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ARST

Arkansas State 12 at Ohio State 45

OSU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadARST aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreARST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:12 · Ryan Hanson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+36.1Home team on offense+21.3Score differential+14.2Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor+3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:56: Dominic Zvada 29 Yd Field Goal — ARST win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q2 14:56: Noah Ruggles 24 yd FG GOOD — OSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:24: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:40: TreVeyon Henderson run for 23 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:30: C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 51 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK) — OSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ARST made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 13:34ARST 4th & 7 at ARST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:56ARST 4th & 5 at OSU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:47ARST 4th & 4 at ARST 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56OSU 4th & 6 at ARST 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:33ARST 4th & 18 at OSU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:15OSU 4th & 12 at OSU 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:12ARST 4th & 1 at OSU 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:22ARST 4th & 12 at OSU 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:51ARST 4th & 1 at OSU 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:21OSU 4th & 8 at midfield, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:12ARST 4th & 15 at ARST 11, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:52ARST 4th & 5 at ARST 31, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:35OSU 4th & 13 at OSU 33, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:49ARST 4th & 6 at OSU 28, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:11ARST 4th & 1 at ARST 44, down 33
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:43OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 21, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:24ARST 4th & 10 at ARST 32, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:20OSU 4th & 6 at ARST 41, up 33
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:37ARST 4th & 1 at ARST 15, down 33
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:04OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:23OSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:24OSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:40OSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:30OSU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:04OSU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:181% → 1%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Johnnie Lang run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.5%
Johnnie Lang run for no gain to the ArkSt 28Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.4%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Ryan Hanson punt for 68 yds, downed at the OhSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 96 yds · 3:1699% → 99%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
99.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 7Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+41
99.4%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 41 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.4%
Miyan Williams run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 46Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
99.4%
C.J. Stroud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+4
99.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 4 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 4 yds to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-4
99.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 42Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.3%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Xavier Johnson) to the OhSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 3FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 3:551% → 1%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.3%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.2%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 4 yds to the ArkSt 36Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+2
99.2%
James Blackman pass complete to Marcel Murray for 2 yds to the ArkSt 38Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+15
99.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.1%
Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 48Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
99.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for no gain to the OhSt 48Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+15
99.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Denzel Burke) to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Seydou TraoreSimilar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+16
99.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 16 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
99.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Adam Jones for 6 yds to the OhSt 11Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 4
OPP 11
-1
99.0%
Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 12Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
99.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Reagan EalySimilar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
98.9%
Dominic Zvada 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2199% → 99%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.9%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+45
98.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 45 yds to the ArkSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
98.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 15 yds to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.0%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 7 yds to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
98.9%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Jordan Rhodes) to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Khyheem WaleedSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
98.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Marcel Murray for 4 yds to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:3799% → 99%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
98.9%
Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+8
98.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+35
98.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 35 yds to the ArkSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
98.8%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Trevian Thomas) to the ArkSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
98.8%
Miyan Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 16 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (8 Yards) to the ArkSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 0
OPP 8
-5
98.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q1 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
98.8%
Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 6Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q1 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.7%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
98.9%
Noah Ruggles 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 7FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 1:041% → 1%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+58
98.8%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 58 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.7%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-5
98.7%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Jeff Foreman) to the OhSt 17Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 15
OPP 17
-3
98.7%
Marcel Murray run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 20Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 18
OPP 20
0
98.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Marcel MurraySimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 18
OPP 20
+38
98.6%
Dominic Zvada 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5099% → 99%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
98.6%
TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 23Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
98.5%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
98.5%
Jesse Mirco punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 9FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 6:402% → 2%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.5%
Johnnie Lang run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
98.4%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 4 yds to the ArkSt 34Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
98.3%
Champ Flemings run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
98.2%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
50
0
98.1%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 10
50
+11
98.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 11 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
98.0%
Johnnie Lang run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
97.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Reagan EalySimilar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
