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LIB

Liberty 38 at Old Dominion 24

ODU
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
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Win probability · ODU
modelODU aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playODU scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.9ODU 46.6%Ethan Sanchez 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 21 - HOME 17 · Q2 7:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:22 · Ethan Sanchez 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense−1.1Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Pregame prior−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:23: Dae Dae Hunter run for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +6.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:34: Nick Brown 49 yd FG GOOD — LIB win probability +5.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:01: Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 16 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — ODU win probability +19.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ODU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:05: Dae Dae Hunter run for 32 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +21.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:55: Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK) — LIB win probability +15.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ODU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:50ODU 4th & 3 at ODU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01LIB 4th & 9 at LIB 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:52ODU 4th & 12 at ODU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:22ODU 4th & 5 at LIB 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−6.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:27LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:23ODU 4th & 5 at ODU 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:12LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:05ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 46, down 4
    Close callPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:52LIB 4th & 3 at ODU 47, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:46ODU 4th & 6 at ODU 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−1.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:34LIB 4th & 14 at ODU 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−2.8
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:50ODU 4th & 22 at LIB 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−3.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    27.0%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:37LIB 4th & 1 at ODU 1, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−3.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:37ODU 4th & 14 at ODU 16, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:37ODU 4th & 4 at LIB 24, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−1.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ODU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:14LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:22LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:07ODU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:23ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:23LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:01ODU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:05LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:55LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ODUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:3846% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
46.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 10 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
46.3%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the ODU 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
46.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 3 yds to the ODU 40Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
46.7%
Hayden Wolff pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
45.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 34 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2446% → 46%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.1%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
46.0%
Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-2
45.7%
Ethan Duane punt for 43 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4954% → 54%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
45.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 1 yd to the Liber 24Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
45.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
45.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
45.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Isiah Paige at the ODU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0946% → 45%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
45.8%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-5
45.8%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ODU 27Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 13
OWN 27
-5
45.7%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Dennis Osagiede for a loss of 5 yards to the ODU 22Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 18
OWN 22
+6
45.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordan Bly for 6 yds to the ODU 28Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
44.8%
Ethan Duane punt for 49 yds, downed at the Liber 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 1:3055% → 59%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
45.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
45.2%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
44.6%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 20 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
44.5%
SALTER, Kaidon pass to the right incomplete dropped by LOFTON, Jaivian thrown to the ODU31. PENALTY Before the snap, LIB Illegal Formation on HENDERSON, Austin enforced 5 yards from the ODU36 to the ODU41. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+41
41.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1543% → 46%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
42.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-10
42.8%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isiah Paige) to the ODU 30Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
42.8%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Marquez Bell for 5 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+23
43.2%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Peter Kikwata for 23 yds to the Liber 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
42.7%
Blake Watson run for 30 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
43.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
43.4%
Keshawn Wicks run for 4 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q1 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
46.2%
Hayden Wolff run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:5256% → 56%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
44.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Liber 18Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
44.2%
Kaidon Salter pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:4746% → 51%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
45.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+24
45.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 24 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
46.2%
SIMS, Tariq rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the LIB10 (MEGGINSON, Chris). PENALTY ODU Holding on SALDIVERI, Nick enforced 10 yards from the LIB16 to the LIB26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+2
46.0%
Blake Watson run for 2 yds to the Liber 24Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 18
OPP 24
+7
45.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 7 yds to the Liber 17Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+12
45.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 12 yds to the Liber 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
46.2%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the Liber 4Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
46.2%
Blake Watson run for no gain to the Liber 4Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.1%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 4 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 2:3751% → 59%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
48.7%
Shedro Louis run for 19 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
48.2%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
47.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+21
47.6%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 21 yds to the ODU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-6
47.1%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Kris Trinidad and Denzel Lowry for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 43
+9
47.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 9 yds to the ODU 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+5
47.4%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the ODU 29Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+29
40.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 29 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 5:0143% → 47%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.8%
Blake Watson run for 6 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
43.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 2 yds to the ODU 33Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+12
43.2%
Blake Watson run for 12 yds to the ODU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
44.1%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
43.5%
Obie Sanni run for 7 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
44.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Donta Anthony Jr. for 4 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
44.8%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 49Similar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 15
OPP 49
0
43.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+27
43.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 27 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
45.6%
D.J. Mack Jr. run for 2 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
45.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+3
44.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Isiah Paige for 3 yds to the Liber 17Similar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
46.6%
Ethan Sanchez 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5555% → 53%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
45.0%
LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 20Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
45.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
45.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
44.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:27
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
46.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0447% → 45%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
47.4%
Blake Watson run for 3 yds to the ODU 43Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
47.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 2 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
46.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
45.0%
Ethan Duane punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1155% → 53%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
44.9%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+2
45.0%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 22Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
45.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+11
