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FLA

Florida 20 at Georgia 42

UGA
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:06 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:17: Ladd McConkey 7 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +3.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:34: Trevor Etienne 3 Yd Run (Adam Mihalek Kick) — FLA win probability +3.3 pts (now 6%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:31: Xzavier Henderson 78 Yd pass from Anthony Richardson (Adam Mihalek Kick) — FLA win probability +4.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:35: Daijun Edwards 22 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +4.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:44: Kenny McIntosh 4 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FLA made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:44UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:58FLA 4th & 4 at FLA 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:02FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:26FLA 4th & 12 at FLA 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:18FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:42UGA 4th & 11 at UGA 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:35FLA 4th & 11 at UGA 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:16UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:08UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 49, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:02FLA 4th & 9 at FLA 16, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:07FLA 4th & 8 at UGA 10, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−3.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:58FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 49, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:19UGA 4th & 7 at FLA 33, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:59FLA 4th & 11 at UGA 15, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:32UGA 4th & 3 at FLA 34, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:06FLA 4th & 17 at UGA 26, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:15UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:30UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:36UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:17UGA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:34FLA Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:31FLA Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:35UGA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:44UGA Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:1695% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 11 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
94.6%
McIntosh, Kenny rush for no gain to the GEORGIA36, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Ratledge, Tate) 10 yards to the GEORGIA26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-5
94.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Warren McClendon) to the Geo 21Similar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+7
94.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+18
94.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 18 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
94.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
94.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
94.0%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
93.9%
Brett Thorson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:236% → 6%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
94.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
93.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
93.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Keon ZippererSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+7
93.7%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 53 yds , Ladd McConkey returns for 7 yds to the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:0694% → 94%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
93.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 24 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
93.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 9 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
93.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the Fla 33Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+6
93.5%
Kenny McIntosh run for 6 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
93.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 13 yds to the Fla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
93.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Fla 11Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+10
93.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dillon Bell for 10 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.8%
Daijun Edwards 1 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:087% → 7%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
93.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-2
93.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trevor Etienne for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 35Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-5
93.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Kingsley Eguakun) to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+12
93.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 12 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
93.2%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:2893% → 94%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
93.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+19
93.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 19 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
93.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 3 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
93.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 6 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+20
93.1%
Daijun Edwards run for 20 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+25
93.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 25 yds to the Fla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
93.0%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the Fla 2Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.4%
Kenny McIntosh 2 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:286% → 6%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
93.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
93.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q1 0:02
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
93.8%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 44 yds, downed at the Geo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0994% → 94%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
94.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
94.1%
Stetson Bennett pass intercepted Jadarrius Perkins return for no gain to the Fla 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:277% → 6%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-13
93.5%
Anthony Richardson sacked by Christopher Smith for a loss of 13 yards to the Fla 28 FLORIDA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Anthony Richardson) to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 23
OWN 28
+16
93.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 16 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-5
93.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Kingsley Eguakun) to the Fla 39Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
93.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
93.7%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 0:5094% → 96%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
94.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell WashingtonSimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+10
94.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 10 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
96.2%
Brock Bowers 73 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:094% → 4%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
96.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
96.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante ZandersSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+7
96.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
96.4%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
96.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 5 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 41 yds, downed at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3696% → 97%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
96.4%
Branson Robinson run for 4 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-5
96.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 11
OWN 33
0
96.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 11
OWN 33
+12
96.6%
Brett Thorson punt for 46 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 12 yds to the Fla 45 FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Fla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:074% → 5%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
96.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+41
96.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 41 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
95.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-3
96.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+1
96.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+52
94.6%
Adam Mihalek 52 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 3:2795% → 95%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
95.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.0%
Stetson Bennett run for 2 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
95.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 9 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
95.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.4%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
95.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
95.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
95.0%
Brett Thorson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:065% → 5%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
95.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 11Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+2
95.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 12
OWN 13
+3
95.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 3 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
95.0%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 0:4595% → 98%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
95.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dillon Bell for 9 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+8
95.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 8 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
95.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
95.3%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kenny McIntoshSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+30
95.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 30 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.4%
Ladd McConkey 7 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:073% → 3%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 6 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
97.2%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the Fla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:262% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 10 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
98.0%
Trevor Etienne run for 13 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.1%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
98.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 49Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+5
98.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 5 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+15
97.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Bear Alexander) to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
96.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 4 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+9
96.6%
Anthony Richardson run for 9 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
96.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Keon ZippererSimilar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
96.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+10
97.0%
Trevor Etienne run for 10 yds to the Geo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
97.3%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Geo 3Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.0%
Trevor Etienne 3 Yd Run (Adam Mihalek Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
96.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 4 yds to the Geo 27 Kenny McIntosh fumbled, forced by Amari Burney, recovered by Fla Trey Dean IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:106% → 7%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
94.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Geo 27Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
94.3%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 4 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+11
94.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
94.3%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
94.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
94.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+26
92.8%
Adam Mihalek 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20INT
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:3494% → 96%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
93.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+13
93.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 13 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
95.4%
Kenny McIntosh run for 15 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
95.8%
Stetson Bennett pass intercepted Amari Burney return for no gain to the Fla 33 FLORIDA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Rashad Torrence II) to the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:566% → 11%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
93.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 4 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
93.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+78
89.3%
Xzavier Henderson 78 Yd pass from Anthony Richardson (Adam Mihalek Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:5090% → 96%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
90.3%
Kenny McIntosh run for 11 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
90.6%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+19
90.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
50
+20
91.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 20 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
92.1%
Kenny McIntosh run for 8 yds to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+22
96.2%
Daijun Edwards 22 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:375% → 6%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
94.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 20 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
94.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
94.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+1
94.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
94.2%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:1496% → 99%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
96.4%
Ladd McConkey run for 7 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
96.4%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell WashingtonSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+6
96.3%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 6 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
96.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Fla 33Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
96.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
96.6%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+29
96.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 29 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Kenny McIntosh 4 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:451% → 1%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 19 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+14
99.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 14 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
99.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Marcus Burke for 14 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
98.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 14 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
98.8%
Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 15Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
98.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Keon ZippererSimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
99.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 11
OPP 15
0
99.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 51 yds · 7:2799% → 100%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.4%
Branson Robinson run for 2 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+15
99.3%
Branson Robinson run for 15 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.4%
Branson Robinson run for 6 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
99.5%
Branson Robinson run for 1 yd to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+19
99.5%
Daijun Edwards run for 19 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-7
99.6%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the Fla 39 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devin Willock) to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 17
OPP 49
-2
99.6%
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+10
99.6%
Bennett, Stetson pass incomplete to Smith, Arian, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Marshall Jr., Jason) 10 yards to the FLORIDA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.6%
Branson Robinson run for 1 yd to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+5
99.6%
Branson Robinson run for 5 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+1
99.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
99.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 12 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+35
99.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 35 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
99.3%
Anthony Richardson sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 20
OPP 29
-6
99.4%
Anthony Richardson sacked by Chaz Chambliss for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 26
OPP 35
+9
99.5%
Anthony Richardson run for 9 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 17
OPP 26
0
99.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:31
Xzavier Henderson 78 Yd pass from Anthony Richardson (Adam Mihalek Kick)
-4.6
TD · Q3 0:35
Daijun Edwards 22 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)
+4.1
TD · Q3 9:34
Trevor Etienne 3 Yd Run (Adam Mihalek Kick)
-3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com