97.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 2 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+15
98.0%
Champ Flemings run for 15 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
97.8%
Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-4
97.8%
Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 17Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
97.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+34
97.7%
Dominic Zvada 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5098% → 99%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
97.7%
Miyan Williams run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
50
+8
97.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the ArkSt 42Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+42
98.6%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:192% → 2%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
98.3%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the ArkSt 20Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+5
98.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+1
98.3%
James Blackman run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+25
98.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Adam Jones for 25 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
98.1%
Johnnie Lang run for 4 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
97.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 5 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
97.9%
AJ Mayer run for no gain to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-8
97.8%
James Blackman sacked by Michael Hall Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2398% → 98%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
98.4%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Miyan Williams for 1 yd to the OhSt 49Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
98.3%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka EgbukaSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+1
98.2%
C.J. Stroud run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 8
50
0
98.1%
Jesse Mirco punt for 47 yds, downed at the ArkSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:052% → 2%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
98.1%
Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+15
98.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1298% → 99%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
98.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 44 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
98.2%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 23Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+23
99.3%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 23 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:171% → 1%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
99.1%
Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 14Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 12
OWN 14
-1
99.1%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 13Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 13
OWN 13
+5
99.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Zach Harrison) to the ArkSt 18Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-7
99.2%
James Blackman sacked by Steele Chambers for a loss of 7 yards to the ArkSt 11Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 15
OWN 11
0
99.2%
Ryan Hanson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:3599% → 100%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.2%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 8 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+51
99.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 51 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 25Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jack Sawyer) to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+1
99.8%
Marcel Murray run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
99.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jeff ForemanSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
99.8%
ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Eddie Smith) to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.8%
Miyan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 35Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Miyan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-2
99.9%
C.J. Stroud sacked by Jaden Harris and Thurman Geathers for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 38 yds, downed at the ArkSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 19FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:400% → 0%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+12
99.9%
Johnnie Lang run for 12 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 13 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.9%
Marcel Murray run for 7 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 3
OPP 39
-5
99.8%
Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+12
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 12 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 1 yd to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
99.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Reagan EalySimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+45
99.8%
Dominic Zvada 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
99.8%
Emeka Egbuka run for 27 yds to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.8%
TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 45Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Miyan Williams run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 44Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+9
99.8%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.8%
Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 30Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
99.8%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Xavier JohnsonSimilar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+30
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 30 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:500% → 0%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Emmanual Stevenson for 5 yds to the ArkSt 31Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
James Blackman run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Reagan EalySimilar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 37Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the ArkSt 42Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 44Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 16Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+5
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 5 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
99.9%
C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
99.9%
Ja'Quez Cross run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 26Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
AJ Mayer run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 27Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Omari Walker for 5 yds to the ArkSt 32Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+13
99.9%
Ryan Hanson punt for 54 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for 13 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 9 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 3 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+10
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 10 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 6 yds to the ArkSt 39Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-2
99.9%
Dallan Hayden run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 41Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Gee Scott Jr.Similar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Jesse Mirco punt for 35 yds, downed at the ArkSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
100.0%
Mike Sharpe II run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 8Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+7
100.0%
AJ Mayer run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 15Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 1
OWN 15
0
100.0%
AJ Mayer pass incomplete to Mike Sharpe IISimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Ryan Hanson punt for 41 yds , JK Johnson returns for no gain to the OhSt 44 JK Johnson fumbled, recovered by ArkSt Jack BullardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARSTDrive 26END OF GAME
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
100.0%
Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-3
100.0%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+18
100.0%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Jaden Milliner for 18 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
AJ Mayer run for 4 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
99.9%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+9
99.9%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 9 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
Mike Sharpe II run for 2 yds to the OhSt 12Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
99.9%
AJ Mayer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+6
100.0%
AJ Mayer pass complete to Omari Walker for 6 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:40
TreVeyon Henderson run for 23 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 4:24
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q3 10:30
C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 51 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com