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UK

Kentucky 26 at Florida 16

FLA
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Win probability · FLA
modelFLA aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playFLA scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:36 · Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Home team on offense−12.3Pregame prior+1.6Garbage-time factor−8.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.3Score differential−4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:36: Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 55 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +6.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:49: Trevor Etienne run for 11 yds for a TD, (Anthony Richardson pass to Trevor Etienne for Two-Point Conversion) — FLA win probability +10.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:25: Will Levis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UK win probability +9.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:35: Matt Ruffolo 24 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +5.8 pts (now 46%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:25: Anthony Richardson pass intercepted for a TD Keidron Smith return for 65 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +19.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: FLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:44FLA 4th & 10 at FLA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42UK 4th & 12 at UK 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:03FLA 4th & 4 at UK 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.7%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:33UK 4th & 22 at FLA 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    32.8%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:47FLA 4th & 5 at FLA 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:44UK 4th & 20 at UK 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:25FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:01FLA 4th & 8 at UK 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:35UK 4th & 9 at UK 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:18FLA 4th & 17 at FLA 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−4.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:35UK 4th & 3 at FLA 6, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%−1.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−11.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:27FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:05UK 4th & 11 at FLA 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    71.3%−1.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:36FLA 4th & 3 at FLA 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.3%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:13UK 4th & 8 at FLA 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    71.3%−9.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:02FLA 4th & 6 at FLA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.6%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:24UK 4th & 8 at FLA 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−4.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:28FLA 4th & 7 at FLA 28, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FLA made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 11:36UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:49FLA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:25UK Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    35.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:25UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FLADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:0261% → 61%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
61.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+16
61.3%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 16 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
61.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
61.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
61.2%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
61.2%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:5839% → 39%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
61.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-1
61.3%
Will Levis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 16Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 10
OWN 16
-2
61.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 14Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
61.5%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 3FG
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:3262% → 62%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+24
61.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 24 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
61.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
61.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+1
61.7%
Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd to the Kent 22Similar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
62.0%
Adam Mihalek 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 5:2238% → 37%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
61.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 19 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
61.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 11 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
61.3%
Tayvion Robinson run for 2 yds to the Fla 43Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
61.3%
Barion Brown run for 3 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+10
61.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 10 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
61.0%
La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the Fla 30Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-7
61.0%
Will Levis sacked by Justus Boone for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 17
OPP 37
0
62.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Fla 37Similar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 17
OPP 37
-5
62.6%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 42Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 22
OPP 42
0
62.7%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Xzavier Henderson at the Fla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:3762% → 62%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
61.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the Fla 13Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+28
61.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 28 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
62.7%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante ZandersSimilar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
62.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
62.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
61.9%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:5438% → 37%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
62.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+16
62.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 16 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+22
62.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
50
-10
60.8%
Will Levis sacked by Amari Burney for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 40
0
62.1%
Will Levis pass complete to La'Vell Wright for no gain to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 20
OWN 40
0
62.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 20
OWN 40
+3
62.9%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 38 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for 3 yds to the Fla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:0962% → 60%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the Fla 25Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
61.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
60.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 10 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
62.0%
Richardson, Anthony pass complete to Chiaokhiao-Bowman, Thai for no gain to the FLORIDA35, PENALTY FLORIDA personal foul (Shorter, Justin) 15 yards to the FLORIDA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 25
OWN 20
0
61.6%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 25
OWN 20
0
61.5%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky PearsallSimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 25
OWN 20
+8
60.8%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 8 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 17
OWN 28
+8
60.4%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 47 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 8 yds to the Kent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:4238% → 45%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
61.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 12 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
54.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 55 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 9FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:2557% → 59%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
56.8%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 40 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
59.9%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 2 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
59.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
58.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
59.4%
Adam Mihalek 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2443% → 45%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.4%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Jordan DingleSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
57.6%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Keaton UpshawSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
58.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
56.3%
Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
55.4%
Will Levis pass intercepted Gervon Dexter Sr. return for no gain to the Kent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 11TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:3662% → 72%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
62.2%
Anthony Richardson run for 3 yds to the Kent 31 Anthony Richardson fumbled, forced by Jordan Wright, recovered by Fla Anthony RichardsonSimilar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
