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GAST

Georgia State 31 at Army 14

ARMY
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadGAST aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreGAST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:33 · Billy Boehlke punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense−1.2Pregame prior+11.2Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:14: Darren Grainger run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +6.7 pts (now 47%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:03: Jamyest Williams run for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +13.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:57: Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +22.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:14: Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40 — GAST win probability +16.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:59: Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 57 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK) — GAST win probability +14.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GAST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 6GAST made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:12GAST 4th & 25 at ARMY 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:24GAST 4th & 7 at ARMY 31, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:28GAST 4th & 1 at ARMY 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−1.0
    92% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:33ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:00ARMY 4th & 8 at GAST 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    54.8%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:25GAST 4th & 8 at ARMY 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    51.9%−9.4
    average punt
  7. Q4 8:49ARMY 4th & 1 at GAST 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    45.1%−5.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−24.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 6:51GAST 4th & 3 at GAST 8, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:14ARMY 4th & 11 at GAST 43, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%
    28% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:14ARMY 4th & 11 at GAST 43, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%
    28% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:56ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GAST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 11:14GAST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:03GAST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:32ARMY Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:57ARMY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:59GAST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:57GAST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASTDrive 1FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 3:4834% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
65.8%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 10 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
65.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+9
65.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 9 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
65.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 8 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+3
65.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
65.8%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Jamari ThrashSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
65.8%
Darren Grainger run for 12 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
65.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+11
65.8%
Tucker Gregg run for 11 yds to the Army 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
65.8%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Broadway,Bryson) 5 yards from AWP13 to AWP18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 18
-6
65.8%
Darren Grainger sacked by Leo Lowin for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 24
0
65.8%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 24
+4
65.8%
run for 4 yds to the Army 28 fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Darren GraingerSimilar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 25
OPP 28
+46
65.4%
Michael Hayes 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2FUMBLE
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:5465% → 65%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.2%
Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
65.2%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
65.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
65.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
65.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
65.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
65.6%
Tyson Riley run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 41Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+2
65.6%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
65.1%
Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 34 Tyson Riley fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Jordan VenezialeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 3DOWNS
19 plays · 60 yds · 5:5036% → 38%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
64.0%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais CredleSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+12
64.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
63.6%
Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+2
63.3%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
63.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Grainger,Darren rush left for 11 yards gain to the AWP33, out of bounds at AWP33 PENALTY GSU Holding (Broadway,Bryson) 10 yards from AWP44 to GSU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+10
63.9%
Jamyest Williams run for 10 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
63.4%
Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+8
63.6%
Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
63.2%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
63.1%
Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the Army 30Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 6
OPP 30
-4
63.5%
PENALTY GSU False Start (Cristobal,Luis) 4 yards from AWP30 to AWP34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+3
63.6%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+4
63.7%
Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+17
62.9%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 17 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
61.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+2
61.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
62.1%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the Army 5Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+1
62.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the Army 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:2763% → 61%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
62.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+2
62.6%
Tyson Riley run for 2 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+2
62.0%
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
62.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
62.6%
Tyhier Tyler pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+1
61.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 17Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
61.0%
Billy Boehlke punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 5TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:1940% → 47%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
60.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 18 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
59.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the Army 16Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+3
59.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
52.7%
Darren Grainger run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:1453% → 51%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
52.9%
Cade Ballard run for 21 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
54.0%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+13
54.3%
Cade Ballard run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
54.6%
Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
54.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 34Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+2
54.5%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 36Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
50.8%
Cade Ballard run for no gain to the GeoSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:5751% → 65%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
49.4%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
48.9%
Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+18
49.1%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Kris Byrd for 18 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
48.7%
Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Jamari ThrashSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
48.7%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 7 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+33
34.8%
Jamyest Williams run for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8FUMBLE
14 plays · 54 yds · 5:1340% → 38%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
39.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 12 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
40.8%
Cade Ballard run for 9 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
42.2%
Cade Ballard run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
42.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
41.2%
Cade Ballard run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+1
41.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
41.3%
Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun MarshallSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
41.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 33Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+5
41.5%
Cade Ballard run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
42.5%
Hayden Reed run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 22Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
42.5%
Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+1
37.5%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 21 Tyrell Robinson fumbled, recovered by GeoSt Jordan VenezialeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:5074% → 75%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
25.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 29Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+4
25.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
25.5%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2831% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
31.2%
Hayden Reed run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
31.1%
Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 15 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
33.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
34.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+36
34.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 36 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
34.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
34.9%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:0762% → 64%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
38.5%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 13 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
37.0%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 17 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
36.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 14 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
36.3%
Darren Grainger run for 16 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
36.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+3
36.4%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+1
37.2%
Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the Army 13Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
35.6%
Michael Hayes 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 7:2835% → 55%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
35.4%
Markel Johnson run for 7 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+8
36.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
36.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
37.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
38.0%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 49Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
38.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
38.4%
Hayden Reed run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
38.8%
Tyrell Robinson run for 15 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
40.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 20Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+11
40.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
40.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
32.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 5Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
54.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
46.4%
Jamyest Williams run for 26 yds to the Army 49 Jamyest Williams fumbled, recovered by Army Leo LowinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 5:5854% → 46%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
54.3%
Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 48Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+3
55.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+6
54.5%
Markel Johnson run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
55.1%
GEORGIA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Justin Abraham) to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
57.5%
Hayden Reed run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 15Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+9
57.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
57.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
57.5%
Cade Ballard run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.7%
Cade Ballard run for no gain to the GeoSt 1Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the GeoSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5862% → 60%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
37.7%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 3Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
38.2%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 6Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+2
40.1%
Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 8Similar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
39.6%
Michael Hayes punt for 46 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for no gain to the Army 45 Tyrell Robinson fumbled, recovered by Army Braheam MurphySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:3747% → 39%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
46.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 47Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+5
49.0%
Markel Johnson run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
48.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
49.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 42Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+1
47.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 11
OPP 43
+5
39.1%
Austin Hill run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 11
OPP 43
+5
39.1%
Austin Hill run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 0:1577% → 94%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.1%
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
21.9%
Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 43Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+57
6.4%
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 57 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:075% → 5%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.3%
Cade Ballard pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.2%
ARMY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 19TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:5594% → 99%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
6.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 44Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+56
1.3%
Tucker Gregg run for 56 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:012% → 2%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
1.9%
Cade Ballard pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 11 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
1.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 1 yd to the Army 35Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+3
1.9%
Cade Ballard run for 3 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
1.9%
Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Cole CaterboneSimilar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
1.7%
Cade Ballard pass incomplete to Isaiah AlstonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASTDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:5699% → 99%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
1.1%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-2
1.0%
Darren Grainger run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:57
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+22.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:14
Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 40
-16
TD · Q4 2:59
Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 57 yds for a TD, (Michael Hayes KICK)
-14.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com