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FLA

Florida 33 at Tennessee 38

TENN
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadFLA aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreFLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:05 · Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 11 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+23.4Home team on offense+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:41: Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 44 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +5.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:28: Anthony Richardson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK) — FLA win probability +5.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:07: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +9.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:08: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 16 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +8.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:55: Anthony Richardson 1 Yd Run (Adam Mihalek Kick) — FLA win probability +13.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:30FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:49FLA 4th & 2 at TENN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:35FLA 4th & 9 at TENN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:11TENN 4th & 7 at FLA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:05FLA 4th & 1 at FLA 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.5%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:13TENN 4th & 8 at FLA 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:50FLA 4th & 11 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:30FLA 4th & 2 at TENN 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    16.7%−1.0
    85% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−8.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:30FLA 4th & 2 at FLA 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.3%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:49FLA 4th & 2 at TENN 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−4.0
    92% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−21.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:11TENN 4th & 3 at FLA 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−6.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−13.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 12:41FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:59TENN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:28FLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:07TENN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:08TENN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:55FLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:0119% → 20%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
81.3%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 14 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
81.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 28Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
81.1%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+11
81.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 11 yds to the Fla 39Similar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+1
80.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd to the Fla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
80.7%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+7
80.4%
Anthony Richardson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
50
+22
80.2%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 22 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
80.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
79.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+7
79.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 2
OPP 20
-1
79.7%
Anthony Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2FUMBLE
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:3680% → 80%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
79.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 4 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-5
79.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+18
79.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 18 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
79.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 21 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
80.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-5
79.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+12
79.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 12 yds to the Fla 34Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+9
79.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 9 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
80.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 13 yds Princeton Fant fumbled, forced by Ventrell Miller, recovered by Fla Tre'Vez JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:5521% → 22%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+18
79.1%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 18 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
78.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the Fla 31Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+22
78.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 22 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
78.0%
Trevor Etienne run for 9 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
77.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
77.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Trent WhittemoreSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
77.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
77.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+50
78.1%
Adam Mihalek 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:1478% → 78%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
78.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
50
+6
78.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 6 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
79.0%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
78.8%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Shemar James for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 45Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+17
78.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 17 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
78.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 10 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
78.8%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 5
OPP 13
-2
78.8%
Jabari Small run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 15Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
78.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
78.3%
Chase McGrath 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2422% → 28%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.3%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
78.3%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 7 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Fla 36Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
77.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 8 yds to the Fla 44Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
76.8%
Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd to the Fla 45Similar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+11
77.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 11 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
72.3%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 44 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:2674% → 79%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+70
73.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 70 yds to the Fla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
76.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the Fla 4Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2122% → 31%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
77.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 17 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+38
76.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 38 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
75.3%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
75.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+3
75.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+14
75.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 14 yds to the Tenn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
74.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the Tenn 7Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
69.2%
Anthony Richardson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8FUMBLE
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:5771% → 71%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
71.8%
Jaylen Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+19
69.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 19 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
72.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 16 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
72.9%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-2
72.8%
Jaylen Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 33Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
71.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jacob WarrenSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 8
OPP 33
-5
70.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Amari Burney for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 38 Hendon Hooker fumbled, recovered by Fla Ventrell Miller , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1933% → 34%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
67.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
67.2%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Fla 38Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+13
67.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 13 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
65.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
64.2%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 11
50
0
64.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 11
50
0
66.1%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 49 yds, downed at the Tenn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
17 plays · 99 yds · 2:1867% → 78%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
67.0%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Tenn 3Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+9
66.0%
Jabari Small run for 9 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
66.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
66.0%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Tenn 12Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+10
64.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 10 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+43
65.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 43 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
70.7%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+9
70.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 9 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
70.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 3 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+16
69.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 16 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
69.2%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Fla 3Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 0
OPP 3
+2
69.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Holding (2 Yards) to the Fla 1Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 2:3276% → 86%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
75.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 6 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+39
76.3%
Jabari Small run for 39 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
78.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for no gain to the Fla 28Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
77.9%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+5
77.1%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 20Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+2
76.9%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
77.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the Fla 9Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+2
77.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
77.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q3 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-9
77.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Fla 6 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Fla 16Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 0
OPP 16
+16
86.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 16 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:0516% → 32%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
83.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (-12 Yards) to the Fla 13Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+16
83.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 16 yds to the Fla 29Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
83.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
83.2%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
82.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+26
82.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 11 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (15 Yards) to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
81.4%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
81.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 6 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+2
82.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+7
83.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 7 yds to the Tenn 6Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
81.4%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
81.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.0%
Anthony Richardson 1 Yd Run (Adam Mihalek Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:3458% → 61%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+44
57.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 44 yds to the Fla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
63.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 16 yds to the Fla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.5%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.5%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Fla 1Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 0
OPP 1
0
59.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the Fla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.0%
Jabari Small 1 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15FUMBLE
15 plays · 83 yds · 6:0750% → 63%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
49.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+1
49.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the Fla 5Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+14
50.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 14 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
46.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the Fla 24Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
44.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+3
47.0%
Anthony Richardson run for 3 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+39
47.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 39 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
39.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
38.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+5
39.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 5 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
37.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+1
37.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
36.7%
Anthony Richardson run for no gain to the Tenn 13 Anthony Richardson fumbled, recovered by Tenn Jeremy BanksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 4:2547% → 47%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+45
46.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 45 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
52.5%
Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Fla 35Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
54.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
52.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Fla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
54.3%
Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+8
53.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 8 yds to the Fla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
52.9%
Jaylen Wright run for 11 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
52.6%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Amari Burney for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 8Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
49.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 5Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
46.6%
Jaylen Wright 5 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:4169% → 76%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
31.0%
Anthony Richardson sacked by Da'Jon Terry for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 21Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
31.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+16
32.4%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 16 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
27.5%
FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
29.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+16
29.1%
Anthony Richardson run for 6 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Fla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+39
24.1%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 39 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
21.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
21.4%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+8
22.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 8 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+5
23.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 22 yds · 2:4937% → 24%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
37.2%
FLORIDA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Fla 46Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+3
38.5%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+1
35.7%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-5
36.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 47Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+5
35.8%
FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+5
36.7%
FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Fla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
36.9%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+1
38.6%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Fla 31Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+1
34.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the Fla 30Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+1
24.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 1 yd to the Fla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 0:4394% → 96%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+28
6.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 28 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
5.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+16
4.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 16 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
4.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+24
4.5%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 24 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
4.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.2%
Ricky Pearsall 3 Yd pass from Anthony Richardson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:1195% → 96%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
5.0%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 14 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
4.4%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-5
4.5%
Anthony Richardson pass intercepted Kamal Hadden return for 5 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+95.5
TD · Q3 5:55
Anthony Richardson 1 Yd Run (Adam Mihalek Kick)
-13.4
TD · Q2 0:07
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
+9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com