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CONN

UConn 10 at NC State 41

NCSU
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Carter-Finley Stadium
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Win probability · NCSU
modelNCSU aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playNCSU scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.1NCSU 98.3%Christopher Dunn 48 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 17 · Q1 0:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:51 · Christopher Dunn 48 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+44.1Home team on offense+7.2Score differential+4.1Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:26: Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 20 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — CONN win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:51: Christopher Dunn 48 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:32: Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 1 yd for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:53: Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:17: Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 4 yds for a TD, (Collin Smith KICK) — NCSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NCSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NCSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CONN made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:45CONN 4th & 1 at NCSU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:23CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:51NCSU 4th & 7 at CONN 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:13CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:00CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:54CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 32, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00CONN 4th & 9 at NCSU 10, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:40CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 9, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:59NCSU 4th & 4 at CONN 11, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:55CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 16, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:11CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:22NCSU 4th & 18 at CONN 23, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:55CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 47, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:43NCSU 4th & 5 at CONN 30, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NCSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 14:46NCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:26NCSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:32NCSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:53NCSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:17NCSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:08CONN Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NCSUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
98.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 75 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:011% → 2%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.7%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 11 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
98.7%
Zion Turner run for 17 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
98.7%
Aaron Turner run for 1 yd to the NCSt 46Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+2
98.7%
Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the NCSt 44Similar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+6
98.7%
Devontae Houston run for 6 yds to the NCSt 38Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
98.5%
Zion Turner run for no gain to the NCSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:1999% → 98%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 2 yds to the NCSt 40Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+18
98.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 18 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
98.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Darryl Jones for 9 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
98.5%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
98.5%
Devin Leary run for 2 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
98.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Darryl Jones for 5 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+7
98.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 7 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
98.5%
Devin Leary run for 4 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+20
98.4%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 20 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:032% → 2%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.4%
Devontae Houston run for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
98.3%
Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
98.4%
Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.3%
George Caratan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:3298% → 98%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
98.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 12 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 2 yds to the NCSt 43Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+10
98.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demarcus Jones II for 10 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
98.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Devin CarterSimilar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
98.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 5 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 16
OPP 40
+15
98.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 15 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
98.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Demarcus Jones II for 1 yd to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
98.3%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Keyon LesaneSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
98.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
98.3%
Christopher Dunn 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
98.1%
Zion Turner pass complete to Justin Joly for 1 yd to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
98.2%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+3
98.2%
Zion Turner pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 3 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
98.2%
George Caratan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 4:4198% → 99%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
98.3%
Devin Leary sacked by Eric Watts for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 18Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+1
98.3%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the NCSt 19Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+18
98.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 18 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
98.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 17 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
98.4%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 10 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
98.4%
Delbert Mimms III run for 4 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
98.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 3 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+28
98.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 28 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 1 yd for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Cale Millen pass incomplete to Jacob FlynnSimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Cale Millen run for 2 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
98.7%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 5 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.7%
George Caratan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:0799% → 100%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
98.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 6 yds to the NCSt 35Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
98.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 6 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Anthony SmithSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 6 yds to the NCSt 47Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
98.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Julian Gray for 5 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
98.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 3 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+8
98.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Darryl Jones for 8 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
98.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 22 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
98.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 8 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+5
98.8%
Demarcus Jones II run for 5 yds to the UConn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
98.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 22 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:590% → 0%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Aaron Turner run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.5%
Zion Turner run for 3 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Kevens ClerciusSimilar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.6%
George Caratan punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 11INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 4 yds to the NCSt 24Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
99.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Darryl Jones for 4 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
99.6%
Delbert Mimms III run for 4 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Devin Leary pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12FG
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:460% → 1%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.6%
Aaron Turner run for 4 yds to the NCSt 7Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-10
99.6%
Zion Turner sacked by Davin Vann for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSt 17 Zion Turner fumbled, recovered by UConn Chase Lundt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 16
OPP 17
+7
99.7%
Zion Turner pass complete to Devontae Houston for 7 yds to the NCSt 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
99.5%
Noe Ruelas 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:141% → 0%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
98.8%
Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
98.8%
Zion Turner run for no gain to the UConn 13Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+4
98.8%
Zion Turner pass complete to Victor Rosa for 4 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 12
OWN 9
0
99.7%
George Caratan punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.7%
Demarcus Jones II run for 7 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+1
99.7%
Demarcus Jones II run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+9
99.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 9 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Thayer ThomasSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
99.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Darryl Jones for 6 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
99.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Darryl JonesSimilar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+1
99.8%
Christopher Dunn run for 1 yd to the UConn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.8%
Devontae Houston run for 4 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Zion Turner pass complete to Dajon Harrison for no gain to the UConn 14Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+2
99.8%
Zion Turner run for 2 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
99.8%
George Caratan punt for 33 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for no gain to the NCSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:38100% → 100%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
99.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Christopher Toudle for 11 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 7 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+7
99.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 7 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Michael Allen for 3 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 5 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+5
99.8%
Devin Leary pass complete to Delbert Mimms III for 5 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+2
99.8%
Delbert Mimms III run for 2 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Devin Leary pass complete to Porter Rooks for 4 yds for a TD, (Collin Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Zion Turner pass complete to Devontae Houston for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Zion Turner run for 4 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Victor Rosa run for no gain to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
George Caratan punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:49100% → 100%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 3 yds to the NCSt 30Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+15
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 15 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 7 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 4 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 8 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Terrell Timmons Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 6 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-8
99.9%
Devin Leary sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Christopher ToudleSimilar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 18
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jalen CoitSimilar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 18
OPP 23
+40
99.9%
Collin Smith 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:270% → 0%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.9%
Zion Turner pass complete to Devontae Houston for 12 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
99.9%
Zion Turner sacked by Joshua Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Zion Turner pass incomplete to Dajon HarrisonSimilar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+14
99.9%
Devontae Houston run for 14 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Zion Turner pass complete to Aaron Turner for 1 yd to the UConn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 20MISSED FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Jack Chambers pass complete to Michael Allen for 3 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 10 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+10
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 10 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Michael Allen run for no gain to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 6:43
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
99.9%
Collin Smith 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:350% → 0%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Robert Burns run for 5 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Cale Millen pass incomplete to Justin JolySimilar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+7
100.0%
Robert Burns run for 7 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+10
100.0%
Cale Millen run for 10 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Cale Millen pass incomplete to Dajon HarrisonSimilar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+19
100.0%
Victor Rosa run for 19 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
100.0%
Robert Burns run for 5 yds to the NCSt 19Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+8
100.0%
Victor Rosa run for 8 yds to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Victor Rosa run for 11 yds for a TD, (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCSUDrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Michael Allen run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Devin Gardner run for 4 yds to the NCSt 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Devin Gardner run for 4 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:53
Devin Leary pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 9:32
Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Carter for 1 yd for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 7:26
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 20 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com