Try the model
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2022 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadEWU aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreEWU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:27 · Adam Mihalek 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Alphonse Oywak
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior+9.9Home team on offense+34.1Score differential+29.3Blowout margin+16.7Garbage-time factor+12.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:04: Seth Harrison 44 yd FG GOOD — EWU win probability +0.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:53: Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 75 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:22: Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:48: Ricky Pearsall run for 76 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:02: Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 21 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 3EWU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00EWU 4th & 1 at FLA 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:04EWU 4th & 19 at FLA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:07EWU 4th & 1 at FLA 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:44EWU 4th & 7 at EWU 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:04EWU 4th & 9 at EWU 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:09EWU 4th & 2 at FLA 23, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:34EWU 4th & 7 at FLA 48, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:47FLA 4th & 2 at EWU 19, up 32
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:16EWU 4th & 21 at EWU 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:52EWU 4th & 14 at EWU 21, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:54FLA 4th & 2 at EWU 42, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:37EWU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:27FLA 4th & 2 at EWU 29, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7EWU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:53FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:13FLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:22FLA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:48FLA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:02FLA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:25FLA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:53FLA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:35EWU Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:17EWU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EWUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 49 yds · 6:562% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.3%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Efton Chism III for 11 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Micah rush left for 0 yards to the EWU36 (Cox Jr.,Brenton; Burney,Amari) PENALTY UF Offside (Boone,Justus) 5 yards from EWU36 to EWU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+2
98.3%
Micah Smith run for 2 yds to the EWash 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
98.3%
Micah Smith run for 1 yd to the EWash 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+14
98.3%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Jakobie James for 14 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
98.3%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Silas Perreiah for 6 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
98.3%
Micah Smith run for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+3
98.3%
Justice Jackson run for 3 yds to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+7
98.3%
Gunner Talkington run for 7 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
98.3%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 13 yds to the Fla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
98.3%
Gunner Talkington run for 7 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 24
-5
98.3%
Gunner Talkington sacked by Amari Burney for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 29
+3
98.3%
Micah Smith run for 3 yds to the Fla 26Similar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 19
OPP 26
+44
97.4%
Seth Harrison 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 75 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:462% → 3%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Freddie RobersonSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.6%
Justice Jackson run for 11 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
97.5%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Efton Chism III for 13 yds to the EWash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
97.5%
Justice Jackson run for 8 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
97.5%
Justice Jackson run for no gain to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+2
97.5%
Micah Smith run for 2 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
97.5%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Efton Chism III for 14 yds to the Fla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
97.4%
Micah Smith run for 7 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
97.4%
Justice Jackson run for no gain to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
97.5%
Micah Smith run for 2 yds to the Fla 18Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 1
OPP 18
0
96.7%
Justice Jackson run for no gain to the Fla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 4TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:5497% → 97%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+45
96.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 45 yds to the EWash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
97.0%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the EWash 30Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+27
97.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 27 yds to the EWash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.2%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:203% → 3%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
97.0%
Tuna Altahir run for 5 yds to the EWash 35Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
97.0%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Efton Chism III for 5 yds to the EWash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.8%
Tuna Altahir run for 2 yds to the EWash 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
96.8%
Tuna Altahir run for 1 yd to the EWash 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
96.9%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Tuna Altahir for no gain to the EWash 43Similar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
96.9%
Nick Kokich punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 6TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 4:2297% → 98%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
96.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
96.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Nay'Quan WrightSimilar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+20
96.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 20 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
96.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 19 yds to the EWash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
97.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 6 yds to the EWash 42Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+22
97.0%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 22 yds to the EWash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
97.0%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the EWash 24Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+6
96.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 6 yds to the EWash 18Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+14
96.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 14 yds to the EWash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:112% → 3%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.6%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Justice Jackson for 3 yds to the EWash 17Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+19
97.6%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Freddie Roberson for 19 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.5%
Justice Jackson run for 3 yds to the EWash 39Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+8
97.5%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Freddie Roberson for 8 yds to the EWash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.5%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Efton Chism IIISimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
97.5%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Freddie RobersonSimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+6
97.6%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Justice Jackson for 6 yds to the Fla 47Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 4
OPP 47
-5
97.5%
PENALTY EWU False Start (Ulm,Nolan) 5 yards from UF47 to EWU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+15
97.3%
Nick Kokich punt for 43 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 15 yds to the Fla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 8TD
1 play · 76 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
98.7%
Ricky Pearsall run for 76 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:592% → 2%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.8%
Tuna Altahir run for 7 yds to the EWash 32Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
97.6%
Justice Jackson run for 10 yds to the EWash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
97.6%
Justice Jackson run for 2 yds to the EWash 40 Justice Jackson fumbled, recovered by Fla Chris McClellanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 10TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:4799% → 100%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
98.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 23 yds to the EWash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
