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MIZ

Missouri 17 at Florida 24

FLA
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:48 · Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+23.0Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:55: Cody Schrader run for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +8.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q2 0:20: Harrison Mevis 28 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +9.7 pts (now 35%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:55: Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +16.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:10: Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 9 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +8.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:58: Nathaniel Peat run for 18 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +12.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 7MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:50MIZ 4th & 3 at FLA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:50MIZ 4th & 3 at FLA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:48FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:48FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:33MIZ 4th & 11 at MIZ 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:58FLA 4th & 6 at MIZ 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    72.4%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:47MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:47MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:31FLA 4th & 5 at MIZ 33, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.8%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:31FLA 4th & 5 at MIZ 33, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.8%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:20MIZ 4th & 11 at FLA 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:05FLA 4th & 11 at MIZ 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−1.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:30MIZ 4th & 11 at MIZ 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−2.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:24FLA 4th & 2 at MIZ 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%−2.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:17MIZ 4th & 2 at FLA 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−4.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 1:01FLA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:55MIZ Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:55FLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:10FLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:58MIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 5:1024% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
75.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
75.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 6 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+7
75.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 7 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+9
75.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
75.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 6 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
75.9%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
75.9%
Brady Cook run for no gain to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
74.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
74.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:0275% → 74%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
74.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 20 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
75.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 41Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
74.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+7
74.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 7 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
74.3%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 10Similar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
74.3%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:1526% → 26%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+23
74.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 23 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
74.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cook,Brady rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MIZ41 (Miller,Ventrell) PENALTY MIZ Holding (Tollison,Connor) 10 yards from MIZ33 to MIZ23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+1
73.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 21
OWN 22
+2
73.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 2 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 19
OWN 24
+8
74.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 8 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+48
73.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 40 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 48 yds to the Misso 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3575% → 75%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
74.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the Misso 23Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
74.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
74.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
74.7%
Adam Mihalek 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5INT TD
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:5126% → 23%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
74.5%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden IIISimilar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+19
74.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 19 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
73.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+5
74.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-49
77.3%
Jaydon Hill 49 Yd Interception Return (Adam Mihalek Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:1422% → 22%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
77.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 15 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.2%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Nathaniel PeatSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
77.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+1
77.0%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-5
77.5%
PENALTY MIZ Delay Of Game 5 yards from MIZ48 to MIZ43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
78.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
78.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:1678% → 79%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
78.1%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 12 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
78.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Etienne,Trevor rush right for 1 yard gain to the UFL48 (Walker,Arden) PENALTY MIZ Offside (Jeffcoat,Trajan) 5 yards from UFL47 to MIZ48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 5
OPP 48
0
78.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
78.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+7
78.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Marcus Burke for 7 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
78.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Anthony pass incomplete short middle to Fraziars,Ja'Quavion PENALTY UFL Holding offsetting MIZ Offside offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
78.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
78.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+1
78.6%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+50
78.7%
Adam Mihalek 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+50
78.7%
Adam Mihalek 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:3621% → 31%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
78.8%
Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+6
78.2%
Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
78.3%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
78.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 7 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
77.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
77.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+28
78.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 28 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
77.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Fla 16Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+6
77.1%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the Fla 10Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+5
77.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 5 yds to the Fla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.2%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5873% → 72%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-2
72.2%
Anthony Richardson sacked by DJ Coleman for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 32 Anthony Richardson fumbled, recovered by Misso Dameon Wilson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10FG
12 plays · 21 yds · 2:3730% → 35%
Q2 2:57
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
69.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 5 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
68.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+4
68.9%
Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
68.9%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Fla 11Similar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
69.1%
Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+2
69.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 2 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
69.1%
Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the Fla 10Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
71.5%
Brady Cook sacked by Gervon Dexter Sr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 11Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
64.6%
Harrison Mevis 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
68.9%
A. Richardson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:5568% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.2%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 5 yds to the Fla 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+41
68.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 41 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
71.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+1
70.2%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 1 yd to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+2
69.1%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+47
66.4%
Adam Mihalek 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:3536% → 35%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
63.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 16 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
61.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+4
63.0%
Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+3
62.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 3 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
64.7%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 14TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:3566% → 83%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+39
66.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 39 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
69.8%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the Misso 43Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
69.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+8
68.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 8 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+32
66.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 32 yds to the Misso 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
83.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15INT
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:5323% → 25%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
77.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 13 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
75.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+14
75.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 14 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
73.9%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
74.0%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+6
74.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 6 yds to the Fla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
72.3%
Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Fla 33Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
72.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Nathaniel PeatSimilar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+13
74.2%
Brady Cook run for 13 yds to the Fla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
71.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+2
71.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
75.2%
Brady Cook pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 16TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 4:5283% → 95%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
82.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+10
84.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 10 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
84.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+1
84.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+20
84.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 5 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Isaiah McGuire) to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+36
86.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 36 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
87.1%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+3
87.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Misso 9Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+9
95.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 9 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:128% → 21%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.9%
Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+28
91.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 28 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
90.6%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-6
90.6%
Brady Cook sacked by Brenton Cox Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 17
OWN 47
-5
91.9%
PENALTY MIZ False Start (Lovett,Dominic) 5 yards from MIZ47 to MIZ42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 22
OWN 42
+27
92.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 27 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
89.8%
Brady Cook sacked by Chris McClellan for a loss of 3 yards to the Fla 34Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+2
89.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Fla 36Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+18
91.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 18 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
78.6%
Nathaniel Peat run for 18 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 18INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:0189% → 93%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
89.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 16 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
90.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 16 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
91.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 14
OPP 47
-5
92.8%
PENALTY UFL False Start (White,Ethan) 5 yards from MIZ47 to UFL48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 19
OWN 48
+5
92.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
93.1%
Anthony Richardson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:4015% → 10%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
85.4%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 12
OWN 30
-6
87.3%
Brady Cook sacked by Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 24Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+20
90.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 20 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
86.3%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
86.1%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mekhi MillerSimilar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+4
86.5%
Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
90.0%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:1796% → 96%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
96.4%
A. Richardson takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-1
96.2%
A. Richardson takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 45
-1
96.1%
A. Richardson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:55
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)
+16.4
TD · Q4 5:58
Nathaniel Peat run for 18 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
-12.9
FG · Q2 0:20
Harrison Mevis 28 yd FG GOOD
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com