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HAW

Hawai'i 10 at Michigan 56

MICH
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadHAW aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreHAW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:11 · Matthew Shipley punt for 35 yds, downed at the MICHIGAN 38 MICHIGAN Penalty, Sideline Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior+49.0Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:23: Roman Wilson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:05: J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — MICH win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:38: Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK) — HAW win probability +0.2 pts (now 0%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 4HAW made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:24HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:11HAW 4th & 8 at HAW 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:44HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:08HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:31MICH 4th & 8 at MICH 8, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:40HAW 4th & 10 at HAW 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:49HAW 4th & 12 at HAW 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:22HAW 4th & 7 at HAW 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:18MICH 4th & 18 at HAW 45, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:14HAW 4th & 4 at HAW 15, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:47MICH 4th & 2 at MICH 20, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:59HAW 4th & 3 at HAW 37, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:41MICH 4th & 3 at MICH 20, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:51HAW 4th & 6 at MICH 9, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:12HAW 4th & 10 at MICH 39, down 39
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:16HAW 4th & 2 at MICH 2, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 8 of 8HAW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:48MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:36MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:23MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:05MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:38MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:06MICH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:54MICH Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:27HAW Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:59MICH Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HAWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 26Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Joey Yellen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 41 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 3 yds to the Mich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2TD
2 plays · 66 yds · 0:04100% → 100%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
99.8%
Blake Corum run for 24 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 42 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Murray for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+50
99.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 35 yds, downed at the MICHIGAN 38 MICHIGAN Penalty, Sideline Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.8%
Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+31
99.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 31 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
99.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Erick All for 10 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
99.7%
Blake Corum run for 15 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
99.7%
Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the Hawa 4Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
99.7%
Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.7%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 13 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the Hawa 38Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Tamatoa Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q1 5:44
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+35
99.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 40 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 35 yds to the Hawa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Luke Schoonmaker for 6 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+16
99.7%
J.J. McCarthy run for 16 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.7%
Roman Wilson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 28Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
99.7%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Murray for 13 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Dedrick ParsonSimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-2
99.7%
Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 39Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Dior ScottSimilar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 55 yds, downed at the Mich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
99.7%
Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the Mich 6Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
99.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie BellSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+2
99.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 2 yds Ronnie Bell fumbled, recovered by Mich Ronnie BellSimilar
Q1 0:31
4TH & 8
OWN 8
0
99.7%
Brad Robbins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the Hawa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for no gain to the Hawa 48Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jordan MurraySimilar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.7%
Matthew Shipley punt for 45 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 3 yds to the Mich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 2:31100% → 100%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.7%
Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+15
99.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 15 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.7%
Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+54
99.7%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 54 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Joey Yellen pass complete to James Phillips for 4 yds to the Hawa 29Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-6
99.8%
Joey Yellen sacked by Mike Morris for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Matthew Shipley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 1:03100% → 100%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
99.8%
Donovan Edwards run for 25 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+33
99.8%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 33 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Tylan Hines run for no gain to the Hawa 25Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 1 yd to the Hawa 28Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-2
99.9%
Matthew Shipley punt for 36 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.8%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+20
99.9%
Blake Corum run for 20 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Blake Corum for 2 yds to the Hawa 35Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Cade McNamara pass incomplete to C.J. StokesSimilar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-10
99.9%
Cade McNamara sacked by Blessman Ta'ala for a loss of 10 yards to the Hawa 45Similar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 18
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Brad Robbins punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Hawa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.9%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 6 yds to the Hawa 15Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jonah PanokeSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 4
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Matthew Shipley punt for 37 yds , A.J. Henning returns for no gain to the Mich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 21 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 8 yds to the Hawa 23Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+6
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 6 yds to the Hawa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:590% → 0%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 32Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
99.9%
Parson, Dedrick rush for no gain to the HAWAII32, PENALTY HAWAII holding 10 yards to the HAWAII22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the Hawa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Mich 15Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+5
99.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Matthew Hibner for 5 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Tavierre Dunlap run for no gain to the Mich 20Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Brad Robbins punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dior Scott at the Hawa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 37Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Tamatoa Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Matthew Shipley punt for 50 yds , Jake Thaw returns for 10 yds to the Mich 47 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (Carter Selzer) to the Mich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-7
99.9%
Cade McNamara sacked by John Tuitupou for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 6Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 17
OWN 6
+4
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 4 yds to the Mich 10Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 13
OWN 10
+10
99.9%
Cade McNamara pass complete to Colston Loveland for 10 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Brad Robbins punt for 34 yds, downed at the Hawa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 21FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 5:450% → 0%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Chuuky Hines for 5 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 4 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 6 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Dedrick Parson run for no gain to the Mich 39Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Chuuky Hines for 6 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+7
99.9%
Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Chuuky Hines for 3 yds to the Mich 23Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+10
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass complete to James Phillips for 10 yds to the Mich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to James PhillipsSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jonah Panoke for 4 yds to the Mich 9Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jordan MurraySimilar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
99.9%
Matthew Shipley 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 1 yd to the Mich 26Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Cade McNamara pass intercepted Virdel Edwards II return for no gain to the Hawa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
99.9%
Jordan Johnson run for 16 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Tylan HinesSimilar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Tamatoa Mokiao-AtimalalaSimilar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jalen WalthallSimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Matthew Shipley punt for 30 yds, downed at the Mich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24TD
5 plays · 91 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 6 yds to the Mich 15Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+11
99.9%
Davis Warren run for 11 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+56
99.9%
Davis Warren pass complete to Max Bredeson for 56 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
100.0%
C.J. Stokes run for 15 yds for a TD, (Rhett Andersen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 25TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
Tylan Hines run for 6 yds to the Hawa 33Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Hawa 36Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to James PhillipsSimilar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
100.0%
Yellen, Joey pass sacked for loss of 12 yards to the HAWAII24 (Benny, Rayshaun), PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (McBurrows, Ja'Den) 10 yards to the HAWAII46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HAWAII.Similar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
100.0%
Tylan Hines run for 54 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 26TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:21100% → 100%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Amorion WalkerSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+9
100.0%
Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 9 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
100.0%
Isaiah Gash run for 7 yds to the Hawa 44Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
Isaiah Gash run for 3 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
100.0%
Tavierre Dunlap run for 3 yds to the Hawa 38Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler MorrisSimilar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+38
100.0%
Isaiah Gash run for 38 yds for a TD, (Tommy Doman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAWDrive 27DOWNS
16 plays · 73 yds · 6:370% → 0%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jordan JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+21
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Greyson Morgan for 21 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Tylan Hines run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 8
50
+5
100.0%
Tylan Hines run for 5 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass complete to James Phillips for 19 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Dior ScottSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
100.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mich 19Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+12
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 12 yds to the Mich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
100.0%
Tylan Hines run for 3 yds to the Mich 4Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
100.0%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 2 yds to the Mich 2Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei pass incomplete to Jordan MurraySimilar
Q4 1:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Tylan HinesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
100.0%
Danny Hughes run for 4 yds to the Mich 6Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+2
100.0%
Leon Franklin run for 2 yds to the Mich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:38
Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)
-0.2
TD · Q1 4:23
Roman Wilson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)
+0.1
TD · Q2 12:05
J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com