46.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 47 yds , Isiah Paige returns for 11 yds to the ODU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0748% → 45%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
47.6%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
46.3%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 46Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
46.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
44.7%
Ethan Duane punt for 40 yds, downed at the Liber 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16INT
14 plays · 62 yds · 3:0356% → 62%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
43.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jaivian Lofton for 10 yds to the Liber 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
43.6%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 8 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+3
42.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
43.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 14 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
41.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
41.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 6 yds to the ODU 45Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+6
41.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 6 yds to the ODU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
40.3%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 8 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+14
39.6%
Shedro Louis run for 14 yds to the ODU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-7
37.5%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Alonzo Ford Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the ODU 24Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 17
OPP 24
0
38.2%
Kaidon Salter pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:0857% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
43.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 10 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
42.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
41.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
41.6%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offsides (Ryan Henry) to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
41.1%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+3
40.7%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the ODU 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
41.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
42.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 46 yds, downed at the ODU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0644% → 41%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
43.5%
Blake Watson run for 1 yd to the ODU 2Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 9
OWN 2
-1
43.4%
Blake Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ODU 1Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+4
42.1%
Blake Watson run for 4 yds to the ODU 5Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 6
OWN 5
-8
41.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 47 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:1259% → 67%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-9
40.6%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by Alonzo Ford Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Liber 31Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 19
OWN 31
+2
43.3%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Caleb Snead for 2 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+40
44.6%
Shedro Louis run for 40 yds to the ODU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-6
38.9%
Johnathan Bennett sacked by R'Tarriun Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 33Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 16
OPP 33
+2
42.1%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the ODU 31Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
38.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+49
33.3%
Nick Brown 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3335% → 60%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
35.0%
Hayden Wolff run for 10 yds to the ODU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
35.5%
Blake Watson run for 7 yds to the ODU 42Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+21
38.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 21 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
39.3%
Keshawn Wicks run for 2 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+6
40.8%
Hayden Wolff run for 6 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+9
39.2%
Keshawn Wicks run for 9 yds to the Liber 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
40.9%
Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
60.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 16 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:5650% → 75%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
50.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 8 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+7
47.3%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 7 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
47.2%
Nate Hampton run for 3 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+16
46.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 16 yds to the ODU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
46.2%
Johnathan Bennett run for 4 yds to the ODU 32Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+32
24.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 32 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:1031% → 26%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+28
30.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
35.0%
Obie Sanni run for 8 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+15
35.5%
WOLFF, Hayden pass to the left incomplete intended for JENNINGS, Ali broken up by SINGLETON, Kobe at the LIB3. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on SINGLETON, Kobe enforced 15 yards to the LIB27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
37.3%
Obie Sanni run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 31Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+10
32.3%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 10 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 4
OPP 21
-15
32.7%
WOLFF, Hayden pass up the middle incomplete intended for ANTHONY, Donta thrown to the LIB11. PENALTY ODU Pass Interference on ANTHONY, Donta enforced 15 yards to the LIB36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 19
OPP 36
-3
29.4%
Hayden Wolff sacked by TreShaun Clark for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 39Similar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 22
OPP 39
0
26.2%
Ethan Duane punt for 38 yds, downed at the Liber 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23TD
10 plays · 99 yds · 4:5575% → 95%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
24.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 5
-1
25.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 4Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+10
26.0%
BENNETT, Johnathan pass to the left incomplete intended for LOFTON, Jaivian thrown to the LIB17. PENALTY ODU Holding on JONES, Terry enforced 10 yards from the LIB4 to the LIB14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
24.4%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Liber 15Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+11
24.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 11 yds to the Liber 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
23.4%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
23.0%
BENNETT, Johnathan pass to the left incomplete intended for YARBROUGH, CJ broken up by HAWKINS, Tre at the ODU40. PENALTY ODU Offsides on JOHNSON, R'Tarriun enforced 5 yards from the LIB28 to the LIB33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+25
22.4%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 25 yds to the ODU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
20.2%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Austin Henderson for 1 yd to the ODU 41Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+41
5.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · -7 yds · 1:256% → 5%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.9%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
5.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
5.7%
LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive Holding (Daijahn Anthony) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
6.3%
Hayden Wolff run for a loss of 6 yards to the ODU 31Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 20
OWN 31
0
5.8%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 20
OWN 31
-3
5.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for a loss of 3 yards to the ODU 28Similar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 23
OWN 28
-10
5.7%
WOLFF, Hayden pass up the middle complete for 24 yards to HARVEY, Javon caught at the LIB50 and advanced to the LIB48 (SCRUGGS, Javon). PENALTY ODU Holding on HUNT, Tyran enforced 10 yards from the ODU28 to the ODU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 33
OWN 18
0
5.0%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25MISSED FG
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:5396% → 97%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
4.4%
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the ODU 12Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+1
4.4%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the ODU 11Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
4.5%
OLDDOMINION Penalty, Offsides (Alonzo Ford Jr.) to the ODU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
4.4%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the ODU 3Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
2.6%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the ODU 1Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
2.5%
Shedro Louis run for no gain to the ODU 1Similar
Q4 2:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
2.7%
Nick Brown 19 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ODUDrive 26FUMBLE
13 plays · 62 yds · 2:171% → 1%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
1.3%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-4
1.3%
Hayden Wolff sacked by Tyren Dupree for a loss of 4 yards to the ODU 16Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
1.4%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+30
1.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 30 yds to the ODU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
1.4%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 13 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
1.5%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 11 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
1.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for 6 yds to the Liber 24Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
1.7%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Javon Harvey for no gain to the Liber 24Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
1.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+8
1.6%
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Ali Jennings III for 8 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
1.7%
Hayden Wolff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-2
1.2%
Hayden Wolff sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:05
Dae Dae Hunter run for 32 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)
-21.5
TD · Q3 3:01
Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Watson for 16 yds for a TD, (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
+19.4
TD · Q4 6:55
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)
-15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com