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LSU

LSU 45 at Florida 35

FLA
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:04 · Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier Henderson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Home team on offense−37.1Score differential−10.8Garbage-time factor−15.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.2Pregame prior+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:55: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 24 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +13.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:24: Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 54 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +12.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:17: Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:46: Anthony Richardson run for 81 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +9.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:39: Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +24.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:49LSU 4th & 1 at FLA 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:37FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:19FLA 4th & 12 at FLA 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:00FLA 4th & 1 at LSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%−5.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 6:58FLA 4th & 4 at LSU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−6.8
    average punt
  6. Q4 12:57LSU 4th & 8 at LSU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  7. Q4 3:23LSU 4th & 1 at FLA 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%−2.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−7.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 1:52LSU 4th & 14 at FLA 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:04FLA 4th & 20 at FLA 27, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:01FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:46LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:00FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:55LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:13FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:55LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:24LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:17LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:07LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:46FLA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:39FLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:4453% → 54%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
53.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 49Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+51
53.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 51 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0946% → 47%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
54.1%
Josh Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+40
54.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 40 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
54.3%
Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+3
54.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 3 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+7
54.9%
Josh Williams run for 7 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-8
54.8%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Brenton Cox Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 18
OPP 30
+3
55.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+14
56.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 14 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+3
55.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
55.5%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 7Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
52.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:3754% → 61%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.1%
Anthony Richardson run for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
54.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
54.1%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
54.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 9 yds to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
55.3%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
55.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
55.7%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 5 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
55.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
56.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+39
60.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 39 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 4:4941% → 48%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
59.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Josh WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
59.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+6
59.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 6 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
59.0%
Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+21
58.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 21 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
57.8%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+11
57.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 11 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
58.9%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
59.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to John Emery Jr.Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+13
60.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 13 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
59.3%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 1Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0756% → 55%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.2%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
56.6%
Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
55.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 1 yd to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-8
55.2%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 50 yds , Jack Bech returns for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 13 Jack Bech fumbled, recovered by Fla Rocco UnderwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:1560% → 67%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
59.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+10
59.6%
Anthony Richardson run for 10 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
59.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 3Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
59.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante ZandersSimilar
Q2 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1135% → 50%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.7%
Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the LSU 25Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
65.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+26
65.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kole Taylor for 26 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
62.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 8 yds to the Fla 41Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+4
62.8%
Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
63.2%
Josh Williams run for 13 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
50.1%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 24 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3057% → 55%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-6
56.5%
Anthony Richardson sacked by Micah Baskerville for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 23Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+2
55.1%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 62 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for 2 yds to the LSU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:4146% → 60%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
53.6%
John Emery Jr. run for 10 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
53.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 17 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
51.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
51.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+54
39.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 54 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:0544% → 42%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
43.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 20 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
45.4%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
45.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 7
50
+6
44.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 6 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
41.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2361% → 75%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
38.8%
Josh Williams run for 50 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
35.7%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the Fla 21Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+12
35.4%
Jayden Daniels run for 12 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
24.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12DOWNS
15 plays · 63 yds · 6:1128% → 23%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
27.2%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 14 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
28.5%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+29
28.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 29 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
29.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
29.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 25Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+7
27.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 7 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
27.8%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-5
26.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Ethan White) to the LSU 21Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+9
25.5%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 9 yds to the LSU 12Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
23.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 4
OPP 12
0
23.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 5:4682% → 97%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
17.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+19
17.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 19 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
16.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
50
+4
15.5%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
15.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+13
15.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 13 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
14.2%
Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+4
13.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 4 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
13.2%
John Emery Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 22Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+6
12.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 6 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+6
12.0%
Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
11.6%
Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the Fla 9Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
2.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:115% → 15%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
5.0%
Richardson, Anthony rush for 10 yards to the FLORIDA35, PENALTY FLORIDA holding 10 yards to the FLORIDA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
4.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 4 yds to the Fla 19Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+81
14.5%
Anthony Richardson run for 81 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:3390% → 91%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
9.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
8.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
8.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kole Taylor for 7 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
8.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon BoutteSimilar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 3
OWN 45
-5
9.2%
Bramblett, Jay punt 41 yards to the FLORIDA14, fair catch by Henderson, Xzavier, PENALTY LSU illegal batting 5 yards to the LSU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
8.8%
Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:0613% → 33%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
13.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 12 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
13.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
14.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
15.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+6
12.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
11.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Montrell Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+26
11.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
11.1%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the LSU 16Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+6
9.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 6 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+9
8.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 9 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17FG
18 plays · 46 yds · 5:3779% → 95%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
20.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
18.7%
Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
17.0%
Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 39Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+15
15.1%
Daniels, Jayden pass pass intercepted by Marshall Jr., Jason at the FLORIDA35, Marshall Jr., Jason return 7 yards to the FLORIDA42, PENALTY FLORIDA roughing passer 15 yards to the FLORIDA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
12.1%
Josh Williams run for 10 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
11.8%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
11.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik NabersSimilar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+7
12.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 7 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
11.8%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
9.1%
John Emery Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
8.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the Fla 17Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 2
OPP 17
-5
7.7%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Nick Storz) to the Fla 22Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-5
7.8%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Emery Jones) to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 12
OPP 27
-2
5.0%
Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 29Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+47
4.8%
Damian Ramos 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 1 yds · 0:363% → 3%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
3.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
3.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+7
3.1%
Anthony Richardson run for 7 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
3.3%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
3.1%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 15
OWN 32
-5
3.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 20
OWN 27
0
2.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 20
OWN 27
0
2.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:1897% → 96%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
3.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-1
3.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:39
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)
+24.6
TD · Q2 5:55
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 24 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)
-13.1
TD · Q2 2:24
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 54 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com