SCHAGER, Brayden pass to the right incomplete intended for MURRAY, Jordan. PENALTY NMS Pass Interference on SCULARK, BJ enforced 13 yards to the NMS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.2%
Brayden Schager pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:41
Jamoni Jones 2 Yd Run (Brett Money Kick)
+8.3
TD · Q2 0:16
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 1 yd for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q2 14:57
Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com