62.2%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+15
60.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 15 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
61.2%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
71.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 11 yds for a TD, (Anthony Richardson pass to Trevor Etienne for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12SF
5 plays · -35 yds · 1:2732% → 29%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
67.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
67.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 39Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
68.0%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
71.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 39 yards for a SAFETY TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kent for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 13INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5670% → 70%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
70.3%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 23Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
70.2%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 4 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-18
70.3%
Anthony Richardson pass intercepted Jordan Wright return for 18 yds to the Fla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14TD
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1532% → 42%
Q2 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
67.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Fla 5Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 0
OPP 5
+3
66.3%
Levis, Will pass incomplete, PENALTY FLORIDA roughing passer (Dean III, Trey) 3 yards to the FLORIDA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.Similar
Q2 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
67.2%
La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the Fla 1Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.2%
Will Levis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:1164% → 64%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
63.9%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
63.6%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the Fla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2236% → 34%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.6%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Brenden BatesSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
63.8%
La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
64.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to La'Vell WrightSimilar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-2
66.0%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 44 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5365% → 63%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
65.3%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 29Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
65.2%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-8
63.5%
Anthony Richardson sacked by Jordan Wright for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 21Similar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 17
OWN 21
0
62.5%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 54 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 5:3636% → 46%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
63.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
62.2%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Kent 39Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+25
62.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 25 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
60.4%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Fla 32Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+6
58.8%
Tayvion Robinson run for 6 yds to the Fla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
58.8%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+13
59.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
58.6%
La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the Fla 8Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+2
58.5%
La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 6Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
60.0%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
54.2%
Matt Ruffolo 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 19INT TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:0560% → 43%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.5%
Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Fla 27Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
59.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 4 yds to the Fla 31Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
58.7%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 15 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
62.9%
Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 6
50
+3
63.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+8
62.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 8 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-65
43.0%
Anthony Richardson pass intercepted for a TD Keidron Smith return for 65 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4938% → 36%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
38.1%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
39.4%
Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
40.2%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 2 yds to the Fla 42Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
38.9%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante ZandersSimilar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
36.3%
Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 5:1067% → 73%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
33.0%
Tayvion Robinson run for 2 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
31.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+22
32.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 22 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
25.8%
La'Vell Wright run for 9 yds to the Fla 49Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+8
24.3%
La'Vell Wright run for 8 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
24.0%
La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
23.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for no gain to the Fla 42Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
24.1%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Chauncey MagwoodSimilar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
26.8%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2131% → 29%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
30.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
30.6%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 13 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
29.5%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the Fla 33Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
29.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 7 yds to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
30.5%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the Fla 40Similar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
28.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ja'Quavion FraziarsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23MISSED FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:1581% → 82%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
19.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 18 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
18.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
16.8%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
17.6%
La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the Fla 20Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
18.4%
Matt Ruffolo 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0224% → 20%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
23.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the Fla 21Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
22.2%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 4 yds to the Fla 25Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-1
21.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 24Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
19.8%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25FG
12 plays · 16 yds · 2:2688% → 97%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
11.8%
Tayvion Robinson run for 1 yd to the Fla 23Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+7
10.4%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the Fla 16Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+11
9.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 11 yds to the Fla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
8.4%
La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the Fla 5Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 0
OPP 5
-5
3.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Kenneth Horsey) to the Fla 10Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
4.3%
La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the Fla 8Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
4.4%
Will Levis run for no gain to the Fla 8Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
3.5%
Matt Ruffolo 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FLADrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:093% → 3%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier HendersonSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
3.0%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin ShorterSimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 3 yds to the Fla 28Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
2.8%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
3.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante ZandersSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
3.3%
Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 8 yds to the Fla 46Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
3.3%
Anthony Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:25
Anthony Richardson pass intercepted for a TD Keidron Smith return for 65 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
-19.5
TD · Q2 5:49
Trevor Etienne run for 11 yds for a TD, (Anthony Richardson pass to Trevor Etienne for Two-Point Conversion)
+10.3
TD · Q2 1:25
Will Levis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com