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South Carolina 6 at Florida 38

FLA
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:10 · Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, downed at the SCaro 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense+31.7Score differential+10.7Pregame prior+3.2Garbage-time factor+9.8Blowout margin+13.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:17: Anthony Richardson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +1.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:31: Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +4.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:59: Trevor Etienne run for 85 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +4.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:52: Dakereon Joyner 48 Yd pass from Kai Kroeger (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — SC win probability +4.1 pts (now 16%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:43: Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jonathan Odom for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +5.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 7:11SC 4th & 10 at SC 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:20SC 4th & 11 at SC 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:43SC 4th & 16 at SC 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:24FLA 4th & 10 at SC 11, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−4.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:52SC 4th & 6 at FLA 48, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:42FLA 4th & 8 at SC 19, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:14FLA 4th & 7 at SC 18, up 25
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:55SC 4th & 19 at SC 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:45FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 22, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:41SC 4th & 8 at FLA 17, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:24FLA 4th & 11 at FLA 29, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:10SC 4th & 9 at SC 5, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:10FLA 4th & 3 at SC 41, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:34SC 4th & 15 at SC 20, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 9:17FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:31FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:59FLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:52SC Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    13.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:43FLA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:02FLA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:4369% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
68.9%
Ricky Pearsall run for 7 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
68.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
68.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
68.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 10 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
68.9%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+5
68.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
68.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+13
68.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 13 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
68.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 22 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
68.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+2
68.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
68.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
68.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
70.5%
Anthony Richardson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0630% → 29%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
69.9%
Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
70.0%
Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 21Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+4
70.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 4 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-2
70.8%
Kai Kroeger punt for 37 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:4071% → 76%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
70.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 11 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+27
71.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 27 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
71.1%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Marcus Burke for 6 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+3
71.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
70.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
75.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:1126% → 25%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
74.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
74.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+18
74.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 18 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
73.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
74.0%
Xavier Legette run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
74.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 11
OWN 35
-9
75.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:2176% → 80%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
75.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+85
80.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 85 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 4:1619% → 15%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
81.4%
Jaheim Bell run for 18 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
81.1%
Jaheim Bell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+8
81.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 8 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-5
82.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+6
82.9%
Jaheim Bell run for 6 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
82.5%
Jaheim Bell run for 1 yd to the Fla 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
82.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 46
-7
83.0%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Gervon Dexter Sr. and Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
85.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 46 yds, downed at the Fla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7FG
13 plays · 82 yds · 6:1985% → 91%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
85.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jonathan Odom for 2 yds to the Fla 9Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+6
85.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+23
84.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 23 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
85.5%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+31
85.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 31 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
85.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 8 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+7
85.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 7 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
85.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-5
85.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 12Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+1
90.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 11Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
90.2%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
90.8%
Adam Mihalek 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3311% → 17%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
88.6%
Jaheim Bell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
88.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
88.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 8 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
87.7%
Jaheim Bell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.0%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
88.1%
run for 4 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 6
OPP 48
+48
84.0%
Dakereon Joyner 48 Yd pass from Kai Kroeger (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
83.3%
Juju McDowell run for no gain to the Fla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9END OF HALF
13 plays · 46 yds · 1:4487% → 88%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+20
87.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 20 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
87.8%
RICHARDSON, Anthony pass up the middle complete for 18 yards to PEARSALL, Ricky caught at the USC38 and advanced to the USC35 (SMITH, DQ). PENALTY Before the snap, UFL Illegal Formation on TARQUIN, Michael enforced 5 yards from the UFL47 to the UFL42. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 15
OWN 42
-2
87.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 40Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 17
OWN 40
-1
87.2%
Anthony Richardson sacked by Debo Williams and Zacch Pickens for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 18
OWN 39
+19
86.6%
Anthony Richardson run for 19 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
87.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
87.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+18
87.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 18 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
87.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 8 yds fumbled, recovered by Fla Rashad Torrence IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 3:0287% → 91%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
87.4%
Anthony Richardson run for 9 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+1
87.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
87.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-8
87.1%
Anthony Richardson sacked by Debo Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 14:44
3RD & 16
OPP 27
+8
86.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+36
91.3%
Adam Mihalek 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4411% → 11%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.6%
Jaheim Bell run for no gain to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
89.0%
Jaheim Bell run for no gain to the SCaro 12 Jaheim Bell fumbled, recovered by Fla Desmond WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:1592% → 98%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
92.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+5
92.3%
Anthony Richardson run for 5 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
97.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jonathan Odom for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 17 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+27
97.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 17 yds Jalen Brooks fumbled, recovered by Fla Trey Dean III for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Young) to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:1398% → 98%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
97.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 9 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+4
97.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
97.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
97.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
97.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 7
OPP 18
-10
98.1%
run for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:193% → 2%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
97.5%
run for 13 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
97.5%
Juju McDowell run for 11 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
97.4%
Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 11
OPP 49
-3
97.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 7 yds to the SCaro 42 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Austin Stogner) to the SCaro 46Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 16
OWN 46
0
97.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 16
OWN 46
+2
97.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 2 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 14
OWN 48
-5
97.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 3:55
4TH & 19
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 54 yds, downed at the Fla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:1099% → 99%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
98.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd to the Fla 4Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
98.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+11
98.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Fla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
98.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
98.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+3
98.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+37
99.0%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 49 yds , Josh Vann returns for 37 yds to the FLORIDA 41 FLORIDA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:041% → 3%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
98.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 4 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
98.7%
Jaheim Bell run for 3 yds to the Fla 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
98.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for no gain to the Fla 12Similar
Q4 13:48
4TH & 3
OPP 12
-5
97.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Xavier Legette) to the Fla 17Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 8
OPP 17
0
97.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1799% → 98%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
99.2%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 13 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.2%
Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+5
99.2%
Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 6
OWN 34
-5
99.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Shemar James) to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 67 yds, downed at the SCaro 4Similar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
97.8%
RATTLER, Spencer pass up the middle complete for 38 yards to STOGNER, Austin caught at the USC16 and advanced to the USC42 (DEAN III, Trey;WILSON, Kamari). PENALTY USC Illegal Touch-Pass on STOGNER, Austin enforced 2 yards from the USC4 to the USC2, penalty results in a loss of down. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:142% → 1%
Q4 11:24
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+8
97.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 8 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 4
OWN 10
0
97.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 4
OWN 10
-5
97.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Josh Vann) to the SCaro 5Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 9
OWN 5
0
99.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, downed at the SCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:08100% → 100%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
99.6%
Anthony Richardson sacked by T.J. Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 46Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+8
99.5%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+5
99.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+6
99.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+15
99.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Tyreek Johnson) to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
99.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jaheim Bell) to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
99.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Spencer Rattler) to the SCaro 6Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 29
OWN 6
+14
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 14 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+11
100.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 49 yds , Ricky Pearsall returns for 11 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
99.9%
KITNA, Jalen pass to the right incomplete intended for WHITTEMORE, Trent thrown to the USC39. PENALTY UFL Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HERMAN, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the UFL42 to the UFL37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 49 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 10 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+23
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 23 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jordan Pouncey for 6 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
100.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the SCaro 9 Nay'Quan Wright fumbled, recovered by SCaro Tyreek JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 8 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+5
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 5 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 1 yd to the SCaro 23Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+25
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 25 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 6 yds to the Fla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:43
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jonathan Odom for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q1 4:31
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q1 1:59
Trevor Etienne run for 85 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com