98.9%
FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the EWash 22Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+1
98.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the EWash 21Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+21
99.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 21 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 11DOWNS
14 plays · 52 yds · 2:531% → 1%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Freddie RobersonSimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Micah Smith run for 6 yds to the EWash 31Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.4%
Tuna Altahir run for 5 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.4%
Gunner Talkington run for 9 yds to the EWash 45Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
99.3%
Tuna Altahir run for 2 yds to the EWash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
99.4%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Freddie Roberson for 22 yds to the Fla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.6%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Nolan UlmSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.6%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Micah Smith for 6 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+2
99.6%
Micah Smith run for 2 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 2
OPP 23
0
99.3%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Aiden NellorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
99.6%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Anthony Richardson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:181% → 0%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.5%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Freddie Roberson for 13 yds to the EWash 39 for a 1ST down EASTERN WASH Penalty, Personal Foul (Wyatt Musser) to the EWash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
99.5%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Blake Gobel for 15 yds to the EWash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.5%
Micah Smith run for 2 yds to the EWash 41Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
99.5%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 5 yds to the EWash 46Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+3
99.4%
Tuna Altahir run for 3 yds to the EWash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.4%
Tuna Altahir run for 3 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
99.4%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Efton Chism IIISimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
99.4%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Jakobie JamesSimilar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Nick Kokich punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15FG
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:47100% → 100%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
99.6%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Fla 15Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+4
99.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+54
99.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 54 yds to the EWash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the EWash 18Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+2
99.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the EWash 20Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+1
99.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 1 yd to the EWash 19Similar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
99.8%
Adam Mihalek 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Tuna Altahir run for 11 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.8%
Justice Jackson run for 3 yds to the EWash 39Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
99.8%
Micah Smith run for 2 yds to the EWash 41Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-16
99.8%
Gunner Talkington sacked by Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 16 yards to the EWash 25 Gunner Talkington fumbled, recovered by EWash Luke Dahlgren , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 21
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Nick Kokich punt for 42 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 6 yds to the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the Fla 38Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+62
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 62 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Tuna AltahirSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Tuna Altahir run for no gain to the EWash 25Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Micah Smith for 1 yd to the EWash 26Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
PENALTY EWU False Start (King,Keshaun) 5 yards from EWU26 to EWU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+12
99.9%
Nick Kokich punt for 41 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 8 yds to the EWash 42Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Caleb DouglasSimilar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 1 yd to the EWash 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Anthony Stell Jr. for 6 yds to the EWash 47Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Efton Chism IIISimilar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Tuna Altahir run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:37
4TH & 1
50
0
99.9%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Jett CarpenterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 21TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 6 yds to the EWash 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+15
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 15 yds to the EWash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 20 yds to the EWash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 5 yds to the EWash 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
99.9%
PENALTY UF False Start (Fraziars,Ja'Quavion) 5 yards from EWU04 to EWU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jordan Pouncey for 2 yds to the EWash 11Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 11 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Justice JacksonSimilar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+23
100.0%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 23 yds to the EWash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
100.0%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Nolan Ulm for 1 yd to the EWash 49Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
100.0%
Tuna Altahir run for 3 yds to the Fla 48Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+8
100.0%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Aiden Nellor for 8 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
99.9%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Efton Chism III for 16 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Gunner Talkington pass incomplete to Silas PerreiahSimilar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Tuna Altahir run for 4 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Gunner Talkington pass complete to Jakobie James for 28 yds for a TD, (Seth Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 23MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass incomplete short right to McDowell,Griffin broken up by Orange,Armani PENALTY EWU Pass Interference (Orange,Armani) 15 yards from UF25 to UF40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
99.9%
PENALTY UF Delay Of Game (Kitna,Jalen) 5 yards from UF40 to UF35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 8 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+20
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 20 yds to the EWash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Kahleil JacksonSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Jalen Kitna pass incomplete to Ja'Markis WestonSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Kitna,Jalen pass incomplete short right to Weston,Ja'Markis PENALTY EWU Offside (Davis,Caleb) 5 yards from EWU37 to EWU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 3 yds to the EWash 29Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+46
99.9%
Adam Mihalek 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Alphonse OywakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:100% → 0%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
99.9%
Brandon Montoya run for 24 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Kekoa Visperas run for 3 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
Silas Perreiah run for 4 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Tuna Altahir run for 5 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Kekoa Visperas pass incomplete to Malaki RobersonSimilar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
Kekoa Visperas pass complete to Isaiah Howard for 8 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+2
99.9%
Tuna Altahir run for 2 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Kekoa Visperas pass incomplete to Isaiah HowardSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
100.0%
Kekoa Visperas run for 25 yds for a TD, (Seth Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 57 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
99.9%
Lorenzo Lingard run for 20 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
99.9%
Eddie Battle run for 26 yds to the EWash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
100.0%
Eddie Battle run for 6 yds to the EWash 24Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+4
100.0%
Carlson Joseph run for 4 yds to the EWash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
100.0%
Carlson Joseph run for 1 yd to the EWash 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:48
Ricky Pearsall run for 76 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)
+1.4
FG · Q1 8:04
Seth Harrison 44 yd FG GOOD
-0.9
TD · Q2 9:22
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com