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FLA

Florida 41 at Texas A&M 24

TA&M
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:26 · Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Home team on offense−31.3Pregame prior+0.8Score differential−11.4Garbage-time factor−11.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:33: Anthony Richardson run for 60 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +3.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:00: Devon Achane run for 2 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +8.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:32: Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +13.7 pts (now 52%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:58: Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 12 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +17.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:21: Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 8FLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:41FLA 4th & 13 at TA&M 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    43.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:58TA&M 4th & 3 at FLA 7, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.5%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−5.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:00FLA 4th & 6 at TA&M 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:49FLA 4th & 7 at TA&M 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−5.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:32TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:04FLA 4th & 11 at FLA 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:04TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:13TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:36FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−4.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:04TA&M 4th & 15 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−2.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:17TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:05FLA 4th & 9 at TA&M 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−8.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:53FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:26FLA 4th & 1 at TA&M 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−8.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:36TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 24, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:14TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 29, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:21TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:01FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:47TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:33FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:00TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:32FLA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:58FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:21FLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:1938% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
61.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
61.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 18Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+17
61.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 17 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
61.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Fla 35Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+23
61.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 23 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
61.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
61.4%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 15
OPP 35
0
61.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante ZandersSimilar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+2
61.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 13
OPP 33
0
61.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for no gain to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 13
OPP 33
+50
61.6%
Adam Mihalek 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5761% → 63%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+70
61.3%
Devon Achane run for 65 yds to the TEXASAM 10 for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (5 Yards) to the Fla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
62.0%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 8Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 0
OPP 8
+3
62.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the Fla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
63.0%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5938% → 41%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 8 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
62.2%
Anthony Richardson run for 11 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
62.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 12 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
61.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+11
61.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 11 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
61.6%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+14
61.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (14 Yards) to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
61.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
59.5%
Anthony Richardson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5960% → 64%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
Devon Achane run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
60.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 13 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
60.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Max Wright for 8 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+9
61.1%
Devon Achane run for 9 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+28
61.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 28 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
61.6%
Devon Achane run for no gain to the Fla 17Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
61.6%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Devon AchaneSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+14
61.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 14 yds to the Fla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
61.5%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 5Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
61.5%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Max WrightSimilar
Q1 1:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
63.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Devon Achane for 5 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0737% → 41%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
62.9%
Ricky Pearsall run for 15 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
62.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+60
58.6%
Anthony Richardson run for 60 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:0459% → 62%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
59.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 12 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
59.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Max Wright for 18 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
60.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+6
60.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 6 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+11
60.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 11 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
61.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Max Wright for 13 yds to the Fla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
61.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the Fla 10Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+3
61.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the Fla 7Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
60.4%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Le'Veon MossSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
61.9%
Randy Bond 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 7:0540% → 45%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.1%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ja'Quavion FraziarsSimilar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+17
60.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 17 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
58.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 9 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
57.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
57.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the TexAM 43Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
57.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 3 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
57.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ja'Quavion FraziarsSimilar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+18
57.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 18 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
55.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
55.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 5 yds to the TexAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 0
OPP 9
-5
54.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 14Similar
Q2 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
55.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
54.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 0
OPP 12
-5
55.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 17Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 0
OPP 17
+10
55.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 10 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
54.7%
Adam Mihalek 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5856% → 53%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
55.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 15 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
55.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 20
OWN 25
-4
55.1%
Haynes King pass complete to Devon Achane for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 21Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 24
OWN 21
+13
54.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 13 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
53.5%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
53.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:2146% → 45%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
53.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
54.1%
Ricky Pearsall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
54.4%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
55.5%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:0055% → 69%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+21
54.7%
Devon Achane run for 21 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
57.3%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
56.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 15 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
58.0%
Devon Achane run for 6 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+29
59.3%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 29 yds to the Fla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+1
60.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (1 Yards) to the Fla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.7%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5935% → 35%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
64.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 20Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
65.1%
Anthony Richardson run for no gain to the Fla 20Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-2
65.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5066% → 64%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.4%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
64.3%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+28
63.6%
Nik Constantinou punt for 42 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 28 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:3238% → 52%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
61.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 21 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
47.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0953% → 50%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
53.2%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
52.9%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
51.2%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
50.3%
Nik Constantinou punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2949% → 46%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
51.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
51.9%
Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 28Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 12
OWN 28
-5
53.1%
Anthony Richardson sacked by Enai White for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 23Similar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
54.2%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:1053% → 50%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Devon Achane for no gain to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+20
52.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 20 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
56.3%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
56.0%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Max WrightSimilar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
53.3%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Max WrightSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 10
OPP 45
-5
51.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 15
50
+7
50.1%
Nik Constantinou punt for 38 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 7 yds to the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:5650% → 74%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+22
49.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 22 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
47.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
46.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the TexAM 47Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+20
45.7%
Ricky Pearsall run for 20 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
43.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+2
43.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+9
43.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 9 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
41.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the TexAM 12Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
41.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
26.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 12 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:2831% → 28%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Max Wright for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
31.4%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
30.0%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
28.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
28.1%
Nik Constantinou punt for 54 yds, downed at the Fla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19MISSED FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:4972% → 75%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
28.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+5
27.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 5 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
27.2%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+14
25.3%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 14 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
24.5%
Anthony Richardson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 10 yards to the TEXASAM 43 FLORIDA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Fla 43Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+21
25.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 21 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
23.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 24 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
22.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 14Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+3
22.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the TexAM 11Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
22.4%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
25.1%
Adam Mihalek 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20FUMBLE
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:0427% → 26%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
26.8%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 3 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
26.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 9 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
26.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+16
26.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 16 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
28.0%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 49Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+10
26.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 10 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
26.0%
Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
28.7%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
28.1%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 7
OPP 27
-9
25.6%
Haynes King sacked by Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 36 Haynes King fumbled, forced by Princely Umanmielen, recovered by FlaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3984% → 86%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
16.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
13.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
13.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ja'Quavion FraziarsSimilar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
14.3%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:1618% → 18%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
17.7%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 17 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
18.6%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-3
18.0%
Haynes King sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 29 Haynes King fumbled, forced by Antwaun Powell-Ryland Jr., recovered by Fla Amari Burney , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:1989% → 92%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
11.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+8
11.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 8 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
10.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 13Similar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+6
10.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 6 yds to the TexAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
9.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 0
OPP 5
-5
7.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 10Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
8.2%
Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
7.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexAM 1Similar
Q4 4:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-8
8.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:4910% → 9%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
10.2%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Devon AchaneSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
10.0%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+15
9.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Max Wright for 15 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
10.5%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
10.3%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
9.5%
Haynes King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
8.8%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:5994% → 99%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
6.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 16 yds to the TexAM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
5.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 12Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
3.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:582% → 2%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
2.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
2.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
1.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:58
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 12 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)
-17.8
TD · Q3 13:32
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)
-13.7
TD · Q2 1:00
Devon Achane run for 2 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com